Episodes
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European bourses are mostly in the red, but sentiment has improved a touch since the cash open; US futures modestly lower.DXY back above 107.00, GBP posted early gains after hot wages data.Gilts lag as UK wage data essentially removes any chance of a Dec. BoE cut ahead of CPI; USTs a little lower ahead of US Retail Sales.Commodities succumb to the tepid risk tone and ongoing USD strength.Looking ahead, US Retail Sales, Canadian Inflation, US Industrial Production, Japanese Trade Balance, NBH Policy Announcement, Supply from the US.
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APAC stocks eventually traded mixed after the region initially showed a positive bias, taking cues from Wall Street, and in the absence of macro newsflow with looming risk events.DXY fluctuated in a narrow range whilst USD/JPY was choppy on either side of 154.00 and Antipodeans were subdued.China is to maintain a growth target of "around 5%" for 2025, according to Reuters sources. China is to target a budget deficit of 4% in 2025 (vs 3% initially).European equity futures are indicative of a subdued open, with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.2% after cash closed -0.5% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Jobs, German Ifo, German ZEW Survey, US Retail Sales, Canadian Inflation, US Industrial Production, Japanese Trade Balance, NBH Policy Announcement, ECB’s Elderson, Supply from the UK and the US.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.
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Episodes manquant?
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European bourses are mostly lower; US futures are modestly in the green.DXY is flat, and GBP strengthens post-PMI while the JPY lags a touch.EGBs softer with OATs underperforming slightly post-Moody's downgrade, PMIs in focus.Crude slips amid a tepid risk tone, metals largely contained.Looking ahead, US Flash PMIs, ECB's Schnabel and BoC’s Macklem.
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APAC stocks saw an uninspiring start to the week following the mixed session on Wall Street on Friday and ahead of this week's risk events including the final FOMC, BoJ, and BoE meetings of the year.Moody's cut France’s rating to "Aa3" from "Aa2", outlook stable, in an unscheduled rating revision, citing political fragmentation.South Korean MPs have successfully voted to impeach President Yoon in their second attempt. Yoon was suspended from official duties on Saturday while PM Han is to continue as acting president, according to Yonhap.Bitcoin surged to fresh all-time highs above USD 106,000 and propped up the broader crypto market, with Ethereum rising above USD 4,000.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ, UK, US Flash PMIs, EZ Labour Costs, ECB President Lagarde, de Guindos, Schnabel, and BoC’s Macklem.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.
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European bourses and US futures are generally firmer with specifics light, diverging from soft APAC trade; AVGO +15%.DXY trades around 107.00, GBP hit by soft GDP, JPY lags.Fixed benchmarks in the red post-ECB and ahead of a blockbuster week.Commodities contained, focus remains on geopols after Russian strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure and Blinken comments.Looking ahead, US Import/Export Prices, and Baker Hughes Rig Count.
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APAC stocks traded lower across the board following a similar session on Wall Street, whilst sentiment was also hit after the Chinese Economic Work ConferenceES and NQ traded with gains overnight as SPX and NDX constituent Broadcom (AVGO) surged 14% post-earningsDXY held an upward bias and extended on gains after the incursion into 107.00 territory in late US trade; USD/JPY rose above 153.00European equity futures are indicative of a subdued cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.2% after cash closed +0.1% on ThursdayLooking ahead, highlights include German Trade Balance, UK GDP, EU Industrial Production, US Import/Export Prices, and Baker Hughes Rig CountClick for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.
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European bourses are mixed into the ECB, SMI outperforms post-SNB. US futures are modestly softer.SNB delivered a larger-than-expected 50bps cut and reiterated a willingness to intervene in the FX market as necessary.USD steady with peers and for the most part contained aside from CHF underperformance and Antipodean outperformance, AUD driven by jobs data.Fixed benchmarks are at/towards session lows into the ECB and US data thereafter, stateside yields are bid and the curve steeper.Crude in the green but only modestly so, base metals are little changed overall.Looking ahead, ECB Policy Announcement, ECB Press Conference, US PPI, US Initial Jobless Claims, Japanese Tankan Survey, Supply from the US, Earnings from Broadcom, Costco.
