Episodes
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Some very stable NFL and EPL stats that will help with your weekend bets are talked about.
Metrics Mike talks in depth about a prop that has great promise and Basewinner talks about a valuable prop line based on a simple statistical historical log.
As a bonus, Riley slices and dices a game in the EPL with his EPL Ginsu Stat knife. This is an official play that is part of a big EPL weekend for CDS members.
Get yourself ready for the weekend with the CDS team.
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This podcast is a quick hitter, but if you want unique NFL and EPL stats to help with your weekend bets, you will get them here.
Basewinner gets very deep with EPE numbers that could be telling in the Titans v Chiefs games and Mike goes over some key thoughts on this AFC battle.
Riley slices and dices the huge Liverpool v. Man United game and deals out a play from a CDS EPL category that has a 69% hit rate over the last 2 years.
Get yourself ready for the weekend with the CDS team.
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Episodes manquant?
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This podcast is loaded with some nice analysis and some strong plays across two sports to arm you for your weekend betting war.
Metrics Mike explains the logic behind a big position we have in the NFL playoffs and BW chimes in with some interesting EPE numbers. You also get a strong teaser for the divisional round.
Then Riley pulls out his EPL stat flamethrower for a look at the CDS EPL Match Of the Week in the Leicester v. Southampton match.
Get yourself ready for the weekend with the CDS team.
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This podcast is a Friday quick hitter but you might be getting the best MH podcast play in our history as we detail a great approach for this weekend.
Metrics Mike throws down True Talent and Early Play Efficiency numbers that show the value of the play and Basewinner sounds off with some EPE time frame analysis that backs the bet and may even make you go hmmm.
Get yourself armed for WC Weeekend with the CDS team.
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Our Slack community Head Coach, "Syrian Pony", brings valuable Slack contributors Ben and Greg together again for a NFL round-table discussion for Wild Card Weekend in the NFL.
They go over high level betting strategy and discuss the complexities and challenges of betting in the NFL market. The guys also give their opinions about the games from their own models with the Pony sharing part of how the CDS model views some of the games. You might be surprised as some of the agreement and disagreement that happens.
This podcast is a deep dive, it gives you a good background on some of the shared handicapping that goes on in our Slack channels with semi-professionals, professional bettors and other publicly respected handicappers.
If you ever though about getting further involved in this industry, it is a good listen and this pod will help you in your contemplation of the weekends upcoming games.
If you like this content and you want more free content like this, please consider giving us a 5 star review wherever you listen to podcasts.
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Off an NFL podcast sweep from last week, the guys continue the "Defense wins Championships" theme and they deal out two plays backed by strong data.
Metrics Mike tells you how he approaches the last week of the NFL season from a betting standpoint and then he goes over some key numbers and a play in the Atlanta v. Tampa Bay game.
With a plus unit gain on his NFL podcast moneyline plays for this season clinched, Basewinner puts out a big ML dog. This game has multiple stats that will make you go hmmm.
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This edition of modern handicapping has a "Defense wins Championships" theme for all three plays. Mark "the Basewinner" brings in MetricsMike for a sweet NFL teaser and handicapping talk and Riley deals an official EPL play in this weeks most important match.
Podcast Highlights:
Basewinner & Metrics Mike - High level Handicapping (Podcast Start) -- Talk about the ups and downs of sports handicapping and a good take on mental approach by the guys.
Two Valuable NFL Plays - (4:00)
MetricsMike and Basewinner deal out a couple of NFL betting ideas and go over the data that backs these plays. Highlighted games are Cowboys v. Eagles, Texans v. Bucs and Saints v. Titans. The guys also hint at the first ever CDS open ended playoff parlay for the road to the Super Bowl.
EPL Official Play (12:00)
Riley the "Wonder Kid" gives out a side play in the biggest game on the card --- Man City v. Leicester v. Spurs. Some great stats are fired off by Riley that support this play.
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Our Slack community Head Coach, George or as he is known internationally as "Syrian Pony", brings a couple of our valuable Slack contributors Greg and Ben together for a College Football Bowl round-table discussion.
Great Handicapping Journey thoughts and discussion to start off with. Then general CFB Bowl strategy ideas. They guys finish off with excellent analysis and plays on the following Bowl games.
Jan 6 LendingTree Bowl Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Miami (Ohio)
Dec 21 Boca Raton Bowl FAU vs. SMU
Dec 27 Pinstripe Bowl Michigan State vs. Wake Forest
Dec 27 No. 16 Iowa vs. No. 22 Southern California
Dec 28 No. 2 Ohio State vs. No. 3 Clemson -
This edition of modern handicapping has three nice plays and good data talk. Mark "the Basewinner" brings in MetricsMike for NFL plays and handicapping talk and Riley for EPL analysis.
Podcast Highlights:
Basewinner & Metrics Mike - High level Handicapping (Podcast Start) -- Good talk about the plus/minuses of using excel to power your handicapping. The guys talk about how they have used excel to build models but also how they are transitioning out of excel and building higher power models with a dual edge. The build outs increase the efficiency of the models but also can give you great data that you can turn around and use in excel to build your own mini models. Also, how and why the Clear Data Sports numbers can help you get to a "next level" division specialist.
Two Valuable NFL Plays - (11:28)
MetricsMike and Basewinner deal out a couple of NFL plays and go over the data that backs these plays.
EPL Official Play Total (17:20)
Riley gives out a Total play in Wolves v. Spurs. This play falls into a EPL Model category that is 26-8 since the inception of the model and 8-2 this season.
New Addition To EPL Model (23:00)
Riley goes over the new metric in the EPL model display.
