Episodes
-
(0:00) Bestie intro!
(1:35) Recapping the events of the past week
(5:39) Understanding the banking crisis
(32:55) Solving the global debt problem, righting the ship
(54:20) VC market update: Founders Fund splits its eighth fund in two, Sequoia's reported returns, YC cuts its growth-stage team
(1:08:36) Science corner: Superconductors
(1:24:56) DeSantis update, Ukraine spending run rate, bestie wrap!
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4565388-svb-financial-blow-up-risk
https://www.wsj.com/articles/easy-loans-great-service-why-silicon-valley-loved-silicon-valley-bank-6b3f203e
https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-silicon-valley-bank-bailout-chorus-yellen-treasury-fed-fdic-deposit-limit-dodd-frank-run-cc80761e
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-16/credit-suisse-got-its-lifeline-now-it-needs-to-win-back-clients
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-15/credit-suisse-top-shareholder-rules-out-more-assistance-to-bank-lf9gfhbr
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2023/03/16/world/france-pension-vote#france-pension-vote
https://www.politico.eu/article/police-fire-dutch-farmer-protest-nitrogen-emission-cut
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-london-64968795
https://www.treasurydirect.gov
https://www.axios.com/2023/03/03/founders-fund-slashes-vc-peter-thiel
https://www.axios.com/2023/03/15/stripe-50-billion
https://www.businessinsider.com/sequoia-capital-venture-capital-returns-university-of-california-2023-3
https://www.wsj.com/articles/tiger-global-writes-down-venture-funds-bets-by-33-in-2022-3f9f6ade
https://techcrunch.com/2023/03/13/y-combinator-cuts-nearly-20-of-staff-scales-back-growth-stage-investments
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1633570102326202368
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-023-05742-0
https://youtu.be/4lE8QWtrEvQ
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2023/03/desantis-ukraine-pro-russia-position-gop-presidential-nomination/673392
-
(0:00) Bestie intro!
(1:57) Overview of the SVB collapse and bank run
(17:53) Who or what is to blame? Debating venture debt
(37:11) Contagion risk, second- and third-order effects, government backstops
(1:00:36) What does this mean for the VC industry? Silicon Valley panic cycle, advice for founders
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
https://twitter.com/altcap
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.fdic.gov/news/press-releases/2023/pr23016.html
https://s201.q4cdn.com/589201576/files/doc_downloads/2023/03/r/Q1-2023-Investor-Letter.FINAL-030823.pdf
https://s201.q4cdn.com/589201576/files/doc_downloads/2023/03/Q1-2023-Mid-Quarter-Update-vFINAL3-030823.pdf
https://twitter.com/garrytan/status/1634260576431136768
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4565388-svb-financial-blow-up-risk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ymo6Yzjv_KY
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-10/treasury-closely-watching-siliconvalley-bank-share-plunge
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/janet-yellen-ukraine-treasury-secretary-kyiv-visit-volodymyr-zelenskyy
https://twitter.com/Rippling/status/1634201986894577665
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Troubled_Asset_Relief_Program
https://www.wsj.com/articles/bond-losses-push-silicon-valley-bank-parent-to-raise-capital-125e89d4
https://dfpi.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/sites/337/2023/03/DFPI-Orders-Silicon-Valley-Bank-03102023.pdf?emrc=bedc09
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/IAT:NYSEARCA
-
Missing episodes?
-
(0:00) Bestie intros!
(6:47) The VC FOMO frenzy in AI
(25:22) Current LP mindset, VCs leaving boards, startup cram downs and mark downs
(37:23) Macro update: inflation not done, weaker earnings, interest rates
(52:01) Marc Benioff channels his inner Elon Musk, the stock-based compensation boom
(1:11:59) Fox News facing defamation lawsuit over false election fraud claims, TikTok ban heats up, competition with China
(1:34:33) Ukraine update: China's peace proposal, US strategy
(1:46:34) Harvard legacy admissions, Draymond Green on Black History Month
(1:50:01) Stripe chart errata, bestie wrap!