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APAC stocks eventually mimicked the sentiment on Wall Street and traded mostly higher following a slow start to the session and despite a lack of macro news flow.DXY was flat whilst JPY saw mild strength and AUD was boosted by a strong Aussie jobs report after a dovish RBA.US President-elect Trump has invited Chinese President Xi to attend his inauguration next month; it was not clear whether Xi has accepted the invitation, according to CBS sources.European equity futures are indicative of a flat cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.1% after cash closed +0.2% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include SNB & ECB Policy Announcements, ECB Press Conference, IEA OMR, US PPI, US Initial Jobless Claims, Japanese Tankan Survey, Supply from US, Italy, Earnings from Broadcom, Costco.
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European bourses began the session entirely in the red, but sentiment has improved to display a mixed picture; NQ incrementally outperforms in the US.Dollar bid as markets digest reports of China allowing a weaker yuan, JPY choppy amid BoJ sources.China's top policymakers are considering allowing the Yuan to weaken in 2025 as Trump tariff looms, via Reuters citing sourcesMixed performance for paper, US 10yr supply looms.Crude initially hampered by Yuan-reports, but has since pared with crude now at session highs; metals on the backfoot.Looking ahead, US CPI, BoC & BCB Policy Announcement, BoC Governor Macklem, Rogers, supply from the US, Earnings from Macy's, and Adobe.
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APAC stocks traded mixed following a soft US handover, although Chinese markets continued to benefit from the easing in China's overall monetary policy stance.DXY and UST futures were flat within a tight range as traders look towards the US CPI release ahead of next week's FOMC meeting.Crude futures were firmer in a continuation of the China optimism; upside was experienced following reports that the US is weighing harsher oil sanctions against Russia weeks before Trump returns to office.European equity futures are indicative of a subdued cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.1% after cash closed -0.7% on Tuesday.Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI, BoC & BCB Policy Announcement, BoC Governor Macklem, Rogers, supply from UK and US.
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European bourses are mostly on the backfoot; US futures trade indecisively around the unchanged mark.USD outmuscles peers, AUD lags after the RBA delivered a dovish hold.Choppy trade for European paper, US awaits 3yr supply.Crude edges slightly lower and base metals pare back recent strength.Looking ahead, US Unit Labor Costs Revision, EIA STEO, Supply from US.
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APAC stocks were mostly firmer following a negative Wall Street lead but with APAC players reacting to China easing its overall monetary policy stance.G10 FX was mostly flat, whilst the AUD was hit on a dovish hold by the RBA, Yuan saw gains.RBA maintained its cash rate at 4.35% as expected and suggested the Board is gaining some confidence that inflation is moving sustainably towards target.European equity futures are indicative of a lower cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.5% after cash closed +0.2% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Final CPI, Norwegian CPI, US Unit Labor Costs Revision, EIA STEO, Supply from UK and US.
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European bourses initially gained, taking impetus from positive commentary via the Chinese Politburo; upside which has since faded. US equity futures are mixed.China's Politburo says next year must seek progress while maintaining stability; China's fiscal policy to be more proactive next year. Monetary policy is to be moderately loose, via Xinhua.Dollar is at incremental session lows; Antipodeans benefit from the positive sentiment, whilst havens lag.Bonds were initially weighed on from the Politburo read-out, but now off worst levels; USTs a touch lower whilst European paper is slightly higher.Commodities benefit from the risk tone sparked by the positive commentary from the Chinese Politburo.Looking ahead, US Employment Trends, US Wholesale Sales, NY Fed SCE, Commentary from BoE's Ramsden, EZ finance ministers' meeting, Earnings from Oracle.
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APAC stocks were mixed for a bulk of the session before eventually trading mostly lower, with South Korean stocks underperforming amid more political angst.US President-elect Trump said he cannot guarantee Americans will not pay more as a result of tariffs, according to NBC's Meet the Press.Syrian rebel fighters captured the capital Damascus and toppled Bashar al-Assad's regime; Israeli ground forces advanced beyond the demilitarized zone on the Israel-Syria border over the weekend.European equity futures are indicative of a subdued cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.2% after cash closed +0.5% on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include US Employment Trends, US Wholesale Sales, NY Fed SCE, Commentary from BoE's Ramsden, EZ finance ministers' meeting, Earnings from Oracle
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European stocks are mixed and US futures trade sideways amidst a lack of fresh pertinent catalysts in the run-up to the US jobs report.USD is a touch firmer vs. most peers in the run-up to today's NFP print, EUR's rally vs. the USD has paused for breath, JPY and Antipodeans are softer.USTs are a touch lower following yesterday's flattening of the curve. Fresh macro drivers for the US are on the light side in the run-up to today's NFP print.Bitcoin gradually edged higher and briefly reclaimed the USD 98,000 level after yesterday's pullback from a record high north of USD 103,000.Looking ahead, highlights s include Canadian jobs data, US jobs report & Univ. of Michigan, Fed’s Bowman, Goolsbee, Hammack & Daly.
