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The Latest World Population Facts and Figures Were Just Released  
Pop Quiz: do you know how many people are in the world right now?    The answer is 7.6 billion.    That data point and much more are contained in a report called "World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision," which was recently published by the UN. The report contains all sorts of facts and figures that are both interesting on its own, but also extremely consequential to understanding the future of our species in a very literal sense.    On the line with me to talk through some of the demographic trends of the world's population, is John Wilmoth, Director of the Population Division at the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs. We discuss the trajectory of the world's population including where the big population centers of the future will be. We also have a fascinating conversation about the relationship between contraception, child survival and population growth and why, from a policy perspective one of the more useful things you can know is the age distribution of a population -- and here, Europe and Africa represent two extremes that we discuss at length.    I promise after listening to this interview you will about the world demographics and why it matters.   Leave a review on iTunes! 

 

You can EMAIL Mark by clicking here. 

 

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Bonus episodes for premium subscribers include:

#1: International Relations Theory, explained.

#2: A Brief History of Nuclear Non-proliferation

#3: A Brief History of NATO

#4: The Syrian Civil War, explained. 

#5: Meet the Kim family of North Korea.

#6: Better Know Vladimir Putin

#7: How to Get a Job at the United Nations   #8: How to Pick the Right International Relations Graduate School 
Expect to Get Way More than You Can Handle  

Anna's neighborhood was hit by a tornado and it pushes her to the limit (actually, the tornado was bad, but sharing a studio hotel room with her two small children is was did her in). God never says we won't get more than we can handle in this life, but he does promise to give us the strength and patience to survive all temptations and trial. This week we focus on 1 Corinthians 10:13: No temptation [regardless of its source] has overtaken or enticed you that is not common to human experience [nor is any temptation unusual or beyond human resistance]; but God is faithful [to His word—He is compassionate and trustworthy], and He will not let you be tempted beyond your ability [to resist], but along with the temptation He [has in the past and is now and] will [always] provide the way out as well, so that you will be able to endure it [without yielding, and will overcome temptation with joy]. Also, a special thank you to our sponsor BarkBox! Dog owners, tell me you know about BarkBox. What is it? Well, let me tell you. For humans, BarkBox is a delivery of 4 to 6 natural treats and super fun toys. To get a FREE EXTRA MONTH of Barkbox, visit barkbox.com/ASshow when you subscribe to 6 or 12 month plan! Your dogs can thank us later.

180 grados - Feliz Día de la Música - 21/06/17  

En Radio 3, no nos cansamos de decirlo, celebramos la música a diario y lo hacemos desde la honestidad más absoluta. Aquí manda el corazón y hoy, por supuesto, también: ¡Feliz Día de la Música!

THE XX - On Hold, ARCADE FIRE - Everything Now, ELYELLA - Magic, AMATRIA - Animal, KASABIAN - Bless This Acid House, BNQT - Restart, LCD SOUNDSYSTEM - Call The Police, ALUMNOS DE LA ESCUELA MODERNA DE MÚSICA CIUDAD REAL - A Dónde Ir (VIVA SUECIA), ELECTRIC NANA - High, VITALIC - Waiting For The Stars, Noticias con Leyre Guerrero: SLOW DIVE - Sugar For The Pill, FATHER JOHN MISTY - Total Entertainment Forever, RUFUS T FIREFLY - Río Wolf, CHRIS CORNELL - The Promise


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What lies ahead for AR  

Matt Miesnieks, creator of one of the first augmented reality apps and co-founder of startup 6D, tells the FT's Tim Bradshaw about the technological advances that make AR possible, and what needs to happen if it is to fulfill its promise.

Episode 20: Better Call Saul Finale, GLOW, Preacher & more  

Alan and Brian could have devoted an entire episode to discussing the Better Call Saul finale, but they had a lot of other things on their mind, including a new Netflix comedy both loved, a returning AMC drama they're split on, spoilers for another prestige cable finale, plus their very different emotional states as they prepare for the NBA Draft. That last segment comes after some very in-depth Saul discussion. We promise! 01:24-09:20 GLOW 09:21-18:30 Preacher season 2 18:31-29:36 American Gods finale spoilers 29:37-01:12:15 Better Call Saul finale spoilers 01:13:13-01:29:16 NBA Draft talk

06/20/2017: A very important 17 percent of the economy  

We know about as much about Senate Republicans' plan to repeal and replace Obamacare as we did yesterday — pretty much nothing, except that we might be able to see the secret bill Thursday. That's a lot of uncertainty around a plan to rework 17 percent of the economy. So in the meantime let's talk about that number. Where'd it come from? Then, as we continue on series "The Big Promise," we'll look at one problem facing rural Pennsylvanians President Trump hasn't talked much about: the digital divide. The lack of high-speed internet means video rental stores still clean up and some business owners have to rely on expensive data plans to get connected. Plus, it's a perennial question that pops up this time of year: Why aren't Americans taking vacations?

