Episodes
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Canada just “unexpectedly” fell into a technical recession. But the important part is not just that Canada contracted. The important part is that Canada’s contraction is lining up with the same weakness now spreading through France, the UK, Germany, Sweden, Mexico, and increasingly the rest of the global system. As one result, central bankers hawkishness is starting to seriously evaporate.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
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Learn more about Augusta Precious Metals and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to:
https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052.
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https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUStarting today, I’ll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place.
You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/edu
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Private credit has a new problem, and this one is different. For months, the story has been retail investors pulling money from private credit funds. But now we have something else. A Swiss pension fund redeeming shares from a Vista private credit vehicle helped force that fund to limit withdrawals. And that's before asking the question: is software credit the new subprime mortgage?
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
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What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?
That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------One Big Private Credit Investor Forced Vista’s Fund to Limit Redemptions
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-27/one-big-private-credit-investor-forced-vista-s-fund-to-limit-redemptionsNew CLOs at Blackstone, Guggenheim Boast Key Perk: Less Software
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-27/new-clos-at-blackstone-guggenheim-boast-key-perk-less-softwarePrivate Credit’s Exposure to Ailing Software Industry Is Bigger Than Advertised
https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/private-credits-exposure-to-ailing-software-industry-is-bigger-than-advertised-d80da378Cracks in Private Credit
https://www.goldmansachs.com/pdfs/insights/goldman-sachs-research/cracks-in-private-credit/TOM_private%20credit_Redacted.pdfMyth-busting: Private credit liquidity
https://blog.landg.com/categories/investment-strategy/myth-busting-private-credit-liquidity/https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU -
Missing episodes?
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JPMorgan just took the Goldilocks off the table. That is not a minor forecast change or some little tweak to a spreadsheet buried on page 47 of a Wall Street outlook. When one of the biggest banks in the world says “Goldilocks is leaving the building” and starts worrying about a **negative growth shock**, what they’re really saying is something big has changed.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
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Learn more about Augusta Precious Metals and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to:
https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052.
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'Goldilocks is leaving the building': JPMorgan predicts negative growth shock
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/goldilocks-is-leaving-the-building-jpmorgan-predicts-negative-growth-shock/ar-AA24066QSahm Says Sahm Rule Meant To Be Broken
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2024-08-08/claudia-sahm-says-the-sahm-rule-was-meant-to-be-broken-videohttps://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU -
Home prices are now doing something they were not supposed to do. After years of being told that housing was poised to make a strong comeback and that prices were going to accelerate upward, the latest national housing data is saying something very different: the lowest price rate in fourteen years, going all the way back to the bottom of the Big Housing Bust in 2012.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
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What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?
That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU -
For the first time in this cycle, the money going out of major private credit vehicles has surpassed the money coming in. That is the headline, how private credit machine is now facing sustained investor outflows. Stage 2. And here’s the other big part of that – these net outflows are indeed forcing asset sales onto an industry that was never really built for this. That means we’re already deeper into Stage 2 than most people would think.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
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Learn more about Augusta Precious Metals and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to:
https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052.
