Episodes
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Andrew and David discussed the financial industry, focusing on timeless topics and the role of Jeremy Grantham.
In this episode, we also explored the challenges of valuing private equity investments, the importance of having a clear investment strategy, and the impact of government intervention in capital markets. A spirited discussion followed about our contrasting views on China and Japan, and discussed the current state of the economy, particularly focusing on inflation and the actions of the Federal Reserve.
Guest: David Salem - HedgeEye
David Salem, Managing Director – Capital Allocation @ Hedgeye
Prior to joining Hedgeye in early 2023, David served as founding President and Chief Investment Officer of The Investment Fund for Foundations (TIFF) and as a partner at GMO, working closely with Jeremy Grantham on investment solutions for large institutional funds.
David received a JD cum laude from Harvard Law School and an MBA with high distinction from Harvard Business School, where he was elected a Baker Scholar. A member of the District of Columbia Bar, David has held adjunct faculty positions at Middlebury College, from which he earned his undergraduate degree summa cum laude, and the University of Virginia, and served in the White House Counsel’s office while enrolled at Harvard.
David's has given talks at many colleges and universities, including Dartmouth, Duke, Harvard, MIT, Middlebury, Northwestern, and Oxford, and at conferences organized by the Association of Governing Boards, the CFA Institute, the Council on Foundations, the Foundation Financial Officers Group and NACUBO among other organizations.
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CHARTS DISCUSSED IN THIS EPISODE
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Stocks mentioned in this episode: (META), (AAPL), (NVDA), (MSFT) -
Ed and Andrew discussed the potential impact of inflation on the economy.Unpredictable environments and the potential impact of low inflation on market trends.Lastly, we debated the what is the long-term impact of AI on productivity and market trends.And our guest – Ed Easterling of Crestmont ResearchEd Easterling is the founder and President of Crestmont Holdings, an Oregon-based investment management and research firm that publishes provocative research on the financial markets at www.CrestmontResearch.com. He has over thirty years of alternative investment experience, including financial markets, private equity, and business operations.Mr. Easterling is the author of recently-released Probable Outcomes: Secular Stock Market Insights and Unexpected Returns: Understanding Secular Stock Market Cycles (Cypress House; 2005). In addition, he is contributing author to Just One Thing (John Wiley & Sons; 2005) and co-author of chapters in Bull‘s Eye Investing by John Mauldin. Mr. Easterling is a Senior Fellow and a Board Member at the Alternative Asset Management Center at SMU‘s Cox School of Business in Dallas, and previously served as a member of the adjunct faculty teaching the course on alternative investments and hedge funds for MBA students. Mr. Easterling holds a BBA in business, a BA in psychology, and an MBA from Southern Methodist University.Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/Follow @andrewhorowitz Stocks mentioned in this episode: (SPY), (AAPL)
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Missing episodes?
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GDP Numbers may be coming in hot.
More new highs for markets.
2 weeks away from the presidential election.
This week's guest, Tax Expert - Dan Pilla.
Daniel Pilla is an expert in IRS procedure and advocate of taxpayer rights. Author of “How to Win Your Tax Audit.”
Dan Pilla’s primary calling is that of tax litigator. He is considered America’s leader in taxpayer defense, taxpayers’ rights, and IRS abuse prevention and cure. Regarded as one of the country’s premiere experts in IRS procedures and general tax financial-problems resolution techniques, he has helped hundreds of thousands of citizens solve personal and business tax problems they thought might never be solved.
As the author of fifteen books, dozens of research reports, and well over a thousand articles, Dan’s work is regularly featured on radio and television, as well as in major newspapers, leading magazines and trade publications nationwide. Dan is a frequent guest on numerous talk radio and TV programs where he is heard by millions of people each year. Visit Dan's Website
Follow @danieljpilla
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CHARTS DISCUSSED IN THIS EPISODE
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Stocks mentioned in this episode: (SPY), (QQQ), (NFLX) -
New Highs across the board – (Big Caps – not the small caps).
China stocks get obliterated.
