Episódios
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Youtube - https://youtu.be/EF-yONBmGa8
Bradley's #51 Curious Worldview Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/episode/4cHyTyId6UbBrBM1nbDt9q?si=faZKIDlQRGCH8iQW4k2uwQ
Bradley's #51 Curious Worldview Apple - https://podcasts.apple.com/se/podcast/51-bradley-hope-billion-dollar-whale-blood-oil-project/id1540424160?i=1000539362238&l=en-GB
Whale Hunting Podcast (Highly Recommend) - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/whale-hunting/id1718751733
Curious Worldview Newsletter - https://curiousworldview.beehiiv.com/subscribe
Bradley Hope returns to the podcast.
By far the highest production value I’ve ever done. We recorded this together in Bradley’s studio in London. It’s TV quality stuff so refer to youtube for this one.
And the podcast was as much in 90 minutes that we could possibly do around his book, Blood and Oil.The co-author of which, Justin Scheck has also been a previous guests on this podcast.
Blood and Oil is the story of MBS, Mohammed bin Salman, who is the crown prince and most powerful person in Saudi Arabia, he is as well, the singular vision responsible for most of the good but as well, most of the bad that Saudi Arabia has been responsible for since about 2017.
the Shiek Down, this brazen transference of power and wealth which MBS oversaw.Bradley’s take on the supposed sports-washing this region has been all over the news for, specifically here, referring to football and golf.The US/Saudi relationshipNEOMAnd in between all of that a sense for MBS as told through the reporting and journalism of one of the best.
Some of the things that stand out from this episode that I would encourage you to stay around for include…
00:00 - Bradley Hope
02:30 - The Region - Oil, Religion, History
06:45 - Sovereign Wealth Funds
08:50 - Religious Divide Between Gulf Nations
010:41 - Saudi Arabia Young Country
13:40 - Understanding MBS
19:40 - The Shiek Down
27:35 - MBS & Risk
30:58 - MBZ - UAE
33:40 - Bradley’s Contrarian Take On Sportswashing
43:07 - Geopolitical Significance Of The Region
51:10 - Consultancies (McKinsey, etc) In Saudi
55:23 - NEOM
1:00:10 - Journalist Craft
1:05:15 - Has MBS Read Bradley’s Work & Does Bradley Still Love Journalism?
1:08:30 - Bradley Reflects On Changing Media Landscape
1:13:50 - Mecca & Medina
1:15:10 - Misunderstood Parts Of Saudi & Emirates
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Youtube - https://youtu.be/TQVWUdFibC8
The Profiteers - https://www.amazon.com/Profiteers-Business-Privatizes-Profits-Socializes/dp/1541703529
Newsletter - https://curiousworldview.beehiiv.com/subscribe
Christopher Marquis spent 10 years as a professor at the Harvard Business School, he’s also worked as a professor at Cornell, the Harvard Kennedy School and is currently a professor at the Judge Business School in Cambridge, where I was lucky enough to record this in person with him.
It was quite a neat experience actually, after we did the interview, Christopher treated me to a lunch in one of the Cambrdige college halls where in proper Friday British fashion, a perfect Fish and Chips was served.
Christopher has authored three books, but the subject of this interview was his latest… Profiteers, How Business Privatizes Profit and Socializes Cost.
Some of you may have noticed a recurring question around ‘negative externalities’ in several of my interviews this year… particularly with Johan Norberg most recently. Well, Adam Lantz, who listens to this podcast reached out to me in response to the JOhan interview and said. If you really wanty to talk externalities, than you’ve got to talk to this guy.
Johan Norberg Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/episode/4ujVUlq3BbhTDBhBFnaR5S?si=46b8333b866341da
Johan Norberg Apple - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/johan-norberg-does-capitalism-fail-to-price-in-negative/id1540424160?i=1000671395087
And so I wrote to Christopher immediately, read his book, booked the flight and was greeted with so much generosity and hospitality it was a bit of a pinch myself moment, because even though this podcast creates 0 dollars in revenue, it’s instead introducing me to a wealth of experience.
This episode with Christopher is negative externalities all the way down… with specific attention to plastics, agriculture and clothing.
