Episódios
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 38, sponsored by AmWager, which is Part 2 of a 2-part Deep Dive in which we talk in depth about speed and pace figures with Craig Milkowski.
2:30 – Making pace figures
10:00 – Run ups
13:00 – Combining speed and pace figures
15:00 – Sierra Leone or Fierceness?
20:00 – Ground loss
25:00 – GPS measurement
33:00 – Weight
43:00 – Difficult races for making figures
45:00 – Accuracy of speed figures
48:00 – Fastest figure he has ever given
49:00 – Flightline
50:00 – Service and Navarro
55:00- Using figures
58:00 – Track biases
1:05 – Betting
1:09 – Doubles
1:14 – Figure making is getting tougher
1:19 – Hong Kong figures
1:23 – Improving the game
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 37, sponsored by AmWager, which is Part 1 of a 2-part Deep Dive in which we talk in depth about speed and pace figures with Craig Milkowski.
3 - Horseplayer origin story
16 - Making speed figures
26 - Using projection to make figures
31 - Splitting the variant for a day
35 - Projecting figs for 3yos
39 - Shrinking figures
41- Comparing historical figures
44 - Making turf figures
1:00 – Making synth figures
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 36, sponsored by AmWager, which is Part-2 of a 2-part Deep Dive with BCBC Champ and author of the book "A Bettor Way of Thinking," Matt Miller, about the Breeders' Cup and the BCBC.
3- BCBC Strategy
6- Minimum Bet Strategy
15- “Value” in a contest
22- 3 reliable winners
33- Risk pyramid
34- Playing Doubles
37- Playing Exactas
45- The last race
59- How Matt won the BCBC
1:09 – Playing smaller contests
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 35 of the Bet With the Best Podcast (Sponsored by AmWager). Part 1 of a conversation with BCBC Champ and author of the book "A Bettor Way of Thinking," Matt Miller, discussing the Breeders' Cup and the BCBC.
4- “Bettor” Way of Thinking
10- Blackjack or Wheel of Fortune
12- Knowing your opponent
19- Addressing your weaknesses
22- Picking your spots
27- Set a target and play with monopoly money
45- 2>1
1:00 - Looking for Sunday Silence vs Easy Goer
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 34, sponsored by AmWager, which is Part-2 of a Deep Dive with computer model player Keith Bush about handicapping and betting on races from Hong Kong:
3 – Fed up with US Racing
7- Pivot to Hong Kong
11- HK Basics
15 - HK class system
30- Betting on HK
40- Watching HK Racing
41 – HK Computer Model
58 – Finding edges
1:08 – Trainer intent in HK
1:15 – racing.hkjc.com
1:18 – Jockey behavior
1:20 – What US can learn from HK
1:25 – Open Source Equus Model
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 33, sponsored by AmWager, which is Part-1 of a Deep Dive with computer model player Keith Bush about handicapping and betting on races from Hong Kong:
3 – Horseplayer Origin Story
10- Building a model from scratch
12- Start by understanding the data
13- The bad data blues
15 – Speed figures
20- Weight matters
37 – The two types of models
42- Building Equus
53- End of Part 1
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 32, which is Part-2 of a Deep Dive into handicapping and betting on races at Saratoga, with racing analyst David Aragona. Bet With the Best is Sponsored by AmWager:
2 - Horses for Courses
4 - Factors baked into price
6 - Trip handicapping
7 - Workouts
21 - Making a morning line
23 - Finding an edge
28 - Vertical bets
31 - Horizontal bets
39 - Trifectas
41 - Weak favorites
46 - CAWs and NYRA win pool
59 - Best advice for players
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 31, which is Part-1 of a Deep Dive into handicapping and betting on races at Saratoga, with racing analyst David Aragona. Bet With the Best is Sponsored by AmWager:
3 - horseplayer origin story
12 - Why Saratoga is a special place
19 - Saratoga Turf Sprints
24 - The one-mile Wilson Chute
30 - Kickback
35 - Saratoga Turf Course
37 - Off tracks
40 - Off-the-turf races
42 - 2yo races
50 - Trusting your gut
53 - Pointing to Saratoga
57- Saratoga class droppers
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 30, Part 2 of our discussion with guest Len Friedman (Sponsored by AmWager):
3- Turf Racing
15 - Synthetic Racing
20 - Vertical Betting
35 - The 4 quadrants of horseplaying
43 - Horizontal Betting
1:11 - Keeping Records
1:16 - Turf Sprints
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 29 Part 1 with guest Len Friedman (Sponsored by AmWager):
3 - Horseplayer Origin Story
6 - Intro to The Sheets
15 - Sheet patterns
19 - Condition Handicapping
24 - Why horses sometimes “bounce”
27- Drug Trainers and the “bounce”
30 - The Sheets impact on training methods
34 – Layoff Patterns
46 – Developing horses
1:05 – Finding horses to toss
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 28, Part-2 of a Deep Dive into how to watch horse races with Ryan Flanders Sponsored by AmWager:
3- The whip
12- Changing leads
24- The break
25- Kickback
27- 3-wide scenarios
31- Moves
33- Jockeys ride with their legs
35- Prat vs Irad
43- What makes a good rider?