Rates moving up – CPI report….
This week's guest, Patrick O’Hare – Chief Market Analyst for Briefing.com.
Patrick has been with Briefing.com since 1997 and authors the Page One, The Big Picture, Fed Brief, Market View, and Economic Data Reviews columns. He also provides commentary on Live In Play.
Every Wednesday morning Patrick is a guest on KDOW's The Rob Black Show. He is quoted regularly in the financial press and has also appeared on CBS Radio, CNBC, CNN International, Fox Business Network, and PBS’ Nightly Business Report.
Patrick is a graduate of Vanderbilt University and is located in Chicago.
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Stocks mentioned in this episode: (SPY), (FXI), (VXX), (MCHI) -
Shocking – Rates running higher on better then expected jobs report.
Oil on the move as the Middle East conflict intensifies.
China and Emerging Markets on Fire – breaking out from long base.
This week's guest - Tim Knight – a self proclaimed Permabear.
Tim Knight has been charting and trading since 1987. His first stock trade was, in fact, on October 19, 1987 – the day of the crash – which perhaps goes a long way explaining his disposition toward bearishness.
He has been involved in personal computers since late 1979 and, starting at age 16, began writing a couple dozen books about using and programming computers. His most recent writing has been focused on charting and the history of financial markets, including his newest books, Panic, Prosperity, and Progress, and, more recently, Silicon Valley Babble On and Solid State, his first novel.
He has been running Slope since March 29 2005 and has, during that time, written more than 30,000 posts on the site.
In 1992 Knight founded Prophet, a web-based technical analysis company that was acquired by Investools (and, later, Ameritrade) in January 2005. Tim served as Senior Vice President of Technology for Investools from 2005 through 2010. Both Barron’s & Forbes consistently named Prophet the #1 website for technical analysis.
Besides running the Slope of Hope, Tim also hosts a daily show on the tastylive network, Trading Charts with Tim Knight.
You can find Sam Burns & Mill Street Research at https://slopeofhope.com/ and on Twitter at @slopeofhope.
Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/
CHARTS DISCUSSED IN THIS EPISODE
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Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE
Stocks mentioned in this episode: (SPY), (FXI), (QQQ) -
China surges, then drops then surges – after massive stimulus introduced.
Tech leads into the end of the quarter.
Metals, including copper get a boost.
And out Guest, Manual Blay – The Dow Theory.com - Newsletter – Home of the Schannep & Blay Timing Indicators.
Manuel Blay is the editor of TheDowTheory.com, a top-ranked investment letter that has garnered a remarkable reputation for assisting investors in navigating Bear markets while maximizing profits during Bull markets. Mr. Blay’s investment Letter is frequently quoted by Forbes, MarketWatch, Yahoo Finance, etc. Furthermore, he has extended the application of the Dow Theory beyond stocks to encompass U.S. bonds and precious metals.
Throughout his career, Mr. Blay has actively traded for his personal portfolio. Prior to his endeavors as a trader and investment writer, he held a directorial position at an investment fund management company.
Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/
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Stocks mentioned in this episode: (QQQ), (SPY), (RSP), (DIA) -
Rate cuts are sparking excitement.
Market playbook resetting to lower rate outlook.
Tech spitting and sputtering.
Oil gets a lift after crashing though key support.
And our guest this week is Steve Sanders – EVP at Interactive Brokers
Steve Sanders is Executive Vice President of Marketing & Product Development at Interactive Brokers. In this capacity, he oversees all marketing and product development efforts at the company and introduces Interactive Brokers’ low commissions, advanced trading technology and breadth of product worldwide to advanced individual and institutional investors globally.
Steve joined Interactive Brokers in 2001 to establish the company’s platform for financial advisors. Since that time, he has been responsible for many key initiatives including building a direct / digital marketing program, developing a new account structure and registration process for institutional investor clients and contributing to the deployment of the company’s Integrated Investment Account. During his over twenty-year tenure with the company, Steve has remained focused on providing IBKR clients with the products, tools and resources necessary to meet a wide variety of trading and investing objectives, which he believes has contributed to the company’s extraordinary growth over the years.