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
https://twitter.com/altcap
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/why-i-stood-up-to-disney-florida-woke-corporatism-seaworld-universal-esg-parents-choice-education-defa2506
https://www.thedailybeast.com/bill-maher-shares-definition-of-woke-during-jake-tapper-cnn-interview
https://www.economist.com/business/2023/02/28/investors-are-going-nuts-for-chatgpt-ish-artificial-intelligence
https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/doug-leone-lessons-from-a-titan/id1154105909?i=1000602027979
https://openai.com/blog/introducing-chatgpt-and-whisper-apis
https://twitter.com/heykahn/status/1628453782177865728
https://www.ft.com/content/21420ce2-92a1-43a0-a153-04ac7c872466
https://www.wsj.com/articles/instacart-sees-revenue-profit-boost-ahead-of-public-listing-1d7891d
https://cdn.statcdn.com/Infographic/images/normal/21023.jpeg
https://www.barrons.com/articles/home-prices-dropping-redfin-fac43ede
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CRM:NYSE
https://s23.q4cdn.com/574569502/files/doc_financials/2023/q4/CRM-Q4-FY23-Earnings-Press-Release-w-financials.pdf
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4583622-salesforce-inc-crm-q4-2023-earnings-call-transcript
https://twitter.com/altcap/status/1631361678582611970
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/06/fas123r.asp
https://www.wsj.com/articles/in-deposition-rupert-murdoch-says-fox-news-hosts-endorsed-false-2020-election-claims-c9348fc0
https://www.reuters.com/technology/tiktok-develop-parental-control-tool-block-certain-videos-2023-03-01
https://www.reuters.com/technology/white-house-gives-agencies-30-days-impose-federal-device-tiktok-ban-2023-02-27
https://www.wsj.com/articles/house-committee-lays-out-case-for-china-threat-ad62c611
https://www.euronews.com/2023/02/27/chinas-peace-plan-russia-says-no-conditions-for-peaceful-solution-or-ukraine-for-now
https://www.wsj.com/articles/ukraine-war-depleting-u-s-ammunition-stockpiles-sparking-pentagon-concern-11661792188
https://twitter.com/wikileaks/status/1496886759665586177
https://twitter.com/deloreshandy/status/1629516350602264582
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w26316/w26316.pdf
https://www.tmz.com/2023/03/01/draymond-green-calls-end-black-history-month-celebrate-all-year
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-03-02/how-former-fugee-pras-michel-got-involved-in-1mdb-scandal-big-take
https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2023/03/06/how-the-biggest-fraud-in-german-history-unravelled
-
(0:00) Bestie intro: Jason's Japan trip!
(1:04) Stripe's precarious situation: Did it miss its window? Breaking down its $4B tax bill, slowing growth curve, enterprise vs SMB customers, scalability issues, and more
(23:07) Lessons for founders: How ZIRP can skew CAC and LTV calculations, burn multiple
(29:40) VC market update: ZIRP mistakes, VC as a "must-have" asset class for LPs, how the 2021 vintage can be saved
(39:05) AI's outsized impact on SaaS and real-world businesses
(55:16) Advice from Steve Jobs on customer-first product development, Section 230 update
(1:00:29) Trump's savvy visit to East Palestine and 2024 strategy, Biden's visit to Ukraine, China's position
(1:14:24) Tinfoil hat corner
(1:23:25) Bestie wrap up!
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/inside-stripes-55-billion-pitch-to-investors
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/the-private-tech-company-that-let-employee-stock-grants-evaporate
https://techcrunch.com/2013/09/11/zuckerberg-says-he-was-too-afraid-of-taking-facebook-public
https://sacks.substack.com/p/enterprises-vs-smbs-whos-the-better-customer-for-b2b-saas-startups-9a0d4efe69e9
https://sacks.substack.com/p/the-burn-multiple-51a7e43cb200
https://twitter.com/tylertringas/status/1627449217294958592
https://chamathreads.substack.com/p/higher-rates-will-lead-to-the-next
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1628851245644644352
https://signalvnoise.com/posts/3497-you-know-one-of-the-things-that-really-hurt
https://www.scotusblog.com/2023/02/not-like-the-nine-greatest-experts-on-the-internet-justices-seem-leery-of-broad-ruling-on-section-230
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/02/20/on-the-record-press-call-by-senior-administration-officials-on-president-bidens-trip-to-ukraine
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/02/20/secrecy-security-biden-trip-to-kyiv
https://www.yahoo.com/news/joe-biden-makes-surprise-visit-095627966.html
https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1626984889449959430
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/02/23/world/russia-ukraine-geopolitics.html
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-26079957
https://openai.com/blog/how-should-ai-systems-behave
-
(0:00) Bestie intros, poker recap, charity shoutouts!