00:00 - Christopher Marquis
02:27 - The Externality Iceberg
07:57 - The Plastic Iceberg
14:47 - Can A Free Market Price These Negative Externalities?
26:04 - Agriculture Iceberg
41:07 - We Consume Via Our Means Not Our Morals
42:41 - Clothing Iceberg
52:33 - Egregious Cases Of Greenwashing
54:39 - Zoom & Netflix? Externality?
1:07:22 - The Jevons Paradox
1:08:43 - Just Speed Bumps On The Way To Prosperity?
1:12:35 - Hitchhikers Guide To The Galaxy, What Are The Right Questions?
1:16:57 - Serendipity In Christopher's Life
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Estão a faltar episódios?
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https://freegubad.com/
Zhala X - https://x.com/BayramovaZhala
Zhala Bayramova is a human rights lawyer and child of political prisoner and human rights defender Dr. Gubad Ibadoghlu.
I met Zhala recently at Bill Browders, Magnitsky Awards, where Zhala won youth activist of the year.
Her legal status is that of a political refugee in Sweden, having been horrifically beaten during protests in Azerbaijan, a country she is afraid she will never be able to return to.
Her father was repeatedly arrested for investigating corruption within the oil industry of Azerbaijan, until In the autumn of 2023 he decided to take the risk and visit his seriously ill mother in Baku, upon arrival, he was beaten by local police, as was his wife and Zhala’s mother. Then Gubad was arrested under trumped up charges of money laundering and subsequently thrown into pre-trial detention. His case was later postponed indefinitely, but he remains under house arrest and is being denied critical medical attention which in any other circumstance might save his lfie. Zhala, together with her brothers and mother, are leading a global campaign for his release.
Zhala is an absolute force, and it is my privilege to have her as a guest on this podcast. -
James Robinson is winning the Nobel Prize for Economics this year alongside his co-author Daron Acemoglu and fellow economist, Simon Johnson.
This is obviously extremely exciting for him, but as well selfishly, rather exciting for me… because in episode 24, James Robinson was one of the first people I ever interviewed for this podcast.
James co-wrote an outrageously successful book in 2012 called - ‘Why Nations Fail’ - which is the work for which James has won the Nobel Prize and as well, was the subject of this interview.
Why Nations Fail introduces an extractive versus inclusive institutions framework that does an unreasonable amount of heavy lifting to explain the distributed economic prosperity between countries.
And just fair warning, it is one of the first interviews I ever did, so it may feel quite a bit different to those more recently - but bare with me and endure my enthusiasm as James reveals where the catalyst for the inclusive/extractive framework comes from, a very hot take on corruption, James’s work as a developmental economist and a whole lot more.
It’s also been a while since Ive made a general appeal for pumping that good juice. But if a Nobel Prize winner isn’t a reason why, then there aren't any left. The ability for me to get the guests I want, and grow the show as I ambition, is all downstream of how many followers on Apple and Spotify I have, but as well, how many reviews on Apple and Spotify I have. So I ask, hat in hand, to please bring that Christmas cheer and pump a 5 star review into whichever platform it is that you listen on. -
Jack Weatherford returns to the pod which marks a pretty sentimental moment for me (links are at the bottom of this email, before the transcript snippet).
Jack’s first appearance was #19 of the podcast. To this day, it’s my favourite podcast I’ve ever recorded. These are links to the first appearance.
Jack Weatherford #19 on Spotify
Jack Weatherford #19 on Apple
Jack Weatherford #19 on Youtube
But four years ago, when I had just started this podcast, I had written to Jack telling how I was listening to the final chapters of his book while walking across sand dunes in Merghouza, (a desolate slice of the Sahara in south west Morocco). The chapter was making the case for how the plagues viral spread was downstream of the Mongols connectivity of the modern world.
I wrote that I was keen to interview him for this podcast that I had just started.
There were lots of rejection for a while in the first few years and I had no expectations he would even get back to me. But to my surprise he did, and it was an emphatic yes.
We corresponded a bit over email, recorded a 4 hour discussion, of which 3 where published And it was as much a dedication to Mongolia as it was Genghis Khan and the Mongols.
