The Pollsters

The Pollsters

United States

Explore what America’s thinking with two of the country’s leading pollsters--the bipartisan team of Democrat Margie Omero and Republican Kristen Soltis Anderson. In this weekly podcast we take a fresh, friendly look at the numbers driving the week’s biggest stories in news, politics, tech, entertainment and pop culture. Along with the occasional interview with pollsters, journalists, and other industry leaders, we'll lift the hood on the numbers revealing the hidden secrets of the public’s mind.


#103: Kyley McGeeney's pollster secrets revealed!  

Kyley is PSB's methodologist & a Michelin restaurant enthusiast. And she's not neutral about "neutral" answer categories, online survey formatting, or complicated scales. This stuff matters! And Kyley makes it fun.

#102: We send Morning Consult a valentine  

This is a safe space for a small amount of non-Trump news. Don't forget to follow us @thepollsters @margieomero @ksoltisanderson. We write back! (sometimes.) Poll of week Business Wire: Lightheartedness named the key to Super Bowl LI advertising success Trump approval tracking Huffington Pollster: Trump job approval THE HILL: Trump administration seen as more truthful than the media Harvard IOP: Young Republicans hopeful and young Democrats fearful after inauguration Issues New York Times: One-third don’t know Obamacare and Affordable Care Act are the same Washington Post: More Democrats are familiar with Stephen Bannon than Charles Schumer POLITICO: National tracking polls Feb. 02-04 Gallup: Support for Gorsuch lower than other recent court picks Morning Consult: Democratic base mostly fine with blocking all things Trump THE HILL: ‘Any negative polls are fake news’ - Trump Morning Consult: Trump’s approval rating slides despite support for travel ban POLITICO: Polls fuel both sides in travel ban fight French election polling Reuters: Poll shows Le Pen losing French presidential runoff Reuters: France's Macron seen beating Le Pen INDEPENDENT: Most Europeans want immigration ban from Muslim-majority countries Close PRNewswire: Women in relationships couldn't care less about Valentine's Day

#101: Slow Down, You Move Too Fast (2/2/17)  

Get a discount at Mack Weldon here: with the promo code POLLSTERS. Who doesn't like discounts? Follow us! or We’re also @margieomero @ksoltisanderson on Twitter. And below is a list of the polls we cite this week. Poll of the Week Pew: Most Americans support childhood vaccines Trump: Favorability and approval Huffpost Pollster: Trump’s job approval Huffpost Pollster: Trump’s favorability Public Policy Polling: Voters already want Obama back (also, opinions on the travel ban) Washington Post: Democratic women are ramping up activism SurveyMonkey: Americans already split about Trump’s performance New York Times: Why Republicans will “stick with Trump” Huffpost Pollster: Republicans are skeptical of media covering Trump POLITICO: Opinions on voter fraud and the executive orders Morning Consult: Poll - If there was fraud, Trump was helped the most Views toward Trump so far: keeping promises, etc. Gallup: Of Trump’s promises, people care most about infrastructure spending Huffington Post: Taking Trump literally Quinnipiac: Travel ban and immigration Rasmussen Reports: Most in favor of a temporary refugee ban Huffington Post/YouGov: Travel ban Huffington Post/YouGov: Immigration ban (topline) Ipsos/Reuters: Poll on immigration ban and refugees Gallup: Americans’ opinions on accepting refugees throughout history Pew: Religion and its role in national identity POLITICO: Voters support Roe v. Wade and Planned Parenthood funding Super Bowl WalletHub: Super Bowl facts PPRI: One in four say God decides who wins the Super Bowl Forbes: The Super Bowl should be streamed online and in virtual reality Public Policy Polling: A shared hatred of the Patriots

#100: We're going to make it after all (maybe?!?)  (1/26/17)  

Get a discount at Mack Weldon here: with the promo code POLLSTERS. Who doesn't like discounts? Follow us! or We’re also @margieomero @ksoltisanderson on Twitter. And below is a list of the polls we cite this week. POLITICO/Morning Consult: Melania and Ivanka are well-liked Gallup: First Lady ratings over the years Inauguration Reactions POLITICO/Morning Consult: Voters liked the Inaugural Address Huffington Post/YouGov: Most don’t believe there were “record crowds” at the Inauguration Huffington Post/YouGov: Most who saw the Inaugural Address thought it was good Morning Consult: Republicans think the Inauguration was bigger than the Women’s March Gallup: New low for Inaugural approval Huffington Post: Donald Trump is starting with record-high disapproval Policy Priorities and Voter Expectations Pew: Americans don’t expect political divisions to heal in 2017 Gallup: Will we be better off in 2020? Pew: Americans think wealthy will gain influence under Trump Pew: Despite big changes in D.C., the public’s policy priorities haven’t changed much The Resistance Los Angeles Times - Reuters/Ipsos: A third of Californians support secession Oscars Season Hollywood Reporter: Which movie should win Best Picture? Variety: Most shocking Oscars snubs

