The Pollsters

The Pollsters

United States

Explore what America’s thinking with two of the country’s leading pollsters--the bipartisan team of Democrat Margie Omero and Republican Kristen Soltis Anderson. In this weekly podcast we take a fresh, friendly look at the numbers driving the week’s biggest stories in news, politics, tech, entertainment and pop culture. Along with the occasional interview with pollsters, journalists, and other industry leaders, we'll lift the hood on the numbers revealing the hidden secrets of the public’s mind.


#99: Turn & Face The Strange  

Check out our sponsors. Get your free trial from Zip Recruiter here: and hear about the clothes we ordered for our husbands at Follow us--we even respond sometimes. or We’re also @margieomero @ksoltisanderson on Twitter. And below is a list of the polls we cite this week. Poll of the Week NYT: Republican men say it’s a better time to be a woman than a man Obama’s Legacy Huffington Post: Obama’s job approval Gallup: Americans say history’s view of Obama presidency will be more kind than unkind Gallup: Personal satisfaction bounces back Huffington Post: Americans like Obama’s legacy, but may also want a new direction Making history, of a kind: Politico: Polls show Trump’s approval is historically low CBS: More Americans disapprove of Trump’s handling of the transition CNN: Confidence drops in Trump transition The Washington Post/ABC News: January 12-15, 2017 Poll Pew: Concerns over Trump’s transparency Pew: ISIS, Cyberattacks and North Korea biggest threats as Trump presidency starts ABC News/The Washington Post: Trump’s handling of Russia & the ACA Maybe it's the issues? NBC/WSJ: ACA reaches record high approval as Obama exits Politico/Harvard: Expectations for Trump’s first 100 days The Washington Post: Trump is off to a rocky start Ipsos/Reuters: Americans want strong environmental regulations from EPA Huffington Post: Trump supporters have his back, even against fellow Republicans Which of these travel jerks are you? Expedia: Seat-kickers are enemy #1 on planes

#98: From Bump To Slump (1/11/17)  

Surprise! We have a sponsor! Get a free trial from Zip Recruiter here: Follow us--we even respond sometimes. or We’re also @margieomero @ksoltisanderson on Twitter. And below is a list of the polls we cite this week. Polls of the Week Civis Analytics & PSB Research: Most moviegoers unfavorable toward Trump The Sessions Sessions The Economist/YouGov: Sessions’ November favorability numbers The Economist/YouGov: Basic info on Jefferson Sessions Obama’s legacy Gallup: Ground gained and lost under Obama Gallup: Americans still see big government as the biggest threat Mark Blumenthal for SurveyMonkey: Obama’s ends with high approval, but polarity persists Trump’s tough week Quinnipiac: Voters approve of Obama, disapprove of Trump Obamacare GS Strategy Group/American Action Network: Most Americans want Obamacare repealed or overhauled Kaiser Family Foundation: Most say don’t repeal or provide replacement details Morning Consult/POLITICO: National tracking poll on Obamacare Disconnect between police and public Washington Post: Report on police and public attitudes Pew: Behind the Badge Books vs iPhones: who will win? Gallup: Books are still holding on! 9to5Mac: Which rumored iPhone features are most exciting? 9to5Mac: Flat or curved iPhone 8? Ebates: Video game hits and busts

#97: Take these polls and make them true somehow (1/5/17)  

Welcome back everyone! Kristen is well-rested, but Jet Lag Margie is on the loose. Find more polls at or We’re also @margieomero @ksoltisanderson on Twitter. Here are the polls we cite this week. “Polls” of the Week Mediaite: Who should replace Megyn Kelly? Marsha Blackburn’s Obamacare twitter poll backfires Carrie Fisher’s dog Gary could teach Marsha Blackburn about twitter polls 2016 in our rear-view mirror POLITICO/Morning Consult: Trump would barely beat Obama in a head-to-head race Pew: Democrats aren’t angry, they’re just disappointed HuffPost Pollster/YouGov: Trump voters think African Americans “less deserving” than average Can you handle it? Gallup: Americans not sure Trump can handle Presidential duties Ideological scramble Gallup: “Liberal” is in, “Moderate” is out Pew: Perceptions of Trump’s ideology Pew: Republicans increasingly skeptical of free trade The Huffington Post: Back in the USSR The Sun: UK poll remembers George Michael

