Episodios

  • Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.
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    __
    Timestamps:
    (00:00) Introduction
    (02:37) The Fed's Quadrilemma
    (09:46) The Fed's Views Of The Beveridge Curve and Phillips Curve
    (34:06) VanEck Ad
    (34:46) The Slow Death Of The Interbank Lending Market (AKA Fed Funds Market)
    (38:27) Fed Should Adopt Once More A "Bills-Only" Policy
    (43:21) Lehman: A Retrospective
    (48:47) Fannie & Freddie's Role In Facilitating The Growth Of Subprime Securitized Products
    (50:46) Moral Hazard In The Banking System Before The Great Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008
    (01:02:48) Lehman's Biggest Exposure Was Commercial Real Estate (CRE & CMBS), Not Subprime Residential (RMBS)

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    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

  • Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.
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    __

    Timestamps:
    00:00 Introduction
    17:39 VanEck Ad

    __
    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

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  • Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.
    William English’s work at the Yale Program on Financial Stability: https://som.yale.edu/faculty-research/faculty-directory/william-b-english
    William English’s co-authored new book, “Monetary Policy Responses to Post-Pandemic Inflation”: https://cepr.org/about/news/press-release-new-cepr-ebook-monetary-policy-responses-post-pandemic-inflation
    William English’s co-authored Chapter on the Fed’s Balance Sheet: https://www.elgaronline.com/edcollchap/book/9781800375321/book-part-9781800375321-7.xml
    William English’s 2012 paper on the rationale and effects of QE: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/the-federal-reserve39s-large-scale-asset-purchase-programs-rationale-and-effects.htm
    “Interest Rate Risk and Bank Equity Valuations”: https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds/interest-rate-risks-and-bank-equity-valuations.htm
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    __

    Timestamps:
    (00:00) Introduction
    (01:31) Fiscal Policy & Monetary Policy Never Really Were Separated. But It Would Nice If They Were
    (03:49) Do High Interest Rates Dissuade Government Borrowing?
    (07:09) The Fed Doesn't Like To Discuss Fiscal Policy
    (09:53) The Fed's Balance Sheet Expansion of 2020 & 2021
    (13:57) The Effects of Quantitative Easing (QE), In Theory And Practice
    (18:59) I Don't Remember Us (The Fed) Thinking A Lot About Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP)
    (23:41) VanEck Ad
    (24:22) The October 2008 Decision To Allow The Fed To Pay Interest On Reserves Assisted the Implementation of Quantitative Easing (QE), Which Began ~1 Month Later
    (29:15) The Striking Thing About The Asset Purchases Was The Size
    (32:32) Forward Guidance vs. QE: Which Is More Powerful, And Which Has More Knock-on Effects?
    (36:27) Forward Guidance Is More Powerful When Initial Market Expectations About Future Policy Rates Are Incorrect
    (44:37) Flexible Average Inflation Targeting (FAIT) Framework Adopted By The Fed In 2020
    (52:48) Fast QE & Slow QT = Secular Rise In Size of Fed Balance Sheet
    (57:27) Fed's Decision To Slow Pace of QT Was Due To Desire To Avoid a "Snafu" In Money Markets Such As In September 2019
    (01:02:36) The Bernanke Doctrine: Should Interest Rate Policy & Balance Sheet Policy Always Be Pointed In The Same Direction?
    (01:07:12) If Balance Sheet Policy Is Moving The Opposite Direction Of Interest Rate Policy, Does That Weaken The Signaling Impact Of Balance Sheet Policy?
    (01:11:50) Lowest Comfortable Level of Reserves (LCLoR)
    (01:19:34) Impact Of Interest Rate Movements On Bank Equity Valuations

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    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

  • Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.
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    __
    Timestamps:
    (00:00) Introduction
    (00:33) China Exporting Deflationary Pressure
    (05:20) "Froth" In Commodities
    (11:27) The Future Of Fiscal Policy In The U.S.
    (19:41) VanEck Ad
    (20:21) How Forward Looking Will Central Bankers Be?
    (34:35) Chinese National Accounts And Flows
    (41:21) War And Finance
    (45:30) Bank of Japan
    (54:57) Bond Market & Fixed-Income Trades
    (01:06:16) Currency Trades on The Yen & Yuan
    __
    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