#99: Turn & Face The Strange  

Check out our sponsors. Get your free trial from Zip Recruiter here: and hear about the clothes we ordered for our husbands at Follow us--we even respond sometimes. or We’re also @margieomero @ksoltisanderson on Twitter. And below is a list of the polls we cite this week. Poll of the Week NYT: Republican men say it’s a better time to be a woman than a man Obama’s Legacy Huffington Post: Obama’s job approval Gallup: Americans say history’s view of Obama presidency will be more kind than unkind Gallup: Personal satisfaction bounces back Huffington Post: Americans like Obama’s legacy, but may also want a new direction Making history, of a kind: Politico: Polls show Trump’s approval is historically low CBS: More Americans disapprove of Trump’s handling of the transition CNN: Confidence drops in Trump transition The Washington Post/ABC News: January 12-15, 2017 Poll Pew: Concerns over Trump’s transparency Pew: ISIS, Cyberattacks and North Korea biggest threats as Trump presidency starts ABC News/The Washington Post: Trump’s handling of Russia & the ACA Maybe it's the issues? NBC/WSJ: ACA reaches record high approval as Obama exits Politico/Harvard: Expectations for Trump’s first 100 days The Washington Post: Trump is off to a rocky start Ipsos/Reuters: Americans want strong environmental regulations from EPA Huffington Post: Trump supporters have his back, even against fellow Republicans Which of these travel jerks are you? Expedia: Seat-kickers are enemy #1 on planes

#98: From Bump To Slump (1/11/17)  

Surprise! We have a sponsor! Get a free trial from Zip Recruiter here: Follow us--we even respond sometimes. or We’re also @margieomero @ksoltisanderson on Twitter. And below is a list of the polls we cite this week. Polls of the Week Civis Analytics & PSB Research: Most moviegoers unfavorable toward Trump The Sessions Sessions The Economist/YouGov: Sessions’ November favorability numbers The Economist/YouGov: Basic info on Jefferson Sessions Obama’s legacy Gallup: Ground gained and lost under Obama Gallup: Americans still see big government as the biggest threat Mark Blumenthal for SurveyMonkey: Obama’s ends with high approval, but polarity persists Trump’s tough week Quinnipiac: Voters approve of Obama, disapprove of Trump Obamacare GS Strategy Group/American Action Network: Most Americans want Obamacare repealed or overhauled Kaiser Family Foundation: Most say don’t repeal or provide replacement details Morning Consult/POLITICO: National tracking poll on Obamacare Disconnect between police and public Washington Post: Report on police and public attitudes Pew: Behind the Badge Books vs iPhones: who will win? Gallup: Books are still holding on! 9to5Mac: Which rumored iPhone features are most exciting? 9to5Mac: Flat or curved iPhone 8? Ebates: Video game hits and busts

#97: Take these polls and make them true somehow (1/5/17)  

Welcome back everyone! Kristen is well-rested, but Jet Lag Margie is on the loose. Find more polls at or We’re also @margieomero @ksoltisanderson on Twitter. Here are the polls we cite this week. “Polls” of the Week Mediaite: Who should replace Megyn Kelly? Marsha Blackburn’s Obamacare twitter poll backfires Carrie Fisher’s dog Gary could teach Marsha Blackburn about twitter polls 2016 in our rear-view mirror POLITICO/Morning Consult: Trump would barely beat Obama in a head-to-head race Pew: Democrats aren’t angry, they’re just disappointed HuffPost Pollster/YouGov: Trump voters think African Americans “less deserving” than average Can you handle it? Gallup: Americans not sure Trump can handle Presidential duties Ideological scramble Gallup: “Liberal” is in, “Moderate” is out Pew: Perceptions of Trump’s ideology Pew: Republicans increasingly skeptical of free trade The Huffington Post: Back in the USSR The Sun: UK poll remembers George Michael

#96: We're pulling a list & polling it twice  

(Recorded 12/20) Whaddya think of our snazzy new intro & outro? Follow us--we even respond sometimes! or We’re also @margieomero @ksoltisanderson on Twitter. And below is a list of the polls we cite this week. Polls of the week: Good news? Ipsos/DieHappy: What made Americans happy in 2016? Pew: The most impactful historical events PRRI/Atlantic: Almost one in five of Clinton voters’ husbands sat out the election Morning Consult/POLITICO: Little support for an Electoral College revolt Forbes: Post-election, Trump brand gets a little boost among the wealthy NBC/Wall Street Journal: What kind of change will Trump bring? PRRI: War on Christmas?

