Episodes
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Amid a strong U.S. economy and potentially inflationary policies from the incoming administration, yields may remain higher for longer. High-income assets will likely benefit, but investors should avoid complacency, particularly given the unpredictability of macroeconomic factors. In the current installment of The Roundup, Oaktree experts examine the risks and opportunities in various asset classes, from financing solutions for life sciences companies and signs of stabilizing real estate valuations to the implications of China’s stimulus measures and the recent surge in convertible bond issuance.
You can read The Roundup here (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/december-2024-edition-roundup.pdf?sfvrsn=c6d95466_5).
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In the latest episode of The Insight: Conversations, Armen Panossian (Co-CEO and Head of Performing Credit), Brendan Beer (Co-Portfolio Manager, Structured Credit and Asset-Backed Finance) and Jennifer Marques (Head of Strategy and Structuring, Asset-Backed Finance) discuss topics from the recently published Performing Credit Quarterly 3Q2024: Who Are the Lenders Now? They examine the current state of the credit markets, narrowing in on the evolution of one growing area of private credit, asset-backed finance. They explore the shifting lender base of this unique asset class, assess how ABF differs from corporate direct lending, and look at several prominent sectors within this broad universe.
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Missing episodes?
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In the latest Performing Credit Quarterly, Armen Panossian (Co-CEO and Head of Performing Credit) and Danielle Poli (Assistant Portfolio Manager, Global Credit) explore the next frontier of private credit: asset-backed finance. They discuss how major regulatory changes are causing traditional lenders to retrench from the space, leaving a significant financing void. They also look at several other trends affecting credit markets, including the first Fed cut of the cycle, the return of M&A and LBO activity, and the rise of PIK within private credit.
You can read the 3Q2024 PCQ here (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/pcq-3q2024.pdf?sfvrsn=89935466_5).
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Where are we currently in the credit cycle? Why might issuers be delaying their day of reckoning? And how are investors using demographic shifts to find new opportunities in the real estate market? In the latest episode of The Insight: Conversations, Robert O’Leary (co-CEO), Steve Tesoriere (Co-Portfolio Manager, Value Opportunities), Kenya Williams (Senior Real Estate Product Specialist), and Nicole Adrien (Chief Product Officer and Global Head of Client Relations) discuss these and other topics from the recently published edition of The Roundup: Top Takeaways from Oaktree’s Quarterly Letters.
You can listen to the September 2024 edition of The Roundup in the previous episode in this feed, or read it here (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/insight-commentary/market-commentary/the-roundup-top-takeaways-from-oaktree-s-quarterly-letters-september-2024-edition).
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The Federal Reserve’s highly telegraphed interest rate cut in September has created a new market dynamic: interest rates are set to moderate, but perhaps not enough to help many companies still facing extraordinary debt burdens. In the current installment of The Roundup, Oaktree experts, including co-CEO Robert O’Leary, explore various topics related to the evolving investment landscape, including the increasing prevalence of liability management exercises, demographic shifts creating opportunities in the real estate market, and much more.
You can read The Roundup here (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/september-2024-edition-roundup.pdf?sfvrsn=713e5566_3).
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In this special edition of The Insight: Conversations, we’re airing an excerpt from the private credit panel held at Oaktree’s recent biannual client conference in London on May 15, 2024. Key members of Oaktree’s private credit platform discuss how the asset class has evolved in recent years and where it may be heading next. They explore the dramatic growth of private capital, the evolving relationship with traditional lenders, and the expanding opportunities in asset-backed finance.
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The disparity between the haves and the have-nots has widened meaningfully in the U.S. economy over the last year. As a result, healthy aggregate macroeconomic indicators have often obscured the weakness building among pockets of the population. In the latest episode of The Insight: Conversations, Armen Panossian (Co-CEO and Head of Performing Credit) and Wayne Dahl (Co-Portfolio Manager, Global Credit) consider how this dual economy is impacting credit investors as they discuss topics from the recently published Performing Credit Quarterly 2Q2024: The Dual Economy (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/insight-commentary/market-commentary/performing-credit-quarterly-2q2024-the-dual-economy).
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In the latest Performing Credit Quarterly, Armen Panossian (Co-CEO and Head of Performing Credit) and Danielle Poli (Assistant Portfolio Manager, Global Credit) discuss how conflicting trends in the bifurcated U.S. economy are sending mixed signals and creating challenges for both central bankers and investors. They discuss the potential implications for credit investors and how many companies with unstable capital structures may no longer be able to keep kicking the can down the road if interest rates remain elevated and pockets of the economy weaken.
You can read the 2Q2024 PCQ here (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/pcq-2q2024.pdf?sfvrsn=73d75566_3).
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In a special edition of The Insight: Conversations, you’ll hear excerpts from multiple sessions held during Oaktree’s recent biannual client conference. Oaktree co-chairman Howard Marks does a deep dive into his sea change thesis, members of Oaktree’s Global Credit team examine the most significant trends impacting the high yield bond and leveraged loan markets, and Oaktree’s Opportunistic Credit team explores key themes reshaping today’s restructuring environment.
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Oaktree recently held its biennial client conference featuring presentations from co-chairman Howard Marks, co-CEOs Robert O’Leary and Armen Panossian, and many other key Oaktree thought leaders. In a special edition of The Roundup, we’ve highlighted various topics discussed at Oaktree Conference 2024, including the next frontier of private credit, dislocation in India’s corporate debt markets, and the potentially once-in-a-generation opportunity in commercial real estate.
