Episodes
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US President Trump, when asked about the market response, said "now it settles in" and added he is open to negotiating if "other countries offer something phenomenal."Fed's Jefferson said there is no need to be in a hurry on policy adjustments, Cook said the Fed needs to be "patient but attentive".APAC stocks continued the sell-off after Wall Street experienced its worst session since 2020.DXY down to near 101.50, EUR held onto Thursday's strength, USD/JPY fell below 146.00 as haven flows resumed.Fixed benchmarks remained underpinned by the risk tone, crude subdued, and XAU rangeboundLooking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Orders, Swedish CPIF, US & Canadian Labour Market Reports, Moody's to review the EU's sovereign rating, Speakers including Fed’s Powell, Barr, Waller & ECB’s de Guindos.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.
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US President Trump unveiled individual reciprocal tariffs for each country which are essentially half of what countries were charging the US.The US is to apply a 20% tariff on imports from EU, 34% tariff on imports from China, 26% tariff on imports from India and 25% tariff on imports from South Korea.Trump also stated that the baseline tariff is 10% for all nations and announced 25% auto tariffs, while Canada and Mexico were not subject to reciprocal tariffs for now.Indices take a tumble after US tariffs slap sentiment; ES -3.5%DXY briefly dipped below 102.00 whilst EUR/USD sits above 1.10; havens bid.Yields wilt after Trump's Rose Garden speech, desks diverge on Fed implications.Industrial commodities sink amid growth woes and after with focus on a 54% cumulative levy on China.Looking ahead, US Weekly Claims, Challenger Layoffs & ISM Services, ECB Minutes, Speakers including Fed’s Cook, Jefferson, US VP Vance, US Commerce Secretary Lutnick, ECB’s Schnabel.
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Missing episodes?
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US President Trump unveiled individual reciprocal tariffs for each country which are essentially half of what countries were charging the US.The US is to apply a 20% tariff on imports from EU, 34% tariff on imports from China, 26% tariff on imports from India and 25% tariff on imports from South Korea.Trump also stated that the baseline tariff is 10% for all nations and announced 25% auto tariffs, while Canada and Mexico were not subject to reciprocal tariffs for now.US equity futures slumped in response to the tariff announcement (ES -2.6%, NQ -3.1%, RTY -3.9%). Europe is also marked lower with the Eurostoxx 50 future down 1.7%.USD is showing a mixed performance vs. peers but ultimately net lower (AUD, NZD weaker vs. the USD. JPY, EUR, GBP, CHF stronger).Global bond yields are lower with the inflation implications dwarfed by the mass risk-aversion in the market. Fed pricing looks for 82bps of easing by year-end vs. 76bps yesterday morning.Crude is lower as markets digest the global growth implications, whilst spot gold hit another record high.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss CPI, EZ Producer Prices, US Weekly Claims, Challenger Layoffs & ISM Services, ECB Minutes & BoE DMP, Speakers including Fed’s Cook, Jefferson, US VP Vance, US Commerce Secretary Lutnick, ECB’s Schnabel & de Guindos, Supply from Spain, France, UK & US.
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US "Liberation Day": US President Trump to announce reciprocal tariffs at 16:00EDT/21:00BST on Wednesday; US Commerce Secretary Lutnick speaks at 08:30EDT/13:30BSTUSTR has reportedly prepared "an across-the-board tariff on a subset of nations that likely would not be as high as the 20% universal tariff option", according to WSJ.Stocks move lower as markets await reciprocal tariff updates on “Liberation Day”.USD steady, Antipodeans outperform whilst Havens lag a touch.Bonds largely in a holding pattern as we await the Rose Garden speech.Crude is incrementally lower whilst spot gold prices remain underpinned by haven demand.Looking ahead, US ADP & Factory Orders, US Tariff Implementation Date, EU Defence Ministers Meeting, NBP Base Rate, ECB's Schnabel, Lane & Lagarde, Fed's Kugler & US President Trump.
