Episoder
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The Dollar Milkshake Theory, proposed by Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital, predicts a surge in the US dollar's value compared to other currencies. This is due to the US's strong financial system, deep markets, and the dominance of the dollar in global transactions, like oil purchases. When a global debt crisis strikes, countries will scramble for dollars to pay off their debts, further boosting the dollar's value. This could lead to a "dollar milkshake effect" where money flows heavily into the US, inflating asset prices there. They also explore Modern Monetary Theory's role in this scenario, suggesting the US government's printing of money can continue to fuel dollar demand for some time.
#BrentJohnson #DollarMilkshakeTheory #GlobalEconomy #CurrencyStrength #FinancialMarkets #DebtCrisis #USDollar #Petrodollar #CapitalMarkets #MMT #Inflation #AssetPrices
Key Takeaways:
0:28 The Dollar Milkshake theory and the debt crisis
6:45 The straw and the US dollar's best deal
10:46 Modern Monetary Theory
12:01 Kicking the can down the road- for how long?
14:32 The storm before the storm
17:32 An "End of the world" scenario
19:07 Weak dollar vs. strong dollar, inflation vs. deflation
22:33 Echo chambers and the big social craziness comingFollow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
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Jason welcomes Ivor Cummins, author of "Eat Rich, Live Long!", who transitioned from corporate problem-solving to investigating food supply corruption. He shared a conference stage with Jason Hartman, discussing elite class agendas. Cummins, a biochemical engineer, criticized the handling of COVID-19, comparing it to a severe flu. He believes media and pharmaceutical industries push biased information. Cummins also explores the World Economic Forum, linking its origins to Rockefeller influences and global control ambitions. He argues that climate change and pandemics are manipulated narratives. Cummins emphasizes the need for a broad, integrative approach to understand these complex, interwoven issues.
He also highlights the significant influence of the Rockefeller family and their collaboration with figures like Henry Kissinger in shaping a new world order. Cummins emphasizes that the Rockefeller Brothers, wielding immense financial power, sought to create a global structure affecting all aspects of life. This effort was characterized by the establishment of influential organizations like the Trilateral Commission and the United Nations, aimed at fostering a totalitarian world order. Cummins argues that this represents fascism and corporatocracy, where corporate power merges with government influence, as evidenced by entities like the World Economic Forum (WEF). Funded by major corporations such as Microsoft, IBM, and Goldman Sachs, the WEF exemplifies the unification of corporate and state power, echoing Mussolini's definition of fascism. This corporatocracy manipulates global narratives, using crises like pandemics and climate change to enforce control and push their agenda, reflecting a profound corporatist influence over global governance.
https://thefatemperor.com/
#IvorCummins #worldeconomicforum #CorporateCorruption #FoodSupply #COVID19 #PandemicResponse #WorldEconomicForum #Rockefeller #EliteAgendas #MediaBias #PharmaInfluence #ComplexProblems #IntegrativeApproach #RockefellerInfluence #TrilateralCommission #UnitedNations #Fascism #Corporatocracy #WEF #CorporatePower #GlobalGovernance #PandemicControl #ClimateChangeAgenda #CorporateState #GlobalElite #powerandinfluence
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Jason welcomes back Lynette Zang from Zang Enterprises, highlighting her expertise in the economy, sound money, and precious metals. They discuss the recent surge in gold prices, attributed to global central banks' increased gold purchases, despite market manipulation efforts to suppress it. Zang explains that rising gold prices indicate failing currencies and manipulation by governments to maintain control. She emphasizes the importance of a peaceful return to sound money, like gold and silver, to restore fiscal responsibility and public confidence. Zang also discusses geopolitical instability, the erosion of purchasing power, and the need for community preparedness and global cooperation.
https://www.LynetteZang.com
#Economy #SoundMoney #Gold #PreciousMetals #FinancialStability #MarketManipulation #FiscalResponsibility #Geopolitics #PurchasingPower #CommunityPreparedness #GlobalCooperation
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Jason welcomes Catherine Austin Fitts, of the Solari Report back to his show after nearly eight years. Catherine, served as Assistant Secretary of Housing under George H.W. Bush. They discuss the disappearance of trillions of dollars from federal budgets, starting in the mid-90s and escalating over the years. By 2001, $4 trillion was unaccounted for, rising to $21 trillion by 2015. Catherine reveals systemic financial mismanagement and secrecy within the U.S. government, emphasizing the impact on inflation and economic control. She highlights the need for property owners to navigate this unstable financial landscape wisely.
