Episodit
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In this episode we answer emails from Yangon, The Value Stock Geek, and Graham. We discuss the ins and outs of margin accounts at Interactive Brokers, some annoyances with gold ETFs and 1099s, and BTAL vs. treasury bonds.
And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.
Additional Links:
Father McKenna Center Donation Page: Donate - Father McKenna Center
Tyler On The Security Analysis Podcast: Tyler (@PortfolioCharts): The Amazing Power of Uncorrelated Assets
Analysis Of BTAL vs. SPY vs. TLT With Correlations: testfol.io/analysis?s=jAQO2TjzA
Paper Re Stock Market Volatility And Treasury Bonds (C. Moise): Flights to Safety, Volatility Risk, and Monetary Policy by Claudia E. Moise :: SSRN
Breathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:
Diving deep into the financial weeds, Frank tackles several practical questions that impact do-it-yourself investors managing their own portfolios. What begins as a detailed exploration of Interactive Brokers' margin loan program reveals valuable insights about using portfolio assets as collateral, the tax deductibility of margin interest, and how to monitor your account to avoid margin calls.
The conversation shifts to an unexpected tax headache many gold ETF investors face: those annoying tiny distributions that clutter 1099 forms while providing minimal value. Frank compares how different brokerages handle these transactions, offering practical advice for simplifying your tax reporting experience. For those weary of manually entering dozens of nickel-and-dime transactions each tax season, this segment provides welcome relief.
Perhaps most valuable is Frank's thoughtful analysis of asset correlations and why treasury bonds remain irreplaceable in risk parity portfolios despite recent correlation changes. "Correlations are not magical and they're not random," Frank explains, dismissing the notion that we've entered a "new paradigm" where traditional diversification no longer works. He articulates why correlation changes are tied to macroeconomic conditions and why treasury bonds still serve as essential recession insurance that alternatives like BTAL cannot replace.
The weekly portfolio review brings welcome news as most sample portfolios show positive performance, with gold continuing its strong 2024 despite recent pullbacks. Small cap value remains the year's underperformer, while the diverse range of portfolio strategies demonstrates how risk parity principles can adapt to different investor needs.
Whether you're considering margin loans, puzzling over gold ETF tax statements, or questioning the role of treasury bonds in today's market environment, this episode delivers practical wisdom for navigating these complex investment waters. Frank's straightforward approach strips away the mystique surrounding these topics, empowering listeners to make more informed decisions with their portfolios.Support the show
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In this episode we answer emails from Dave, Jeff and Peter. We discuss a new risk parity ETF, ALLW, a social security claiming question and considerations, and how a listener has been misled regarding so-called dividend investing by misinterpreting a misleading source.
Links:
Father McKenna Center Donation Page: Donate - Father McKenna Center
ALLW Fund Main Page: ALLW: SPDR® Bridgewater® All Weather® ETF
Open Social Security: Open Social Security: Free, Open-Source Social Security Calculator
Hartford Funds Dividend Fund Page: The Power of Dividends: Past, Present, and Future
Ben Felix Dividend Video: The Irrelevance of Dividends
Ben Felix Dividend Video #2: The Relevance of Dividend Irrelevance
Breathless Unedited AI-Bot summary
Financial misconceptions can cost you dearly. This eye-opening episode tackles three critical investment topics that challenge conventional wisdom and may transform how you approach your portfolio.
When State Street and Bridgewater Associates launched their All Weather ETF (ALLW), it promised the stability of risk parity with the pedigree of Ray Dalio himself. We dissect this new offering—examining its 175% leverage, complex asset allocation, and 0.85% expense ratio—to determine whether it delivers on its promises or falls into the same traps as similar products like RPAR and UPAR. For investors approaching retirement, understanding these nuances could be the difference between confidence and confusion in the decumulation phase.
Delaying Social Security benefits remains one of retirement planning's most debated decisions. We cut through the noise of oversimplified break-even calculators to explore what truly matters: appropriate risk-free rate calculations, the value of guaranteed income streams, and perhaps most importantly, how your family's longevity history should influence your claiming strategy. For married couples, the analysis becomes even more critical as spousal benefits create powerful optimization opportunities that generic calculators often miss.
The episode concludes by dispelling one of investing's most persistent myths: the magical power of dividends. When Hartford Research noted that "85% of the S&P 500's return came from reinvested dividends and compounding," many investors misinterpreted this to mean dividends themselves were responsible for these returns. We reveal how this fundamental misunderstanding leads investors astray, explain why dividend payments offer no advantage in today's zero-commission environment, and demonstrate why creating your own "dividend" through strategic selling provides superior tax control.
Whether you're building wealth or planning your withdrawal strategy, these insights will help you see beyond marketing claims to make decisions based on financial reality rather than comforting illusions. Listen now to align your investment approach with actual market mechanics instead of persistent financial folklore.
Have a question about risk parity investing or portfolio construction? Email [email protected] or visit riskparityradio.Support the show
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Puuttuva jakso?
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In this episode we answer emails from Ed, Joe and Jack. We discuss a commodities fund, BCI, some more cowbell, and Fidelity's share lending program.
And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.
Additional Links:
Father McKenna Center Donation Page: Donate - Father McKenna Center
BCI vs. PDBC vs. COM vs. DBMFX: testfol.io/analysis?s=3NIFkA7mNB9
Small Cap Value vs. S&P 500 In 21st Century: testfol.io/analysis?s=gkqbgk7mzka
Comparison Between Small Cap Value And Overall Market With Histogram: Backtest Portfolio Asset Class Allocation
Breathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:
Looking for that perfect balance between return potential and downside protection? This episode delivers practical insights for DIY investors navigating today's complex markets.
We dive deep into commodity ETFs as listener Ed asks about PDBC versus BCI for his portfolio. The comparison reveals surprising differences in expense ratios, management approaches, and tracking errors that could significantly impact your returns over time. Frank shares why he's personally shifted away from dedicated commodity funds toward managed futures for inflation protection.