#95: The gift of polling that keeps on giving  

Welcome new listeners! Get excited about our new partnership with Westwood One. Follow us--we even respond sometimes! or We’re also @margieomero @ksoltisanderson on Twitter. And below is a list of the polls we cite this week. Poll of the Week - Echelon Insights: Trump vs. Kanye The Washington Post: Shy Trumpers? Public Policy Polling: Employment, Electoral College, and counting California votes CBS News: What kind of President will Donald Trump be? POLITICO: Democrats aren’t warming to Trump Gallup: Trump’s transition McClatchy-Marist: Trump in transition YouGov: Republicans growing fonder of Wikileaks, Russia, Putin Ipsos MORI: U.S. scores high on the “Index of Ignorance” Morning Consult: Most think Medicare should continue as-is Kaiser Family Foundation: Divided America would pick and choose parts of ACA Gallup: The role of government in health insurance Gallup: Personal versus national health care Gallup: Dissatisfaction with healthcare costs Regifting, from, uh, Creditdonkey

#94: Trump gets a bounce  

Did you hear our interview with Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio & Clinton pollster Joel Benenson? You’re going to want to take a listen. It’s one of our favorite episodes so far. Poll of the Week: We’ve hit peak pollsters The Pollsters talk about the polling on polling. Huffington Post on Trump voters Ipsos poll on pollsters’ distrust Everybody (well, half of everybody) Loves A Winner Even Trump gets a post-win bounce. Huffington Post on Trump’s favorability Morning Consult on Trump’s favorability Gallup poll on president-elect’s favorability Post-Fact Universe The true polling about post-facts Pew Research on pollsters and press evaluation Buzzfeed News on fake news Morning Consult on credible media outlets Electoral College Gallup poll on the rise of support for the Electoral College Carrier and the Free Market Politico on Trump’s Carrier deal YouGov poll on Trump’s Carrier deal Donald Trump’s Businesses Conflicts are complicated. Bloomberg on Trump’s businesses Tweeter In Chief Is there a secret high-level Twitter Anonymous meeting out there that Kristen can go to? Politico on Trump’s use of Twitter We Love International Elections! International Business Times on France 2017 election International Business Times on Italy referendum Reuters on Italy referendum Quartz on Italy referendum Bloomberg on Italy referendum results Financial Times on Austria presidential election CNN on Austria election Pew Research on Europe’s future Polling on Santa Margie explains to Kristen the joys of the creepy Santa photo Ipsos polling on Santa Key findings: Here’s a real news story: With multiple polls about pollsters, we’ve hit peak pollsters. Although no one seems to be getting an A for effort. People are still working out the kinks about how to test Trump’s conflicts of interest . And if it’s hard to explain in a question, then, ah, well, i’m sure it’ll be fine. Meanwhile The pollsters transition team is in full force. We’ve put all our podcast revenue so far into a blind trust handled by my 1.5 year old. The downside is he sits in on all my meetings & is an obnoxious tweeter. Meanwhile, while people continue feel our country is off on the wrong track. AND more say belief in santa is decreasing? Correlation? Causation? You tell us! Don't forget to follow us on Twitter and Facebook!

#93: The Pollsters @ Harvard with Joel Benenson & Tony Fabrizio  

Kristen & Margie are back! We went up to Harvard's IOP Campaign Manager Summit.  While you may have heard about some testy conversations, our pollster summit with Clinton pollster Joel Benenson & Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio was friendly and informative. What kinds of questions did they ask? Were they surprised? How have their years in the trenches prepared them for this race? Listen to our live show  & hear about our new big announcement!

#92: Give thanks for KSA on the mic!  

Margie's still detoxing, but Kristen's got thoughts. Take a listen. And we'll have a live show from Harvard next week!