Are Our Branches All Broken? The Cosby and Castile Verdicts, and the Super Secret Senate Health Care Law  

Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images News / Getty Images

Senate Republicans say they’re going to fix the health care system by July 4th, but they won’t say how. A jury couldn’t convict Bill Cosby or the officer who shot Philander Castile, and we’re wondering about the effectiveness of all three branches of government. 

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Thanks to our sponsors for this episode: 

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The Pearls

We discuss the verdict in the Philando Castile murder trial and the hung jury in Bill Cosby's case. We're wondering how much the near universal outcry regarding the Castile verdict is influenced by the gun industry, and we're struggling with the Cosby jury's inability to reach a unanimous verdict. Should the standard for convicting a police officer be so high? What about the standard for sexual assault convictions? We also briefly discuss Michelle Carter's conviction for texting encouragement for her boyfriend's suicide. 

Beth compliments Senator Claire McCaskill for taking her colleagues to task on the health care law. Sarah compliments President Trump for his DACA announcement. 

The Suit

We discuss the process by which Senate Republicans are secretly drafting health care legislation (see Sarah Kliff's reporting on this and her guest appearance Pod Save America). The AHCA continues to be extraordinarily unpopular. Even fellow Republicans are frustrated by the process of drafting an alternative. Governors and most constituents are urging Senators to rethink the bill, and we are aghast at the process of drafting this legislation in secret then attempting to ram it through the Senate through the reconciliation process. Even Republicans who are close to the process can't describe what the policy objectives are. 

We also discuss Steve Hilton's interview on Freakonmoics and the lack of innovation in government and how that's evident in this process. We also come back to an issue we always discuss with regards to health care, which is costs and a great article from the Atlantic on where much of that spending goes. 

The Heels

Sarah talks about Sklar Body, a new perfume she's loving, and Beth discusses Leah Remini's Scientology and The Aftermath and we talk about Going Clear.

On Trump's Cuba policy and the future of U.S.-Cuba relations  

Ted Piccone, senior fellow in the Project on International Order and Strategy and Latin America Initiative in the Foreign Policy program, reflects on Trump's promise of a 'tougher' Cuba policy and its impact on business, Cuban sovereignty, and travel restrictions following Trump's speech in Miami.

Subscribe to Brookings podcasts here or on iTunes, send feedback email to bcp@brookings.edu, and follow us and tweet us at @policypodcasts on Twitter.

5 on 45 is part of the Brookings Podcast Network.

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Preparation for Glory, Part 1  

The promise of Christianity is that one day we’ll go to spend eternity in glory with Jesus Christ. But Tony Evans says we’re already making that journey and Monday on The Alternative, he’ll talk about the preparations we should be making along the way.

Rise of the machines: who is the ‘internet of things’ good for? – podcast  

Interconnected technology is now an inescapable reality – ordering our groceries, monitoring our cities and sucking up vast amounts of data along the way. The promise is that it will benefit us all – but how can it? • Read the text version here

Property Expert Michael Matusik Talks 3 Areas Tipped to Grow That Most Investors Haven't Heard of!  

In this week's episode, we've got Michael Matusik, property expert! Michael's had almost three decades of experience. We talk property outlook, look at the Brisbane market, and the wider South East Queensland market along with interest rates and where they're headed. Finishing off with how investors can protect themselves from spruikers, with a special treat at the end.

If you enjoyed this episode make sure you leave a review on iTunes and say hey to us on Facebook!

 

Property outlook - there's always a lot happening in the market, let's start with Brisbane?

If you were to talk about an outlook, imagine the property clock. 12pm is the peak of the market, when things are really hot and property is selling fast, time on market is low. Then 6pm is not a good time, at the bottom of the market where things get stuck, 3pm is a downturn where things are slowing down and price falls then finally 9pm is a recovering phase. Brisbane is currently in the recovery phase, it's showing time on market contracting, the driver behind that is interstate investing, but one of the things different to this cycle is the strengths of it, it's not as strong as it once was in the past and that's to do with employment growth, which isn't as high.