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APAC stocks were mixed with some cautiousness in the region after the weak lead from Wall St and ahead of the key US jobs data.European equity futures are indicative of a negative cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.3% after the cash market closed higher by 0.7% on Thursday.DXY is a touch firmer but still on a 105 handle, antipodeans marginally lag, USD/JPY lingers around 150.Bunds have nursed some of the prior day's declines, crude futures are lacklustre post-OPEC+.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Output, Canadian jobs data, US jobs report & Univ. of Michigan, Fed’s Bowman, Goolsbee, Hammack & Daly.
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European bourses opened flat but started grinding higher shortly after the open despite relatively quiet newsflow; France's CAC 40 shrugged off the vote of no confidence which played out as expected.USD remains on the backfoot vs. peers following yesterday's ISM-induced move in yields; EUR on a firmer footing vs. the USD with not much in the way of follow-through selling from the collapse of the French government.Crude futures holding a modest upward bias after selling off in the US afternoon on Wednesday, which was later attributed to a bank offloading a large volume of US oil futures contracts ahead of today's OPEC+ meeting.Bitcoin climbed above the psychological USD 100k level for the first time ever and continued to advance with prices underpinned after US President-elect Trump picked crypto-backer Paul Atkins to lead the SEC.Looking ahead, highlights include US Challenger Layoffs & Weekly Jobless Claims, OPEC+ Meeting, Speakers including Fed’s Barkin, BoE’s Greene & ECB’s Patsalides, Supply from US.
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APAC stocks traded mixed and partially sustained the momentum from the fresh record levels on Wall St where tech led the advances; European equity futures are indicative of a flat/subdued cash open.Fed Chair Powell said they are on a path to more neutral rates over time and though downside risks are less than thought, the Fed can afford to be cautious in finding neutral.French government lost a no-confidence motion as lawmakers voted 331 out of 574 current members in support of the no-confidence motion; French PM Barnier will submit his resignation today and is expected at the Elysee Palace at 09:00 GMT.Chinese state media warned against blindly pursuing faster growth and signalled more focus on supporting consumption in a flurry of articles ahead of the Central Economic Work Conference, according to Bloomberg.Bitcoin climbed above the psychological USD 100k level for the first time ever and continued to advance with prices underpinned after US President-elect Trump picked crypto-backer Paul Atkins to lead the SEC.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss Unemployment, US Challenger Layoffs & Weekly Jobless Claims, OPEC+ Meeting, BoE DMP, Speakers including Fed’s Barkin, BoE’s Greene & ECB’s Patsalides, Supply from Spain, France & US.
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European bourses are mostly trading in positive territory; US futures tilt higher ahead of Powell and a busy data slate.USD is broadly firmer vs. peers, AUD lags post-GDP, and GBP was weighed on by commentary from BoE’s Bailey who said he sees four 25bps cuts in 2025; a move which has since pared.European paper awaits French no confidence vote at 15:00 GMT.Crude holds an upward bias, WSJ reports that Saudi aims to keep oil prices elevated rather than chase market share; XAU/base metals are subdued amid the slightly firmer dollar.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP, ISM Services PMI & Factory Orders, Fed Discount Rate Minutes, French Government No Confidence Motion, Speakers include ECB’s Lagarde, Fed’s Powell & Musalem.
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APAC stocks were mostly subdued with underperformance in South Korea following the martial law declaration and backtrack.South Korean President Yoon announced on Tuesday the lifting of martial law after parliament voted to block it.European equity futures are indicative of a quiet cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future flat after the cash market closed higher by 0.7% on Tuesday.USD is mixed vs. peers, AUD lags post-Australian GDP data, EUR/USD lingers just above 1.05.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP, ISM Services PMI & Factory Orders, Fed Discount Rate Minutes, French Government No Confidence Motion, BoE’s Bailey, ECB’s Lagarde & Cipollone, Fed’s Powell & Musalem, Supply from UK & Germany.
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