The conversation then turns to small cap value investing, but with a crucial twist that many investors miss. Rather than focusing solely on whether small cap value will outperform the broader market, Frank emphasizes its diversification benefits during market downturns. The 2022 market crash provides a perfect case study: while growth stocks plummeted 30-50%, value stocks ranged from -10% to +10%, creating powerful rebalancing opportunities that can enhance long-term performance.
We also examine Fidelity's Fully Paid Lending Program, which allows investors to earn additional income by lending their securities. While the potential return seems modest (around 0.625% annually), we consider the counterparty risks and regulatory protections you might sacrifice.
The episode concludes with our weekly portfolio reviews revealing fascinating performance patterns in 2024. Gold continues to shine with a remarkable 26.81% year-to-date gain while the broader market struggles. This performance disparity highlights why thoughtful asset allocation matters more than ever for investors seeking to build truly resilient portfolios.
Whether you're managing a multi-million dollar portfolio or just starting your investment journey, these insights will help you navigate market volatility with greater confidence and clarity.
What's your approach to balancing growth and value in your equity allocation? Have you considered how different assets might interact during the next market downturn?Support the show
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In this episode we answer emails from Luc, Ellen and Andrew. We discuss Luc's target portfolio, the process for evaluating and choosing new assets for a portfolio -- comparing why managed futures pass the test, while covered call fund and TIPs funds don't --, what's actually in our personal variation of the Golden Ratio portfolio, finding old podcast episodes and basic rebalancing principles as to timing. And learn some Canadian French and Minnesota vernacular along the way.
Links:
Andrew Beer Interview on Masters In Business Podcast: Andrew Beer on the Hedge Fund … - Masters in Business - Apple Podcasts
RPR Episode 40 on YouTube: Episode 40: Answering A Question About Big ERN's Gold Analysis From Joseph K.
Kitces Article on Rebalancing: Optimal Rebalancing – Time Horizons Vs Tolerance BandsBreathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:
What makes a truly resilient portfolio? In this revealing episode, Frank Vasquez pulls back the curtain on both theoretical and practical aspects of risk parity investing through thoughtful listener questions.
When a software engineer from French-speaking Canada shares his leveraged risk parity portfolio, Frank offers nuanced guidance on balancing potential returns with sustainability. Rather than dismissing leverage entirely, he suggests a more measured approach—reducing exposure to funds like UPRO while maintaining their rebalancing benefits. This practical compromise exemplifies Frank's philosophy of building portfolios that remain psychologically manageable through market turbulence.
The conversation takes a fascinating turn as Frank reveals his framework for evaluating new investment opportunities. Unlike many advisors who chase trends, his three-question methodology ensures only truly valuable assets earn portfolio space. His explanation of why managed futures succeeded where TIPS failed demonstrates how professional-grade analysis can be applied to personal investing. "The truth is," Frank notes, "a lot of otherwise viable or interesting strategies actually just don't fit into what we're trying to do here."
Perhaps most valuable is Frank's unprecedented breakdown of his personal portfolio holdings. Beyond the expected allocations to stocks, bonds, gold and alternatives, he shares his experiments with direct indexing of property and casualty insurance companies—a Warren Buffett-inspired approach that provided positive returns even during 2022's difficult markets. This rare glimpse into a professional's actual implementation bridges the gap between theory and practice.
Whether you're questioning how often to rebalance, wondering about international exposure, or simply curious about how a professional approaches their own money, this episode delivers actionable insights while maintaining Frank's trademark blend of humor and wisdom. Ready to build a portfolio that marches to a different drummer? This is the roadmap you've been waiting for.Support the show
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In this episode we answer emails from Anderson, Ian, FFS, and Michael. We discuss using Roths earlier in accumulation and tax considerations, wrestling with an expensive 401k plan with limited options, and the various and sundry deficiencies of this program and its website. Rest assured, we have "top men" working on it. Top. Men.
And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.
Breathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:
Welcome to the dive bar of personal finance, where frank conversations about investing happen without sponsors, guests, or corporate jargon. In episode 420, Frank Vasquez serves up practical wisdom alongside his signature blend of humor and no-nonsense advice.
The heart of this episode centers around listener questions that reveal common investing dilemmas. When a father of six asks about Roth conversions while in a low tax bracket, Frank not only endorses the strategy but takes the opportunity to debunk widespread myths about future taxation. "The fear of future taxes is often overblown," Frank explains, noting how this anxiety is frequently exploited by financial professionals selling expensive products. He articulates why most people actually face lower tax rates in retirement—a perspective that runs counter to conventional financial advice but makes perfect mathematical sense when examining income sources and tax treatment.
Another listener struggling with limited 401(k) options receives thoughtful guidance on transitioning from 100% equities to a more balanced risk parity approach. Frank's explanation of the "macro allocation principle" illuminates why focusing on the percentage of stocks across all accounts matters more than perfect diversification within any single account. His pointed criticism of target date funds—describing them as "easy but not simple"—offers a refreshing counterpoint to the retirement industry's oversimplified solutions.
The episode culminates with Frank's detailed review of eight sample portfolios, revealing how diversification strategies are performing in today's volatile markets. While the S&P 500 struggles with a 3.02% year-to-date decline and small cap value plummets 13.16%, gold shines with a remarkable 23.2% gain. More importantly, the risk parity portfolios demonstrate remarkable stability compared to single-asset approaches.
Whether you're considering tax strategies, rebalancing your portfolio, or simply looking for straight talk about investing, this episode delivers valuable insights without the financial industry's typical marketing hype. Subscribe, leave a review, and visit riskparityradio.com for more resources to help guide your investment journey.Support the show
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In this episode we answer emails from Chris, Will and Neelix. We discuss the basics of transitioning from accumulation to decumulation, choosing funds for accumulation from a limited selection, more transitioning questions from an alien, my lawyerly approach to personal finance and why the public personal finance landscape is often not very helpful and leaves much to be desired.