#96: We're pulling a list & polling it twice  

(Recorded 12/20) Whaddya think of our snazzy new intro & outro? Follow us--we even respond sometimes! or We’re also @margieomero @ksoltisanderson on Twitter. And below is a list of the polls we cite this week. Polls of the week: Good news? Ipsos/DieHappy: What made Americans happy in 2016? Pew: The most impactful historical events PRRI/Atlantic: Almost one in five of Clinton voters’ husbands sat out the election Morning Consult/POLITICO: Little support for an Electoral College revolt Forbes: Post-election, Trump brand gets a little boost among the wealthy NBC/Wall Street Journal: What kind of change will Trump bring? PRRI: War on Christmas?

#95: The gift of polling that keeps on giving  

Welcome new listeners! Get excited about our new partnership with Westwood One. Follow us--we even respond sometimes! or We’re also @margieomero @ksoltisanderson on Twitter. And below is a list of the polls we cite this week. Poll of the Week - Echelon Insights: Trump vs. Kanye The Washington Post: Shy Trumpers? Public Policy Polling: Employment, Electoral College, and counting California votes CBS News: What kind of President will Donald Trump be? POLITICO: Democrats aren’t warming to Trump Gallup: Trump’s transition McClatchy-Marist: Trump in transition YouGov: Republicans growing fonder of Wikileaks, Russia, Putin Ipsos MORI: U.S. scores high on the “Index of Ignorance” Morning Consult: Most think Medicare should continue as-is Kaiser Family Foundation: Divided America would pick and choose parts of ACA Gallup: The role of government in health insurance Gallup: Personal versus national health care Gallup: Dissatisfaction with healthcare costs Regifting, from, uh, Creditdonkey

#94: Trump gets a bounce  

Did you hear our interview with Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio & Clinton pollster Joel Benenson? You’re going to want to take a listen. It’s one of our favorite episodes so far. Poll of the Week: We’ve hit peak pollsters The Pollsters talk about the polling on polling. Huffington Post on Trump voters Ipsos poll on pollsters’ distrust Everybody (well, half of everybody) Loves A Winner Even Trump gets a post-win bounce. Huffington Post on Trump’s favorability Morning Consult on Trump’s favorability Gallup poll on president-elect’s favorability Post-Fact Universe The true polling about post-facts Pew Research on pollsters and press evaluation Buzzfeed News on fake news Morning Consult on credible media outlets Electoral College Gallup poll on the rise of support for the Electoral College Carrier and the Free Market Politico on Trump’s Carrier deal YouGov poll on Trump’s Carrier deal Donald Trump’s Businesses Conflicts are complicated. Bloomberg on Trump’s businesses Tweeter In Chief Is there a secret high-level Twitter Anonymous meeting out there that Kristen can go to? Politico on Trump’s use of Twitter We Love International Elections! International Business Times on France 2017 election International Business Times on Italy referendum Reuters on Italy referendum Quartz on Italy referendum Bloomberg on Italy referendum results Financial Times on Austria presidential election CNN on Austria election Pew Research on Europe’s future Polling on Santa Margie explains to Kristen the joys of the creepy Santa photo Ipsos polling on Santa Key findings: Here’s a real news story: With multiple polls about pollsters, we’ve hit peak pollsters. Although no one seems to be getting an A for effort. People are still working out the kinks about how to test Trump’s conflicts of interest . And if it’s hard to explain in a question, then, ah, well, i’m sure it’ll be fine. Meanwhile The pollsters transition team is in full force. We’ve put all our podcast revenue so far into a blind trust handled by my 1.5 year old. The downside is he sits in on all my meetings & is an obnoxious tweeter. Meanwhile, while people continue feel our country is off on the wrong track. AND more say belief in santa is decreasing? Correlation? Causation? You tell us! Don't forget to follow us on Twitter and Facebook!