(8:34) Toxic Ohio train derailment
(25:30) Lina Khan's flawed strategy and rough past few weeks as FTC Chair; rewriting Section 230
(57:27) AI chatbot bias and problems: Bing Chat's strange answers, jailbreaking ChatGPT, and more
DONATE:
https://www.humanesociety.org/news/going-big-beagles
https://www.beastphilanthropy.org/donate
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://techcrunch.com/2023/02/10/mrbeasts-blindness-video-puts-systemic-ableism-on-display
https://doomberg.substack.com/p/railroaded
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2023/02/14/norfolk-southerns-ohio-train-derailment-emblematic-rail-trends/11248956002
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2023-02-15/zantac-cancer-risk-data-was-kept-quiet-by-manufacturer-glaxo-for-40-years
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6320573959112
https://www.wsj.com/articles/why-im-resigning-from-the-ftc-commissioner-ftc-lina-khan-regulation-rule-violation-antitrust-339f115d
https://fedsoc.org/commentary/fedsoc-blog/gonzalez-google-and-section-230-all-on-the-same-side
https://www.investopedia.com/section-230-definition-5207317
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2023/02/14/norfolk-southerns-ohio-train-derailment-emblematic-rail-trends/11248956002
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1626097497109311495
https://chat.openai.com/chat
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1626091654120894464
https://politiquerepublic.substack.com/p/chatgpt-is-democrat-propoganda
https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-35902104
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/16/technology/bing-chatbot-microsoft-chatgpt.html
https://unusualwhales.com/news/openais-chatgpt-has-reportedly-predicted-that-the-stock-market-will-crash-on-march-15-2023
https://www.history.com/news/josef-stalin-great-purge-photo-retouching
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/business-news/ec-funds-france-build-google-106934
https://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/21/technology/21iht-quaero24.html
-
0:00 Bestie intro!
1:49 Report about US involvement in the destruction of Nordstream pipelines, breaking away from the military-industrial complex
28:26 Bestie refresh!
33:13 The AI Search Wars: Microsoft presses hard, Google's rough week
45:06 Sundar's next move: How should Google counterpunch? Google's troubled business model, will we see successful lawsuits over training data?
1:12:41 Will generative AI commodify enterprise SaaS? If so, what happens to VC returns?
1:31:14 Disappointing State of the Union, precarious situation between debt, taxes, and entitlements
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1623540190060101632
https://seymourhersh.substack.com/p/how-america-took-out-the-nord-stream
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/state-dept-vows-nord-stream-2-hunk-metal-bottom-ocean-russia-invades-ukraine
https://www.state.gov/secretary-antony-j-blinken-and-canadian-foreign-minister-melanie-joly-at-a-joint-press-availability
https://twitter.com/EmiliaKaminska/status/1574817556950663169
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-30/biden-says-nord-stream-leak-was-deliberate-act-of-sabotage
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-09-27/nord-stream-probing-pressure-drop-at-second-russian-gas-link
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OyBNmecVtdU
https://www.theverge.com/23589994/microsoft-ceo-satya-nadella-bing-chatgpt-google-search-ai
https://www.reuters.com/technology/google-ai-chatbot-bard-offers-inaccurate-information-company-ad-2023-02-08
https://twitter.com/Google/status/1622710355775393793
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QinFy0RFDr8&t=450s
https://neeva.com
https://support.google.com/legal/answer/4558992?hl=en#:~:text=Courts%20typically%20focus%20on%20whether,merely%20copies%20from%20the%20original.&text=Using%20material%20from%20primarily%20factual,than%20using%20purely%20fictional%20works.
https://twitter.com/arnaudai/status/1623359864100601861
https://github.com/features/copilot
https://www.theverge.com/2023/2/6/23587393/ai-art-copyright-lawsuit-getty-images-stable-diffusion
https://www.theverge.com/2022/11/8/23446821/microsoft-openai-github-copilot-class-action-lawsuit-aicopyright-violation-training-data
https://twitter.com/LynAldenContact/status/1620447620987785216
https://i.kym-cdn.com/entries/icons/original/000/019/304/old.jpg
https://twitter.com/pretentiouswhat/status/1622832701131874306
-
(0:00) Bestie intro!