Frank addresses listener questions about transitioning from accumulation to retirement portfolios, focusing on timing and asset allocation decisions for different life stages. The episode explores foundational concepts about when to shift to a less aggressive portfolio and how to work around investment account limitations.
Links:
All Podcasts On One Web Page: Risk Parity Radio RSS Feed
Merriman ETF Recommendations: Best-in-Class ETF Recommendations | Merriman Financial Education Foundationj
Breathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:
Ready to make the leap from aggressive growth investing to a more balanced retirement portfolio? Join Frank Vasquez as he breaks down one of investing's most critical transitions through thoughtful analysis of listener questions spanning different life stages and portfolio challenges.
We dive deep into the essential question of timing: when should you transition from accumulation to decumulation? Unlike conventional wisdom that focuses on market conditions, Frank reveals why your personal financial readiness should be the primary consideration. Learn why calculating your Financial Independence number is crucial and why your current spending patterns offer surprisingly reliable guidance for retirement planning.
For younger investors struggling with 401(k) limitations, Frank offers practical strategies to achieve optimal asset allocation across multiple account types. His clear breakdown of why certain asset classes (looking at you, small-cap growth) deserve caution while others merit emphasis provides actionable guidance regardless of your investment timeline.
What sets this episode apart is Frank's candid assessment of the personal finance media landscape. Drawing from his background cross-examining financial experts, he categorizes financial content into entertainment, sales, and education - explaining why most advice falls short for those who actually plan to spend money in retirement. His Bruce Lee-inspired approach to financial wisdom - "take what is useful, discard what is useless, and add something uniquely your own" - offers a refreshing framework for cutting through the noise.
Whether you're decades from retirement or counting down the years, you'll gain valuable perspective on building a portfolio strategy that serves your actual spending goals rather than following the crowd. Share your own portfolio questions at [email protected]!Support the show
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In this episode we answer emails from Jeff, Jenzo and Sam. We discuss spending money on relationships, a 72(t) situation, what to do with an unused Coverdell, GDE (again), a nice risk parity write-up and some random musings about the history of free speech and communications technologies.
And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.
Additional links:
Jenzo's GDE Backtest: testfol.io/?s=0SLNjC7As4b
Sam's Most Excellent Risk Parity Explication Blog Post: 15 Uncorrelated Assets | SSiS
Sam's Most Excellent Bill Of Rights Blog Post: Boxed In | SSiS
Breathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:
When markets tumble and headlines scream doom, properly diversified portfolios reveal their quiet strength. This episode showcases exactly that phenomenon - while small cap value has plummeted 15.58% and the S&P 500 has shed 5.74% year-to-date, gold has soared a remarkable 25.87%, creating a balancing effect that keeps risk parity portfolios remarkably stable.
We dive into listener Jeff's retirement strategy, examining his use of 72T distributions and exploring whether his recent RV purchase makes financial sense. The answer turns out to be more about relationships than raw numbers. Research shows expenditures that facilitate meaningful connections tend to yield the greatest happiness returns - a powerful framework for evaluating major purchases in retirement.
The emerging world of composite leveraged ETFs takes center stage as we examine GDE, which combines S&P 500 exposure with gold allocation at 1.8x leverage. While innovative funds like these package risk parity principles into convenient solutions, they represent a tradeoff between simplicity and control. We explore whether these instruments belong in a sophisticated asset allocation strategy or if traditional single-asset funds still offer superior flexibility.
For investors fascinated by portfolio design theory, we tackle the question of just how many truly uncorrelated assets one needs. While hedge funds and endowments might pursue 15+ distinct asset classes, diminishing returns suggest a more practical approach for individual investors. The mathematical reality shows the incremental benefit of adding that 11th or 12th asset pales in comparison to the impact of moving from one or two assets to five diverse investments.
Our weekly portfolio review reveals the practical power of these principles. Despite market turmoil, most of our sample portfolios remain nearly flat or slightly positive for the year - precisely the stability risk parity promises. Whether you're just beginning your investment journey or fine-tuning an established strategy, this episode offers both theoretical frameworks and practical evidence for building resilient portfolios in uncertain times.
Ready to hear more? Subscribe, leave a review, and send your questions to [email protected].Support the show
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In this episode we answer emails from Marco Esquandolas and Multi-Family Investor. We discuss a long-term diversified Roth portfolio for a 13-year old, modelling Delaware Statutory Trusts in a portfolio, transitioning out of an all S&P 500 allocation in a taxable account, PFIX, Sabine Royalty Trust and individual stocks in retirement portfolios, and M1 Finance.
Note/Correction: Sabine is actually NOT structured like an MLP but as a true trust and therefore issues 1099s, not K-1s like most companies in the oil & gas royalty space.
Links:
Shannon's Demon Article: Unexpected Returns: Shannon's Demon & the Rebalancing Bonus – Portfolio Charts
IDMO vs EFG (and other international growth funds) Analysis: testfol.io/analysis?s=4PEQ1YvTbAM
Breathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:
Dive into the world of strategic portfolio building with this illuminating episode where Frank tackles questions from two distinct investors at opposite ends of the age spectrum. A father shares his 13-year-old son's Shannon's Demon-inspired portfolio that's being built for an ultra-long 50+ year time horizon, featuring a balanced approach to growth and value across both domestic and international markets. Frank offers targeted advice on fund selection while celebrating this young investor's precocious financial journey.
The conversation shifts dramatically when an engineer earning $250,000-300,000 annually shares his detailed retirement strategy with hopes of financial independence before 50. With $3.4 million spread across multiple investment vehicles including real estate, this listener puzzles over how to transition to a risk parity portfolio without triggering a substantial tax bill. Frank methodically dissects several aspects of this complex situation, questioning the wisdom of backdoor Roth conversions during peak earning years and clarifying misconceptions about Delaware Statutory Trusts as bond substitutes.