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Private Credit BDC Redemptions Exceed Fundraising for First Time
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-14/private-credit-bdc-redemptions-exceed-fundraising-for-first-timePrivate Credit’s Unthinkable Becomes Reality as Trading Revs Up
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-21/private-credit-s-unthinkable-becomes-reality-as-trading-revs-upFitch Ratings’ U.S. Private Credit Default Rate Hits a High of 6.0% in April 2026
https://www.fitchratings.com/research/corporate-finance/fitch-ratings-us-private-credit-default-rate-hits-high-of-6-0-in-april-2026-18-05-2026?cs=0&hl=en-US&biw=1600&bih=731Private Credit Fund Touts Quick Profit Buying Debt at 65 Cents
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-05/private-credit-fund-touts-quick-profit-buying-debt-at-65-centsGoldman Sachs Private Credit Fund’s Share of Bad Loans Rises
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-07/goldman-sachs-private-credit-fund-s-share-of-bad-loans-increasesHSBC Drags Feet on $4 Billion Private Credit Investment Effort
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-15/hsbc-drags-feet-on-4-billion-private-credit-investment-effortAMP Trims ‘Frothy’ Private Credit Assets in Investment Pivot
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-18/amp-trims-frothy-private-credit-assets-in-investment-pivothttps://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU -
While rumors and reports swirl about a possible Iran deal, the clock is still ticking for an economy that’s way too close to the point of no return on the energy shock. In fact, for Europe, there is a nontrivial chance it’s already gone past. With the latest data out on Friday, the economic numbers for May so far got slammed. It increasingly looks like Europe may have already gone over the cliff with S&P describing France as in a quote “dire” situation.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
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What is a Eurodollar University membership? It’s where understanding the monetary world isn’t a mystery—it's a method. If you’re serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you’re in the right place.Or go even deeper with our Deep Dive Analysis. Get all the tools to fill in the huge gaps you didn't even know were there.
Click the link to visit https://eurodollar.university/memberships and join today.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------SPG France May 2026 PMI
https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/f0ad28c72bfd49949cf67d52daf16aeeSPG Eurozone May 2026 PMI
https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/cfc7983038764cd0bf61ed86b6d27a52https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU -
The dollar is rising again, and this time the pressure is showing up right across Asia. The Japanese yen is weak. The South Korean won is tumbling. The Indonesian rupiah is crashing. The Indian rupee keeps finding new ways to give officials fits. At the same time the dollar is rising against these Asian currencies, the very front of the U.S. dollar interest-rate market is doing something absolutely incredible. Shocking even. Completely the opposite of what you’d think. And here’s the thing – these two developments are related. Why the dollar is hammering Asia most of all and how that would play out in rates.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
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What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?
That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU -
Lowe’s had some more bad news about the American consumer. CEO Marvin Ellison said “This has been the most difficult housing market that I have faced in this business since the financial crisis.” Lowe’s is hardly alone. Walmart said higher income shoppers are still trading down while lower income Americans are, well, they’re running out of their tax refund money. And then there is Kroger.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
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Learn more about Augusta Precious Metals and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to:
https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Flash PMI signals subdued growth in May amid price surge
https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/d7a15ea4f43c4e3493db3814db67ad99Lowe's CEO says this is the 'most difficult housing market' since the financial crisis
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/article/lowes-ceo-says-this-is-the-most-difficult-housing-market-since-the-financial-crisis-170512082.htmlKroger Plans Biggest Price Cuts In Years to Take On Walmart, Costco
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-21/kroger-plans-biggest-price-cuts-in-years-to-take-on-walmart-costcohttps://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUI’ll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place.
You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/edu
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Treasury yields have finally made a sizable move upward. The 2-year Treasury has pushed to new multi-month highs. The 10-year got as high as 4.70%. And instantly, the usual question shows up:
Is the bond market finally repricing real inflation risk? Or is this another hurricane warning where everyone looks at the headline number, panics for five minutes, and misses what the curve is actually saying? Make that curve-S.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
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What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?
That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU -
China’s downturn just produced a major hit and it has officials stumped. It was the kind of bad that confirms almost everything already showing up in China’s credit data, banking system, property market, and bond market. Retail sales nearly cracked. Worst month since the lockdowns. Fixed asset investment is crashing again. Yes, crashing. Industrial production, which had been one of the few remaining bright spots, suddenly didn’t look so bright. Home prices were down for the twelfth straight time. It was ugly in every direction.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Learn more about Augusta Precious Metals and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to:
https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU -
The Justice Department is now probing valuations at a BlackRock private credit fund. That sentence should stop everyone cold. Not because BlackRock is about to disappear. It isn’t. Not because one fund valuation probe means anyone has been proven to have done anything wrong. It doesn’t. A probe is not a conviction, and we need to be clear about that. But because the single biggest weakness in private credit has always been valuations.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------
What is a Eurodollar University membership? It’s where understanding the monetary world isn’t a mystery—it's a method. If you’re serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you’re in the right place.Or go even deeper with our Deep Dive Analysis. Get all the tools to fill in the huge gaps you didn't even know were there.