(1:15) Macro picture update: 0.25% raise, jobs rip up, wage growth continues to slow
(17:52) Interest rates impact on mega-cap company creation
(33:58) Mass extinction event coming to startups, reckoning for VCs, venture debt issues
(1:02:33) Adani's potential fraud, role of short sellers
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2023/02/03/january-jobs-labor-market
https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-approves-quarter-point-rate-hike-signals-more-increaseslikely-11675278190
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART
https://www.ustreasuryyieldcurve.com
https://www.amazon.com/Intelligent-Investor-Definitive-Investing-Essentials/dp/0060555661
https://chamathreads.substack.com/p/higher-rates-will-lead-to-the-next
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ
https://medium.com/@alt.cap/time-to-get-fit-an-open-letter-from-altimeter-to-mark-zuckerberg-and-the-meta-board-of-392d94e80a18
https://www.freightwaves.com/news/fedex-to-cut-global-officer-director-workforce-by-at-least-10
https://www.theverge.com/2023/1/27/23574322/zuckerberg-puts-metas-middle-managers-on-notice
https://twitter.com/tomloverro/status/1620466827519496194
https://twitter.com/msuster/status/1620653106387386368
https://twitter.com/gradypb/status/1620937502248034304
https://www.axios.com/2023/02/01/david-cahn-leaves-coatue-for-sequoia-capital
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ADANIENT:NSE?window=1Y
https://hindenburgresearch.com/adani
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-30/most-adani-stocks-drop-as-rebuttal-draws-hindenburg-response
https://www.sec.gov/rules/proposed/2022/34-94313.pdf
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2023/03/wall-street-muddy-waters-activist-short-sellers-tesla-gamestop/672774
-
(0:00) David Sacks does bestie intros!
(2:49) DOJ sues Google over ads business
(23:09) EU probes Microsoft over Slack complaint based on "bundling" Teams
(40:27) Pfizer CEO grilled at Davos, studies questioning vaccine effectiveness
(1:12:14) Ukraine escalation: US to send tanks and warms to Crimea invasion, reconstruction costs, and more
(1:22:39) Science Corner: Will we soon be able to reverse aging?
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://thebulletin.org/2023/01/press-release-doomsday-clock-set-at-90-seconds-to-midnight
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/24/us/doomsday-clock-midnight.html
https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-sues-google-for-alleged-antitrust-violations-in-its-ad-tech-business-11674582792
https://blog.google/outreach-initiatives/public-policy/doj-ad-tech-lawsuit-response
https://noahpinion.substack.com/p/would-breaking-up-google-really-do
https://thehustle.co/12232022-ad-spend
https://www.adweek.com/programmatic/advertisers-sweet-tooth-fades-with-many-unfazed-by-googles-latest-cookie-removal-delay
https://www.politico.eu/article/microsoft-european-union-antitrust-video-calls-software-giant
https://twitter.com/rebelnewsonline/status/1615770518606561282
https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.122.061025
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-31401-5
https://www.seacoastonline.com/story/opinion/columns/2022/01/29/kerr-covid-vaccines-anti-vaxxers-should-reject-hospital-beds-too/9246198002/
https://www.cnn.com/videos/media/2021/12/05/marcus-lamb-death-covid-19-vaccines-rs-vpx.cnn
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9451592
https://twitter.com/jason/status/1478587551271161857
https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1618381912413962240
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/25/ukraine-war-news-us-will-send-abrams-tanks.html
https://www.businessinsider.com/ukraine-now-getting-western-tanks-looking-at-fighter-jets-next-2023-1
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/18/us/politics/ukraine-crimea-military.html
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-11661589/PETER-HITCHENS-Sending-Ukraine-tanks-turn-Europe-one-big-radioactive-graveyard.html
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1618321900324950018
https://intellinews.com/ukraine-spiralling-towards-default-according-to-fitch-267768
https://www.wsj.com/articles/roman-abramovich-ukraine-russia-peace-sanctions-11674572583
https://www.cell.com/cell/fulltext/S0092-8674(22)01570-7#%20
-
(0:00) Bestie intro, who gets credit for the podcast?
(6:27) Top candidates for the Republican nominee in 2024: DeSantis, Youngkin, Haley; major 2024 issues, balancing the budget
(19:13) WEF in Davos: is it a grift? Somber mood, globalist mishaps, evaluating the US free trade policy
(39:51) Rebuilding infrastructure while avoiding the debt ceiling, immigration reform
(1:00:42) TikTok's endgame in the US: banned, spun out, or something else?