#91: Maybe polling does take a holiday? (Vacation announcement)  

Maybe polling does take a holiday? Margie's detoxing too hard to get a good consistent connection, so stay tuned for Plan B. 

#90: Uh, surprise?!  

We don't have any shownotes. Or a script! We just have some theories about what happened in the race, what happened in the polls, and then some jokes. Because, beer. 

#89: Buckle up!  

We’ve been a lot of places--if we spent any more time together this week we would’ve had to give each other candy.


Poll of the Week

Can Ivanka’s brand withstand Hurricane Trump?

Fortune: Women won’t buy Ivanka Trump shoes  

What is happening out there?!

The race is tightening. Or is it?

Real Clear Politics: YouGov’s Doug Rivers and Benjamin Lauderdale on Phantom Swings NBC/Survey Monkey: Post-Comey letter polling Morning Consult: Post-Comey letter polling Morning Consult: Polls unaffected by reopening of email case ABC/Washington Post: Trump creating more enthusiasm among early voters NYT Upshot: Where the handicappers are  

Early Voting

Early voting seems to be benefit Clinton. But will that advantage last?

CNN: Early voting tallies in FL, AZ, OH Florida Division of Elections: More early voting tallies in FL Nevada Secretary of State: Early voting tallies in NV  

Just a little respect

Hats, swag, angry pollsters, angry neighbors. Just a wonderful time to be alive.

Pew: Hillary supporters have a “hard time” respecting Trump voters Washington Post: Trump has spent more on hats than polling Washington Post: Trump hasn’t paid his pollster PSB Research: Who is reaching voters and how?  

Key findings:

We’re in the final countdown. Pick up some stickers & yard signs, do some GOTV & don’t obsess talking about the polls. Oh wait, that was just a note Margie wrote to herself. Thanks everyone for an incredible year and a half of The Pollsters! We love you guys & gals, and glad you’ve enjoyed our regular polling deep dive & bad jokes.  
#88i: Mark Blumenthal from Survey Monkey is our Justin Timberlake  

This week we talk to The Pollsters' version of SNL's Justin Timberlake or Tom Hanks: Survey Monkey's Mark Blumenthal! He updates us on all thinks Monkey.


The Survey Monkey map The Survey Monkey Blog Mark's piece on likely voter modeling More on Survey Monkey's methodology Follow Mark on Twitter
#88: Our Senate-sational Special  

It’s your lucky day! We’re doing a special Monday episode since we may not be able to find time later in the week. So check out our Senate-sational special!  Aldo, don't orget  to follow @margieomero & the #walmartmoms hashtag for groups Tuesday night.


Poll of the week

Is Trump just making excuses, or might the election be rigged? A new ABC poll finds yet another big party divide.

ABC News poll on Clinton’s double-digit lead


The senate!

The Upshot compares all the the handicappers and forecasters into one giant clip-n-save, or click-n-spin.

NBC/WSJ poll on congressional preferences The upshot on Senate election forecast The New York Times on Senate election poll



The New York Times on Pennsylvania Senate race Politico on Pennsylvania Senate race The New York Times endorsement of Katie McGinty



The New York Times on Indiana Senate race Politico on Evan Bayh’s Collapse Associated Press on Bayh and job hunt Politico on Bayh’s Indiana address


New  Hampshire

The New York Times on New Hampshire Senate race Politico on New Hampshire Senate race


North carolina

The New York Times on North Carolina Senate race Politico on North Carolina Senate race



The New York Times on Missouri Senate race Politico on Missouri Senate race



The New York Times on Nevada Senate race Politico on Nevada Senate race



The New York Times on Florida Senate race


We’ve got issues

Gallup poll on candidates and key issues Pew Research Center on spouse’s preferences  


Key Findings

It’s never too early to prepare for your next campaign, folks. The trump effect downticket may not be as big as people think. But it’s definitely not helping. And if you’re not feeling like you hear enough about the issues, call your spouse.

#87: Nasty Woman vs One Bad Hombre  

The “Nasty Woman” vs. the “Bad Hombre.” Kristen & Marge are on west coast time. Now who’s the puppet!?


Poll of the week

It turns out you are entitled to your own facts. On that we agree, it seems.

Pew Research Center on candidates and facts  


The debates! They’re over!

We made it through the final debate. So, uh, anything change?

Pew Research center on fact checking CNN/ORC post-debate poll


Are you being rigged?

Yikes! Will people trust the polling results?

Morning Consult on rigging concerns


To Russia, with Love

Changing views toward Russia among the GOP? What would Reagan say?