Prior to joining Interactive Brokers, Steve spent fifteen years at Citibank in a variety of positions including Managing Director and Chief Technology Officer of Cybic, a “Request for Quote” exchange to facilitate the distribution of OTC derivative products to retail investors, which he developed. Before that, he held diverse roles throughout the organization in credit & risk management, marketing, financial planning, and product structuring functions.
Steve holds an MBA in Finance from the University of Chicago and an undergraduate degree from SUNY at Albany in Accounting and Computer Science.
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Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE
Stocks mentioned in this episode: (SPY), (QQQ), (NVDA) -
Surge and plunge – plunge and surge – new market realities.
Risk up – but that is quickly undone.
The Debate breathes life into a few sectors.
Guest, Frank Curzio – Curzio Research - the outlook into the end of the year.
Frank Curzio can be reached by email at [email protected]
Frank Curzio is an equity analyst with close to three decades of experience covering small- and mid-cap stocks.
Check out his newsletters. (Free trial subscriptions available)
He has been the editor of several well respected newsletters with major companies as well on of the top performers with TheStreet.com where he significantly outperformed the markets during his tenure. He was also a research analyst for Jim Cramer. Frank is the host of Wall Street Unplugged.
Frank has been a guest on various media outlets including Fox Business News, CNBC's The Kudlow Report and CNBC's The Call. He has also been mentioned numerous times on Jim Cramer's™s Mad Money, is a featured guest on CNN Radio and has been quoted in financial magazines and websites. Before TheStreet.com, Frank was the editor of The FXC Newsletter and received one of the top rankings by Hulbert's Financial Digest for risk-adjusted performance.
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Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE
Stocks mentioned in this episode: (NVDA), (NFLX), (AAPL), (HD), (LOW), (JPM), (AMD), URA, (TAN), (XLU) -
September – not usually the best seasonal trends
A question: Diversification – what is it and why do I need it?
Active Management and Passive Strategies – a primer.
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Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE
Stocks mentioned in this episode: (N/A) -
How to stay the course – even through time of doubt
What’s up with the consumers anyway?
Powell’s outlook moves markets – predictable
And our guest – Brian Dress from Left Brain Wealth Management
Brian Dress has 15+ years’ experience in the investments industry. Before joining Left Brain, he spent nearly a decade managing an independent portfolio of derivatives, focused mainly in the oil/gas and commodities markets, but also in equities and fixed income. Brian earned his B.S. in International Relations, with a concentration in International Economics, from Georgetown University in Washington, DC. He is currently a candidate for the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation.
Brian is a resident in the City of Chicago, where he lives with his wife, Michelle, and young daughter, Juliette. In his spare time, he enjoys spending time with family, working out, cooking, and traveling.
FIND OUT MORE ABOUT BRIAN
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Stocks mentioned in this episode: (CRWD),(CMG), (PANW), (NEE) -
Is the end of "peak commodities" a possibility and what is the cycle that we may see in the near future.The Fed and Jackson Hole - they need to ring the victory bell already and then step aside.Our guest, Carley Garner Futures and Options Trader on the outlook for commodities.Carley Garner is a futures and options broker with DeCarley Trading, a division of Zaner Financial Services in Las Vegas, Nevada. With nearly two decades of experience, her commodity market analysis is often referenced on Jim Cramer's Mad Money on CNBC, and she is a regular guest on Bloomberg Television's Options Insight segment with Abigail Doolittle. You might also see her on the Cow Guy Close hosted by Scott Shellady on RFD-TV and "Futures" aired on Schwab Network. Garner is a regular contributor to TheStreet.com and its Pro service and is also a regular on the speaking circuit. She can be found at TradersEXPOs and MoneyShows throughout the country.Garner is also an award-winning author of commodity futures and options trading books. In addition to Trading Commodity Options with Creativity, Garner has authored Higher Probability Commodity Trading; A Trader's First Book on Commodities (three editions); Currency Trading in the Forex and Futures Markets; and Commodity Options. She pens a monthly column for the long-running Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities Magazine. Her e-newsletters, The DeCarley Perspective and The Financial Futures Report have garnered a loyal following; she is also proactive in providing free trading education at www.DeCarleyTrading.comFollow @andrewhorowitzMore information available on Horowitz & Company's TDI Managed Growth StrategyCheck this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/Stocks mentioned in this episode: (SLV), (GLD), (USO), (UNG)
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The "carry" trade blows up – But now: Fully Resolved
Economic Indicators Bad – but that good news for markets
Under the radar layoffs happening...