#93: The Pollsters @ Harvard with Joel Benenson & Tony Fabrizio  

Kristen & Margie are back! We went up to Harvard's IOP Campaign Manager Summit.  While you may have heard about some testy conversations, our pollster summit with Clinton pollster Joel Benenson & Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio was friendly and informative. What kinds of questions did they ask? Were they surprised? How have their years in the trenches prepared them for this race? Listen to our live show  & hear about our new big announcement!

#92: Give thanks for KSA on the mic!  

Margie's still detoxing, but Kristen's got thoughts. Take a listen. And we'll have a live show from Harvard next week!

#91: Maybe polling does take a holiday? (Vacation announcement)  

Maybe polling does take a holiday? Margie's detoxing too hard to get a good consistent connection, so stay tuned for Plan B. 

#90: Uh, surprise?!  

We don't have any shownotes. Or a script! We just have some theories about what happened in the race, what happened in the polls, and then some jokes. Because, beer. 

#89: Buckle up!  

We’ve been a lot of places--if we spent any more time together this week we would’ve had to give each other candy.


Poll of the Week

Can Ivanka’s brand withstand Hurricane Trump?

Fortune: Women won’t buy Ivanka Trump shoes  

What is happening out there?!

The race is tightening. Or is it?

Real Clear Politics: YouGov’s Doug Rivers and Benjamin Lauderdale on Phantom Swings NBC/Survey Monkey: Post-Comey letter polling Morning Consult: Post-Comey letter polling Morning Consult: Polls unaffected by reopening of email case ABC/Washington Post: Trump creating more enthusiasm among early voters NYT Upshot: Where the handicappers are  

Early Voting

Early voting seems to be benefit Clinton. But will that advantage last?

CNN: Early voting tallies in FL, AZ, OH Florida Division of Elections: More early voting tallies in FL Nevada Secretary of State: Early voting tallies in NV  

Just a little respect

Hats, swag, angry pollsters, angry neighbors. Just a wonderful time to be alive.

Pew: Hillary supporters have a “hard time” respecting Trump voters Washington Post: Trump has spent more on hats than polling Washington Post: Trump hasn’t paid his pollster PSB Research: Who is reaching voters and how?  

Key findings:

We’re in the final countdown. Pick up some stickers & yard signs, do some GOTV & don’t obsess talking about the polls. Oh wait, that was just a note Margie wrote to herself. Thanks everyone for an incredible year and a half of The Pollsters! We love you guys & gals, and glad you’ve enjoyed our regular polling deep dive & bad jokes.  
#88i: Mark Blumenthal from Survey Monkey is our Justin Timberlake  

This week we talk to The Pollsters' version of SNL's Justin Timberlake or Tom Hanks: Survey Monkey's Mark Blumenthal! He updates us on all thinks Monkey.


The Survey Monkey map The Survey Monkey Blog Mark's piece on likely voter modeling More on Survey Monkey's methodology Follow Mark on Twitter
#88: Our Senate-sational Special  

It’s your lucky day! We’re doing a special Monday episode since we may not be able to find time later in the week. So check out our Senate-sational special!  Aldo, don't orget  to follow @margieomero & the #walmartmoms hashtag for groups Tuesday night.


Poll of the week

Is Trump just making excuses, or might the election be rigged? A new ABC poll finds yet another big party divide.

ABC News poll on Clinton’s double-digit lead


The senate!

The Upshot compares all the the handicappers and forecasters into one giant clip-n-save, or click-n-spin.