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USTR has reportedly prepared "an across-the-board tariff on a subset of nations that likely would not be as high as the 20% universal tariff option", according to WSJ.APAC stocks were mostly positive but with the major indices stuck within narrow parameters on 'Liberation Day'.European equity futures indicate a marginally lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.3% after the cash market closed with gains of 1.4% on Tuesday.USD mixed vs. peers, antipodeans lead, JPY lags, EUR/USD failed to hold above 1.08.US President Trump believes Russian President Putin is stalling and the administration is eyeing aggressive sanctions enforcement, according to FoxLooking ahead, highlights include US ADP & Factory Orders, US Tariff Implementation Date, EU Defence Ministers Meeting, NBP Base Rate, RBA's Bullock, ECB's Schnabel, Lane & Lagarde, Fed's Kugler & US President Trump, Supply from the UK & Germany.
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US Treasury Secretary Bessent said President Trump will announce reciprocal tariffs at 15:00EDT/20:00BST on Wednesday.US President Trump says maybe Tuesday night or Wednesday you will see tariff details and we are going to be nice in comparison to other countries, adds in some cases maybe substantially lower.European bourses gain and reside near session highs whilst US futures trade modestly on either side of the unchanged mark.USD slightly lower but with price action fairly contained ahead of “Liberation Day”, EUR little moved by EZ HICP.Bonds bid into April 2nd but USTs and Bunds remain around/shy of Monday's peaks.Choppy trade for the crude complex, but base metals largely supported by Chinese Manufacturing PMI.Looking ahead, highlights include US ISM Manufacturing PMI & JOLTS, US Completion of the Trade Policy Review, Speakers including Fed’s Barkin, ECB’s Lagarde & Lane.
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US President Trump said we will see tariff details maybe Tuesday night or on Wednesday which are going to be nice in comparison to other countries and in some cases, they may be substantially lower.US President Trump is said to be still deciding which plan he will take for reciprocal tariffs and has been presented with "multiple" tariff plans, according to administration sources cited by FBN's LawrenceUS Treasury Secretary Bessent said President Trump will announce reciprocal tariffs at 15:00EDT/20:00BST on Wednesday.APAC stocks traded mostly higher as markets recovered from the recent sell-off and with sentiment helped by data releases although gains were capped as tariff uncertainty persists heading into April 2nd 'Liberation Day' reciprocal tariffs.RBA maintained the Cash Rate at 4.10% as unanimously forecast and provided little clues for future policy.European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.4% after the cash market closed with losses of 1.6% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ HICP (Flash), Unemployment, US ISM Manufacturing PMI & JOLTS, US Completion of the Trade Policy Review, Speakers including Fed’s Barkin, BoE's Greene, ECB’s Lagarde Lane & Cipollone, Supply from Germany.
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US President Trump is said to be pushing senior advisers to go bigger on tariff policy as they prepare for ‘Liberation Day’ on April 2nd; reportedly revived the idea of a flat universal tariff single rate on most imports.European bourses and US futures in the red given the above and into month & quarter end, Euro Stoxx 50 -1.5%, ES -1.0%; NQ -1.3% with NVDA pressured.DXY has been on either side of the unchanged mark throughout the morning, EUR and GBP flat/slightly softer while USD/JPY hit a 148.71 low as the Nikkei 225 entered correction territory.Fixed benchmarks bid on the broad risk tone, German State CPIs sparked a fleeing move lower into the mainland figure, JGBs slipped as the BoJ cut its bond purchase amounts.Crude firmer as geopolitical tensions outweigh the macro tone following reports around Trump on Iran, XAU at a fresh record high, base metals dented.US President Trump threatened to bomb Iran if a nuclear deal can't be reached, while he also warned of secondary tariffs on Russian oil.Looking ahead, highlights include US Chicago PMI & Trump's executive orders.Note: UK clocks changed from GMT to BST on Sunday which means the London to New York time gap returned to five hours.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.
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US President Trump is said to be pushing senior advisers to go bigger on tariff policy as they prepare for ‘Liberation Day’ on April 2nd; reportedly revived the idea of a flat universal tariff single rate on most imports.APAC stocks were pressured heading into month- and quarter-end amid tariff concerns as Trump's April 2nd Liberation Day drew closer.US President Trump threatened to bomb Iran if a nuclear deal can't be reached, while he also warned of secondary tariffs on Russian oil.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with EuroStoxx 50 futures down 0.8% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.9% on Friday.DXY is a touch softer, JPY outperforms on a safe-haven bid, EUR/USD sits on a 1.08 handle and antipodeans marginally lag.Looking ahead, highlights include German Retail Sales, Italian CPI (prelim.), German CPI (prelim.), US Chicago PMI.