Gust Anthony Scaramucci , Founder, Skybridge Capital (Who has a few things to say about politics and the election).
Anthony Scaramucci is the founder and managing partner of SkyBridge, a global alternative investment firm, and founder and chairman of SALT, a global thought leadership forum and venture studio.
Prior to founding SkyBridge in 2005, Scaramucci co-founded investment partnership Oscar Capital Management, which was sold to Neuberger Berman in 2001. Earlier, he worked in Private Wealth Management at Goldman Sachs & Co.
In 2022, Scaramucci was ranked #47 in Cointelegraph’s Top 100 Influencers in Crypto and Blockchain. In 2016, he was ranked #85 in Worth Magazine’s Power 100: The 100 Most Powerful People in Global Finance. In 2011, he received Ernst & Young’s New York Financial Services “Entrepreneur of the Year” Award. Anthony is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) and a board member of the Federal Enforcement Homeland Security Foundation. He is the author of five books.
OPEN BOOK PODCAST ON APPLE
Scaramucci served on President Donald J. Trump’s 16-person Presidential Transition Team Executive Committee, and in 2017 briefly served as Chief Strategy Officer of the Export-Import (EXIM) Bank and White House Communications Director.
Scaramucci, a native of Long Island, New York, holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in Economics from Tufts University and a Juris Doctor from Harvard Law School.
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Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE
Stocks mentioned in this episode: (CSCO), (BTCUSD) -
3-days and it all changed…
Yen Carry trade – Central banks breaking things.
Markets move and investors freak out and The VIX makes a historic move.
This week's guest: Dan Faggella, Founder and Head of Research at Emerj Artificial Intelligence Research.
Daniel Faggella is the Founder and Head of Research at Emerj Artificial Intelligence Research, Daniel Faggella is an internationally recognized speaker on the use-cases and ROI of artificial intelligence in business. Since 2015 Daniel has focused on direct market research interviews with Fortune 500 AI leaders, AI unicorn startup founders, and leading academics.
Daniel is a Brazilian Jiu Jitsu black belt, winning the title of 2011 national champion (IBJJF Pan America Games). He graduated with a masters degree in Positive Psychology from UPENN, focusing his thesis research on skill development and skill acquisition. Born in Wakefield, Rhode Island, he now lives in Boston.
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Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE
Stocks mentioned in this episode: (PLTR), (TOST), (MRK), (TSLA), (NVDA), (AMD), (GS), (GOOGL) -
Balancing risks and returns
Gold - a good investment?
Real Estate as an investment
Setting up for success - with Guest Dr. Roger Silk.
Roger D. Silk, Ph.D. is the CEO of Sterling Foundation Management, LLC and President of Lifetime Perspectives, Inc. Dr. Silk is widely recognized as a leading expert and innovator in the emerging field at the intersection of finance and philanthropy.
Dr. Silk has more than three decades of experience working with and advising wealthy clients, high net worth families, and the advisors who work with them on a variety of issues ranging from the use of private foundations to the integration of sophisticated charitable planning into multi-generational estate plans. He has worked with numerous investment, accounting, financial planning, and legal professionals to educate them, their firms, and their clients about the benefits and characteristics of a full suite of solutions, entities and planning tools.
