Episodios
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Christopher Luxon’s made the right call not going to Waitangi next year.
He's probably going to cop it from the press gallery for being a wuss but most of us have been around long enough to see the logic in this.
We know by now that Waitangi is volatile and unpredictable at the best of times. You can cop a dildo in the face for doing nothing.
So imagine how intense it will be next year with the Treaty Principles bill debate in full swing and the select committee progress already underway.
Already Willie Jackson has warned the Prime Minister about his safety if he goes up there because apparently Māori are angry.
And as Willie Jackson says, "you just never know".
It’s hardly as if Luxon is being made to feel welcome.
He’s apparently been told he’s allowed to come on the 6th but not on the 4th because he’s not welcome at the big meeting the National Iwi Chairs Forum hosts every year.
He’s had a letter from the hikoi organisers telling him he’s not welcome at Waitangi at all.
Luxon loses nothing by giving it a miss. I doubt very much he’ll win votes by going.
But he could actually lose votes by going and standing there like a piñata, taking a verbal bashing over a bill that’s actually not his.
He’s better off leaving the defending to the guy who’s actually responsible for the bill, David Seymour, who says he is going.
So Luxon I think can say he’s done enough, he's been there two years in a row already, he’s shown respect and defended his corner and he’s not being made to feel welcome.
He’s been threatened.
Right-minded people will absolutely, I think, understand why he may not want to go and why he frankly shouldn't.
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There’s an expectation that weakness in the last economic quarter is behind the country's slump.
Stats NZ reports gross domestic product dropped 1% in the September quarter.
We're now in our deepest recession since the Covid-driven slump of 2020.
Westpac Senior Economist Michael Gordon told Heather du Plessis-Allan that the grind the country has been experiencing throughout the year is now showing up a bit more fully than in the last GDP numbers.
He says one thing that stood out was the recognition of the cutbacks in the public sector, which weren’t being fully captured in the figures from three months ago.
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On the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast for Friday 20th of December, the terrible economic news continues to get worse with the significant GDP drop and New Zealand is officially back in a recession.
Liam Lawson has finally been given the Red Bull seat the F1 world knew was already his, so commentator and former McLaren race team member Bob McMurray joined Heather du Plessis-Allan to share his thoughts.
Trish Sherson and Tim Wilson joined Heather to Wrap the Year in the final segment of 2024.
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Red Bull have given Liam Lawson his Formula 1 wings.
Lawson will take the Red Bull team's second seat for 2025 following the departure of Sergio Perez.
The Kiwi driver has raced 11 times across the previous two seasons as an emergency or mid-season replacement.
F1 Commentator Bob McMurray told Heather du Plessis-Allan that the task in front of Lawson is massive.
He says he’ll be expected to match —or better— a four-time world champion in a team he’s moulded around himself.
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Ashburton's incoming second bridge is being viewed as an economic lifeline for the South Island.
Work on the project will begin in 2026.
The Government will pay for its construction while the district council will foot the bill for the joining road.
Business Canterbury Chief Executive Leeann Watson says the current bridge has been washed away multiple times.
She told Heather du Plessis-Allan that significant volumes of freight pass through Ashburton daily.
Watson says it goes up to the Christchurch Airport and Lyttelton Port, so a bridge closure makes things difficult for businesses.
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A potential US government shutdown is on the cards as Donald Trump calls on Republican lawmakers to reject a cross-party funding bill.
The incoming president's urging Congress to scrap the deal and pass a streamlined bill.
His intervention follows heavy criticism of the bill by tech billionaire Elon Musk.
US Correspondent Richard Arnold told Heather du Plessis-Allan the deadline for an agreement is tomorrow night.
He says so far they won't have the bi-partisan vote numbers by that time.
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There's uncertainty if the Reserve Bank will change tack following the revelation of New Zealand's deep recession.
Stats NZ figures out yesterday show GDP fell 1% in the three months to September.
It’s also revised the preceding quarter down to 1.1% contraction.
Former Reserve Bank Economist Michael Reddell says it did achieve its goal of bringing inflation under control.
He told Heather du Plessis-Allan he doubts they'll ramp up the size of OCR cuts next year in response to the recession.