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Where are we in the market cycle? Why is it healthy to be uncertain? And what does it mean to actually “be opportunistic”? In the latest episode of The Insight: Conversations, Howard Marks (Co-Chairman), Armen Panossian (Co-CEO), and David Rosenberg (Head of Liquid Performing Credit) discuss these and other topics from the recently published Performing Credit Quarterly 1Q2024: Unusually Uncertain.
You can listen to the Performing Credit Quarterly 1Q2024 in the prior episode in this feed.
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Oaktree co-chairman Howard Marks recently noted that many investors today are feeling “unusually uncertain” about the future of the economy and financial markets. In the latest Performing Credit Quarterly, Armen Panossian (co-CEO and Head of Performing Credit) and Danielle Poli (Assistant Portfolio Manager, Global Credit) explore the pockets of risk and opportunity emerging in this environment and the potential implications for credit investors. Plus, we’ve included excerpts from Howard’s recent market update to Oaktree clients.
You can read the 1Q2024 PCQ here (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/pcq-1q2024.pdf?sfvrsn=9bdf5666_3).
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What were some of the biggest surprises in credit markets during the first quarter? Why might global convertibles be set for a rebound? And why do many Chinese equities look more attractive today than they did a year ago? In the latest episode of The Insight: Conversations, Robert O’Leary (co-CEO), Armen Panossian (co-CEO), Jean-Pierre Latrille (Portfolio Manager, Global Convertibles), and Janet Wang (Co-Portfolio Manager, Emerging Markets Equities) discuss these and other topics from the recently published edition of The Roundup: Top Takeaways from Oaktree’s Quarterly Letters.
You can listen to the March 2024 edition of The Roundup in the previous episode in this feed, or read it here (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/insight-commentary/market-commentary/the-roundup-top-takeaways-from-oaktrees-quarterly-letters-march-2024).
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In this installment of The Roundup, you’ll learn what Oaktree’s new co-CEOs, Robert O’Leary and Armen Panossian, think about today’s investment environment. You’ll also find insights about opportunistic credit, asset-backed finance, the Chinese equity market, and more.
You can read The Roundup here (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/insight-commentary/market-commentary/the-roundup-top-takeaways-from-oaktrees-quarterly-letters-march-2024).
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Learn about the next generation of private credit with Pierre-Antoine de Selancy, Cofounder and Managing Partner of 17Capital. 17Capital, which partnered with Oaktree in 2022, is a market leader in NAV finance. Pierre-Antoine explains what NAV finance is, why it has become so popular, and why its growth is likely to accelerate in the coming years.
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Learn all about NAV finance, a rapidly growing segment of the private credit landscape, in this explainer, which was authored by Armen Panossian (Co-CEO and Head of Performing Credit) and Pierre-Antoine de Selancy (Cofounder and Managing Partner, 17Capital). They discuss the evolution of NAV finance, the benefits for both lenders and borrowers, and the area’s dramatic growth in recent years. They argue that NAV finance is likely to play a crucial role in the next generation of private finance.
You can read NAV Finance 101 here (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/insight-commentary/education/nav-finance-101-the-next-generation-of-private-credit).
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Which macroeconomic tailwinds are weakening and potentially turning into headwinds? Why may it now be easier to find a signal amid the economic noise? And what are the implications for credit investors? In the latest episode of The Insight: Conversations, Armen Panossian (incoming co-CEO and Head of Performing Credit), Danielle Poli (Assistant Portfolio Manager, Global Credit), and Wayne Dahl (Co-Portfolio Manager, Global Credit) discuss these and other topics from the recently published Performing Credit Quarterly 4Q2023: The Goldilocks Trap.
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In the latest Performing Credit Quarterly, Armen Panossian (Head of Performing Credit) and Danielle Poli (Assistant Portfolio Manager, Global Credit) discuss the “Goldilocks thinking” prevalent in today’s markets, highlighting the potential pitfalls and opportunities it’s creating. At a time when several long- and short-term economic tailwinds appear to be weakening, they consider the risk of assuming that everything will be just fine.
You can read the 4Q2023 PCQ here (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/insight-commentary/market-commentary/performing-credit-quarterly-4q2023-the-goldilocks-trap).
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What is a “normal” investment environment? What might a recession in 2024 mean for liquid credit? What’s happening in life sciences lending today? Find out by listening to the latest episode of The Insight: Conversations with Howard Marks (Co-Chairman), David Rosenberg (Co-Portfolio Manager, Global Credit), and Aman Kumar (Co-Portfolio Manager, Life Sciences Lending). They discuss topics from the December edition of The Roundup: Top Takeaways from Oaktree’s Quarterly Letters and consider what investors should focus on as we enter 2024 – and what remains unknowable.
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In 2023, credit markets have experienced dramatic swings in investor sentiment, unexpected geopolitical events, and the second consecutive year of rising interest rates. In the current installment of The Roundup, Oaktree experts consider where opportunities and risks are emerging in various assets classes – including high yield bonds, CLOs, and European real estate – and co-chairman Howard Marks considers what “normal” may mean in this unsettled environment.
You can read The Roundup here (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/december-2023-edition-roundup.pdf?sfvrsn=d67b5166_8).
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