Dr. Silk is the author of several books, including Managing Foundations and Charitable Trusts, Creating a Private Foundation, and Politicians Spend, We Pay. He has published dozens of articles that have appeared in periodicals such as Estate Planning, Philanthropy, the Journal of Financial Planning and Trusts & Estates. He has spoken to audiences around the country on the types and uses of charitable entities, and he frequently conducts educational seminars for financial professionals focusing on integrating the full suite of charitable entities into the financial planning process
Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/
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Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE
Stocks mentioned in this episode: (NVDA), (SPY) -
Big Tech making a mess of markets
A new candidate – investors re-assessing their holdings.
September rate cut probability of at 100% - lets discuss.
Howard Silverblatt (@hsilverb) is Senior Industry Analyst, Index Investment Strategy, for S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI). In addition to general market research and commentary, Howard is responsible for the statistical analysis of S&P DJI’s family of U.S. Indices, including the world’s most followed stock market index, the S&P 500®.
Howard has been with Standard & Poor’s since 1977, and has held various analytic, business development, and product positions. He joined S&P Indices in 1983 as an editor, and has since received numerous corporate and industry awards, most notably for his work on the creation and development of Standard & Poor’s core earnings and Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS®). Howard is widely quoted in top tier news publications around the world, providing in-depth analysis and information on a myriad of topics impacting the investment industry.
Howard graduated with a B.S. in Business Management from Syracuse University.
Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/
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Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE
Stocks mentioned in this episode: (MSFT), (GOOGL), (AMZN), (SPY), (QQQ) -
What is going on? Questions about the current market's sustainability...
HUGE rotation into small-caps and financials.
College planning - does it have to be so difficult?
Guest - College planning expert Brad Baldridge.
Brad Baldridge is a College Funding Specialist who has helped thousands of families plan and save for college with smart and proven strategies to save time, money and stress. As a financial expert, blogger and host of the Taming the High Cost of College podcast, Brad has been sharing his college planning insights with clients, subscribers and listeners for nearly 20 years.
Since 1998, Brad has become one of the nation’s leading college planning and college financial experts. He offers life-changing advice through his private practice, his online platforms, and at numerous workshops, seminars and events each year.
Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/
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Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE
Stocks mentioned in this episode: (UNH), (GS), (BAC) -
Up and Up - what is next?
So many questions about this market’s next leg….
Inflation- mixed messages – but the Fed is pushing the carrot
Guest - Dr. Richard Smith
When Dr. Richard Smith discovered that many top investment advisors and wealthy traders used special mathematical formulas to invest in the stock market, he decided to try it out himself. Using his own formula, he found that he could make more money and take less risk, regardless of market performance. In 2004 he used this algorithm to build one of the first online financial technology platforms.
The platform worked so well he made it available to individual investors. In 2013 he founded TradeSmith, which started as a simple way to track portfolios and evolved into a powerful suite of risk-management and portfolio analysis tools. The company grew to over 30,000 investors who entrusted his technology with a staggering $20 billion, earning him the moniker “doctor of uncertainty.” After 16 successful years, he sold TradeSmith at the top of the market.
Never one to sit idle, Richard’s newest endeavor, RiskSmith, levels the playing field for individual investors.
Synthesizing his passion for simplifying complex financial markets and his background in mathematics and systems science, Richard has created tools that help investors better understand and evaluate risk in the market.
According to Richard, “Most people have no idea how powerful of a tool good risk management really is. They look at risk as something to stay away from. In fact, it’s exactly the opposite. Once you understand risk, you can control it. By taking smart risks, you can truly transform your financial future.”
Richard studied mathematics at U.C. Berkeley and earned his PhD in Systems Science from the Watson School of Engineering at SUNY Binghamton under the late Professor George Klir.
Richard is also Chairman of the Board and CEO of Foundation for the Study of Cycles, an international nonprofit that promotes and conducts research of cycles and how they can be used to make the world a better place
Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/
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Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE
Stocks mentioned in this episode: (MSFT), (GS), (BA), (NVDA) -
Short week – plenty of action
The breath keeps getting worse
The Debate – what does that mean for markets?