NBC/WSJ poll on congressional preferences The upshot on Senate election forecast The New York Times on Senate election poll



The New York Times on Pennsylvania Senate race Politico on Pennsylvania Senate race The New York Times endorsement of Katie McGinty



The New York Times on Indiana Senate race Politico on Evan Bayh’s Collapse Associated Press on Bayh and job hunt Politico on Bayh’s Indiana address


New  Hampshire

The New York Times on New Hampshire Senate race Politico on New Hampshire Senate race


North carolina

The New York Times on North Carolina Senate race Politico on North Carolina Senate race



The New York Times on Missouri Senate race Politico on Missouri Senate race



The New York Times on Nevada Senate race Politico on Nevada Senate race



The New York Times on Florida Senate race


We’ve got issues

Gallup poll on candidates and key issues Pew Research Center on spouse’s preferences  


Key Findings

It’s never too early to prepare for your next campaign, folks. The trump effect downticket may not be as big as people think. But it’s definitely not helping. And if you’re not feeling like you hear enough about the issues, call your spouse.

#87: Nasty Woman vs One Bad Hombre  

The “Nasty Woman” vs. the “Bad Hombre.” Kristen & Marge are on west coast time. Now who’s the puppet!?


Poll of the week

It turns out you are entitled to your own facts. On that we agree, it seems.

Pew Research Center on candidates and facts  


The debates! They’re over!

We made it through the final debate. So, uh, anything change?

Pew Research center on fact checking CNN/ORC post-debate poll


Are you being rigged?

Yikes! Will people trust the polling results?

Morning Consult on rigging concerns


To Russia, with Love

Changing views toward Russia among the GOP? What would Reagan say?

Morning Consult/Politico poll on Russia


Tale of the tapes. Again

Huffington Post on sexual assault Gallup poll on sexual assault NBC/SurveyMonkey poll on Trump’s respect for women Washington Post/ABC News poll on Trump’s treatment of women PRRI on imorality and professionalism


If kids could vote

USA Today on Children’s presidential pick Sesame Street poll on Kindness and kids


Key findings:

We’re almost there everyone! Surely we can at least agree on how many days are left till the election? (fact check: yes!) Is it okay to call someone nasty, or a bad hombre? Or to shout wrong at someone who isn’t wrong? What if you disagree with them on tax policy? (fact check: no!) Is it okay to fantasize about being in a pre-school election, or to daydream about what shows you’re going to binge watch after the election? (fact check: yes!)
#86: Stress polling & stress eating  

Well it's pretty crazy out there. Hold onto your crosstabs everyone. And don't forget you can see Margie in LA on 10/20 at the Ace Hotel with the fine folks at KCRW's Left Right & Center. Check it out here.


Poll of the Week

There's a reason we're going to focus on the tapes & the debate--it's one of the biggest news stories this year.

Politico/Morning Consult National Poll


October Surprises

The post-debate polling is bleak for Trump, but  not quite as volatile as the news. Maybe.

Brietbart on post debate poll CNN/ORC poll on the second debate NBC SurveyMonkey poll on the the second debate NBC/WSJ poll on Trump’s tape Politico/Morning Consult on Trump’s tape Huffington Post/HuffPost Pollster on trump’s respect for women SurveyMonkey on Trump’s tapes The Atlantic on Trump and female voters Reuters/Ipsos Poll on Clinton’s marriage FiveThirtyEight poll on gender gap YouGov/Economist Poll on gender gap NBC/WSJ poll on GOP’s action on Trump Politico/Morning Consult on GOP’s action on Trump Morning Consult on Trump’s loyal supporters



Mmm. McMuffins. Kristen's Muffin-map is driving Twitter crazy.

Deseret news/Y2 Analytics poll on McMullin


Are you going crazy?

You're not the only one feeling stressed out about this election. But are you the only one who believes a conspiracy theory?

Washington Post on unproven rumors Washington Post on perceived partisan biases Politico on Trump’s mental health toll NYT Upshot: Your therapist may lean blue


Candy binge

In times like these, we turn to candy.

Influenster: each state’s Halloween favorite


Key Findings

Let’s not get the message muddled here. The tapes are not about cursing, but about assault. That could explain some of the differences in results we’re seeing. And while the impact on the race is clear--the impact on the GOP’s fortunes...too soon to say. News is moving faster than public opinion, and public opinion moving faster than pollsters. Is the election giving you stress? Are you binge eating candy and McMuffins? Talk to the pollsters. Tell us how that makes you feel.
#85: The Taxman Cometh  

Hey we’re on Spotify now! Go check us out. Like ABC/This Week on Facebook so you can see our (mostly) weekly Facebook Live videos. And have you checked out our new website yet?