And I’ve waited in the years since to see him appear on Rogan, Fridman, Tim Ferriss or even a Dan Carlin addendum, since these are all blokes who have openly praised and spoken about Jack’s work many times.
But so far, nothing, although it looks like one of them may correct this, which Jack may or may not give away at the end.
But onto this episode today.
Jack has just published his final instalment on the Mongols, his fourth book on the topic. It’s called Emperor Of The Seas and it’s about Genghis’s grandson, Kublai Khan, who expanded the Mongol territory beyond the dominion his grandfather conquered 50 years before him. Kublai folded into the Khan empire the fertile agricultural lands of south China, repurposed that fleet and the expertise along with and expanded the Khan empire beyond the oceans. Mongols sitting on horseback, atop goat skins, riding wooden ships.
Jack Weatherford #190 Of The Curious Worldview Podcast on Youtube
Emperor Of The Seas - Jack Weatherford
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Nat Eliason is an absolute legend.
I’ve been subscribed to his newsletter, following his tweets, and listening to his interviews for what feels like years now.
He’s a prolific online writer who recently published his debut book, a memoir of a crypto side quest he spiralled deep down into which is serves as revelatory for the sheer insanity that is crypto. It’s meme coins, making loads of money, losing it, secret discord servers, exit liquidity and all the rest that foreshadows the same stuff happening now.
Crypto is back in the news, and therefore so is Nat’s book - Crypto Confidential - which is a must read if you want to get a sense for, or contribute to, the mania.
However, writing is Nat’s circulatory system, so we ended up speaking half about books and half about crypto. When you check out the episode, navigate the timestamps if you wanna skip the writing stuff and go straight to crypto.
Before I leave you with Nat, he’s got this tremendous call to action on his Substack that I wanted to share here…
“Among my strongest life goals is to write something worthy of outliving me”
Subscribe To The Curious Worldview NewsletterNat Eliason Substack
----00:00 - Who Is Nat Eliason?
01:08 - Serendipitous Anecdote
02:58 - CRYPTO: Crypto Mania
12:23 - Writing
18:05 - AI Helping Writers (Great Metaphor)
24:48 - Great Story Telling Less Great Writing
34:08 - Taleb's Influence
41:08 - Book Publishing Market (VC Metaphor)
1:00:33 - CRYPTO: Crypto From All Sides. Crazy Stories. Current Market, Ideological? The Future.🍻☕: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ryanhogg
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Levison Wood is an author, journalist, tv star, photographer, film producer, script writer, fellow of the Royal Geographic Society and as well to top it all off… former Officer in the British Army’s Parachute Regiment.
If you’ve never heard of Levison Wood, he’s written books that have taken us all across the world. He was propelled into fame with his debut 'Walking The Nile' back in 2015 which serendipitously parlayed into a documentary, and then the momentum took and he’s never looked back.
Lev is for me the archetypal guest that I look for with this podcast. That delicate combination of writer and adventurer. The discipline to take a big risk, and then return with clean prose.
I’d group this interview right alongside my high watermark for the show which was #169 with Jon Lee Anderson, #66 with Tim Butcher way back and any of the Tim Marshall appearances as well.Youtube - https://youtu.be/jP2HR443Pb0
Subscribe To The Curious Worldview NewsletterLevison Wood Website
----00:00 - Levison Wood
01:040 - Jocko Willink
04:25 - All Explorers Seem British?
06:08 - Luck & Serendipity
21:43 - The Surprise Success & Big Decade
33:00 - Rough Times For Lev
38:08 - Opportunity Cost: Family Vs Career
44:40 - Lev's Mount Rushmore Of GOAT Explorers
55:40 - Romanticising Indiana Jones & Thoughts On Graham Hancock
59:20 - Rory Stewart
1:02:23 - Great Current Explorers
1:10:30 - Lev Having An Incredible Decade
1:14:10 - Thinking About Risk
1:22:55 - Milling - Wild Hazing In Parachute Regiment
1:30:10 - How Has The Nature Of Travel Changed?