This episode's guest: our good friend , author and former banker Satyajit Das – all the way from down under
Satyajit Das is an internationally respected expert in finance, with over 37 years’ experience. Das presciently anticipated many aspects of the global financial crisis in 2006. He subsequently proved accurate in his warnings about the ineffectiveness of policy responses and the risk of low growth, sovereign debt problems (anticipating the restructuring of Greek debt), and the increasing problems of China and emerging economies. In 2014 Bloomberg nominated him as one of the fifty most influential financial thinkers in the world.
Das is the author of a number of key reference works on derivatives and risk management. Das is the author of two international bestsellers, Traders, Guns & Money (2006) and Extreme Money (2011). His latest book is A Banquet of Consequences: Have We Consumed Our Own Future? (2015 & 2021)
He was featured in Charles Ferguson’s 2010 Oscar-winning documentary Inside Job, the 2012 PBS Frontline series Money, Power & Wall Street, the 2009 BBC TV documentary Tricks with Risk, and the 2015 German film Who’s Saving Whom. His writing appears in Financial Times, Nikkei Asia review and Marketwatch
Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/
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Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE
Stocks mentioned in this episode: (SPY), (NVDA), (GEO), (SMH), (TSLA) -
An interesting turn in politics.
Looking at the "Awesome Portfolio"
Having a healthy relationship with money with this week's Guest - Jared Dillian.
Jared Dillian is the editor of The Daily Dirtnap, a daily market newsletter for investment professionals, continuously published since 2008. He graduated from the United States Coast Guard Academy in 1996 with a B.S. in Mathematics and Computer Science, from the University of San Francisco in 2001 with a Masters in Business Administration, concentration in Finance, and from the Savannah College of Art and Design in 2023 with a Masters in Fine Arts in Writing.
Jared worked for a small floor market maker on the Pacific Options Exchange from 1999-2000, and was a trader for Lehman Brothers from 2001 to 2008, specializing in index arbitrage and ETF trading. He is also the author of STREET FREAK: Money And Madness At Lehman Brothers, which was named Businessweek’s #1 general business book of 2011, and the novel ALL THE EVIL OF THIS WORLD, published in 2016, THOSE BASTARDS: 69 Essays on Life, Creativity, and Meaning, published in 2023, NO WORRIES: How To Live a Stress Free Financial Life, published in 2024.
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Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE
Stocks mentioned in this episode: (SPY) -
Markets , Economics and Insights
Looking to learn from one of the greats – GOAT!
This episode's guest: Jim Rogers - The Investment Biker
Jim Rogers, a native of Demopolis, Alabama, is an author, financial commentator, adventurer, and successful international investor. He has been frequently featured in Time, The Washington Post, The New York Times, Barron’s, Forbes, Fortune, The Wall Street Journal, The Financial Times, The Business Times, The Straits Times and many media outlets worldwide. He has also appeared as a regular commentator and columnist in various media and has been a professor at Columbia University.
After attending Yale and Oxford University, Rogers co-founded the Quantum Fund, a global-investment partnership. During the next 10 years, the portfolio gained 4200%, while the S&P rose less than 50%. Rogers then decided to retire – at age 37. Continuing to manage his own portfolio, Rogers kept busy serving as a full professor of finance at the Columbia University Graduate School of Business, and, in 1989 and 1990, as the moderator of WCBS's 'The Dreyfus Roundtable' and FNN's 'The Profit Motive with Jim Rogers'.
In 1990-1992, Rogers fulfilled his lifelong dream: motorcycling 100,000 miles across six continents, a feat that landed him in the Guinness Book of World Records. As a private investor, he constantly analyzed the countries through which he traveled for investment ideas. He chronicled his one-of-a-kind journey in Investment Biker: On the Road with Jim Rogers. Jim also embarked on a Millennium Adventure in 1999. He traveled for 3 years on his round-the-world, Guinness World Record journey. It was his 3rd Guinness Record. Passing through 116 countries, he covered more than 245,000 kilometers, which he recounted in his book Adventure Capitalist: The Ultimate Road Trip.
Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/
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Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE
Stocks mentioned in this episode: (SPY) - Show more