(1:17:22) Pharma meets AI, best AI business models
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/RitchieTorres/status/1616124738752987152
https://twitter.com/TalbertSwan/status/1616101666582892547
https://www.wsj.com/articles/at-davos-mood-is-somber-as-many-ceos-question-economys-future-11673952415
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/01/17/davos-globalization-wef-economic-seige
https://twitter.com/ShellenbergerMD/status/1614782758328598528
https://www.facebook.com/worldeconomicforum/videos/8-predictions-for-the-world-in-2030/10153920524981479
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/02/how-insects-positively-impact-climate-change
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/dark-side-davos-revealed-global-elite-bookings-sex-workers-soar
https://archive.wphna.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/04-03_The_National_Interest._Samuel_Huntington_Davos_Man.pdf
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/15/business/auburn-tiktok-ban-students.html
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/vc-s-8-billion-bytedance-headache?rc=g3wfdp
https://www.wsj.com/articles/tiktok-tries-to-win-allies-in-the-u-s-with-more-transparency-11673836560
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/22/technology/byte-dance-tik-tok-internal-investigation.html
https://www.ft.com/content/6670acad-8a5b-4c4a-b6a8-48dc307b6d4d
https://www.hellopearl.com
https://roboflow.com
https://www.reuters.com/business/retail-consumer/brazils-americanas-shares-plunge-pre-market-accounting-inconsistencies-2023-01-12
https://www.wsj.com/articles/alec-baldwin-shooting-charges-involuntary-manslaughter-rust-movie-11674081157
-
(0:00) Bestie intro!
(0:43) Reacting to Slate's article on All-In
(11:18) SF business owner caught spraying homeless person on camera
(29:22) Microsoft to invest $10B into OpenAI with unique terms, generative AI VC hype cycle
(1:09:57) Biden's documents, America's over-classification problem
(1:27:16) Best cabinet positions/ambassadorships
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1613135006272045056
https://www.epsilontheory.com/gell-mann-amnesia
https://slate.com/technology/2023/01/all-in-podcast-elon-musk-david-sacks-jason-calacanis-chamath-palihapitiya-david-friedberg.html
https://newrepublic.com/article/168125/david-sacks-elon-musk-peter-thiel
https://twitter.com/BettyKPIX/status/1613080547022229504
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-12/bankers-bet-millions-on-sovereign-debt-deals-tied-to-green-goals
https://fortune.com/2023/01/11/structure-openai-investment-microsoft
https://www.ft.com/content/6670acad-8a5b-4c4a-b6a8-48dc307b6d4d
https://openai.com/blog/introducing-openai
https://ai.facebook.com/tools/pytorch
https://fairuse.stanford.edu/overview/fair-use/four-factors
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USAPEFANA
-
(0:00) Bestie New Year catch-up!
(2:44) Prediction 1: 2023's biggest political winner
(17:25) Prediction 2: 2023's biggest political loser
(21:57) Prediction 3: 2023's biggest business winner
(30:34) Prediction 4: 2023's biggest business loser
(42:03) Prediction 5: 2023's biggest business deal
(52:41) Prediction 6: 2023's most contrarian belief
(1:03:03) Prediction 7: 2023's best-performing asset
(1:07:50) Prediction 8: 2023's worst-performing asset
(1:14:46) Prediction 9: 2023's most anticipated trend
(1:21:40) Prediction 10: 2023's most anticipated media
(1:27:07) Breaking news: OpenAI reportedly in talks to sell existing shares at a ~$29B valuation
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/citadel-posts-record-revenues-for-hedge-fund-securities-operations-11672942665
https://www.reuters.com/world/saudi-arabia-gathers-chinas-xi-with-arab-leaders-new-era-ties-2022-12-09/
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/03/business/europe-natural-gas-prices.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/04/technology/salesforce-layoffs.html
https://www.wsj.com/articles/amazon-to-lay-off-over-17-000-workers-more-than-first-planned-11672874304
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1598076726671642624
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/30/world/asia/xi-putin-china-russia.html
https://twitter.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/1611052287954149377
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-03/blackstone-s-breit-gets-4-billion-from-university-of-california
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/gop-rebels-block-kevin-mccarthy-defiance-trump-rcna64280
https://www.wsj.com/articles/chatgpt-creator-openai-is-in-talks-for-tender-offer-that-would-value-it-at-29-billion-11672949279
-
(0:00) Bestie catch up!