#CatherineAustinFitts #FinancialFuture #EconomicAnalysis #MissingTrillions #GovernmentSpending #FinancialDisclosure #RealEstateEducation #Inflation #EconomicPolicy #InvestmentStrategy #FinancialManagement #EconomicControl #DebtManagement #FinancialAdvice #RealEstateInvesting #FinancialEducation #EconomicTrends #MarketAnalysis
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Jason and Sean O'Toole of PropertyRadar.com discuss the current state of the real estate market, focusing on inventory trends, the impact of high interest rates, and the value of real estate over price. They also explore the potential for price drops, the influence of technological advancements on prices, and the challenges of rising housing costs. Lastly, they examine the activities of wholesalers in the real estate market and the ongoing issue of foreclosures, with Sean providing insights on his company's data tracking system and the shift in the market due to a scarcity of available properties. They also discuss the impact of housing inventory levels and credit card debt, noting the importance of adjusting these figures for population growth. O'Toole highlights California's housing crisis, where strict building regulations and NIMBYism hinder affordable housing development. He points out that while modern homes are sturdier, the costs have skyrocketed, making new affordable housing virtually "illegal." O'Toole also explains the shift in the real estate market, where wholesalers are increasingly selling properties directly to consumers rather than investors due to inventory shortages, affecting traditional investment strategies. https://www.propertyradar.com/
#RealEstate #HousingMarket #InventoryCrisis #HomePrices #AffordableHousing #HousingShortage #BuildingCodes #CaliforniaHousing #ForeclosureCrisis #RealEstateInvestment #HomeConstruction #HousingPolicy #MarketTrends #RealEstateTips #InvestmentProperties
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Jason introduces Sahala Moshsin and her book "Paper Soldiers: How the Weaponization of the Dollar Changed the World Order" and discusses the impact of economic sanctions, particularly those imposed on Russia. They also explore the challenges faced by countries trying to work around the US dollar's global dominance, the mounting debt and its implications for the country's future, and the negative impacts of US currency policy on globalization. Lastly, Saleha discusses the current social and economic upheavals and the importance of understanding the economy through a currency lens.
#PaperSoldiers #USCurrency #DollarHegemony #GlobalFinance #EconomicSanctions #ForeignPolicy #BrettonWoods #FinancialSystem #Globalization #Inflation #DebtCrisis #FutureOutlook #EconomicPolicy #InternationalRelations #USPolitics
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Jason and Lance Lambert finish their discussion as they explore the "lock-in effect" caused by historically low mortgage rates. They highlight the significant impact on home sales and turnover rates in the real estate market, with a 57% reduction in home sales due to fixed-rate mortgage holders unwilling to give up their low-interest loans. They also touch on the multifamily housing market's influence on single-family rentals, noting that while rent increases have moderated, they remain solid. Data from Zillow and institutional players like Invitation Homes and American Homes for Rent provide insights into rental trends. Overall, despite market dynamics, investors can still find opportunities in the real estate landscape.
#RealEstateMarket #MortgageRates #HomeownershipTrends #RentalMarketAnalysis #InstitutionalInvestors #PropertyInvesting #HousingTrends #MarketInsights #FinancialStrategy #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentOpportunities #PropertyManagement #RealEstateIndustry #MarketAnalysis
https://www.resiclubanalytics.com/
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Lance Lambert, co-founder of Resi Club, discusses the real estate market's nuances with host Jason Hartman. Lambert highlights the tight resale market, down 30-35% from pre-pandemic levels in 2019, noting that despite this, 2019 wasn't a buyer's market. Affordability strains persist, especially in areas like Connecticut, impacted by the "donut effect" from pandemic migration. Lambert emphasizes builders' resilience, adjusting home sizes and finishes to tackle affordability while maintaining profit margins. He anticipates a shift towards smaller homes due to changing demographics. Despite challenges, residential construction employment remains strong, indicating continued market stability.