What makes this episode particularly valuable is Frank's blend of technical advice and practical wisdom. He cuts through complex tax and investment strategies to offer straightforward solutions - identifying tax-loss harvesting opportunities, rethinking account structures, and focusing on expenses rather than arbitrary portfolio targets. The discussion extends to specialized investments like royalty trusts and interest rate hedges, providing listeners with a masterclass in portfolio construction that balances theoretical ideals with real-world constraints.
Whether you're managing investments for the next generation or planning your own early retirement, this episode delivers actionable insights on building resilient, tax-efficient portfolios tailored to your unique circumstances. The principles shared apply across market conditions and investment goals, making this essential listening for any DIY investor seeking to optimize their financial future.Support the show
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In this episode we answer emails from El Yama, Graham, and James. We discuss using risk parity-style portfolios for intermediate term needs, the short-term bond allocation in the Golden Butterfly, accounting for child credit, rising equity glidepaths, the fundamental differences between 100% stock portfolios and diversified portfolios and why you want the latter for retirement unless your goal is to die with the most money, and a CAPE ratio critique from Meb Faber's podcast.
And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.
Additional links:
Kitces Article re Rising Glidepaths: The Benefits Of A Rising Equity Glidepath In Retirement
Kitces/Pfau Paper re Rising Glidepaths: Reducing Retirement Risk with a Rising Equity Glide-Path by Wade D. Pfau, Michael Kitces :: SSRN
Meb Faber Podcast with Brian Jacobs discussing problems with CAPE ratio predictions: A Century of No Return! The Truth About The Beloved Bonds (Brian Jacobs of Aptus Reveals)
Breathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:
"A foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds," begins this thought-provoking exploration of why most investors are trapped in accumulation-phase thinking even as they approach or enter retirement.
The question at the heart of this episode strikes at a surprising disconnect in personal finance: Why do so many investors intellectually understand they're investing to enjoy retirement, yet construct portfolios clearly designed to maximize wealth at death?
Through a series of illuminating listener emails, Frank unpacks how portfolios optimized for accumulation often fail spectacularly during the decumulation phase. One listener confesses he "always wondered why anyone would buy bonds when clearly stocks give a far greater return," before discovering through portfolio testing that a 100% equity portfolio would have "failed catastrophically" for someone retiring around 2000-2003.
This recognition—that diversification isn't about maximizing returns but enabling sustainable withdrawals—represents the fundamental insight many investors miss until too late. As Frank colorfully puts it, if your goal is to "die with the most money possible" in your "golden coffin," then by all means stick with 90-100% equities. But if you actually intend to enjoy your retirement by spending more than 3% of your portfolio annually, a properly diversified approach becomes essential.
The episode also addresses why attempts to use valuation metrics like CAPE ratios to predict market movements have largely failed, and why separating your portfolio into growth and value components offers a more reliable approach to capturing rebalancing bonuses without attempting market timing.
Make sure your investment behavior actually matches your stated goals. If you're planning to spend in retirement, construct a portfolio that optimizes for sustainable withdrawals, not maximum theoretical returns.Support the show
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In this episode we answer emails from Corn Pop, Dustin and Jim. We discuss annuities for elderly parents, TIPS ladders in retirement, REITs in small cap value funds, currency speculation, the GDE fund (again) and an aggressive portfolio construction.
Link:Interview of Michael Kitces Re Problems With TIPS Ladders: Michael Kitces: How Higher Yields Affect Asset Allocation and Retirement Planning | Morningstar
Breathless and Promotional AI-Bot Summary:
Dive into the mailbag as Frank tackles complex investment questions with his signature blend of expertise and pop culture references. This episode unpacks several critical financial planning dilemmas that challenge conventional wisdom.
First, Frank examines when annuities make sense for elderly parents, explaining how health prospects and longevity expectations should guide this decision. For those likely to outlive actuarial tables, annuities can provide financial value and simplify management—but they're far from universally beneficial. Frank introduces Qualified Longevity Annuity Contracts (QLACs) as a strategic option for those concerned about funding long-term care in their later years.
The conversation shifts to a provocative take on TIPS ladders, with Frank describing long-term ladders as "a flex for hoarders" rather than necessary financial tools. He argues these complicated structures work best for defined periods with specific purposes—like bridging to Social Security—not as decades-long income vehicles that will inevitably be either too long or too short for your actual lifespan.
Currency speculation, Bitcoin, and aggressive portfolio construction round out the episode's explorations. Frank explains how currency exposure already exists implicitly in international stocks and gold without dedicated speculation, evaluates an aggressive portfolio with substantial Bitcoin allocation, and questions whether dividend stocks belong in accumulation strategies.
Throughout, Frank balances technical analysis with practical wisdom, reminding listeners that personalized investment approaches must account for individual circumstances rather than following generic advice. Whether you're managing a retirement portfolio or building wealth, you'll gain valuable perspective on how the finest investment strategies align with your actual needs rather than theoretical ideals.
Want your questions answered on a future episode? Email [email protected] and don't forget to subscribe and leave a review!Support the show
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In this episode we answer emails from Jeremy, Brad, and James. We discuss a more aggressive risk-parity portfolio similar to the Weird Portfolio, the problems with data analysis and recency bias and considerations in accounting for Social Security or pensions in retirement portfolio planning.
And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.
Additional links:
Jeremy's Portfolio on Portfolio Visualizer: https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/backtest-asset-class-allocation?s=y&sl=LDhLHuhVF5zOKfTZckLT7
Weird Portfolio: Weird Portfolio – Portfolio Charts
Testfolio Portfolio Comparison (90/10 vs. 50/50): https://testfol.io/?s=2TDnqWEw5FE
Bogle Interview (re Social Security): Jack Bogle on Index Funds, Vanguard, and Investing Advice
Kitces Interview (re Social Security): Social Security: Part of Your Asset Allocation?