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European bourses and US futures approach PCE in the red following the overnight tone and further risk aversion from earthquakes in MyanmarCanadian PM to speak with Trump today; EU has mentioned Apple, Meta and PayPal as part of any potential tariff responseDXY attempts to claw back Thursday's pressure and is firmer vs peers ex-JPY, which is the best performer after Tokyo CPIA firmer start for fixed benchmark ahead of US PCE and any tariff/trade developments, no move to the morning's prelim. HICP figuresCrude choppy, precious metals underpinned by the tone while base metals are lowerGeopolitics in focus amid updates on Panama, Ukraine minerals deal and further damage to the Sudzha stationLooking ahead, highlights include US PCE (Feb) & Consumption, Speakers including Fed’s Bostic, Barr & ECB’s de Guindos.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.
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APAC stocks were mostly pressured amid the ongoing themes of tariffs and growth concerns heading closer to next week's 'Liberation Day' and with markets also bracing for the latest US PCE Price Index.DXY traded rangebound after weakening yesterday, USD/JPY retreated beneath the 151.00 level amid the underperformance in Japanese stocks and after firmer-than-expected Tokyo CPI data.EU reportedly looks to hit big tech in a crackdown on US services exports, according to FT. EU is set to limit Apple (AAPL) and Meta (META) fines to avoid angering US President Trump, according to FT.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.3% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.6% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Q4 GDP & Retail Sales, German GfK Consumer Sentiment & Unemployment Rate, French & Spanish CPI, EZ Sentiment, US PCE (Feb) & Consumption, ECB SCE Speakers including Fed’s Bostic, Barr & ECB’s de Guindos, Supply from Italy.
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The US is to impose 25% tariffs on all cars made outside of the US effective on April 2ndTrump reiterated that reciprocal tariffs are also set for next week but stated they will be lenientUpdates which weigh on European equities with Auto names lagging, US futures mixed/firmerDXY mixed with GBP outperforming in an attempted recovery from Wednesday's action while JPY lagsEGBs and USTs diverge as they focus on growth and inflationary implications of the latest rhetoric respectivelyCrude benchmarks lower, TTF choppy, XAU gains and base metals slipLooking ahead, highlights include US GDP & PCE Final (Q4), Jobless Claims, Japanese Tokyo CPI, Banxico Policy Announcement, Speakers including BoEʼs Dhingra, Fedʼs Collins & Barkin, ECBʼs Schnabel, de Guindos & Lagarde, Supply from the USClick for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.
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APAC stocks were ultimately mixed with cautiousness seen after Trump's latest tariff salvoThe US is to impose 25% tariffs on all cars made outside of the US effective on April 2ndTrump reiterated that reciprocal tariffs are also set for next week but stated they will be lenientEuropean equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.5% after the cash market closed with losses of 1.2% on WednesdayDXY lower after yesterday's session of gains, EUR is firmer despite Trump tariff plans, GBP is attempting to nurse recent lossesUkraine and the US discussed a halt of strikes on civilian facilities, but the US did not get support on this from RussiaLooking ahead, highlights include US GDP & PCE Final (Q4), Jobless Claims, Japanese Tokyo CPI, Norges Bank & Banxico Policy Announcements, BoJ SOO, BoE’s Dhingra, Riksbank’s Bremen, Fed’s Collins & Barkin, ECB’s Schnabel, de Guindos & Lagarde, Norges Bank's Bache, Supply from UK & US
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Tariffs in focus amid reports that Trump could implement copper tariffs in weeks, elsewhere reports that Canada could find some reprieveEuropean bourses opened firmer but have since slumped, US futures are in the red but only modestly soGBP lags after UK CPI, EUR/USD attempts to reclaim 1.08, USD/JPY rebounded overnight but is off highsGilts gapped higher on data and extended but have retreated to opening levels into the Spring Statement, USTs softer while Bunds are firmer but only modestly soCrude continues to inch higher with a handful of factors underpinning, TTF slips as talks continue, Copper soared on tariff updates but has since pulled backLooking ahead, highlights include US Durable Goods, BoC Minutes, UK Spring Statement, Speakers include Fed’s Musalem, Kashkari & ECB’s Cipollone, Supply from the USClick for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.