#RealEstateInsights #ResiClub #LanceLambert #HousingMarketAnalysis #SupplyDynamics #RealEstateTrends #RealEstateResearch #ExpertInterview #LanceLambertInsights #PandemicMigration #HousingTrends #DonutEffect #HomeBuilderStrategies #Affordability #DRHortonAnalysis
https://www.resiclubanalytics.com/
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Jason welcomes real estate analyst Rick Sharga. Rick discusses the housing market and economic trends. Despite concerns of a crash, he suggests a slow period with modest price increases rather than a downturn. He dismisses crash predictions, highlighting historical data showing home prices generally rise during recessions. Sharga addresses factors like consumer spending, job growth, inflation, and Fed policies influencing mortgage rates. He acknowledges the possibility of a mild recession due to Fed actions but emphasizes it may not significantly impact real estate if inventory remains low and distressed sellers are scarce.
Rick also dives into the NAR lawsuit and the current state of the housing market, highlighting mortgage rates near 20-year highs affecting purchase loan applications and pending home sales due to decreased affordability. He anticipates gradual mortgage rate declines attracting more buyers than sellers, likely resulting in increased competition and rising prices. Existing home sales show a 6.5% year-over-year price increase, while new home prices have decreased by 15% from peak levels. Investor purchases remain robust, primarily driven by individual investors rather than institutions. Flipping activity has declined due to pricing challenges, but gross profits are improving, indicating a potential resurgence.
#RickSharga #RealEstateTrends #HousingMarket #HomeSales #MortgageRates #NARLawsuit #AffordabilityCrisis #MarketAnalysis #FoxBusinessInsights
https://cjpatrick.com/
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Jason and Paul Moore delve into the current state of commercial real estate, focusing on multifamily, office, RV and mobile home markets. They discuss the rise of rescue capital, which assists struggling deals, particularly in multifamily, where many properties are overpriced. They explore how office markets may never fully recover due to remote work trends and pandemic-induced lifestyle changes. They also touch on the impact of struggling office portfolios on banks, revealing a potential contagion effect. Overall, they suggest a nuanced understanding of the commercial real estate landscape is crucial amidst ongoing market shifts.
#RemoteWorkRevolution #OfficeMarketTrends #PostPandemicWorkplace #CommercialRealEstateInsights #RemoteWorkImpact #IndustryAnalysis #OfficeSpaceInvesting #RealEstateOpportunities #AdaptToChange #FutureOfWork #OfficeMarketEvolution #WorkplaceTrends #OfficeRealEstate #EconomicDynamics #MarketAnalysis
Key Takeaways:
0:56 The state of "commercial real estate"
4:42 Self storage
6:35 Multifamily
9:30 Rescue capital and pref equity
13:54 Office space and RV parks
21:02 RV parks and AirBnB https://rvshare.com/ https://www.outdoorsy.com/
27:40 Mobile home parks
https://www.wellingscapital.com/
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Jason and Mark Moss delve into the media landscape’s sensationalism and fear-mongering, particularly in financial spaces. Moss criticizes analysts like Harry Dent, noting their linear thinking and failure to account for the changing dynamics post-2008 crisis. Moss predicts continued government intervention to prop up markets, leading to prolonged debt expansion and diminishing returns. Despite concerns over inflation, Moss argues elites benefit from inflationary policies, making it a preferable choice over deflationary collapse. Moss’s insights underscore a nuanced view of economic dynamics and media narratives, emphasizing systemic complexities.
#EconomicAnalysis #FinancialInsights #MarketTrends #MacroEconomics #Inflation #DebtCrisis #CentralBanks #GovernmentPolicy #FinancialStrategy #InvestmentOutlook #AssetAllocation #EconomicForecasting #MarketAnalysis #FinancialEducation #RiskManagement #GlobalEconomy #MonetaryPolicy #QuantitativeEasing #MarketManipulation #AssetPrices
Key Takeaways:
0:00 Is the sky falling?
