Episoder
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Election forecaster Nate Silver gives his takes on: how effective altruism could be better, the stark tradeoffs we faced with COVID, whether the 13 Keys to the White House is "junk science," how to tell whose election predictions are better, and if venture capitalists really take risks.
This is a selection of highlights from episode #204 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast: Nate Silver on making sense of SBF, and his biggest critiques of effective altruism. These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — so if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode.
And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected].
Highlights:
Rob’s intro (00:00:00)Is anyone doing better at "doing good better"? (00:00:29)Is effective altruism too big to succeed? (00:02:19)The stark tradeoffs we faced with COVID (00:06:02)The 13 Keys to the White House (00:07:53)Can we tell whose election predictions are better? (00:11:40)Do venture capitalists really take risks? (00:16:29)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong
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This is a selection of highlights from our April 2023 episode with host Luisa Rodriguez and producer Keiran Harris on 80k After Hours. These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:
Luisa and Keiran on free will, and the consequences of never feeling enduring guilt or shame
And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected].
Highlights:
Keiran’s intro (00:00:00)Jerk Syndrome (00:00:53)The basic case for free will being an illusion (00:05:10)Feeling bad about not being a different person (00:08:29)Implications for the criminal justice system (00:10:57)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong
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Manglende episoder?
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This is a selection of highlights from episode #203 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast. These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:
Peter Godfrey-Smith on interfering with wild nature, accepting death, and the origin of complex civilisation
And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected].
Highlights:
Luisa’s intro (00:00:00)Thinking about death (00:00:24)Uploads of ourselves (00:05:32)Against intervening in wild nature (00:12:36)Eliminating the worst experiences in wild nature (00:16:15)To be human or wild animal? (00:21:46)Challenges for water-based animals (00:27:38)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong
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Watch this episode on YouTube! https://youtu.be/yncw2T77OAc
Matt, Bella, and Huon sit down with Conor Barnes to discuss unlikely journeys, EA criticism, discipline, timeless decision theory, and how to do the most good with a degree in classics.
Check out:
Conor’s 100 Tips for a Better Life: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7hFeMWC6Y5eaSixbD/100-tips-for-a-better-lifeConor’s writing: https://parhelia.conorbarnes.com/Zvi on timeless decision theory: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/scwoBEju75C45W5n3/how-i-lost-100-pounds-using-tdt -
This is a selection of highlights from episode #202 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast. These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:
Venki Ramakrishnan on the cutting edge of anti-ageing science
And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected].
Highlights:
Luisa’s intro (00:00:00)Is death an inevitable consequence of evolution? (00:00:15)How much additional healthspan will the next 20 to 30 years of ageing research buy us? (00:03:10)The social impacts of radical life extension (00:05:46)Could increased longevity increase inequality? (00:10:06)Does injecting an old body with young blood slow ageing? (00:14:23)Freezing cells, organs, and bodies (00:18:35)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong
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This is a selection of highlights from episode #201 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast. These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:
Ken Goldberg on why your robot butler isn’t here yet
And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected].
Highlights:
Luisa’s intro (00:00:00)Moravec's paradox (00:00:22)Successes in robotics to date (00:03:51)Why perception is a big challenge for robotics (00:07:02)Why low fault tolerance makes some skills extra hard to automate (00:12:29)How might robot labour affect the job market? (00:17:19)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong
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This is a selection of highlights from episode #200 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast. These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:
Ezra Karger on what superforecasters and experts think about existential risks
And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected].
Highlights:
Luisa’s intro (00:00:00)Why we need forecasts about existential risks (00:00:26)Headline estimates of existential and catastrophic risks (00:02:43)What explains disagreements about AI risks? (00:06:18)Learning more doesn't resolve disagreements about AI risks (00:08:59)A lot of disagreement about AI risks is about when AI will pose risks (00:11:31)Cruxes about AI risks (00:15:17)Is forecasting actually useful in the real world? (00:18:24)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong
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This is a selection of highlights from episode #199 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast. These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:
Nathan Calvin on California’s AI bill SB 1047 and its potential to shape US AI policy
And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected].
Highlights:
Luisa’s intro (00:00:00)Why we can't count on AI companies to self-regulate (00:00:21)SB 1047's impact on open source models (00:04:24)Why it's not "too early" for AI policies (00:07:54)Why working on state-level policy could have an outsized impact (00:11:47)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong
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This is a selection of highlights from episode #198 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast. These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:
Meghan Barrett on challenging our assumptions about insects
And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected].
Highlights:
Luisa’s intro (00:00:00)Size diversity (00:00:16)Offspring, parental investment, and lifespan (00:03:18)Headless cockroaches (00:06:13)Is self-protective behaviour a reflex? (00:08:50)If insects feel pain, is it mild or severe? (00:11:54)Evolutionary perspective on insect sentience (00:16:53)How likely is insect sentience? (00:20:25)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong
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This is a selection of highlights from episode #197 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast. These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:
Nick Joseph on whether Anthropic’s AI safety policy is up to the task
And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected].
Highlights:
Rob's intro (00:00:00)What Anthropic's responsible scaling policy commits the company to doing (00:00:17)Why Nick is a big fan of the RSP approach (00:02:13)Are RSPs still valuable if the people using them aren't bought in? (00:05:07)Nick's biggest reservations about the RSP approach (00:08:01)Should Anthropic's RSP have wider safety buffers? (00:11:17)Alternatives to RSPs (00:14:57)Should concerned people be willing to take capabilities roles? (00:19:22)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong
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This is a selection of highlights from episode #196 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast. These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:
Jonathan Birch on the edge cases of sentience and why they matter
And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected].