Breathless AI-Bot Summary:
"A foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds," begins this episode, capturing the essence of breaking away from conventional investment thinking. Stepping into Frank's metaphorical "dive bar of personal finance," listeners are treated to an exploration of portfolio diversification during turbulent market conditions.
Frank tackles three thought-provoking listener questions that challenge common investing assumptions. First, he analyzes a balanced portfolio proposal with equal allocations to large-cap growth, small-cap value, REITs, long-term treasuries, and gold, explaining why this more aggressive risk parity approach shows promising safe withdrawal rates. The conversation shifts to the dangers of recency bias when a listener questions the underperformance of a 50-50 small-cap value/large-cap growth portfolio over just five years. Frank emphasizes that even a decade of data can be "just noise" when evaluating investment strategies, reminding us to focus on performance during challenging market periods rather than recent returns.
Perhaps most compelling is Frank's fresh perspective on integrating Social Security into financial planning. Challenging the notion that Social Security should be viewed as fixed-income allocation, he suggests treating it more like an annuity that reduces expenses rather than an asset within your portfolio. This shifts the conversation from wealth preservation to life maximization, encouraging retirees to consider increasing discretionary spending rather than hoarding assets.
The weekly portfolio review reveals a fascinating market story: while the S&P 500 has fallen 8.64% year-to-date and small-cap value has plummeted 19.69%, gold has surged 23.12%. This perfect illustration of risk parity principles shows how properly diversified portfolios maintain remarkable stability despite individual asset volatility. The unlevered sample portfolios remain down less than 1% year-to-date, demonstrating the power of hearing that "different drummer" when constructing your investment approach.
Have questions about building your own diversified portfolio? Email [email protected] or visit the website to connect directly. Don't forget to subscribe and leave a review wherever you listen to podcasts!Support the show
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In this episode we answer emails from Harry, Sally, Jack and Javon. We discuss recovering from financial set-backs, my life on the Choose FI board, assets that do well in inflationary environments and large cap growth funds like MGK in Merriman-type portfolios.
Links:
Father McKenna Center Donation Page: Donate - Father McKenna Center
Mindset by Carol Dweck: Mindset: The New Psychology of Success by Carol S. Dweck | Goodreads
Bloomberg Presentation On Investments In Inflationary Environments: MH201-SteveHou-Bloomberg.pdf
Shannon's Demon Article from Portfolio Charts: Unexpected Returns: Shannon's Demon & the Rebalancing Bonus – Portfolio Charts
Testfolio Analysis of MGK and other funds: testfol.io/analysis?s=lbssElueG9DAmusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:
When financial disaster strikes, where do you turn? In this deeply empathetic episode, Frank Vasquez responds to a listener who's lost nearly everything through leveraged investments caught in market turmoil. His compassionate yet practical response offers a roadmap back from financial devastation, emphasizing that starting from net worth zero with income potential creates a foundation many successful investors have built upon.
The conversation shifts to examining the psychology behind financial social media, where Frank taxonomizes poster behaviors into revealing categories. From genuine question-askers to Dunning-Kruger sufferers repeating harmful advice from financial media marketing materials disguised as guidance, this analysis helps listeners navigate confusing information landscapes. His take on affirmation-seekers posting humble brags or seeking validation for poor decisions provides particular insight into why certain destructive financial ideas persist online.
With inflation concerns mounting due to potential tariffs and immigration restrictions, Frank offers practical portfolio protection strategies beyond traditional TIPS, which merely help investors tread water rather than outperform during inflationary periods. His breakdown of managed futures, commodities, value-tilted stocks in hard assets, and property/casualty insurance companies provides actionable alternatives. The discussion culminates in comparing investment theorist Paul Merriman's value-tilted ETF recommendations with Frank's diversification approach using Shannon's Demon principles, demonstrating how different philosophical frameworks can lead to successful long-term investing.
What distinguishes this episode is Frank's ability to balance technical expertise with emotional intelligence, offering not just investment strategies but wisdom about resilience and perspective during financial hardship. Whether you're recovering from losses or preparing for economic uncertainty, this episode delivers both tactical guidance and reassuring wisdom from someone who's weathered financial storms himself.
Have questions? Connect at [email protected] or through the website contact form. Please like, subscribe, and share with fellow investors seeking thoughtful financial guidance.Support the show
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In this episode we answer emails from Ron, Iain, an Anonymous Visitor and Mr. Data. We discuss Ron's generosity and his variable or guardrails withdrawal strategy, some helpful British website references, what we use bonds for in these portfolio and how the TSP G fund fits into that, and small cap growth vs. small cap value stocks. And some notes on recent market turmoil.
And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.
Additional links:
Father McKenna Center Donation Page: Donate - Father McKenna Center
Portfolio Charts Retirement Spending: Retirement Spending – Portfolio Charts
Monevator Quilt Chart: Asset allocation quilt – the winners and losers of the last 10 years - Monevator
Just ETF (UK) Page: ETF portfolios made simple
Shannon's Demon Article: Unexpected Returns: Shannon's Demon & the Rebalancing Bonus – Portfolio Charts
Amusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:
Market crashes reveal the true value of diversification. While Professor Jeremy Siegel called last week's events "the worst policy mistake in US economic history in the last 95 years," properly structured portfolios weathered the storm remarkably well.
The recent market plunge shows exactly why risk parity strategies work—the S&P 500 dropped 13.3%, NASDAQ fell 17.2%, but our All Seasons portfolio remained flat for the year. This divergence creates powerful rebalancing opportunities that can enhance long-term returns.