14:53 The law of diminishing returns
18:52 Crashing down and up
20:24 Maniacal focus on the yield curve
26:16 Nothing moves in a straight line
27:30 Kicking the can down the road by year 2035
29:58 Choose where you want your focus to be
32:00 The first billion dollar solopreneur via Ai
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Jason welcomes Stephen M.R. Covey as they discuss his book "The Speed of Trust." In business, cultivating trust is key for successful deals and relationships. The principle of "win-win or no deal" emphasizes fair collaboration, where both parties benefit. Trust fosters enduring relationships, enabling faster, more efficient cooperation. Smart trust involves assessing situations, clarifying expectations, and ensuring accountability. While contracts are necessary, they can't substitute genuine trust. Transparent, open, and fair dealings build reputations that lead to repeat and referral business. Long-term success lies in creating a high-trust culture, where mutual respect and consideration drive not just transactions, but positive, enduring partnerships.
Key Takeaways:
1:24 Welcome, Stephen
2:33 What is trust?
3:57 A tall order- developing trust
7:03 Smart trusting- giving trust without being a 'doormat'
10:07 Trust- AND verify
12:10 Trust in Fortune 1,000 companies
14:46 High trust dividends
19:44 My cynical views and a perpetual downward cycle
24:42 Solutions in building trust
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Today Jason welcomes YouTube influencer Kevin Paffrath a.k.a. Meet Kevin. In this interview with Kevin, conducted aboard his private jet, he shares insights on the economy, inflation, and investment strategies. Kevin discusses the aftermath of recent global events like the pandemic and geopolitical tensions, foreseeing prolonged economic effects. He emphasizes the importance of the Federal Reserve’s intervention to prevent joblessness and advocates for a balanced approach in monetary policy. Kevin recommends focusing on asset acquisition, particularly real estate and stocks, and stresses the value of providing more value to employers and communities. He also suggests exploring professional services as a viable business venture for quick growth.
https://www.youtube.com/@MeetKevin
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Jason welcomes back guest Martin Armstrong, a renowned economic forecaster. The conversation touches on Armstrong’s background, experiences in the financial industry, and his computer-driven approach to analysis. Armstrong’s economic confidence model predicts a peak on May 7th, signaling a shift towards a recession, civil unrest, and international conflicts into 2028. He emphasizes the significant role of the U.S. as a consumer-based economy and the global demand for American products, asserting that despite challenges, the U.S. dollar remains a strong reserve currency. Armstrong also discusses economic dynamics in Europe, Japan, and China.
Key Takeaways:
0:28 A historic overview by Martin Armstrong and the currencies
5:33 Data driven approach
9:13 Economic Confidence Model
10:04 May 7, 2024: save the date
13:24 The past 10 years and what it means to us now
18:50 The future is… stagflation and Inflation
23:35 CBDCs and big tech
ArmstrongEconomics.com
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Discover the fascinating history behind the influential Laffer curve with the renowned economist #ArthurLaffer. This curve played a pivotal role in the Reagan revolution, transforming global economics. Dive into the concept that excess taxation can hinder government revenue, unraveling the counterintuitive nature of economics.
Join the Empowered Investor Cruise for exclusive insights from experts and gain strategies for wealth building. Don't miss the chance to explore this captivating journey and register at https://empoweredinvestorlive.com/
And today's conversation is between Jason and Arthur Laffer which covers a range of topics related to taxation and economics. They begin by discussing Arthur's Laffer curve concept, which explores the relationship between tax rates and tax revenues. They also examine the impact of tax policies on different groups in society and the economy. The discussion then shifted to the effects of tax policies on property markets, using California's Prop 13 as an example. Finally, they discuss the political career of former President Reagan, highlighting his leadership style and adaptability.
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Jason welcomes Mike Maloney. He talks about his book "The Great Gold and Silver Rush of the 20th Century," and presents a chart showing the price of a can of Campbell's soup under the gold standard from 1895 to 2025. Jason also introduced the Hartman Comparison Index and the concept of pricing items in commodities. Mike and Jason discuss the unrealized gains and losses on investment securities, the current state of the stock market, the history of financing and real estate, the concept of hedonic adjustment used by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the cycle of long-term interest rates, corporate bankruptcies, and the economic situation. They also discussed the use of gold as a safe haven asset and the potential for an economic collapse.