Morning Consult/Politico poll on Russia


Tale of the tapes. Again

Huffington Post on sexual assault Gallup poll on sexual assault NBC/SurveyMonkey poll on Trump’s respect for women Washington Post/ABC News poll on Trump’s treatment of women PRRI on imorality and professionalism


If kids could vote

USA Today on Children’s presidential pick Sesame Street poll on Kindness and kids


Key findings:

We’re almost there everyone! Surely we can at least agree on how many days are left till the election? (fact check: yes!) Is it okay to call someone nasty, or a bad hombre? Or to shout wrong at someone who isn’t wrong? What if you disagree with them on tax policy? (fact check: no!) Is it okay to fantasize about being in a pre-school election, or to daydream about what shows you’re going to binge watch after the election? (fact check: yes!)
#86: Stress polling & stress eating  

Well it's pretty crazy out there. Hold onto your crosstabs everyone. And don't forget you can see Margie in LA on 10/20 at the Ace Hotel with the fine folks at KCRW's Left Right & Center. Check it out here.


Poll of the Week

There's a reason we're going to focus on the tapes & the debate--it's one of the biggest news stories this year.

Politico/Morning Consult National Poll


October Surprises

The post-debate polling is bleak for Trump, but  not quite as volatile as the news. Maybe.

Brietbart on post debate poll CNN/ORC poll on the second debate NBC SurveyMonkey poll on the the second debate NBC/WSJ poll on Trump’s tape Politico/Morning Consult on Trump’s tape Huffington Post/HuffPost Pollster on trump’s respect for women SurveyMonkey on Trump’s tapes The Atlantic on Trump and female voters Reuters/Ipsos Poll on Clinton’s marriage FiveThirtyEight poll on gender gap YouGov/Economist Poll on gender gap NBC/WSJ poll on GOP’s action on Trump Politico/Morning Consult on GOP’s action on Trump Morning Consult on Trump’s loyal supporters



Mmm. McMuffins. Kristen's Muffin-map is driving Twitter crazy.

Deseret news/Y2 Analytics poll on McMullin


Are you going crazy?

You're not the only one feeling stressed out about this election. But are you the only one who believes a conspiracy theory?

Washington Post on unproven rumors Washington Post on perceived partisan biases Politico on Trump’s mental health toll NYT Upshot: Your therapist may lean blue


Candy binge

In times like these, we turn to candy.

Influenster: each state’s Halloween favorite


Key Findings

Let’s not get the message muddled here. The tapes are not about cursing, but about assault. That could explain some of the differences in results we’re seeing. And while the impact on the race is clear--the impact on the GOP’s fortunes...too soon to say. News is moving faster than public opinion, and public opinion moving faster than pollsters. Is the election giving you stress? Are you binge eating candy and McMuffins? Talk to the pollsters. Tell us how that makes you feel.
#85: The Taxman Cometh  

Hey we’re on Spotify now! Go check us out. Like ABC/This Week on Facebook so you can see our (mostly) weekly Facebook Live videos. And have you checked out our new website yet?


Poll of the Week: Do you need an information diet

Clay Johnson, call your office.

NORC on news consumption


The Taxman is coming, just not for Donald Trump

People care about Trump’s tax returns. But will it change their vote?

SurveyMonkey on tax returns Quinnipiac on tax returns YouGov/Economist on top news stories


Return of the TV dads

Dads square off, probably not changing the race much.

ABC/SSRS on VP candidates NBC/SurveyMonkey on VP candidates CBS on Luntz focus group CNN focus group in Richmond CNN/ORC Instant poll Swing kittens say meow


The forecast is bleak, and we’re talking Donald, not Matthew

Huffington Post has a new forecast

Huffington Post forecast Huffington Post methodology Slate collection of forecasts


While the climate is, partisan

Pew reveals major party differences in views toward climate change. Kristen sees, uh, a silver lining.

Pew on Climate Change


Here’s something really scary

Get ready for Halloween folks! Basically that means dressing like a superhero.

NRF on Halloween costumes NRF on Halloween spending


Key Findings

People are looking for more information sources about buying stuff than about politics. And that’s even before last night’s rockin’ VP debate! Even a bunch of kittens could tell you that Clinton’s had a post-debate bounce. The candidates may not be talking much about climate change, but don’t worry, there are still deep partisan divides anyway. You know what’s really scary? That political costumes are going to be pretty popular this year.
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