Chapters:
Luisa’s intro (00:00:00)The history of neonatal surgery without anaesthetic (00:00:23)Overconfidence around disorders of consciousness (00:03:17)Separating abortion from the issue of foetal sentience (00:07:26)The cases for and against neural organoids (00:11:30)Artificial sentience arising from whole brain emulations of roundworms and fruit flies (00:15:45)Using citizens' assemblies to do policymaking (00:22:00)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong
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This is a selection of highlights from episode #195 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast.
These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:
Sella Nevo on who's trying to steal frontier AI models, and what they could do with them
And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected].
Chapters:
Luisa’s intro (00:00:00)Why protect model weights? (00:00:23)SolarWinds hack (00:03:51)Zero-days (00:08:16)Side-channel attacks (00:11:45)USB cables (00:15:11)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong
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This is a selection of highlights from episode #194 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast.
These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:
Vitalik Buterin on defensive acceleration and how to regulate AI when you fear government
And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected].
Chapters:
Rob’s intro (00:00:00)Vitalik's "d/acc" alternative (00:00:14)Biodefence (00:05:31)How much do people actually disagree? (00:09:49)Distrust of authority is a big deal (00:15:09)Info defence and X's Community Notes (00:19:35)Quadratic voting and funding (00:26:22)Vitalik's philosophy of half-assing everything (00:30:32)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong
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This is a selection of highlights from episode #193 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast.
These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:
Sihao Huang on the risk that US–China AI competition leads to war
And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected].
Chapters:
Luisa’s intro (00:00:00)How advanced is Chinese AI? (00:00:25)Is China catching up to the US and UK? (00:05:14)Could China be a source of catastrophic AI risk? (00:07:50)AI enabling human rights abuses and undermining democracy (00:13:53)China's attempts at indigenising its semiconductor supply chain (00:18:14)How the US and UK might coordinate with China (00:20:32)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong
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This is a selection of highlights from episode #192 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast.
These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:
Annie Jacobsen on what would happen if North Korea launched a nuclear weapon at the US
And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected].
Chapters:
Luisa’s intro (00:00:00)The minutes after an incoming nuclear attack is detected (00:00:22)Deciding whether to retaliate (00:04:24)Russian misperception of US counterattack (00:07:37)The nuclear launch plans that would kill millions in neighbouring countries (00:11:38)The war games that suggest escalation is inevitable (00:15:31)A super-electromagnetic pulse (00:19:12)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong
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You can check out the video version of this episode on YouTube at https://youtu.be/AUuEaYltONg
Matt, Bella, and Cody sit down with Maria Gutierrez Rojas to discuss the 80k’s aesthetics, religion (again), bad billionaires, and why it’s hard to be an org that both gives advice and has opinions.
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This is a selection of highlights from episode #191 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast.
These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:
Carl Shulman on government and society after AGI
And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected].
Chapters:
How AI advisors could have saved us from COVID-19 (00:00:05)Why Carl doesn't support enforced pauses on AI research (00:06:34)Value lock-in (00:12:58)How democracies avoid coups (00:17:11)Building trust between adversaries about which models you can believe (00:24:00)Opportunities for listeners (00:30:11)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong
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This is a selection of highlights from episode #191 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast.
These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:
Carl Shulman on the economy and national security after AGI
And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected].
Chapters:
Intro (00:00:00)Robot nannies (00:00:23)Key transformations after an AI capabilities explosion (00:05:15)Objection: Shouldn't we be seeing economic growth rates increasing today? (00:10:28)Objection: Declining returns to increases in intelligence? (00:16:09)Objection: Could we really see rates of construction go up a hundredfold or a thousandfold? (00:20:58)Objection: "This sounds completely whack" (00:26:10)Income and wealth distribution (00:30:02)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong
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This is a selection of highlights from episode #190 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast.
These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:
Eric Schwitzgebel on whether the US is conscious
And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected].
Chapters:
Luisa’s intro (00:00:00)Can consciousness be nested? (00:00:18)Are our intuitions useless for thinking about these things? (00:05:45)Do small differences rule out consciousness? (00:09:43)Overlapping consciousnesses (00:13:26)Are we dreaming right now? (00:17:21)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong
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This is a selection of highlights from episode #189 of The 80,000 Hours Podcast.
These aren't necessarily the most important, or even most entertaining parts of the interview — and if you enjoy this, we strongly recommend checking out the full episode:
Rachel Glennerster on how “market shaping” could help solve climate change, pandemics, and other global problems
And if you're finding these highlights episodes valuable, please let us know by emailing [email protected].
Chapters:
Luisa's intro (00:00:00)What is market shaping? (00:00:25)Why some countries didn't have COVID vaccines sooner (00:05:04)Designing incentives for pull mechanisms (00:09:12)Using pull mechanisms to get a universal COVID vaccine (00:13:31)Pull mechanisms to incentivise repurposing of generic drugs (00:18:20)Specific interventions versus systemic reform in education (00:23:25)Highlights put together by Simon Monsour, Milo McGuire, and Dominic Armstrong
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