https://ggsr21.com/
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Jason welcomes Joshua Simon, founder of Simon Commercial Real Estate, as they discuss the state of commercial real estate. Josh highlights the strength of retail, especially in open-air strip centers and grocery-anchored spaces. Simon emphasized the retail renaissance, citing low vacancy rates and increased demand. Industrial properties faced challenges due to overbuilding, particularly in larger formats. Simon recommended investing in debt instruments or high-yielding retail assets, focusing on quick-service restaurants with strong operators and understanding lease structures. He also noted the value in acquiring vacant spaces from struggling tenants due to the scarcity of real estate.
https://SimonCRE.com/
#CommercialRealEstate #RetailRenaissance #IndustrialProperty #InvestmentStrategy
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Jason talks about the importance of understanding the relationship between household real estate value, mortgage debt, and GDP. The presented chart indicates increased equity and decreased mortgage debt as a percentage of GDP, highlighting a more stable housing market. He touches on the benefits of leveraging properties and he analyzes a chart on median sold prices based on bedroom count, revealing significant appreciation in lower-priced properties.
Jason welcomes Len Kiefer, Deputy Chief Economist at Freddie Mac, as they discuss the current state of the real estate market. Despite concerns about rising interest rates, Kiefer highlighted the resilience of the U.S. economy, emphasizing the stability of the housing market throughout 2023. While acknowledging a potential slowdown in consumer spending due to higher rates, Kiefer pointed out that the housing market has seen low transaction volumes and reduced refinance activity, impacting affordability. He also discussed the unique situation of homeowners with ultra-low mortgage rates, estimating the value of their locked-in rates at around $55,000 per borrower. Kiefer predicted a gradual thawing of the market as consumers adapt to the new interest rate environment. He also underscored the importance of considering broader economic factors and demographic trends in understanding the housing market's dynamics.
#RealEstate #HousingMarket #EconomicOutlook #Millennials #HousingMarket #RealEstate #EconomicAnalysis
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Jason discusses the topic of decentralized finance (defi) and its potential advantages in the cryptocurrency world. He also touches on the issue of the US housing shortage and how it presents opportunities for real estate investors. Additionally, Jason highlights the benefits of joining the “Fire Your Managers” program and announced an upcoming Empowered Investor pro meeting that will host a guest who will present a special “tenant insurance” product. Finally, he invites everyone to join their community to grow their real estate portfolio.
Jason then interviews Professor Campbell R. Harvey from Duke University’s Fuqua School of Business and the author of DeFi and the Future of Finance as they talk about the yield curve and Decentralized Finance. Harvey discusses the phenomenon of an inverted yield curve, which has predicted every recession for the last several decades. Harvey expressed his concern about the current inverted yield curve, which has been in place for 12 months, traditionally leading to a recession. Jason and Campbell also discuss the significance of an inverted yield curve and the potential of decentralized finance (defi) in the financial world. They identified problems with the current financial system and the possibility of solutions through DeFi, such as the need for an alternative to the SWIFT system for wire transfers and the ability to store and use value in transactions. With the advent of WEB 3.0 and the decentralization of monetary assets, DeFi is truly set to revolutionize the world in all economic aspects especially finance.
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI
Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/
Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/
Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund
CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
http://JasonHartman.com/ProtectGet wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals
Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
https://JasonHartman.com/RonFree Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
https://www.PandemicInvesting.com -
Jason welcomes Selma Hepp, the Chief Economist of Core Logic. They discuss the challenging state of the real estate market and noted that the market was facing issues due to rising mortgage rates, which led to a decline in transactions and mortgage refinances. Additionally, she highlighted that existing homeowners were benefiting from this situation due to their low mortgage rates and increasing equity. Selma also pointed out that the volume of home sales was down by 18% last year and was expected to decline by a similar amount this year, while mortgage origins were likely to be down by 30-35%. She also mentioned that the inventory of available homes for sale was at its lowest level historically, a quarter of where it was before the great recession. Despite this challenging market, Selma didn’t expect much change until the spring of next year.
Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN
Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI
Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/
Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/
Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund
CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning:
http://JasonHartman.com/ProtectGet wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals
Special Offer from Ron LeGrand:
https://JasonHartman.com/RonFree Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing:
https://www.PandemicInvesting.com - Se mer