Looking at performance across asset classes reveals a classic recession pattern: falling stocks, rising treasury bonds, and initial panic selling followed by differentiated recoveries. Long-term Treasury bonds (VGLT) are up 7.2% for the year, demonstrating their crucial diversification role during market stress. Gold, despite some wobbles, remains up 15.7% year-to-date.
The mathematical principle behind this outperformance is what Claude Shannon described as "Shannon's Demon"—when assets perform differently at different times, periodic rebalancing allows the portfolio to outperform any individual component. This explains why we maintain exposure to both growth and value styles, rather than trying to predict which will outperform next.
For DIY investors, this market correction offers valuable lessons about portfolio construction. Understanding why you hold each asset—whether for stability, income, or diversification—is far more important than chasing yields. The Golden Butterfly portfolio, with its balanced approach across stocks, bonds, and gold, is only down 1.78% year-to-date while continuing to provide consistent distributions.
Want to learn more about building resilient portfolios? Visit riskparityradio.com for sample portfolios and detailed resources, or email your questions to [email protected].Support the show
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In this episode we answer emails from Michael, Brian and Ed. We discuss Michael's situation and options as a 34-year old with growing portfolios and a growing family, Brian's questions about the infernal Cederburg paper that won't go away and Ed's questions about accumulation portfolios.
Links:Father McKenna Center Donation Page: Donate - Father McKenna Center
Testfolio Comparison between Total Market and Large Cap Growth: testfol.io/analysis?s=0GbmPE8D9GK
Merriman Best In Class ETFs: Best-in-Class ETF Recommendations | Merriman Financial Education Foundation
Shannon's Demon Article: Unexpected Returns: Shannon's Demon & the Rebalancing Bonus – Portfolio Charts
Rational Reminder Podcast #350: Episode 350 - Scott Cederburg: A Critical Assessment of Lifecycle Investment Advice — Rational Reminder
An Actually Useful Analysis of Global Portfolios: What Global Withdrawal Rates Teach Us About Ideal Retirement Portfolios – Portfolio Charts
Brian's Golden Butterfly Monte Carlo: Monte Carlo Simulation
Brian's All Equity 50/50 Monte Carlo: Monte Carlo Simulation
Brian's All Equity 34/66 Monte Carlo: Monte Carlo Simulation
Amusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:
Frank Vasquez tackles the complex world of portfolio construction across different life stages, offering practical wisdom mixed with his trademark humor for investors at all levels. This episode dives deep into a $1 million portfolio review, addressing how to balance real estate investments with securities, manage excess cash, and prepare for eventual retirement.
A key highlight is Frank's thorough debunking of a frequently misunderstood academic study suggesting all-equity portfolios are optimal for retirement. With mathematical clarity, he explains why the study's unusual methodology comparing non-reserve currency bonds to U.S. equities across disconnected historical periods doesn't translate to practical investment advice. His Monte Carlo simulation comparisons confirm that diversified portfolios consistently outperform all-equity approaches during drawdown scenarios.
The episode offers particularly valuable insights on pairing large-cap growth with small-cap value investments – not because either category is predicted to outperform, but because they create effective rebalancing pairs operating on different cycles while delivering similar long-term returns. This mathematical principle, known as Shannon's demon, shows how two assets with comparable returns but different timing can outperform either investment held alone.
For younger investors still accumulating wealth, Frank recommends focusing on equity exposure while avoiding unnecessary complexity. His practical advice extends to managing investments across different account types, structuring 401(k) investments with limited options, and maintaining psychological fortitude through market cycles. Whether you're managing a complex portfolio or just starting youSupport the show
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In this episode we answer emails from Deeps, David, James, Steven and Jordan. We discuss the PHYS vs other gold ETFs, the podcast feed link, using AVGE in a risk parity style portfolio, why we do this and tail risk hedging.
And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.
Additional links:
PHYS vs. GLDM: testfol.io/analysis?s=1lK9VB9xqaMRPR Main Feed Link (all the podcasts -- open in browser): Risk Parity Radio RSS Feed
AVGE Composition And Other Info: AVGE – Portfolio – Avantis All Equity Markets ETF | Morningstar
Portfolio Matrix: Portfolio Matrix – Portfolio ChartsCAOS Fund: CAOS – Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF – ETF Stock Quote | Morningstar
Amusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:
Gold continues to shine while stocks falter in 2024's challenging market environment. This episode demonstrates the power of diversification during turbulent times, with precious metals up over 17% year-to-date as the S&P 500 struggles down nearly 5%. We explore why truly diversified portfolios are proving their worth yet again.
Responding to a listener question about gold ETFs, I break down why PHYS's potential tax advantages rarely outweigh its higher expense ratio compared to traditional options like GLD. The physical gold redemption feature sounds appealing but offers little practical benefit for most investors. The entire physical gold storage industry largely profits from fear rather than delivering substantive advantages to everyday investors.
The highlight of this episode comes from a fascinating listener discovery – combining the comprehensive Avantis AVGE fund with treasuries and gold creates a remarkably simple yet effective portfolio. This approach addresses a critical concern: ensuring surviving spouses can easily manage investments without sacrificing performance. Our analysis using Portfolio Charts shows this simplified approach delivers comparable results to more complex allocations while dramatically reducing management complexity.
We also tackle tail risk hedging strategies, explaining why these insurance-like approaches rarely justify their ongoing costs, especially for investors in the accumulation phase. True diversification provides more reliable protection than specialized instruments designed to profit from market crashes.
The portfolio performance review tells the real story – while traditional stock allocations struggle, our diversified sample portfolios are mostly holding steady or positive for the year. Historical patterns suggest diversified portfolios experience down years only about 20% of the time versus 30% for traditional approaches – a meaningful difference that compounds over retirement timeframes.