We have good affordability, it's better than Sydney and Melbourne but not as good as it once was. There is some constraint on the ability for locals to pay. It should remain in a recovery phase for the next 12 to 18 months maybe a bit longer.

 

So you're seeing an increased driver from investors in Sydney and Melbourne coming to Brisbane?

Some of the drivers for the southern investors is the promise they've been told as to what will happen. There has been a past trend where Sydney and Melbourne actually improve and you see how prices of houses and apartments improve in South East Queensland at the same time. This time they're not as strong, but they've been promised this growth. The next thing is affordability as $900k doesn't get you much in Sydney, but in Brisbane, $450k buys you a two bed and two bath townhouse in the Ipswich and Moreton Bay areas. So investors realise they can buy two properties for the price of one and the yields are at 4 - 6% whereas in Sydney they're at about 2%. In many cases, in Brisbane people are looking to purchase for a yield rather than anything else.

  Something that gets a bit glossed over is wider South East Queensland, let's talk about Ipswich.  What's the outlook for that?

A couple of important things, when we look at regional markets - we break South East Queensland in up to 10 to 12 areas. Just like the West in both Sydney and Melbourne - Ipswich will become something like Parramatta. It is merging to be like Parramatta and one of the major drivers behind people investing in Ipswich are jobs - it's likely to create a lot more jobs in the future due to where industrial land is created along with its proximity. It is between Brisbane and the Gold Coast and is a funnel through to Regional QLD with areas that have minimal resources. It's got pretty good road and railway infrastructure too.

There are some issues with traffic but they're not as bad as Sydney or Melbourne. So Ipswich is expected to create a lot of new jobs, which will be local. People living and renting there won't need to commute to Brisbane for work. It's a major growth market in terms of population and land supply, anyone buying there needs to take a longer-term view.

You can buy house and land packages for under $400k, some cases under $300k. Sometimes you can buy quite well for older homes. Some of them might be 50+ years old, and new estates that are certain products can be great value. By that, I mean multigenerational homes where two generations can live on the same property.

A multigenerational home is when homes have the back with its own kitchen and bathroom area, and it might be a four bedroom with two kitchens. That allows the market to have several tenants and on resale that an owner-occupier is likely to buy it as it allows the mother-in-law or adult child to live with them. One in five households in Australia is multigenerational. So buying something like that is a wiser thing to do in those outer lying areas. Developers are starting to deliver this type of product and they show 7-8% yields.

 

What about Logan? Any opportunities moving forward?

Logan is an opportunity market as well, there's a lot of new land supply and the underlying demand for Logan isn't as strong. Its employment generation opportunities are limited. Investing in Logan you may have a government tenant, if you have the mindset that money is money and you're buying at a certain price point and profile, then this sort of market might have some appeal. There's upside in both markets, probably Logan is more cyclical looking forward and will bounce around. Whether Ipswich will be more steady.

 

What about multigenerational housing - where are other opportunities for this?

One of the things that is frustrating in Australia is that there isn't one uniform housing policy to do with compromised housing and allowing/encouraging more people to share homes either by that multigenerational model or duplexes.

The reason I emphasise this is because it may change. What you can do in Logan and even the Sunshine Coast, you can't do in Brisbane. The Building code is restrictive.

Right now there are opportunities on the Sunshine Coast - north of the Maroochy River where there's no land supply left.

It is forecasted that people will go back to what they used to do where lots of people live in one house due to wages not going up and cost of living expenses rising. So this is one market, then you've got is larger families and a change in overseas migration mix. You could say there are two types of tenants in this category, and for the multigenerational Australia - these types of homes are undersupplied for the amount of demand. So for investors, there is one where the demand is likely to exceed the supply in 5 - 10 years, which will confirm price growth on these.

 

For investors, costs are an important piece of the equation. So let's talk about interest rates?

I believe that interest rates will rise, we use a yield curve to predict it and at the moment a 0.5% difference between the two is a neutral policy. Go back 20 years you can see where interest rates fell, and at the moment it would indicate that interest rates are likely to rise. This may sound funny as we've just mentioned people having to spend more and retail getting tougher but it's to do with the cost of money and if the US continue to rise and Australia doesn't change, we will get a drop in the dollar and that will cause a spike. So, to keep things in equal we will see interest rates maybe in the next year or two rise.

