Episodit
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As we sign off on January, it's been a month of major moves in markets. Globally, the valuation risks in AI were thrust into the spotlight in recent days based on the emergence of DeepSeek. Geopolitical risks are also a major feature of 2025, with some of Trump's recent actions showing that we are in for a bumpy ride.
And yet, there are some turnaround stories out there that had a great January. Is the market looking for value opportunities in unusual places based on fear of how far tech has run? Nike, Walgreens and Burberry have all been researched in Magic Markets Premium this month and we highlight that basket in this show.
This podcast is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice. Please speak to your personal financial advisor.
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The banking industry is part of the fabric of any economy. This is both good and bad, as success in that sector therefore depends on broader economic activity. This has been the problem for most of the South African banking sector options over the past decade, but could that change in 2025? And what are the key metrics to look out for?
With reference to key macro points as well as more granular analysis into banks, we talked about topics ranging from the differences between US and South African banks through to sources of revenue like NII and NIR. We also talked about perhaps the most important thing of all for banks: the interest rate cycle.
This podcast is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice. Please speak to your personal financial advisor.
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Puuttuva jakso?
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Stories like Nike and Walgreens in the international market (both recently covered in Magic Markets Premium), as well as Pick n Pay in South Africa, tend to grab the imagination of investors as they go through a turnaround.
In this episode, we start off with some of the key macroeconomic indicators that investors and traders use to assess the health of the retail industry. We then go into the process of a typical turnaround, along with the milestones that are usually seen.
Turnarounds in the retail sector are highly speculative and therefore offer strong rewards for those who get them right. This podcast will increase your understanding of how these turnarounds work.
This podcast is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice. Please speak to your personal financial advisor.
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To kick off the year, we couldn't resist talking about the major themes that have carried over from 2024 into a new calendar year. US - China relations, interest rates, frothiness in equity valuations - it's all in here, along with a sobering discussion that gives context to the JSE performance last year vs. global alternatives.
Get excited about the markets this year in this episode of Magic Markets, with a fast-paced overview of the big stuff that you should be following.
This podcast is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice. Please speak to your personal financial advisor.
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In our final free show for the year, we look back on a year that has been dominated by gold and bitcoin, along with US equities that have shot the lights out. We consider a strong finish for China, along with the ongoing disappointment of Europe.
And of course, we talked about the positive surprise of South Africa this year and how political change can drive investment returns.
As we look forward to another exciting year in the markets in 2025, this is the perfect way to cap off the Year of Elections worldwide.
This podcast is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice. Please speak to your personal financial advisor.
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Although the terms blockchain and crypto are often used interchangeably, this hides the diverse use cases for blockchain technology - even in traditional applications like financial markets. On this podcast, Connie Bloem (co-founder and managing director of Mesh.trade) joins regular Magic Markets guest Justine Brophy of AnBro Capital to explain how blockchain technology on Mesh.trade is making it easier for investors to invest in funds managed by AnBro.
For more information, visit the AnBro website and the Mesh.trade website.
This podcast is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice. Please speak to your personal financial advisor.
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As the year of global elections draws to a close, Dino Zuccollo of Westbrooke Alternative Asset Management joined us to look back on how global trends impacted the alternative lending space in markets where Westbrooke has a presence: South Africa, the UK and the USA.
Covering important topics related to economic activities, portfolio diversification and the impact of decreasing interest rates on structures like senior debt and mezzanine funding, there's much to learn here about the world in which Westbrooke operates. To learn more about Westbrooke and to connect with the team, visit their website here.
Westbrooke Alternative Asset Management is an authorised Financial Services Provider, FSP number 46750.
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Start your engines has quickly become start your batteries - or has it? Are electric vehicle adoption rates problematic everywhere, or are some companies seeing better adoption than others? Where does this leave hybrids? Where does this leave manufacturers that seem to lack clear strategic direction?
Along with a discussion on European vs. American vs. Japanese manufacturer performance, we dealt with all these topics in this episode of Magic Markets. For a whirlwind overview of the automotive sector at the moment, you're in the right place.
This podcast is brought to you by Investec Focus Radio. Investec's The Current podcast is a great series on the energy transition in South Africa, an important part of our country's geopolitical story and thus highly relevant to South African investors. There are ten excellent shows and Episode 8 focuses on South Africa's electric vehicle transition. Find them here.
This podcast is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice. Please speak to your personal financial advisor.
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With the dust barely settled on the US election, Dimitri Zabelin of Pantheon Insights joined us to bring his international geopolitical lens to the show. We talked about the possible impacts of Trump's economy and social policies on inflation, interest rates and the strength of the US economy.
We also talked about a few trade ideas related to the Trump victory, as well as the positioning of Elon Musk in all this.
You can connect with Dimitri on X or LinkedIn, or learn more about Pantheon Insights here.
Episode 201 is brought to you by Future Forex. They are disrupting an industry that desperately deserves to be disrupted: providing forex execution for individuals and businesses, fertile ground for traditional banks to charge large fees as a spread. Future Forex is doing things differently. Refer back to Episode 199 for a discussion with Harry Scherzer on this topic.
Future Forex SA Pty Ltd is an authorised FSP number 51884.
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With most of the big names in tech having just released earnings around the same time as US elections, there's so much to consider in the market. We steered clear of the politics for now, focusing on the key drivers of the Magnificent 7 (and Netflix!) and how we are positioned in these stocks.