(3:05) Kicking off the 2022 Bestie Awards
(4:12) Biggest winner in politics
(9:11) Biggest loser in politics
(16:37) Biggest political surprise
(23:35) Biggest winner in business
(29:48) Biggest loser in business
(42:21) Biggest business surprise
(51:16) Best science breakthrough
(57:36) Biggest flash in the pan
(1:42:24) Best CEO
(1:47:38) Best investor
(1:51:21) Worst investor
(1:52:22) Best turnaround
(1:55:58) Worst human being
(1:59:57) Most loathsome company
(2:01:32) Best new tech
(2:02:34) Best trend
(2:05:09) Worst trend
(2:07:50) Best new media
(2:10:26) The Rudy Giuliani Award for Self-Immolation!
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://civil.ge/archives/469054
https://www.popularmechanics.com/military/weapons/a39946577/us-to-replace-javelin-stinger-missile-stockpiles-sent-to-ukraine
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/capm.asphttps://www.wsj.com/articles/bob-iger-bob-chapek-disney-coup-11671236928
https://twitter.com/TwitterBusiness/status/1605651865818914816
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-12-13/crispr-gene-editing-breakthrough-brings-cancer-cures-closer
https://twitter.com/ShellenbergerMD/status/1604871630613753856
https://www.amazon.com/San-Fransicko-Progressives-Ruin-Cities/dp/B08V3DV718
https://twitter.com/ShellenbergerMD/status/1491418120086454278
https://twitter.com/seanhannity
https://youtu.be/HBiV1h7Dm5E
https://www.amazon.com/Vital-Question-Evolution-Origins-Complex/dp/0393088812
https://www.amazon.com/Life-Ascending-Great-Inventions-Evolution/dp/0393065960
https://www.amazon.com/Putting-Rabbit-Hat-Brian-Cox/dp/1538707292
https://www.amazon.com/Audible-Cinema-Speculation/dp/B09V3FTWKY
-
(0:00) Jason's new gig!
(1:05) Twitter's new privacy rules, notable suspension, doxing dynamics
(20:48) Nuclear fusion breakthrough and geopolitical ramifications
(42:58) Jason and Sacks's big night
(51:11) State of the markets: Coupa acquired by Thoma Bravo, startups at all stages seeing heavy valuation reductions, what LPs are thinking
(1:22:08) TV catch up, worst person in tech bracket
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.finextra.com/newsarticle/41483/checkoutcom-chalks-70-off-valuation
https://twitter.com/Cernovich/status/1602457619431493634
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1603190155107794944
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Ignition_Facility
https://www.ft.com/content/4b6f0fab-66ef-4e33-adec-cfc345589dc7
https://www.neimagazine.com/news/newsfusion-industry-survey-shows-significant-increase-in-private-investment-9860867
https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/thoma-bravo-buy-coupa-software-615-billion-2022-12-12
https://www.finextra.com/newsarticle/41483/checkoutcom-chalks-70-off-valuation
-
(0:00) Bestie gut health!
(2:17) Twitter Files Part 2: shadow banning and blacklisting entire accounts and topics; how content moderation was handled at other tech giants
(33:09) Twitter Files Part 1: Suppressing the New York Post's Hunter Biden laptop story
(47:30) China effectively ends Zero-Covid policies, Iran, China, and Japan demographics
(58:27) Kevin O'Leary defends FTX on CNBC, was paid $15M as a spokesperson; Sinema flips to Independent
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/new-york-times-staffers-to-stage-first-strike-in-over-40-years-thursday-11670471199
https://twitter.com/mtaibbi/status/1598822959866683394
https://twitter.com/bariweiss/status/1601007575633305600
https://twitter.com/c4chaos/status/1601048264262180864
https://twitter.com/bariweiss/status/1601020845224128512
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1601052241145696256
https://twitter.com/bariweiss/status/1601023504916172800
https://twitter.com/NewsPolitics/status/1601028254831620096
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/09/04/jack-dorsey-to-congress-full-written-testimony-on-political-bias.html
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1601031111244599296
https://twitter.com/JamesTodaroMD/status/1601042622516035584
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1601042125130371072
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1601044058276655104
https://twitter.com/mtaibbi/status/1598831435288563712
https://twitter.com/mtaibbi/status/1600243405841666048
https://nypost.com/2022/12/03/twitter-files-reveal-james-baker-in-hunter-biden-laptop-scandal
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/hunter-biden-laptop-data-analysis
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/19/hunter-biden-story-russian-disinfo-430276
https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/08/china/china-zero-covid-relaxation-reaction-intl-hnk/index.html
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Iran#/media/File:Iran_single_age_population_pyramid_2020.png
https://www.indexmundi.com/graphs/population-pyramids/japan-population-pyramid-2020.jpg
https://www.wsj.com/articles/letter-from-top-apple-supplier-foxconn-prodded-china-to-ease-zero-covid-rules-11670504366
https://www.wsj.com/articles/sen-kyrsten-sinema-leaves-democratic-party-11670587227
-
(0:00) Bestie hangover!