Something my partner and I have done in the past is that we've always had a mindset that we may have to pay 50% more interest in a 5-year window. If you'repaying 4.5 - 5.5% you need to think you could be paying 6.5 - 7.5% in the future. We 're at the bottom of the cycle with interest rates. So plan ahead.

 

 

Back on interstate investors buying in South East Queensland, one thing I have seen - is where interstate investors come to Queensland and think it's cheap to buy a house and land package in Logan.  What are some ways our rentvestors can protect themselves from buying something just because it seems cheap and not necessarily a good investment?

This is really important. It's about the composition of the pricing rather than the price difference. First Sydney is over inflated, so the differences are huge.  So aside from the culture and lifestyle differences, the first thing to look at is rent - I would be hesitant to buy anything that is lower the 4 - 5% yield, but check for yourself. Don't listen to what the agents say, check on Domain or RealEstate. Look at the vacancy rate and what it's done over time.

The rental market is fluid, it can change month to month and just because you got an appraisal two months ago it can change quickly. Traditionally around June/July and at the beginning of the year, there isn't as much to rent. This is to do with student movements and other variables, so then there can be a tightness in the market and the rent return looks good.

SQM Research does a good job and gives you access to a free database over time to see how the stock has changed on the market.

 

About Matusik - Market Report Outlook

My firm is a small firm and I largely focus on Queensland and some degree Sydney and Melbourne. I give project and development advice. We break Brisbane City Council up into different areas and also have a capital cities outlook report.

One thing to keep in mind is if you're looking at spending money on a property, do your own research!

This report includes our unique twelve benchmark indicators that define the state of supply and demand in each city.  There is a clear logic behind our forecasts. In other words, you’ll find everything you need to know to assess those markets and to understand what’s really going on.

The report can be purchased here. Listeners will be able to purchase the report for $99+GST, down from the normal $175+GST by using the code REDANDCO – and download immediately.
I NEED R3HAB 247  

R3HAB – I NEED R3HAB 247 www.facebook.com/r3habofficial Tracklist: 01. Ella Vos – You Don’t Know About Me (R3hab Remix) 02. French Montana Feat. Swae Lee – Unforgettable (Jae 5 x J Hus Remix) 03. Galantis – Hunter (NGHTMRE & Rickyxsan Remix) [Atlantic] 04. Blinders – Molly [Protocol] 05. Feed Me – Crazy Maybe feat. Kill The Noise & Anjulie (Original Mix) [mau5trap] 06. Viceroy – Improvise feat. Tom Aspaul (Extended Mix) [Dim Mak] 07. OneRepublic – Lift Me Up (Michael Brun Remix) [Interscope] 08. Beatz Projekted & Mattjax – Caf Sax (Americano Mix) [Blue Forest] 09. Nicky Romero & NERVO – Like Home (Stadiumx Remix) [Protocol Recordings] 10. Tchami – Adieu (Chace Remix) ]confession] 11. James Hype ft. Kelli-Leigh – More Than Friends 12. J Licous – I Hear You Calling (Zonderling Extended Mix) 13. Flaremode – Cocobolo (Original Mix) [Illumination Records] 14. Mafia Kiss – Raise 15. Promise Land – Borderline [Spinnin’ Records] 16. Quintino – Rewind (Original Mix) [Spinnin’ Records] 17. R3hab & Skytech – Marrakech 18. Steve Aoki & R3hab – Flight (Original Mix) [Ultra]

Reinforcement Learning Deep Dive with Pieter Abbeel - TWiML Talk #28  

This week our guest is Pieter Abbeel, Assistant Professor at UC Berkeley, Research Scientist at OpenAI, and Cofounder of Gradescope. Pieter has an extensive background in AI research, going way back to his days as Andrew Ng’s first PhD student at Stanford. His research today is focused on deep learning for robotics. During this conversation, Pieter and I really dig into reinforcement learning, a technique for allowing robots (or AIs) to learn through their own trial and error. Nerd alert!! This conversation explores cutting edge research with one of the leading researchers in the field and, as a result, it gets pretty technical at times. I try to uplevel it when I can keep up myself, so hang in there. I promise that you’ll learn a ton if you keep with it. The notes for this show can be found at twimlai.com/talk/28

A Better You  

Many of us are lured by the promise of self-improvement, but find it hard to follow through. In our 100th episode, TED speakers reveal ways to discover our better selves, from simple hacks to deep introspection. TED speakers include entrepeneur Jia Jang, Headspace co-founder Andy Puddicombe, psychologist Emily Balcetis, technologist Matt Cutts, and New York Times columnist David Brooks.

