Episodes
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Time to introduce some more concepts. If an observation is "any data you can receive which affects your actions", then there seem to be two sorts of observations. A plannable observation is the sort of observation where you could plan ahead of time how to react to it. A unplanned observation is the sort which you can't (or didn't) write a lookup-table style policy for.
Put another way, if a policy tells you how to map histories of observations to actions, those "histories" are the plannables. However, to select that policy in the first place, over its competitors, you probably had to do some big computation to find some numbers like "expected utility if I prepare a sandwich when I'm in the kitchen but not hungry", or "the influence of my decisions in times of war on the probability of war in the first place", or "the probability [...]
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First published:
April 12th, 2024Source:
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https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/kjMLK83vqpuLugst4/udt1-01-plannable-and-unplanned-observations-3-10Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
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It is largely over.
The investigation into events has concluded, finding no wrongdoing anywhere.
The board has added four new board members, including Sam Altman. There will still be further additions.
Sam Altman now appears firmly back in control of OpenAI.
None of the new board members have been previously mentioned on this blog, or known to me at all.
They are mysteries with respect to AI. As far as I can tell, all three lack technical understanding of AI and have no known prior opinions or engagement on topics of AI, AGI and AI safety of any kind including existential risk.
Microsoft and investors indeed so far have came away without a seat. They also, however, lack known strong bonds to Altman, so this is not obviously a board fully under his control if there were to be another crisis. They now [...]
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Outline:
(02:34) The New Board
(11:27) The Investigation Probably Was Not Real
(19:09) The New York Times Leak and Gwern's Analysis of It
(30:29) What Do We Now Think Happened?
(36:51) Altman's Statement
(39:26) Helen Toner and Tasha McCauley's Statement
(40:44) The Case Against Altman
(47:48) The Case For Altman and What We Will Learn Next
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First published:
March 12th, 2024Source:
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https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/e5kLSeLJ8T5ddpe2X/openai-the-board-expandsNarrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
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Episodes manquant?