(1:05) Analyzing SBF's media tour: his angle, media coverage, and more
(21:09) FTX culpability: media, investors, regulators
(53:41) Challenging media coverage of other countries, China's current situation, Xi Jinping's standing
(1:10:04) What OpenAI's new ChatGPT tool means for the future
(1:26:30) David Sacks on the slowdown in SaaS, use case endgame for generative AI
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KMZckrBPw38
https://www.coindesk.com/layer2/2022/11/30/ftxs-collapse-was-a-crime-not-an-accident
https://www.wsj.com/articles/sequoia-capital-apologizes-to-limited-partners-for-ftx-investment-11669144914
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/27/opinion/ftx-sam-bankman-fried-fullenkamp.html
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/14/technology/ftx-sam-bankman-fried-crypto-bankruptcy.html
https://twitter.com/lizrhoffman/status/1595193884438568960
https://taibbi.substack.com/p/be-it-resolved-dont-trust-mainstream
https://www.newcomer.co/p/taking-kid-gloves-to-all-in-my-reflections
https://chat.openai.com/chat
https://twitter.com/jdjkelly/status/1598021488795586561
https://twitter.com/pmarca/status/1598413401705021440
https://twitter.com/jdjkelly/status/1598021488795586561
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1598076726671642624
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1598363968547876864
-
0:00 Bestie intros!
2:19 Trump announces 2024 presidential bid
26:07 Each bestie names their most important policy issue for 2024
59:03 Big tech belt-tightening, activist investor calls out Google, professional-managerial class culture
1:17:23 SBF's leaked DMs, Elon's culture shift
1:38:22 Sacks's big chess victory, Friedberg's public company analysis, and more
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/1592951330955759616
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1592970866312482816
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1593041589685063683
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/11/14/trump-motive-mar-a-lago-documents
https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1592271468045684736
https://deadline.com/2022/11/donald-trump-2024-new-york-post-ivanka-trump-1235173748
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEGDQ188S
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDGDPA188S
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_public_debt
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFRGDA188S
https://www.theverge.com/2022/11/17/23465169/amazon-layoffs-continuing-2023-ceo-andy-jassy
https://www.tcifund.com/files/corporateengageement/alphabet/15th%20November%202022.pdf
https://twitter.com/antoniogm/status/1593606745955348481
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1590110462347444224
https://twitter.com/g_shullenberger/status/1590069877288886274
https://compactmag.com/article/the-email-caste-s-last-stand
https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/23462333/sam-bankman-fried-ftx-cryptocurrency-effective-altruism-crypto-bahamas-philanthropy
https://twitter.com/bgurley/status/1593448516394881024
https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1593653573329436672
https://cointelegraph.com/news/sbf-received-1-billion-in-personal-loans-from-alameda-ftx-bankrupty-filing
https://s.wsj.net/public/resources/documents/FTXFILING.pdf
https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1593141361582444544
-
(0:00) New bestie game show!
(6:20) Election recap: Red wave falls flat, Republican party flips from Trump to DeSantis, a rebuke of extremism
(20:47) Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong joins to break down the FTX collapse, further contagion risk, regulation, and more!