Have questions about navigating today's challenging markets? Send them to [email protected] – I'd love to answer them in an upcoming episode!Support the show
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In this episode we reflect on our recent meet-up and answer emails from Chris, Gigi and Mark. We discuss preferred shares funds and PFFA in particular, considerations about allocations in a TSP based on goals and current progress in your financial life, and them thar new-fangled return stacked funds.
Links:
PFFA Summary: PFFA – Virtus InfraCap US Preferred Stock ETF – ETF Stock Quote | Morningstar
Return Stacked Funds Page: Home - Return Stacked® ETFs
Amusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:
Welcome to the dive bar of personal finance and do-it-yourself investing, where Frank Vasquez serves up straight talk with a splash of humor. This episode tackles core investment principles that cut through the noise of complex financial products and contradictory advice.
Frank begins by exploring preferred shares funds, specifically PFFA, explaining why its 20% leverage delivers higher returns but also brings greater volatility and a concerning 2%+ expense ratio. This leads into a deeper discussion about when specialized investment vehicles make sense for different investors and why tax implications matter when considering preferred shares positions.
The heart of the episode focuses on a listener's TSP allocation question, which Frank uses to illustrate a fundamental investment truth: many investors start at the wrong end of the planning process. Rather than beginning with fund selection, Frank outlines the proper sequence: first determine your overall financial needs, then establish appropriate asset allocations, and only then select specific funds. He draws an important distinction between accumulation portfolios (where growth is paramount) and retirement portfolios (where volatility management becomes critical).
Throughout the conversation, Frank emphasizes that diversification primarily reduces volatility rather than enhances returns. This insight proves particularly valuable when evaluating new investment products like return-stacked ETFs that combine traditional assets with alternatives like managed futures and merger arbitrage. While intriguing, Frank suggests most investors would benefit more from simpler approaches with established track records.
Whether you're nearing retirement or still in accumulation mode, this episode delivers clear frameworks for making better investment decisions, reminding us that successful investing stems from understanding your unique financial situation rather than chasing complicated strategies. Want more straight talk on building effective portfolios? Subscribe, leave a review, or reach out to [email protected] with your questions.Support the show
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In this episode we answer emails from Randy, Richard and Jamie. We discuss rebalancing frequency, share-lending at Fidelity, moves in Morningstar's style boxes and strips treasury funds vs. long term treasury bond funds.
And we announce the new listing of the Golden Ratio portfolio at Portfolio Charts and thank Tyler and Van for that.
Links:
Father McKenna Center Donation Page: Donate - Father McKenna Center
Golden Ratio Portfolio at Portfolio Charts: Golden Ratio Portfolio – Portfolio Charts
Golden Ratio Portfolio Write-Up: Beautiful Constants and the Golden Ratio Portfolio – Portfolio Charts
Kitces Article re Rebalancing:
Optimal Rebalancing – Time Horizons Vs Tolerance Bands
Discussion of Changes to Morningstar's Style Boxes: Morningstar redefines growth/value style box criteria - Bogleheads.org
Risk Parity Radio All Episodes Feed Page: Risk Parity Radio RSS FeedAmusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:
Exciting news opens this episode as Frank announces the Golden Ratio Portfolio has been officially added to Portfolio Charts, complete with its own dedicated page and insightful write-up. This recognition represents a significant milestone for a portfolio strategy that has been a cornerstone topic throughout Risk Parity Radio's 400+ episodes.
The heart of the episode focuses on answering thoughtful listener questions about portfolio management techniques. Randy inquires about rebalancing frequency and whether to participate in Fidelity's securities lending program for gold ETFs. Frank explains that while rebalancing more frequently than once a year generally doesn't improve performance, coordinating semi-annual rebalancing with tax planning can be advantageous. As for securities lending, Frank shares his personal experience that these programs work smoothly but typically generate minimal income—setting realistic expectations for listeners considering this option.
A particularly detailed discussion explores the nuances between traditional long-term treasury funds and STRIPS funds (GOVZ, ZROZ, EDV). Frank clarifies that STRIPS-based ETFs typically move at approximately 1.5 times the rate of standard long-term treasury funds when interest rates change, effectively functioning as a form of leverage. This characteristic makes them valuable tools for tax-loss harvesting or creating more efficient allocations by achieving similar interest rate sensitivity with smaller position sizes. Rather than focusing on market timing for transitions between these instruments, Frank emphasizes coordinating such moves with broader tax management strategies—practical advice that demonstrates how risk parity investors can implement sophisticated portfolio techniques while maintaining tax efficiency.
Want to connect with other Risk Parity Radio listeners? Frank announces a meetup at the Economy Conference at the Solari Hotel. Email [email protected] for details and to join the community of thoughtful DIY investors exploring alternatives to traditional asset allocation.Support the show
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In this episode we answer emails from Dustin, MyContactInfo, and Mark. We discuss the ETF GDE and combo return stacked funds generally, why you probably don't want to use economists' "life cycle model" for personal finance planning due to its unrealistic underlying assumptions, and whether we could use historical high interest rates to create market timing and allocation signals between stocks and bonds.
And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.
Additional links:
Article About BTGD: New ETF Offers Dual Exposure to Bitcoin, Gold | etf.com
Optimized Portfolios Site: Optimized Portfolio - Investing and Personal Finance
Rational Reminder Podcast Re Lifecycle Model: Ben Mathew: The Lifecycle Model vs. Safe Withdrawal Rates (SWR) | Rational Reminder 340
Debunking Economics: Debunking Economics - Revised and Expanded Edition: The Naked Emperor Dethroned?: Keen, Steve: 8601406370678: Amazon.com: Books
Amusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:
When market turbulence strikes, diversification proves its worth. This week, as the S&P 500 tumbles nearly 4% year-to-date and the NASDAQ falls over 6%, gold emerges as the standout performer—surging past $3,000 an ounce with returns exceeding 13%. These dramatic market movements create a perfect real-world demonstration of why uncorrelated assets matter in portfolio construction.