Click the link to visit https://eurodollar.university/memberships and join today.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------BlackRock Private Credit Fund’s Valuations Are Probed by DOJ
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-15/blackrock-private-credit-fund-s-valuations-being-probed-by-dojBuybacks, Revamps, Deals: Firms Dig Deep to Fix Problem Private Credit Funds
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-14/private-credit-crisis-has-kkr-apollo-blackrock-tackling-problem-fundsCarlyle BDC Cuts Dividend Even As It Flags Better Credit Market
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-11/carlyle-bdc-cuts-dividend-even-as-it-flags-better-credit-marketBlue Owl Says It Will Be More Selective Making Software Loans
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-06/blue-owl-bdcs-buy-back-85-million-of-shares-as-loan-values-sinkhttps://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU -
While the ECB and other central banks, maybe even the Fed, are likely to overreact to oil prices by raising their policy rates, suddenly that possibility isn’t so straightforward. Even in Europe where policymakers are the most aggressively hawkish, several officials have come forward expressing major doubts on the inflation narrative, focusing instead on what’s already going on with demand especially for workers. And that’s not oil, two of the world’s leading energy agencies just slashed their own demand forecasts to levels you only see in periods like 2020 or 2009.
Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre
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What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?
That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU -
India is now doing what governments do when the dollar problem starts getting too close to the bone: it is looking for imports it can cut, restrict, tax, license, delay, or possibly even ban. And right at the top of that list sits gold and silver. That might sound like a metals story. It isn’t. Not entirely. It’s a dollar story, though with a key twist for precious metals.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Learn more about Augusta Precious Metals and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to:
https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU -
Everyone is talking about the Trump-Xi summit as if this is going to be some decisive turning point for China, global trade, maybe even the whole world economy. And, sure, politically, it’s a huge deal. Markets love the idea of the two leaders in the same room because everyone wants to believe a handshake can undo tariffs, trade wars, supply chain chaos, and years of deteriorating relations.
But the latest bank lending data out of China says something VERY different.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
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What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?
That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8b7ub5T4fYk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pang-t16vNw
https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU -
Two of the oldest political parties are in danger of being completely wiped out in the UK. Rate of change in the economy goes down, rate of change in politics goes way up. Both the Labor and Tories are on the ropes right now, especially labor after the latest local election results were a bloodbath for them. An entirely new UK system is right now emerging from the aftermath – but aftermath of what? A huge warning.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
What is a Eurodollar University membership? It’s where understanding the monetary world isn’t a mystery—it's a method. If you’re serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you’re in the right place.Or go even deeper with our Deep Dive Analysis. Get all the tools to fill in the huge gaps you didn't even know were there.
Click the link to visit https://eurodollar.university/memberships and join today.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------French Jobless Rate Jumps Above 8% for First Time Since 2021
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-13/french-unemployment-jumps-above-8-for-first-time-in-five-yearsFarage’s Reform UK wins big in local elections, splintering two-party system and piling pressure on Starmer
https://www.cnn.com/2026/05/08/uk/uk-local-election-reform-farage-starmer-intlhttps://www.bbc.com/news/live/c1428pev1n0t
https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU -
The stock market was going to boom either way. Payrolls could have been plus 200 or minus 200, indexes were going to soar no matter what. Either the economy is robust or the other would mean the Fed will be forced to cut a lot of rates. But what the jobs data actually showed, no one was looking for. Complete shock yet again. Sure, the payroll number did what the payroll number always does, it was everything else.
Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre
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Learn more about Augusta Precious Metals and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU -
Five major developments in the credit crisis/bust. BlackRock, JP Morgan, Blue Owl, Apollo and another big run on a big fund. Private credit didn't go anywhere, the situation keeps escalating and each one of these represents more significant confirmation of the shift toward toxic waste status. From asset valuations to more losses at big names, the behavior has radically changed.