(43:32) Red flags exhibited by Sam Bankman-Fried and FTX, lack of governance/diligence
(1:06:00) Macroeconomic picture, lower than expected CPI print catalyzes market tear, advice for founders
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/10/us/politics/biden-ukraine-russia-diplomacy.html
https://www.wsj.com/articles/ftx-files-for-chapter-11-bankruptcy-11668176869
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-11/summers-says-ftx-meltdown-has-whiffs-of-enron-like-scandal
https://fortune.com/2022/11/10/sam-bankman-fried-ftx-joe-biden-democratic-party-second-biggest-donor
https://web.archive.org/web/20221109230422/https://www.sequoiacap.com/article/sam-bankman-fried-spotlight
https://twitter.com/GordonJohnson19/status/1591062535586848768
-
(0:00) Jason's new brand deal
(1:18) Bestie updates
(9:12) "Ligma/Johnson" blunder outside of Twitter HQ
(15:38) Surge of tech layoffs at Twitter, Stripe, Lyft, Opendoor, Chime and others; preparing for a longer downturn than originally anticipated
(35:28) Macro trends, big tech freezes hiring, how founders can think about the last 3 years and the next 3 years
(54:04) Midterm election preview, understanding the shift toward populism
(1:17:32) Science corner: Understanding Meta's AlphaFold competitor
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1588538640401018880
https://twitter.com/yoyoel/status/1587230924554399744
https://twitter.com/dee_bosa/status/1587158734689767425
https://twitter.com/TechBroDrip/status/1586370087287521280
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1586149451348910081
https://layoffs.fyi
https://twitter.com/Post_Market/status/1577793695734284289
https://twitter.com/bullfightcap/status/1588311417052012544
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vBkzm4a7iY4
https://finra-markets.morningstar.com/BondCenter/BondDetail.jsp?ticker=C996374&symbol=COIN5259271
https://www.cnsnews.com/article/washington/susan-jones/622-labor-force-participation-declines-3rd-straight-month
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART
https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/employment-research/are-economists-underestimating-the-labor-force-participation-rate
https://www.bbc.com/news/business-63471725
https://www.google.com/finance
https://twitter.com/bgurley/status/1554589241560010753
https://appleinsider.com/articles/22/11/02/apple-is-freezing-hiring-cutting-budgets-claims-new-report
https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/02/politics/cnn-poll-democrats-midterm-elections/index.html
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/10/covid-response-forgiveness/671879
https://www.axios.com/2022/11/04/trump-presidential-run-2024-announcement
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/
https://www.joshbarro.com/p/the-problem-with-pro-democracy-rhetoric
https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=MCSSTUS1&f=M
https://about.fb.com/news/2022/11/ai-protein-research-could-drive-progress-in-medicine-clean-energy
-
(0:00) Sacks is back!
(1:01) Sacks recaps his week off
(3:13) Elon finalizes Twitter deal, immediate content moderation decisions, platform potential
(31:19) Meta's historic bet on VR and stock price predicament, governance structure, and more
(1:02:52) Big tech's 2022 decline, macro outlook, market breakdown
(1:06:32) Ukraine update: Progressives call for diplomacy, then flip flop, chip sanctions on China
(1:27:29) Science corner: Gut microbiome advancements
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TWTR:NYSE
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1586059953311137792
https://medium.com/@alt.cap/time-to-get-fit-an-open-letter-from-altimeter-to-mark-zuckerberg-and-the-meta-board-of-392d94e80a18
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/EFFR
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/3702113-progressives-urge-biden-to-push-harder-for-ukraine-peace-talks
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2022/10/26/progressives-thought-crime-on-ukraine-00063621
https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1581831084219645952
-
(0:00) Bestie intros: Brad Gerstner joins in place of Sacks, and brigadoons!
(2:02) Ye's current situation and acquisition of Parler
(14:17) Snap drops ~30%, corporate misgovernance, super-voting shares
(32:53) Macro outlook, Stability AI $101M fundraise, VC fund metrics
(1:05:38) The difficulty of active stock picking and valuing businesses
(1:21:38) Lyft vs Gavin Newsom on Prop 30, PSA from Chamath
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://linktr.ee/calacanis
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow the pod:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SNAP:NYSE
https://www.statista.com/statistics/545967/snapchat-app-dau
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/10/20/musk-twitter-acquisition-staff-cuts
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-17/digital-media-firm-stability-ai-raises-funds-at-1-billion-value
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1520643441994387456
https://www.wsj.com/articles/lyft-battles-gavin-newsom-over-california-measure-to-fund-evs-11665864256
https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/propositions/30
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEGDQ188S
- Show more