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US President Trump said he has April 2nd tariffs set. Separately, reports that copper tariffs could be implemented in weeks.US stocks were mixed, European futures point to a mildly positive open. APAC trade mostly firmer but capped.DXY posts marginal gains, EUR/USD sub-1.08, USD/JPY gradually rebounded while AUD briefly slipped on CPI.USTs continue to pull back from Tuesday's best, Bunds subdued but off post-Ifo lows.Crude mildly underpinned, copper jumped on the tariff reports but is off best, XAU range bound.Looking ahead, highlights include UK CPI, US Durable Goods, BoC & Riksbank Minutes, UK Spring Statement, Speakers including Fed’s Musalem, Kashkari & ECB’s Cipollone from Italy, Germany & US, Earnings from Porsche SE & Dollar Tree.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.
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US President Trump sanctioned Venezuelan oil. Elsewhere, India has proposed the removal/reduction of tariffsEuropean bourses defied the lead from futures and opened in the green, US futures in the red but only modestly so and hold onto the bulk of Monday's gainsDXY steady throughout the morning but most recently at a session low to the benefit of peers across the board, EUR also aided by IfoFixed benchmarks in the red, weighed on by Ifo and supply; USTs await Fed speakCrude bid in an extension of Monday's action, TTF softer on Ukraine updates while Gold has inched to fresh highsLooking ahead, highlights include US Richmond Fed Index, Consumer Confidence, Japanese Services PPI, Speakers including Fedʼs Williams & Kugler, Supply from the USClick for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.
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APAC stocks trade mixed after the early momentum from tariff-related optimism on Wall St wore thin.US President Trump will announce additional tariffs over the next few days on autos, lumber and chips; may give "a lot" of countries breaks on tariffs.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.3% after the cash market finished with losses of 0.2% on Monday.FX markets are broadly steady with the DXY flat, EUR/USD lingers around the 1.08 mark, JPY marginally outperforms.The UK's OBR forecast is to roughly halve the UK’s expected growth in 2025 from 2% to about 1%, FT.Looking ahead, highlights include German Ifo, US Richmond Fed Index, Consumer Confidence, Japanese Services PPI, Speakers including Fed’s Williams & Kugler, Supply from Netherlands, UK, Germany & US.
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US President Trump reportedly plans his tariff 'Liberation Day' with a more targeted push, according to Bloomberg over the weekend.STOXX 600 began the week on a firmer footing before trimming opening gains after a mixed APAC handover; EZ Flash PMIs were mixed and largely highlighted trade uncertainty.DXY is lower after some choppy price action in early European trade. The macro narrative for the US has kicked the week off with a focus on the trade agenda.USTs are lower amid the encouraging risk environment on account of weekend reporting over the Trump tariff agenda.Crude prices are choppy. Benchmarks were lacklustre overnight amid the subdued risk appetite in Asia before trending higher in European hours; Precious and base metals hold mild upward biases.Looking ahead, highlights include US Flash PMIs, Speakers including BoEʼs Bailey, RBAʼs Jones, Fedʼs Bostic & Barr.
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APAC stocks traded mixed and in a rangebound fashion amid trade-related uncertainty, while weekend newsflow was mostly centred around geopolitics.US President Trump reportedly plans his tariff 'Liberation Day' with a more targeted push, according to Bloomberg.European equity futures indicate a mildly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.3% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.5% on Friday.USD is mixed vs peers, DXY is holding above 104, EUR/USD sits on a 1.08 handle, JPY is the marginal laggard across the majors.Turkish court formally arrested Istanbul Mayor Imamoglu after prosecutors asked the court to keep Imamoglu and four aides in jail pending their trial on terrorism and corruption charges.Russia-US talks in Saudi Arabia are to begin at 07:00GMT/03:00EDT, according to TASS citing an unnamed source.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ, UK & US PMIs, Speakers including BoE’s Bailey, RBA’s Jones, Fed’s Bostic & Barr.
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European indices hold a negative bias, airliners on the backfoot with Heathrow closed; US futures are also lower.USD is broadly firmer vs. peers with macro newsflow on the light side, but ahead of Trump-Hegseth meeting at 15:00GMT.Gilts underperform on more unfavourable developments for Reeves, Bunds bid.TTF ignites on Sudzha damage, base metals dented by the risk tone.Looking ahead, Canadian Retail Sales, EZ Consumer Confidence, CBR Policy Announcement, DBRS Credit Review on France, Quad Witching, Speakers including Fed’s Williams & Waller.
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