As our subscribers in Magic Markets Premium know, we don't always agree on the stocks that we cover. There's plenty of that disagreement (and a few laughs) in this show, along with great insights.
Episode 200 is brought to you by Future Forex. They are disrupting an industry that desperately deserves to be disrupted: providing forex execution for individuals and businesses, fertile ground for traditional banks to charge large fees as a spread. Future Forex is doing things differently. Refer back to Episode 199 for a discussion with Harry Scherzer on this topic.
Future Forex SA Pty Ltd is an authorised FSP number 51884.
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Harry Scherzer at Future Forex is a familiar voice to Magic Markets listeners, especially those who took advantage of the excellent crypto arbitrage offering that was the foundation of the Future Forex business.
Building on that success, Future Forex is disrupting an industry that desperately deserves to be disrupted: providing forex execution for individuals and businesses, fertile ground for traditional banks to charge large fees as a spread. Future Forex is doing things differently, as explained by Harry in this show.
If you want to learn more about crypto arbitrage at Future Forex as well, refer back to Episode 170 for full details on how to avoid your annual offshore investment allowances going to waste, while generating returns which have consistently outperformed the market.
Future Forex SA Pty Ltd is an authorised FSP number 51884.
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Although there's a risk of churning your portfolio too often if you become obsessed with short-term market movements, there's a lot of value to be gained from the way Mohammed Nalla does his quarterly rotation work for institutional clients. He shares some of those insights in this episode of Magic Markets, covering recent sector performance in the US market and where some of the future gains may be found.
This podcast is brought to you by Investec Focus Radio. Investec's The Current podcast is a great series on the energy transition in South Africa, an important part of our country's geopolitical story and thus highly relevant to South African investors. With ten excellent shows to listen to (and the 10th episode being a wrap-up of the season), it's well worth your time digging in. Find them here.
This podcast is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice. Please speak to your personal financial advisor.
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The GNU-phoria in South Africa is now a few months old. Loadshedding is becoming a distant (albeit still painful) memory. Sentiment has clearly turned positive, but is this making a difference in day-to-day business decisions around capital allocation decisions?
Every day, the team at Westbrooke is having discussions with private business operators and investors. This puts them in the perfect position to comment on whether things are really improving in South Africa and at what pace.
Dino Zuccollo and Jonti Osher of Westbrooke joined us for this important discussion. To learn more about Westbrooke and to connect with the team, visit their website here.
Westbrooke Alternative Asset Management is an authorised Financial Services Provider, FSP number 46750.
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News of stimulus in China has caused substantial volatility in the markets, with a sharp initial rally and then a cooling down as the market started to question the speed of execution on the proposed initiatives.
Of course, this presented a perfect opportunity to talk about the impact of China on portfolios. Justine Brophy of AnBro Capital joined us to do exactly that. For more information, visit the AnBro website.
This podcast is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice. Please speak to your personal financial advisor.
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The balance sheet is often the difference between success and failure for a corporate. A strong balance sheet can carry a company through the worst of times. A weak balance sheet is vulnerable to even a minor deterioration in conditions.
Reading a balance sheet is a key step in equity analysis, but what are the most important things to look out for? In this episode, we take you through some key metrics to consider.
This podcast is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice. Please speak to your personal financial advisor.
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The income statement is the lifeblood of any business. Luckily, you don't need to be an accountant to understand what's going on there. As is usually the case, there are a few tricks you can use to identify the key areas of focus and the stuff that really matters.
Doing your own research isn't about spending endless hours on a set of financials. It's about knowing how to arrive at a reasonable answer as quickly as possible. In this show, we walk you through our approach to reading an income statement.
This podcast is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice. Please speak to your personal financial advisor.
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After covering the building of a bull case in the previous week's show, we moved on to the other side of the coin: the bear case. This requires you to think creatively and dig deeper, as management won't dish out these nuggets and make it easy for you. After all, they are incentivised to drive the bull case.
This episode will help you learn where to look for some of the really important points in a bear case.
This podcast is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice. Please speak to your personal financial advisor.
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When assessing stocks, it's so important think about the good and the bad, not just what you wanted to see going into the analysis. The world is grey, not black and white. Nothing is ever fully good or fully bad. By thinking critically about the positives and negatives, you'll improve your investing skills.
In this episode, we cover the type of thinking that goes into our Bull Box in Magic Markets Premium. In sharing our insights on how we develop a bull case for a stock, we hope that it assists in your process and exposes you to the thinking enjoyed by our Premium subscribers.
This podcast is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice. Please speak to your personal financial advisor.
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As the world pays an increasing amount of attention to emerging markets and the concept of the Global South, India's outperformance vs. China remains an interesting topic. For South African investors, the strategy of a group like Sanlam is worth considering, as India offers an immense demographic dividend and a democratic environment in which to invest.
Other than a look at the reasons why India has performed well recently (especially relative to China), this show delves into the services nature of the Indian economy and the opportunities that this brings.
This podcast is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice. Please speak to your personal financial advisor.
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Artificial Intelligence (AI) has been all the rage in recent times. Coming up just as quickly is quantum computing, an exciting new technology that has some potentially incredible use cases. To lift the lid on this trend and to identify how to consider investing in it, international geopolitical strategist Dimitri Zabelin joined us on this show.
If you enjoy Dimitri's work, and we strongly suspect that you will, you can check out Pantheon Insights on Substack.
This podcast is for informational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice. Please speak to your personal financial advisor.
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