Poll of the Week: Do you need an information diet

Clay Johnson, call your office.

NORC on news consumption


The Taxman is coming, just not for Donald Trump

People care about Trump’s tax returns. But will it change their vote?

SurveyMonkey on tax returns Quinnipiac on tax returns YouGov/Economist on top news stories


Return of the TV dads

Dads square off, probably not changing the race much.

ABC/SSRS on VP candidates NBC/SurveyMonkey on VP candidates CBS on Luntz focus group CNN focus group in Richmond CNN/ORC Instant poll Swing kittens say meow


The forecast is bleak, and we’re talking Donald, not Matthew

Huffington Post has a new forecast

Huffington Post forecast Huffington Post methodology Slate collection of forecasts


While the climate is, partisan

Pew reveals major party differences in views toward climate change. Kristen sees, uh, a silver lining.

Pew on Climate Change


Here’s something really scary

Get ready for Halloween folks! Basically that means dressing like a superhero.

NRF on Halloween costumes NRF on Halloween spending


Key Findings

People are looking for more information sources about buying stuff than about politics. And that’s even before last night’s rockin’ VP debate! Even a bunch of kittens could tell you that Clinton’s had a post-debate bounce. The candidates may not be talking much about climate change, but don’t worry, there are still deep partisan divides anyway. You know what’s really scary? That political costumes are going to be pretty popular this year.
#84: Snap Polls. Snap Judgments?  

Hey guys! We’ll be on Spotify very soon. Check out our new website & send us very nice emails about how we can make the resource page better!


Poll of the week! Or maybe, “relevant pitch” of the week?

How might you find independents on radio? Nielsen sent us some answers.

Nielsen data on CNBC


Snap judgment

So we had a debate. Who are you going to trust to find out who won: the polls? Or the other polls?

Real Clear Politics on Luntz focus group WP informal focus group CNN/ORC post-debate poll PPP post-debate poll Morning Consult post-debate poll NBC/Survey Monkey post-debate poll Echelon poll YouGov post-debate poll Newer PPP post-debate poll NYT on post-debate polling Donald Trump on post-debate polling Brendan Nyhan on fact checking


Transition team

Is this election bringing out the worst in people? Is it bringing out anyone to vote?l

Monmouth poll on bringing out the worst Gallup on compromise Gallup on high hopes Gallup on interest in voting Pew on views toward the media Mediaite on media vs putin


Grilled cheese, spicy mochas, & the Simpsons

Does Carl mainsplain to Mrs. Krabapple?

Washington Post on grilled cheese The Simpsons, graphed on reddit


Key Findings:

Did you have “poll denialism” on your debate bingo card! We will next time for sure. And everyone get your transition team ready. Not for the next president, but for the rest of america. Never mind m or manterrupting during the debate, what has been happening with the  Simpsons? We had no idea. Maybe Homestar Runner is better?


#83: We can't WEIGHT for you to hear this episode!  

Hello new listener! Come for the 2016 polling, stay for the Brangelexit data. Check out our new website and follow us on Twitter or Facebook. We’re constantly pushing out the latest polls, and your reaction helps us figure out what to talk about.


Poll of the week: Millennials & their furbabies.

Forget about crazy cat ladies, there are now fun catboys. And did you know Kristen wrote the book on Millennials?

Washington Post on Millennials & pets The Selfie Vote



The polls have tightened, but then maybe they’ve loosened? And new open end data from both Pew and Gallup.

Slate average Gallup on news recall NYT on Clinton Foundation Pew on how people feel about the election YouGov on candidate extremism Gallup on confidence in government


Pollsters weigh in on weighting

This was super cool! Really excited both of our firms got to be a part of it.

NYT/Upshot on weighting



Um, we’re going to need some fresh data here.