Reddell says it's more likely they'll go ahead with a 50 basis point cut, then tail them off next year.
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Health New Zealand's falling behind in its target to lift childhood vaccination rates.
The agency's quarterly performance report to the end of September shows immunisation rates for children at 24 months has fallen.
There was also a reduction in the number of people being seen in less than four months by a specialist.
Stays in emergency departments are shorter as more newborns are enrolled with GPs.
Chief executive Margie Apa told Heather du Plessis-Allan they're keeping a close eye on declining vaccination rates.
She says they've learned through covid it can be really helpful to get trusted people in the community.
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A proposed law change will prohibit universities from adopting positions on issues that aren't related to their core role and functions.
They'll be required to actively promote an environment where ideas can be challenged, controversial issues discussed, and diverse opinions expressed.
Universities will have to adopt a statement on freedom of speech and report annually on it.
Former Victoria University dean and NZ Initiative senior fellow Michael Johnston told Heather du Plessis-Allan it's not a silver bullet to solve the culture problem at universities, but is necessary.
He says problems on campuses are in part a result of a political bias pretty strongly to the left.
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One of the most surprising things about that judge allegedly yelling at Winston Peters in the Northern Club is that she is still in her job.
I want to be clear; I don’t want her to lose her job over this, and I don’t even want to be seen to be calling for her head.
I’m just pointing out that she should lose her job.
Because what happened was actually quite serious. We are talking about a judge yelling, not denied, at the deputy Prime Minister, the second most senior politician in the country.
She also accused him, again not denied, of lying in front of a room of people.
Now, you flip that around and imagine it’s a senior minister doing the same, yelling at very senior judges and saying they’re lying in front of a room full of people.
Tell me, does that minister keep their job?
No way. They go.
There’s no way that would be tolerated because no Government would want to be seen to tolerate that kind of behaviour, and it’s got to be the same for the judiciary. They cannot be seen to tolerate verbal attacks on ministers of Government.
Particularly right now. Maybe a few years ago it wouldn't have mattered quite as much.
But right now, there is actually considerable tension between the judiciary and the Government to the point it's actually boiling over at times.
We’ve got courts and lawyers taking cracks at Parliament and that Parliament passing multiple laws to reign in judges.
We’ve got accusations of the Waitangi Tribunal overreaching, Shane Jones making comments about so-called "activist judges" and there is a real concern that comity, which is the mutual respect between the two, is breaking down.
This is so fundamental to a democracy likes ours working.
It is so bad for the judiciary to be perceived to be this hostile towards the current Government.
I can’t see how Ema Aitken keeps her job.
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Most Kiwis will know the name Mark Hadlow.
The NZ Order of Merit recipient is best known internationally for his roles in King Kong and the Hobbit, but he has his fingers in many pies.
In 2017, Hadlow had a one man show called MAMIL (Middle Aged Man in Lycra), exploring the male midlife crisis and the way many of them turn to road cycling.
The show received rave reviews, touring the country for eight years.
Seven years on, Hadlow has created a sequel – GOMIL, standing for Grumpy Old Man in Lycra, premiering in Christchurch in early 2025.
He told Heather du Plessis-Allan that it was great being back in the saddle – literally.
“The show opens with a big sequence, so it’s really interesting getting back on the Pinarello again,” he said.
“Oh goodness me, that was fun.”
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As always, there are winners and losers in High Performance Sport’s latest funding round.
In the lead up to the LA Olympics in 2028, the organisation has allocated $163 million to 36 different sports.
Rowing, yachting, athletics, cycling, and canoeing all got a funding boost, while sports like hockey, equestrian, and men’s sevens are worse off.
Director Steve Tew says past performance was key when making the decision.
He told Heather du Plessis-Allan they really need to hone in on the sports, athletes, and teams that are tracking towards a top eight or podium in LA.
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On the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast for Thursday 19th of December, Heather du Plessis-Allan asks just how bad is our Q3 GDP will be, and whether we’ll slip back into a technical recession?
High Performance Sport NZ has decided who they're dishing out the funding to – so who are the winners and losers?
