Episodit
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Special Guest: Brian Kersmanc - Portfolio Manager - GQG Partners
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Markets elect to rally but ballet box bond blues are a weakness. Campaigning for change presents opportunity but polling pressures trade and inflation create threats.
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Puuttuva jakso?
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Good goods growth so far for a strength while valuations pose a weakness. There is opportunity with Election Day on the doorstep but election angst is a threat.
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Strength: The undead dollar. Weakness: Rates Ding Dong Ditch it. Opportunities: Bobbing for duration. Threat: Phantom Market Movement.
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Retail sales stay strong while volatility remains in long rates. There's another chance to add duration but recession warning signals are beginning.
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Stocks are the strength this week while yields up while certain asset prices are down are a weakness. There is opportunity to get growing at a reasonable price while voting with your portfolio instead of the polls is a threat.
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Hard data supports a soft landing while returns may have discounted positive future fundamentals. There's an opportunity to get out of cash but rebounding inflation poses a threat.
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China gooses its economy while US consumers aren't feeling confident. There was a big cut but little pain, possibly because easing might have been too little, too late.
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Housing appears in both strengths and weaknesses this week. There is opportunity in small caps and natural gas while long yield and election volatility are threats.
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Gold and tech in the strength column while the consumer weakens. Opportunity exists in the relative strength of individual equities post-sell off. The dual mandates of the Fed remain a threat.
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Dr Brian Jacobsen, Chief Economist, and Ken Bellinger, Research Analyst present the Labor Day Weekend edition of the SWOT Podcast.
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There's broad Fed agreement at the Jackson Hole meeting that it's time to cut, but the Fed and the market are on different pages.
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Inflation continues to abate while the labor market weakens. Opportunity exists through volatility while the threat remains for a Fed policy error.
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Strength: inflation abation. Weakness: sales and earnings pressure. Opportunity: financials, dividend growers, and select growth stocks. Threat: a Fed delay.
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Strength: bonds diversified stocks. Weakness: the labor market. Opportunity: selective stock selection. Threat: bad news is now bad news.
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It's what they do best, consumers consuming---and that's our strength this week. China grasping at straws is a weakness but there is opportunity to ride the market emotional rollercoaster. For a threat, we ask 'has the damage been done'?
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Strength: The Fed's tone is changingWeakness: Tech wreckOpportunity: Ride the rotationThreat: Snowballing negative sentiment
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Strength: interest rate pressure might be subsiding. Weakness: risk to earnings forecasts. Opportunity: companies that disproportionately benefit from lower rates. Threat: a rotation away from market cap heavy names.
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Modest progress toward inflation targets for strength but weakness with cracks in the credit armor. Opportunity exists with cheap protection but economic roadburn and politics are weaknesses.
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