We dive deep into the limitations of economic models for personal financial planning, examining why the Life Cycle Model—while logically sound in theory—falls apart when confronted with life's inherent unpredictability. The assumption that we can accurately forecast our lifespans, relationships, and changing preferences decades in advance reveals a fundamental disconnect between theoretical economics and practical personal finance.
A thought-provoking listener question explores whether allocation strategies should shift dramatically if interest rates ever reach levels where risk-free returns match or exceed historical stock returns. Drawing on lessons from the early 1980s when Treasury yields exceeded 15%, we consider why developing investment rules based on rare historical anomalies rarely serves investors well.
The weekly portfolio review shows mixed performance across our eight sample portfolios, with those holding significant gold allocations weathering the current volatility far better than stock-heavy alternatives. We also examine rebalancing decisions for the Levered Golden Ratio portfolio, making thoughtful adjustments to improve its value tilt and diversification characteristics.
Whether you're curious about combining assets in hybrid funds, wondering how managed futures perform during market corrections, or simply wanting to see how different portfolio strategies are navigating current conditions, this episode delivers practical insights for the thoughtful, independent investor. Join us for this exploration of asset allocation in uncertain times.Support the show
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In this episode, we answer emails from Spencer, Ko and Steve. We discuss REITs as a portfolio allocation, why vacant land is probably not a good investment for most people, "talking your book" with bitcoin for fun and profit and how it looks today in a portfolio, law school education and that infamous Cederburg paper (again but only briefly).
Links:
Father McKenna Center Donation Page: Donate - Father McKenna Center
NAREIT -- Types of REITs: Learn about Investing and Market REIT Sectors Today
Weird Portfolio: Weird Portfolio – Portfolio Charts
Ko's Michael Saylor Video: Michael Saylor’s Big Bitcoin Prediction | Relai Bitcoin Podcast #90
Amusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:
Ever caught yourself obsessing over a particular asset class? In this engaging episode of Risk Parity Radio, Frank Vasquez tackles three fascinating investment topics that challenge conventional wisdom while providing practical guidance for DIY investors.
We begin with an exploration of REIT allocations beyond the standard 10% recommendation. Frank breaks down why correlation with broader markets matters more than yield history, why individual REITs often outperform REIT index funds for diversification purposes, and why these investments belong in retirement accounts rather than taxable brokerage accounts. A listener's cautionary tale about vacant land investing serves as a powerful reminder that illiquid, non-income-producing assets can become financial quicksand rather than solid foundations for retirement.
The conversation shifts to Bitcoin's evolving role in investment portfolios. Frank cuts through the promotional noise from crypto evangelists, explaining how Bitcoin's behavior has transformed from a true diversifier to essentially "a three times leveraged QQQ fund" highly correlated with tech stocks. This critical insight helps investors properly categorize crypto within their asset allocation rather than viewing it as a separate diversifying asset class.
Finally, we examine the controversial academic paper promoting 100% equity portfolios for retirees. Frank exposes the significant limitations of this research, demonstrating why seemingly groundbreaking financial theories often collapse under real-world scrutiny. Throughout the episode, Frank's pragmatic approach reminds us that successful investing requires looking beyond popular headlines and understanding the fundamental characteristics of what we own.
Whether you're rethinking your REIT strategy, curious about crypto's place in your portfolio, or questioning conventional retirement wisdom, this episode offers clarity amidst the noise of financial media. Share your own investment questions at [email protected] and join our growing community of thoughtful DIY investors.Support the show
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In this episode we answer emails from Eli, Garrison and Van. We discuss usig treasury strips ETFs like GOVZ and ZROZ and how they relate to long-term treasury bond funds like TLT and VGLT, a "returned-stacked" portfolio similar to O.P.T.R.A. for accumulation and early retirement and why the Golden Ratio portfolio performs very well on many metrics.
And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.
Additional links:
Father McKenna Center Donation Page: Donate - Father McKenna Center
Portfolio Charts Portfolio Matrix Tool: Portfolio Matrix – Portfolio Charts
(Note to compare the discussed Golden Ratio portfolio to other portfolios, input 21% LCG, 21% SCV, 26% LT bonds, 16% gold, 10% REITs and 6% t-bills as "My Portfolio")
Amusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:
Dive into the nuanced world of portfolio construction with insights that challenge conventional wisdom about retirement planning and asset allocation. We kick off with an exploration of treasury bond strategies, examining whether STRIPS funds like ZROZ or GOVZ offer "free" 1.5x leverage compared to standard long-term treasury funds. This seemingly technical distinction opens fascinating possibilities for freeing up portfolio space while maintaining effective recession hedging.
The heart of the episode tackles a young investor's audacious plan for early retirement using a leveraged portfolio containing 11% UPRO (3x leveraged S&P 500) alongside small-cap value, treasuries, gold, and managed futures. We dissect the Monte Carlo simulations suggesting sustainable withdrawal rates above 6% and consider whether such "return stacked" portfolios represent the future for younger investors seeking growth with manageable volatility.
Most surprising is our deep dive into the Golden Ratio portfolio, which a listener discovered ranks #1 overall on Portfolio Charts despite containing just 42% stocks. We unpack the five fundamental rules that drive this portfolio's exceptional performance: strategic stock allocation between 40-70%, balanced growth and value exposure, precise treasury bond positioning, thoughtful alternative asset integration, and minimal cash holdings. The revelation that this construction is essentially an expanded 60/40 portfolio demonstrates how traditional wisdom can be enhanced rather than abandoned.
Our weekly portfolio review reveals gold's dominant performance in 2023 (up 10.89%) while small-cap value struggles (down 6.47%), reinforcing the value of thoughtful diversification in navigating today's market landscape. Whether you're planning for early retirement, optimizing your current portfolio, or simply seeking investment wisdom beyond mainstream advice, this episode delivers practical insights for the serious do-it-yourself investor.Support the show
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