Kiwi actor and NZ Order of Merit recipient Mark Hadlow is bringing back his stage show 'Middle Aged Man in Lycra', by doing a sequel - ‘Grumpy Old Man in Lycra’.
Get the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast every weekday morning on iHeartRadio, or wherever you get your podcasts.
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An economist says the third quarter was tough in pretty much every sector, for the New Zealand economy.
The major banks are all predicting between 0.2% to 0.4% contraction when Stats NZ releases the GDP data for the third quarter just before 11am today.
It'll likely mean our third technical recession in two years.
ASB's Chief Economist Nick Tuffley told Heather du Plessis-Allan the agriculture and forestry sector were essentially the only positive performers.
He says construction, retail, and manufacturing all felt the pressure, with electricity struggles also taking place during this quarter.
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There’s uncertainty around whether a large gas supplier staying in New Zealand will benefit the sector in the long run.
One of New Zealand's largest gas suppliers, OMV, will stay in the country.
Its executive board's decided not to sell 100% of its shares.
Enerlytica Director John Kidd told Heather du Plessis-Allan the sector needs continual re-investment.
He says the real question is if they keep investing, given they tried not to be the owner of the assets.
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The Government is defending its budgeting for the torture redress of Lake Alice survivors.
It's set aside more than $22 million for eligible survivors who were tortured at the psychiatric hospital in the 1970s.
They'll be able to choose between a one-off $150 thousand payment or apply for independently assessed redress.
Lead coordination minister Erica Stanford told Heather du Plessis-Allan it was a hard call to settle on $150 thousand.
She says there's no precedent for this situation anywhere in the world – other countries have paid out for torture in very different circumstance and the victims were adults.
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A 17-year old female student is the suspect in a school shooting in Madison, Wisconsin.
One teacher and a teen student have died, and six people were injured at the shooting at Abundant Life Christian School.
Police say the suspect was found dead.
CNN reports this is the US's 83rd school shooting this year, overtaking last year's record 82.
US Correspondent Richard Arnold told Heather du Plessis-Allan that evidence suggests the shooter died from a self-inflicted gunshot wound.
He says the family is said to be cooperating, and the girl left behind a note.
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We knew the Government books were going to be bad, but not this bad.
No way we’re getting to the surplus we expected in 2028. That is now so far away it’s not even in Treasury’s forecast period anymore.
It’s some time, who knows when, in the 2030's.
We’ll have to borrow another $20b in debt to tide us over for the next four years. That’ll push our interest payments over $10b every year.
So we’ll be spending more on our debt interest than we spend on Defence, Corrections, Police, and Customs combined.
Now, this is not the current Government's fault. This is a recession caused by Adrian Orr and the Reserve Bank to deal with Labour’s overspending.
But National are not doing what they need to.
They need to be cutting way harder than they are.
There is a measure we use to look at how much the Government is adding to, or reducing from, economic growth.
It’s called public consumption.
They were supposed to cut that by 1.4% this year. They cut it by 0.2%.
That’s basically no cut.
Next year it's supposed to cut by 2.2%. Now, it's by another 0.2%, which is to say they’re actually not cutting much at all.
We still pay the wages of 14,000 more public servants than we did in 2018. They’ve only cut one public agency, which is the Productivity Commission.
Nicola Willis spent more in her last budget than Grant Robertson ever did.
National keeps saying they can’t cut more because they don’t want austerity, but we are so far from austerity it’s not funny.
We are spending more and hiring more public servants than five years ago.
The trouble with that is we’re in a recession, which we weren’t five years ago.
National needs to treat this like the economic trainwreck it is and cut their cloth accordingly.
They might not be responsible for the mess we’re in, but they are responsible for fixing it and so far, they’re really not fixing it.
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On the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast for Wednesday 18th of December, the Government books are in a shocking state, so Heather du Plessis-Allan asked Nicola Willis how much is on the last Government, and how much is on her.
Did you hear the one about the judge, the doctor, and NZ First at the Northern Club? Trust us, it's a doozy.
For the final time this year Mark Mitchell and Ginny Andersen talk the books, political scandals, and what they're getting each other for Christmas on Politics Wednesday.
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