  • In this episode, Keone from Monad and Zon from Initia to discuss the spectrum between modular and integrated blockchain designs. They explore the tradeoffs in decentralization, performance and scalability between the two approaches. They explore AppChains, rollups, composability challenges in modular systems, EVM compatibility, and when to scale blockchains horizontally vs vertically. To close out Keone and Zon also share valuable insights on building Web3 communities organically. Thanks for tuning in!
    - -
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    --
    (00:00) Introduction
    (03:24) Modular vs Integrated
    (11:47) Who are Appchains for?
    (28:58) Composability in Modular World
    (36:15) Monad's Endgame
    (39:47) Importance of Decentralization
    (48:05) Building Web3 Community
    --
    Disclaimer:

    Expansion was kickstarted by a grant from the Celestia Foundation.

    Nothing said on Expansion is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Rex, Jon, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

  • Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.

    Jens Nordvig on Twitter https://x.com/jnordvig
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    __
    Timestamps:
    (00:00) Introduction
    (00:53) Japan
    (11:48) Wages Are Rising In Japan
    (16:45) The Effective End Of Yield Curve Control (YCC) In Japan
    (22:57) When Will The Bank of Japan Raise Interest Rates?
    (25:03) VanEck Ad
    (26:43) How High Will The Bank of Japan (BOJ) Go?
    (33:12) Jens' View On The Japanese Yen
    (56:00) Jens' Updated Views On U.S. Dollar And U.S. Rates

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    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

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    --
    This week Jack Farley joins us to discuss the biggest stories of the week. With economic data showing early signs of slowing, we deep dive into why inflation is still a problem for most citizens & although we are not in a recession, we are very much so in a "vibecession". Enjoy!
    --
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    --
    Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii
    --
    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

  • Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.
    Jason Shapiro on Twitter https://x.com/Crowded_Mkt_Rpt
    Jason Shapiro website https://www.crowdedmarketreport.com/
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    __
    Timestamps:
    (00:00) Introduction
    (00:41) Jason Is "Neutral" On Stocks
    (03:14) If Stocks Don't Rally On A Lower-Than-Expected PCE Number, There's Trouble
    (06:30) Copper Has Become "The Favorite Trade On The Planet"
    (13:00) Central Banks Have Painted Themselves Into A Corner
    (20:50) "I Would Not Be Super Aggressive Here"
    (22:37) VanEck Ad
    (23:17) Jack's Push-Back Against "The Endgame" Take
    (26:31) Trading Off A Macro View Is Dangerous As Hell
    (27:37) Nvidia: The Mag One
    (36:49) Bond Market Positioning
    (41:10) U.S. Government Is Running A Pro-Cyclical Fiscal Deficit
    (43:50) Jason Doesn't Trade On His Macro View Of Money-Printing Endgame, In The Same Way That A Profitable Sportsbetter From New York Doesn't Bet On The Knicks
    (44:56) Barron's Roundtable Portfolio Is Up 2% This Year (Compared to 12% S&P 500)
    (51:31) Jason's View Of Market Breadth
    (56:49) Jason Is "Not A Big Believer In Chinese Stocks"
    (01:06:15) Babyish Sentiment (People Freaking Out About Stock Market Being 5% Off Its Highs) Is Probably A Bullish Sign Argues Jason
    (01:09:06) On A Short-Term Basis Jason Prefers Bonds To Stocks. What Would Have To Happen For That To Change?
    __
    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

  • Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.
    Jack Ryan’s book: https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/Bringing-Adam-Smith-into-the-American-Home/Jack-Ryan/9798888451946
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    __

    Timestamps:
    (00:00) Introduction
    (01:01) The Residential Agency Brokerage Business Is “The Largest Cartel In The U.S.” Argues Jack Ryan
    (18:01) Is This Legal?
    (23:24) Role of Multiple Listing Services (MLSs)
    (28:32) Zillow’s Business Model
    (35:24) VanEck Ad
    (36:04) Rex’s Plans To Go Public Disintegrated After Material Slowdown In Business Upon Zillow Change
    (39:39) Long And Short Ideas If Brokerage Fees Were To Go Down
    (44:26) If Brokerage Is Such A Good Business, Where Are All The Excess Profits?
    (48:40) How Zillow’s Business Decision May Have Impacted Rex Homes
    (54:11) Rex’s Lawsuit Against Zillow, NAR, and Trulia
    (01:05:55) National Association of Realtors (NAR) Has A Grip On Washington DC
    (01:11:59) Closing Thoughts On Strength Of U.S. Housing Market
    __
    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

  • Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.
    Kyla Scanlon’s Book, “In This Economy?” https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/737854/in-this-economy-by-kyla-scanlon/
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    __
    Timestamps:
    (00:00) Introduction
    (00:19) In This Economy?
    (07:44) How Are The Vibes Right Now
    (11:43) Does The U.S. Have A Housing Crisis?
    (14:21) VanEck Ad
    (15:02) Does The U.S. Have A Housing Crisis? (continued)
    (19:45) Declinism & Doomerism
    (27:23) Wealth & Income Inequality In The U.S.
    (32:46) Political Polarization
    (34:16) The Origin Of Money
    (36:10) MMT & Debt
    (40:48) Elder Care & Child Care Costs
    __
    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

  • Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.
    __
    Views expressed by James Fishback in this interview are solely his own and do not necessarily reflect the views of Jack Farley, Forward Guidance, Blockworks, or any other associated parties.
    Although the title “head of macro” plays a central role in this ongoing legal dispute, James Fishback notes in this interview that his complaint also concerns his role in Greenlight’s macro returns during his employment. Recorded the evening of May 22, 2024.
    James Fishback vs. Greenlight Capital: https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rGPZD1CfIoZE/v0
    Greenlight Capital vs. James Fishback:
    https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/r61keEZ5nJ1k/v0
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    __
    Timestamps:
    (00:00) Introduction
    (06:08) Job Offer And Title
    (12:31) When Did James First Consider Himself To Be The Head of Macro?
    (20:21) Greenlight's Two Loans To Fishback (Totaling $337,346.12 Before Accrued Interest, Totaling $345,698.65 After Accrued Interest)
    (23:48) Van Eck Ad
    (24:28) How To Define "Running Macro Investing"
    (31:04) Written Evidence Of Greenlight Employees Referring To James As The "Head Of Macro"
    (50:15) James Considers David Einhorn's "Tweet Heard Round The World" an "Insult" And "A Lie"
    (56:52) Fishback: "I've Always Had The Itch To Be Entrepreneurial"
    (58:04) James' Resignation From Greenlight In Early August 2023
    (01:02:23) Fishback: A Billionaire Demanding That A Public University Take Down Content From A Student Organization Is A "Flagrant Violation Of The First Amendment"
    (01:03:23) Political Differences Between James Fishback And David Einhorn
    (01:10:17) James Fishback's Market Views: The Fed's "Lemonhead Problem"
    (01:14:07) Fishback: Fixed-Rate Liabilities And Floating-Rate Assets Means Fed's Interest Rate Hikes Have Actually Been Net Stimulative
    (01:19:17) Higher For Longer
    (01:27:05) Why James Thinks Donald Trump Will Win The 2024 Presidential Election
    (01:35:08) James' Bullish View On USD / JPY (Taking Advantage of Forward Curve)
    (01:42:12) Fishback's View Of U.S. Stock Market, AI, And Microsoft
    (01:46:37) Options & Path Dependency
    (01:48:29) View On Long-Term Bonds (Duration)
    __
    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

  • Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.
    __
    Follow Mel Mattison on Twitter https://x.com/MelMattison1
    Mel Mattison’s book https://www.melmattison.com/quoz
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    __
    Timestamps:
    (00:00) Introduction
    (00:37) Mel’s Background
    (04:13) The More Debt Is Created, The More Investors Want It (Story of Past 50 Years)
    (06:59) Mel On Gold And Stock Market
    (11:31) Inflating The Debt Away: The 1940s Playbook
    (14:30) The Pre-Bretton Woods “Sterling Standard”
    (17:36) Offshore Dollars (“Eurodollars”)
    (24:23) The Debt Spiral: Comparison to 1920s
    (27:56) VanEck Ad
    (28:38) Why Now?
    (37:01) Great Depression
    (43:24) Social Security = Ticking Time Bomb, Mel Argues
    (48:30) Isn’t There A Self-Regulating Cycle Where Rising Bond Yields Slow Down The Economy (Which In Turn Creates Demand For Duration & Cash)?
    (59:14) Timing: 2027
    (01:04:52) Social Security Funding
    (01:17:01) Gold and Inflation
    (01:28:22) Mel’s Book, QUOZ
    __
    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

  • Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck.
    Learn more about VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) http://vaneck.com/HODLFG.
    VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/us/hodlprospectus.
    __
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    __
    Timestamps:
    (00:00) Introduction
    (00:30) Nick Favors Stocks Over Bonds Until He Sees Data That Say Otherwise
    (05:25) Potential For An Bond Auction Failure
    (06:44) U.S Government Borrowing: Treasury Bills vs. Treasury Coupons
    (21:49) Conditions At Recent Treasury Market Auctions
    (25:13) Short Bonds, But Not Wildly Bearish
    (26:13) VanEck Ad
    (27:14) Is Yield Curve Steepener Trade Positive Carry or Negative Carry?
    (28:43) Inflation Volatility Is Bad For Term Premia
    (33:13) Bull Steepener vs. Bear Steepener: How Will The Yield Curve Uninvert?
    (39:10) Bull Steepeners Usually Occur Faster Than Bear Steepeners (Nick Thinks Bull Steepener Could Be More Likely)
    (54:24) Volatility In The Bond Market
    (01:02:21) Relative to Bonds, Nick Is Bullish On Stocks
    (01:07:49) The Labor Market
    (01:09:53) GameStop and the Return of Meme Stocks
    __
    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

  • Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck.
    Learn more about VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) http://vaneck.com/HODLFG.
    VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/us/hodlprospectus.
    __
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    __
    Timestamps
    (00:00) Introduction
    (01:07) An Overview Of Currencies
    (09:19) The U.S. Dollar As A Hedge
    (20:14) The Bond Market Is Not Safe
    (25:41) Economic Outlook
    (29:27) VanEck Ad
    (30:28)
    (34:02) Central Banks Management Of Currencies
    (36:23) Emerging Market Currencies
    (42:12) U.S. Trade Deficit And Fiscal Deficit
    (45:08) Looking Back At Dollar Bear Market of 2000-2007
    (49:05) China Is Screwed: Dicker on Chinese Yuan (CNY)
    (01:00:27) View On Stock Market
    (01:02:42) Which Are You More Bearish On, The Euro Or The Yen?
    __

    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

  • Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck.
    Learn more about VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) http://vaneck.com/HODLFG.
    VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/us/hodlprospectus.
    __
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    __
    Timestamps:
    (00:00) Introduction
    (00:24) Debt Service Ratio In U.S. Means Higher Interest Rates Haven't Caused Interest Expense To Skyrocket
    (02:37) The "Higher Interest Rates Are Stimulative" Argument Has Gone War Too Far
    (06:45) Outside Of The U.S., Higher Interest Rates Already HAVE Had A Big Effect
    (08:46) Private Debt, Not Public Debt, Is The Cause Of Most Modern Financial Crises
    (11:23) Eurozone Countries Can't Print Their Own Currency The Way A Monetary Sovereign Can
    (14:04) Is Government Deficit The Surplus Of The Private Sector?
    (21:43) VanEck ad
    (22:50) Making Money And Being Right Are Often Different Things
    (25:13) Is Private Sector Investment "Crowded Out" By Government Borrowing?
    (26:51) The Four Factors That Impact Interest Rate Sensitivity Of An Economy
    (29:53) U.S. Recession Risk Is Underpriced By Interest Rate Futures Market
    (32:28) If Nominal GDP Comes In Below Consensus, Stocks Could Rally (Rather Than Sell-off)
    (37:16) Macro Carry Strategies
    (42:52) The Case For A Bull Steepener (Short-Term Yields Fall More Than Long-Term Yields)
    (44:45) Weighing Probabilities Of Soft Landing vs. Recession vs. No Landing
    __
    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

  • Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck.
    Learn more about VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) http://vaneck.com/HODLFG.
    VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/us/hodlprospectus.
    __
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    __
    Timestamps:
    (00:00) Introduction
    (00:16) The Script
    (02:49) Andy's Current View: Bearish On Stocks And Bonds, Bullish on Two-Year Notes
    (04:17) Bond Market Might Be Underpricing The Chance Of A Recession
    (07:29) Treasury Plumbing (Quarterly Refunding Announcement)
    (13:10) At What Point Will Buyers Return To The Treasury Market?
    (17:13) VaEck Ad
    (18:15) How To Trade Something That Has So Many Drivers (Such As S&P 500)
    (22:35) Stock Bond Correlation
    (30:17) May Fed Meeting
    (31:36) Odds That The Fed Hikes In 2024 (Rather Than Cuts)
    (33:28) Andy Likes Two Year Notes Even Though He Thinks The Fed Could Not Cut At All This Year
    (34:59) Andy Gets In-The-Weeds On Options-Implied Path of Fed Policy
    (39:05) What Would It Take For Andy To Become Bullish On Stocks?
    (41:24) Gold's Sudden Rise
    (44:53) The Japanese Yen
    (46:54) The Pressures On Interest Rates Will Emanate From The United States
    (47:37) Chinese Equity Market
    (49:35) Fed's Decision To Taper Quantitative Tightening (QT)