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This edition of modern handicapping is deep -- deep with picks, deep with handicapping discussion. Mark "the Basewinner" brings in all the team members for discussion across 3 sports and deals out 5 plays in doing so. Mark also highlights some high level handicapping concepts with Metrics Mike.
Podcast Highlights:
Metrics Mike - NFL and High level Handicapping (2' mark) -- Mike and Mark talk about the depths of data that power the NFL Crunch model and touch upon how the whole modeling concept came about at CDS. You can get a quick idea of what it takes to start to model. This could lead to future handicapping success. Mike also gives out a pretty juicy NFL teaser and Mark deals out a money line NFL play fresh off last weeks Denver +150 winner.
Riley Wichmann - EPL Play and Review (18')
Riley gives out a solid play in the Norwich v. Sheffield U game and also deals out an any time goal scorer in this game. Mark also goes over why he calls Riley the "Midweek Magician".
Brad Craft -- CBB Play and Discussion (25')
Brad hints at CDS Model 2, talks about his experience thus far as a member of Team CDS and shadows a couple of the high level projects in the CDS CBB funnel. Then he gives out a nice play with interesting numbers for the Idaho St. v Pepperdine match.
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CDS Modern Handicapping tackles NFL week 13. Metrics Mike talks about the CDS models, parts of his handicapping process and weighs in on upcoming games.
Key Topics Discussed:
1. Mike deals out a super valuable underdog with an amazing stat.
2. A nice dog money line play is revealed while Mark explains his use of 3 CDS models to determine the play's value.
3. Key Early Play Efficiency numbers. -
CDS Modern Handicapping tackles NFL week 12. Metrics Mike talks about parts of his handicapping process and weighs in on upcoming games.
Key Topics Discussed:
1. Mike deals out a nice parlay and talks about the numbers that influenced this play.
2. A big dog money line play is revealed while Mark explains his use of 4 CDS models to determine the play's value.
3. Key Early Play Efficiency numbers.
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This edition of modern handicapping features CBB basketball. Mark "The Basewinner" hosts a 4-man CBB Roundtable podcast with Riley, Brad and Pony.
Riley details the components of CBB Model 1. Brad and talks about his background and strategy and Syrian Pony highlights how he uses the CBB model to create his own profitable “mini models”. He also lets you know about the spectacular basketball handicapping going on in CDS Slack.
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CDS Modern Handicapping tackles NFL week 11. Metrics Mike talks about parts of his handicapping process and weighs in on upcoming games.
Key Topics Discussed:
1. A money line play is revealed while Mark explains his use 3 of the CDS models to determine play value.
2. Key Early Play Efficiency numbers for two games this week.
3. Mike deals out a teaser and talks about the numbers that influenced this play.
4. The psychology of betting. Why it could be profitable to make uncomfortable bets and a real life example of a very uncomfortable bet Mike and Mark endured.
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CDS Modern Handicapping tackles NFL week 10. Metrics Mike talks about parts of his handicapping process and weighs in on upcoming live plays.
Key Topics Discussed:
1. The CDS NFL Record which is 45-20. Mark the Basewinner talks about how this record may seem fake because of how good it is. However, as unbelievable as it may seem, how you can view the complete CDS NFL 2019 run in detail from our website.
2. Mike&Mark talk about why, if the ultimate goal is to win + CDS results of 31-8 from live betting plays, how it makes sense not to force any pre-match plays.
3. A look ahead to a possible live betting set-up in the Chiefs v. Titans for Week 10 as detailed by Metrics Mike.
4. Discussion on how and why your eyes and brain can trick you in your recall of your live betting success/failure.
5. Mark gives you a big Moneyline dog bonus play with 3 sets of numbers to back it. -
CDS Modern Handicapping tackles NFL week 8. Metrics Mike talks about parts of his handicapping process and weighs in on upcoming live plays.
Key Topics Discussed:
1. Metrics Mike's general approach to week 8
2. NFL injuries what is the best way to account for these -- is there a best way?
3. Key numbers for Eagles vs. Bills including true talent, Early Play efficiency and trailing/behind ideas.
4. Discussion on challenges of NFL Betting.
5. Mike looks ahead to Sunday's live betting opportunities. -
CDS Modern Handicapping tackles NFL week 7. Metrics Mike talks about parts of his handicapping process and gives out an actual CDS official play.
Key Topics Discussed:
1. Metrics Mike's handicapping process at a high level.
2. The best 4 team specifics to understand when you handicap NFL Football.
3. How Mike accounts for injuries on a weekly basis.
4. Highlights of Mike's Sunday process for live betting.
5. Mark explains how easy it is to make live plays from CDS.
6. Mike breaks down the MIN v. DET match, an official CDS play.
7. When are the props coming back?
8. The debut of "NFL Money(line) Mark" -
On this podcast (Mark & Mike):
BaseWinner thoughts on Baltimore Orioles. Is this team un-betable? Our thoughts on legalization and the changes we can expect (if any) Introducing our new soccer analytics partner Updates to our flat .67* bet sizing - Mark will start adjusting theseMore info: https://cleardatasports.com
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Now that sports betting may be legalized, many of my friends have expressed interest in getting involved. What advice do I give them? “It’s a lot harder than it appears.”
The 4 categories of sports bettors Why it's dangerous to trust the media Realistic expectations of how much you can win The traits and skills required to be successful
I recorded a video with my full thoughts:
Inside the video:More info: https://cleardatasports.com
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NFL Week 11 Betting Projections: We review the top predictive NFL models available right now: Bing Predicts, 538, and https://cleardatasports.com
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