Episódios
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Investors bet on the right horse last week. The Magnificent Seven came to the market’s rescue, despite fears about the trajectory of the economy and rates, and talks about stagflation in the US. This morning, tech is also lifting indices.
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Yesterday’s lower-than-expected US GDP reading showed that the price component rose more than expected. Investors were eagerly awaiting today’s March inflation reading to get more clue about the health of the economy and the Fed’s future monetary policy.
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Earnings season is picking up pace, and the market is becoming increasingly unpredictable in how it reacts to new earnings reports. Good results aren’t enough to go up, bad ones aren’t necessarily taking a stock down, and a company can be criticized one day and worshipped the next. And now economic data is bringing old fears back...
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Investors saw yesterday’s weak economic data as a sign that all hope isn’t lost when it comes to rate cuts this year. This led indices to remain in the green for a second consecutive day. Strong corporate earnings are also helping to lift investor sentiment.
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Escalating tensions in the Middle East, doubts over the trajectory of Fed interest rates and the sharp decline in US technology stocks, particularly in the semiconductor sector, have rattled markets last week. This morning, global indices are attempting a rebound ahead of a series of earnings reports.
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Escalating tensions between Israel and Iran are unsettling investors, sending global indices down. The favorable stock market environment seen at the beginning of the year is slowly waning.
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Lately, when things go wrong on the inflation side, tech is there to save the day. This is true today, after strong results from semiconductor giant Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing lifted futures in premarket trading today. The calmer bond and currency market is also helping. Big Tech earnings remain in focus, with Netflix reporting after the close today.
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Equity markets remain subdued as hopes of a near-term rate cut in the US fade. Will corporate results act as a new catalyst? Perhaps, since UnitedHealth and Morgan Stanley’s results helped Wall Street yesterday.
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Stock markets seem to have entered a more complex phase, which is eroding investor confidence at the start of the first quarter earnings season. The so-called 'goldilocks' scenario, where everything is tepid but predictable, has been weakened and bears are once again on the prowl.
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Investors are struggling to form a clear view on whether or not the upturn in US inflation is here to stay and whether it represents a paradigm shift for monetary policy. Sentiment over the weekend was hampered by escalating tensions in the Middle East, but a series of strong quarterly corporate earnings reports boosted morale today, with most Western indices being well in the green today.
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Earnings season kicks off today with the first major set of quarterly results of the season, featuring the giants of American finance. Investors are hoping these will be a new catalyst for the market. So far, the results are mixed.
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Wall Street indices lost 1% yesterday after a statistic that reshuffled the deck on the evolution of U.S. monetary policy. However, there was a little bit of good news today after the release of March producer prices.
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Investors are anxiously awaiting Wednesday’s key inflation data from the US and Thursday’s European Central Bank's interest rate decision. They want to refine their rate cuts forecast after receiving confirmation from recent data and Fed official speeches that the road to monetary policy easing will not be a smooth one.
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Investors have long been obsessed with monetary policy, but it's clear that they're becoming less and less concerned, hypnotized by the strength of the US economy. This is the general mood in mid-April, as we await the arrival this week of the first set of quarterly corporate results.
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The words of central bankers are always gospel to investors. The problem is that there have been some conflicting messages lately. The release of monthly US employment data this morning was eagerly expected by investors, who hoped it would help clear the air.
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It seems that the US job market is cooling according to the latest data, and investors might take this as a sign that a rate cut in June is getting likelier. They also took comfort in some comments from Jerome Powell yesterday.
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The mood is changing on stock markets, with global indices turning red since the start of April due to worries about the path of rate cuts this year. Things could take a turn for the worse today as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is due to speak.
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Wall Street opened in the red this morning, weighed down by health insurers. Investors are also reassessing their scenarios for rate cuts this year after Jerome Powell’s speech, and await more economic data and comments from Fed officials.
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