626: Adam Braun | MissionU  

Adam Braun (@AdamBraun) is the founder of school-building Pencils of Promise and bestselling author of The Promise of a Pencil. He joins us to discuss his new project, MissionU, and how it aims to update higher education for the 21st century.

"Credential isn't nearly as important as competency." -Adam Braun

The Cheat Sheet: How and why is the education system in the US failing students? Why students are even less prepared for careers now than ever before. How MissionU protects its students from the crushing debt typically incurred by most college graduates. New methods and tracks of study that are more "futureproof" than others. How to think like an executive even if -- and especially -- it's your first year on the job. And so much more...

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Find out more about the team who makes The Art of Charm podcast here!

Show notes at https://theartofcharm.com/626/

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152: How to Build a Business You Care About More Than Paying Your Own Bills with Adam Braun of MissionU  

Getting rich is for amateurs. A real entrepreneur, one with serious guts and vision, wants to make the world a better place.

If that's you, it's time to enter the world of social enterprise—business that seeks to make both a profit and a positive impact, on anything from education to world hunger. This is a tall order, but it's possible and an increasingly popular form of entrepreneurship. So today's podcast is going to show you exactly how to make money, while also making a difference.

Unlike your traditional businesses, social enterprises have a much harder time securing funding and even staff. The legal frameworks and business models can also be much trickier. Lucky for us, we were able to sit down with Adam Braun, founder of Pencils of Promise and MissionU. He shared with us how he managed to raise over $50 million in contributions, build hundreds of schools, and grow a worldwide staff of more than 125 employees as a social enterprise.

As he turned 25, Braun only had $25 in his bank account, but was still determined to build a school for the less fortunate. Before crowdsourcing was even a thing, Braun turned to strangers to help him fund his first project. He used social media and event marketing to attract people to his cause, relying on influencer and word-of-mouth to secure the funding he needed.

"You start scrappy and understand that maybe one day you'll have the resources to hire full-time staff and work with capital at hand, but most people don't start that way, and I certainly didn't," Braun says.

Starting with this grassroots marketing strategy and an all-volunteer staff, he built Pencils of Promise into a huge success. Today, more than 400 schools have been built as a result, and Braun's turned his sights to education in the United States with his new project MissionU.

In this episode you'll learn:

How to use event marketing to build your brand and attract investors What makes a story "newsworthy" and how to use it to build an audience Braun's methodology for attracting A-players to work toward his vision Social media marketing tactics to reach your target audience without paid advertising The right way to go about asking for money, whether it's for crowdfunding or from investors & much more!
Your Private Data: Can Tech Companies Keep it from the Law?  

Motion: Tech Companies Should Be Required To Help Law Enforcement Execute Search Warrants To Access Customer Data

Do you have a secret that no one else knows?  What about Apple, Google, Facebook, Verizon, or Uber?  Are you sure they don’t know your secret?  Digital data – emails, text messages, phone records, location records, web searches – contain traces of almost every secret.  They also contain traces of almost every crime.  Tech companies may promise to protect our data from prying eyes.  But should that promise yield to law enforcement and national security? 

To support the show, visit http://smarturl.it/IQ2


Carrie & Tommy Catch Up #76 - Wednesday 14th June, 2017  

Tommy's fulfilled his promise to donate to Carrie's Beanies 4 Brain Cancer and give away 100 beanies to listeners!

Also, what do you put in your sandwich maker, Bickmore's Bits, office theft and more!

Israël dans le désert : le livre des Nombres et l'achèvement de la Torah (8/8) : Moïse conquérant? Et les filles de Celofehad.  

durée : 00:59:33 - Les cours du Collège de France - par : Merryl Moneghetti - Pourquoi Moïse ne peut-il entrer dans la terre promise? Quelle est sa relation avec Yahvé? Thomas Römer analyse quels sont les jeux subtils d’intertextualité entre le Livre des Nombres et l’Exode. Achevant sa lecture du cycle des révoltes dans le désert, il questionne l'actualisation de la loi. - réalisé par : Anne Sécheret

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