Eurodollar University Money & Macro Analysis
Gundlach Warns Investors Will Lose Money on Private Credit
https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/gundlach-warns-investors-lose-money-200041360.htmlBlackRock Private Credit Fund Cuts Asset Value on Markdowns
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-07/blackrock-private-debt-fund-cuts-asset-value-on-loan-markdownsJPMorgan-Led Group Eyes $500 Million Loss on Qualtrics Debt
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-06/jpmorgan-led-group-eyes-500-million-loss-on-qualtrics-debtBlue Owl adviser sued over allegedly inflating fund values, charging excessive fees
https://www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/blue-owl-adviser-sued-over-allegedly-inflating-fund-values-charging-excessive-2026-04-28/Apollo CEO Rowan warns of market correction, slams ‘egregious’ practices at rival insurers
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/06/apollo-ceo-rowan-market-correction-rival-insurers.htmlApollo to Give Investors Daily Pricing on Private Credit By September
https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/apollo-to-give-investors-daily-pricing-on-private-credit-by-september-44a2c84b$10 Billion Golub Fund Caps Outflows After Requests for 8.5%
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-07/-10-billion-golub-fund-caps-outflows-after-requests-for-8-5 -
McDonald’s CEO says the consumer environment is certainly not improving and may be getting a little worse after the company reported better than expected past results. Those mainly before the gas prices jumped. Jumping over to big ticket items like appliances, Whirlpool, the company that employs the Maytag Man, it compared the current consumer climate to – not joking – 2008-09 as the cracks of demand destruction are indeed beginning to grow wider and becoming more noticeable. The Maytag man is somewhere right now polishing his resume.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
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What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?
That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider
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McDonald’s CEO says consumer spending could be ‘getting a little bit worse’
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/07/mcdonalds-mcd-q1-2026-earnings.htmlEarnings call transcript: Whirlpool Q1 2026 results fall short, stock drops
https://ca.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/earnings-call-transcript-whirlpool-q1-2026-results-fall-short-stock-drops-93CH-4618415April 2026 National Poll: Iran, the economy, and the 2026/2028 elections
https://www.generationlab.org/state-of-young-peopleChallenger Gray & Christmas April 2026
https://www.challengergray.com/blog/challenger-report-april-job-cuts-rise-38-from-march-ytd-cuts-down-50/https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU -
The stock market was not happy with HSBC. The banking giant reported what should have been a small nothing, a $400mm loss on a loan to an Irish entity with a name that sounds like a Star Wars droid. AGF WHCO 1-A5. But that $400mm loan and loss ended up pulling back the curtain a little more on the current credit crisis. As did the comments from Apollo’s CEO, where he used the words “contagion” and “egregious.”
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
-----------------------------------------------
What is a Eurodollar University membership? It’s where understanding the monetary world isn’t a mystery—it's a method. If you’re serious about your financial education and want clarity in a world of volatility and massive uncertainty, you’re in the right place.
Ready to explore? Master monetary systems – past and future - with structure, clarity, and confidence. Visit https://eurodollar.university/membership
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https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU -
According to the Energy Information Administration, the national average price for gasoline was $4.26 per gallon at the end of April and it was largely stable throughout last month. Not good. Certainly painful. But wholesale gas price has exploded higher in recent weeks and that means retail gas prices are about to do the same thing. The wholesale cost points to a nationwide pump price of $5. Not next month, soon.
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
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Learn more about Augusta Precious Metals and what they have to offer - including physical gold for IRA accounts - by going to https://EurodollarGold.com or text EURO to 35052.
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Just a Few Stocks Driving S&P 500 Rally Triggers Dot-Com Bubble Flashbacks
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-05/dot-com-bubble-flashbacks-triggered-by-lack-of-s-p-500-breadthRCM/TIPP Steadies In May As Stress Eases
https://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2026/05/05/rcmtipp_steadies_in_may_as_stress_eases_1180584.htmlhttps://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU - Show more