IMDB poll on Brad vs Angie Brangelina as a nickname YouGov Most admired people of 2016 Vanity Fair/60 Minutes who should adopt your children


Key findings:

Who says Millennials are selfish? Half of millennial guys have cats! Maybe for Clinton no news is good news. If the polls are getting a little too tight for comfort, maybe you need to lose weight? If you don’t like the results of your poll. Just wait? Always good to see fellow pollsters weigh in? Who is going to get more of a post-breakup bounce: Brad or Angelina? We’re on it!!   And welcome new listeners!! Tweet us your complaints.
#82: Today's forecast: hot with a 100%  chance of polls  

Mad-Man style, or Rhoda Morgenstern, either way we love this Medium post & review from Michelle Thomas of Javelina. We forgot all about the cat videos!


Poll of the week: News alerts!

Are you living in a media bubble? You might be if you think *everyone* is living in a bubble. And how many people get news alerts on their phone?

Pew on news alerts NYT/Upshot on "echo chamber" Gallup on lack of trust in the media


Breaking: Morbid, er, Morning Consult poll

This new Morning Consult poll leaves no stone unturned on the presidential health issue.

Morning Consult on candidate health Morning Consult crosstabs


2016! Today’s forecast is...

Today’s forecast looks a lot like yesterday’s forecast.

Huffington Post/pollster averages Slate's poll of poll of polls The Upshot vs. Princeton vs. 538 FiveThirtyEight forecasts RCP vs. Huffington Post average methodology The "Primary Model"


Non-voters & new voters. More myths debunked

Once you look at these Pew numbers, get ready to re-read The Selfie Vote.

Pew on changing party compositions NYT/The Upshot on non-voters


The one poll in the world you could predict with certainty

The internet meme that will never die.

The Daily Mirror on Harambe McHarambeFace


Key Findings

Today’s forecast looks a lot like yesterday’s forecast. But it’s not clear if it’s time yet to get out your umbrella. Lots of myth debunking going on out there. Check your assumptions folks! It’s a good thing we never did an online poll about the name of our show, or it may in fact become those two hens. When 2016 gets a little crazy, reflect on some simpler times, with cat videos, old 70s sitcoms, or back episodes of The Pollsters.
#81: A pollster on every corner  

With Labor Day behind us, we need to turn to Satchmo to make sense of the polling. Don’t miss our interview with the Monkey Cage’s John Sides. If you’re looking for some extra-credit reading on gerrymandering, check out this or this story.


Back to school! Hit the books.

What makes a student love their alma mater? Feeling like a professor “cares about people like you”--almost like in politics. And hit the tablets, or something.

Gallup - Alumni Giving Pew - Reading


2016: Unskew this podcast

Tuesday wasn’t any ordinary day. It was a day with a lot of new, sometimes divergent, polling. We try to figure out what’s going on.

Huffpost Pollster - 2016 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton Huffpost Pollster - 2016 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson CNN/ORC @Pretefunkera tweet Washington Post/Survey Monkey


Everyone is miserable

Is the campaign still getting you down? We feel you. But have you made a headline juicier than your data suggests? Well, we’re going to call you out then.

Pew - Which candidate they’re against Gallup - GOP which candidate would be good president Ipsos/The Guardian


Polling among Latinos

Lots of new polling among Latinos--are there real differences at work, or differences in methodology?

Latino Decisions Gallup - Clinton Hispanic Advantage Smaller Among U.S-born Hispanics Washington Post on Latinos Huffpost Pollster - 2016 Florida President: Trump vs. Clinton Huffpost Pollster - 2016 Nevada President: Trump vs. Clinton Washington Post/ABC Poll


Is it too late to change our show name to “These Two Hens”?

Spoiler: yes.

The Guardian - Baby names


Key findings:

Pollster culture very dominant. It's causing problems. If you don't do something about it, there will be pollsters on every corner. Which, for a lot of people, might be an improvement over following this election. If you really need a break--hit the books, or hit the tablet. Not such a catchy name. But you know what is a catchy name? The Pollsters, and we don’t regret it one bit.
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