49- Synthetic racing
59- Speed duel
1:02- Rail post
1:04- From bad start to big score
1:07- Race watching process/tools
1:16- Bias
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 27, Part-1 of a Deep Dive into how to watch horse races with Ryan Flanders Sponsored by AmWager:
3- Horseplayer Origin Story
14- Value of trips
16- Trips and CAW teams
19- Race watching basics
25- Pace makes the race
29- Dirt vs Turf
33- The fake-fast pace
36- Accordion flow
38- The 2-wide tracking trip
41- The 3-wide stalker
44- Jockey intent
59- Horse comfort
1:11- Gallop out
1:23- Stride cadence
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 26, Part-2 of a Deep Dive into how to bet the Kentucky Derby with Mike Maloney Sponsored by AmWager:
3 – Win bets
9- Place and Show bets
16- Exacta Bets
34- Double key Exactas and tris
39 - $1 min Derby Superfecta Bets
1:00 – Horizontal Bets
1:16 – Pressing a “live” P5 with a P4 or a P3
1:23 – Having a plan and sticking to it
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 25 Part-1 a Deep Dive into how to handicap the Kentucky Derby with Mike Maloney Sponsored by AmWager:
3 – General approach to Derby
8- Finding a key horse or horses
20 – Impact of the Derby Points System
23- Finding the “push button” horse
26 – Getting the Derby Distance
38- Finding signal in all the Derby noise
47- Running styles, post-position, and trips
1:01 – Great Derby rides by Jerry Bailey
1:08 – The dreaded rail post position
1:16 – The Trainer factor
1:32 – Workouts
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 24 sponsored by AmWager with guest Paul Shurman.
3- Horseplayer Origin Story
13- Handicapping approach
15:30 – Playing in contests
19:00 – Playing in the NHC
26 - Choosing which horses to play in NHC
31 – Playing shorter-priced horses in the NHC
38- The right time to panic at the NHC
40 – Beginning at the end
42 – Playing the final few contest races
46 – Playing mandatory races at the NHC
56 – Playing 2 entries at the NHC
1:10 – Playing to win
1:21 – Pick and Pray contest format
1:26 – Picking the right contest to enter
1:29 – Live betting contests
1:55 – More advice on contests
1:59 – It pays to be organized
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 23 sponsored by AmWager with guest Barry Meadow. A professional horseplayer and author of many publications including the books “Money Secrets at the Racetrack,” and the “The Skeptical Handicapper.”
3 - Horseplayer Origin Story
10 - From Harness to thoroughbreds
14 - Watching replays
17 - Rating horses
20 - Making a fair odds line
23 - Bet sizing
27 - Keeping records
30 - Exchange betting
37 - Vulnerable favorites
39 - Finding value
42 - Positive attitude
45 - Pick 6
58 - CAW
1:02 - Why are you playing?
1:04 - Getting started
1:10 - Factors that matter
1:14 - More on bet sizing
1:29 - What is a winning player?
1:33 - “Turning down” a profit
1:35 - Testing your odds line
1:37- Blackjack
1:45 - ADW Promotions
1:49 - Improving the game
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 22 with Mark Cramer Sponsored by AmWager:
3- Horseplayer Origin Story
9- The story of Carson
13- Scared money
16- “Please Hold All Tickets”
19- Horseplayer’s confession
21- Touts and self confidence
23- Keeping Thoreau Records
26- Tilting at windmills
30- An active body leads to a sharp mind
37- Advice for beginners
40- Conditions matter
43- Kinky handicapping and grass smokers
53- Short stint as a pro player
55- Cleaning up on the new multi-multi
58 – Single-factor wagering
1:00- French Racing
1:21- Playing longshots – exacta as a place bet
1:45- Biggest mistake most players make
1:46- Making a fair-value odds line
1:58- Arcangues
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 21 "Using a Fair Odds Line" with Kevin Kilroy Sponsored by AmWager:
3 min - Systematic approach to Handicapping
5 - Golden Rule
7 - Kevin's systematic approach
14 - Fair Odds line
26 - Example 1, Sat 1/6/24, FG 9th
43 - FG 9th Fair Odds Line
50 - Using Will Pays to estimate off odds
59 - Race Selection
1:02 - Example 2, Sat 1/6/2024, FG 10th
1:18 - FG 10th Fair Odds Line
1:32 - Pick-5
1:45 Summary
Kevin's Fair odds lines:
FG 9th:
#HorseML OddsFair Odds1Goin' Good58.82Brandon'smylawyer613.83Carimba33.94Stella Noir1558.05Oeuvre3.52.06Sweet Temperament1558.07Redifined528.58Poppy Flower4.53.99Breeze Easy (GB)2058.0FG 10th:
#HorseML OddsFair Odds1Tsuris1521.52Arctic Rose46.53Wise Guy4.56.54Bayou Sarge2021.55Gallant Star56.56Steal It Back1514.07Imindycatbirdseat1514.08Zong Tough1289.09War Count3.53.510Juju Nineteen2089.011J B Gray2014.012Guitartuition Plzz814.0 -
Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 20 with Leo Vukmanovich Sponsored by AmWager:
3 - Horseplayer Origin Story
24 – Basic Handicapping Approach
29 – Basic Betting Approach
36 – Becoming a better bettor
50 – Handicapping Jockeys
53 – Pick-5 Ticket Structure
59 – Favorite angles to play
1:23 – Paying attention to takeout
1:27 – CAW Teams and Technology in Racing
1:41 – What horse racing can learn from Formula-1
1:47 – No longer swimming in the win pool
1:53 – “Zooming” in during Covid with Dink, ITP and others
2:06 – Racetracks and their customers
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Highlights/timestamp for Bet With the Best Podcast Episode 19 with Emily Gullikson Sponsored by AmWager
4 min: General handicapping approach
9: Friday Dmr Race 7
38: Sat CD Race 7
52: Sat CD Race 8
1:00: Sat CD Race 10
1:04: Sat CD Race 9
1:11: Hawthorne TG Contests
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