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    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

  • Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck.
    Learn more about VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) http://vaneck.com/HODLFG.
    VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/us/hodlprospectus.
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    Timestamps:
    (00:00) Introduction
    (12:50) Does China Face A Choice Between Deflation And Devaluation?
    (19:38) VanEck Ad
    (20:39) The Long-Term Debt Cycle
    (29:30) How To Invest For A Recession Free Future
    (34:40) Lags In Healthcare And Shelter Measures of Inflation
    (42:03) The Fed
    (55:20) Age Of Secularly High Inflation
    (01:04:20) The Japanese Yen
    (01:17:20) Asset Allocation Within Equity Space

    __
    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

  • For access to 20% discount to annual subscription of Danielle DiMartino Booth’s “Daily Feather”: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/forward
    Or use code “FORWARD” at checkout. Deal expires on May 23, 2024. 20% discount applies to first year subscription.
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    Timestamps:
    (00:00) Introduction
    (01:46) The QT Taper
    (05:25) Was The May FOMC Meeting A Dovish or a Hawkish Meeting?
    (09:01) The Fed Is Now Focusing On The Softening Labor Market, Argues Danielle DiMartino Booth
    (22:53) U.S. Economy Entered Recession In October, Argues Danielle DiMartino Booth
    (29:53) Consumer Spending
    (33:11) Layoffs in 2024
    (36:22) New Neutral Rate Of Interest
    (38:32) Private Equity & Private Credit
    (47:07) The Bernanke Doctrine
    (51:24) Basel III Endgame
    (56:33) Dissents
    __
    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

  • This is a paid sponsorship on behalf of Van Eck Associates Corporation.
    Today’s episode of Forward Guidance is a special fireside chat with Pranav Kanade, portfolio manager of the VanEck Digital Assets Alpha Fund. Kanade shares his philosophy for investing in crypto, and discusses his views on Prior to joining VanEck, Mr. Kanade worked as a Credit Portfolio Manager at Millennium Management.
    Pranav’s Substack: https://killerapps.substack.com/
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    Timestamps:
    (00:00) Introduction
    (00:31) Kanade's Journey Into Crypto
    (10:43) Kanade's Investment Philosophy
    (13:55) Is Crypto In A New Bull Market?
    (35:32) Leverage And Funding Rates
    (38:01) How Macro (And The Federal Reserve) Impacts Crypto
    (48:45) Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Network (DePIN)
    (52:42) Tesla
    (54:54) Crypto Venture Capitalists (VCs)
    (58:15) Eth vs. Sol
    (01:01:12) At This Stage, Most AI Crypto Things Is "Nonsense"
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    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

  • This week Harris Kupperman returns to the show for a discussion on how he is thinking about markets in 2024. Expecting bonds to continue selling off, will equity markets crumble or continue to melt up as fiscal dominance takes the reigns?

    Harris then shares his thoughts on some of the best opportunities he is seeing in markets such as oil, gold miners, uranium & more. Enjoy!
    --
    Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck.

    Learn more about VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) http://vaneck.com/HODLFG.

    VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) Prospectus: https://vaneck.com/us/hodlprospectus.
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    --
    (00:00) Introduction
    (01:14) Nobody's Ready For Higher Inflation
    (02:59) Will The Fed Cut Rates In 2024?
    (05:26) Gold
    (09:25) Oil
    (17:04) VanEck Ad
    (18:07) The Uranium Trade
    (30:37) Gaining Gold Exposure vs Owning The Miners
    (37:06) The A.I Trade & Investing In Your Circle Of Competence
    (39:59) Bitcoin
    (42:58) The Bond Market Sell-Off Can Continue
    --
    Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.