1:43:25 - What Great Expedition From History Would Lev Join?🍻☕: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ryanhogg
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David De Jong First Appearance On The Pod - Nazi Billionaires, #127 - Apple
David De Jong First Appearance On The Pod - Nazi Billionaires, #127 - Spotify
David De Jong is a Dutch historian and investigative journalist.
Early in his career, he found himself in New York reporting for Bloomberg on hidden fortunes and the power of family offices all across the world - it was during this job he discovered a nondescript €18,000,000,000 German family office…
David eventually pulled that thread all the way back to the upper echelons of the Nazi party
This led him to move to Berlin and embark down a 4 year investigation into the dark and dusty vaults of Germanys corporate pst.
What he uncovered was Nazi wealth that has endured to this day which has its tentacles wrapped around many companies that you and I consume or interact with on a daily basis.
Today, we recorded a brief addendum to the story, David published in Vanity Fair recently a story of Kuehne + Nagel, one of the worlds largest freight forwarding companies, that is listed on the Swiss exchange, but a very German company indeed.
The podcast is about the central role Kuehne + Nagel played in the Third Reich. The politics of memory in Germany and the son of Kuehne + Nagel founder, Klaus-Michael Kuehne who is germanys richest man, the largest shareholder of Kuehne + Nagel and until today, still denying the companies dark origins.
Link To Nazi Billionaires Book
Link To Vanity Fair Article -
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https://atlasgeographica.com/patrick-watts/
The following is with Patrick Watts who is one hell of an interesting fella and in this podcast we discuss the various outcomes and implications of the 2024 US election contra Trump & Harris.The End Of The American Empire – UK Amazon
The End Of The American Empire – US Amazon
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Stephanie Baker is a journalist whose been writing between the intersection of business and politics for almost 30 years with Bloomberg.
Stephanie's just published her first book and it is just amazing and the consequence of covering these topics for a lifetime. The network, the knowledge, the weird language of sanctions of financial opacity.
It’s a book about the global economic war with Russia post Ukrainian invasion. The fallout of the sanctions, why it has and hasn’t crippled the Russian economy as intended, and everything in and around Russian capital flight, Russian sanctions and the global economic war underwriting Russia's physical threat.We start with Stephanies experience covering Russia from Moscow in the 90s, her stumbling across a murder scene and then between that and the book, Stephanie working as Christopher Hitchens fact checker at The Nation, the details behind putting a book like this together then the details about western businesses who withdrew substantial Russian operations, the oil markets chicanery to skirt sanctions, Oligarchs, Minigarchs, Euroclear and frozen Russian capital, what the sanctions did where they've been effective and where they haven’t and a whole lot more.
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Stephanie Baker - Punishing Putin
Episodes Similar To This
- Bill Browder
- Oliver Bullough
- Nicholas Shaxson
----00:00 - Who Is Stephanie Baker
03:21 - Moscow In The 90s & Fact Checking Christopher Hitchens
09:01 - How Oligarchs Were Created
17:07 - Hermitage Capital & Bill Browder
19:00 - Debut Book After 30 Years Of Journalism
27:46 - Economic Chaos From Sanctions
31:21 - Commodity Markets & Oil Chicanery
36:26 - Cannibalising Goods For Repurposing As Weapons
38:45 - McDonalds, Renault & Unilever Huge Russian Operations
54:50 - Euroclear's Role
1:00:11 - Capital Flight, Offshore Plumbing & Financial Opacity
1:20:16 - Liquid wealth of Putin
1:21:36 - The Role Of Serendipity In Stephanies Life🍻☕: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ryanhogg
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Opus Dei are a predatory catholic cult that started in Spain in the early 20th century and grew and grew over the years into a global organisation that set out with the singular vision to re-christianise the entire world.
Gareth Gore stumbled into this story when researching and writing the collapse of one of Spains largest financial institutions, Banco Popular, which turns out was the bottomless kitty financing Opus Dei’s international ambitions. It’s a story of money laundering, fraud and financial opacity that made possible the scale of one of if not the most influential and pernicious and influential catholic organisations int he world. But it’s not just a benign organisation that creates a welcoming community for catholics the world over, it is an organisation which has been accused of 100’s if not thousands of incidents of human trafficking, sexual abuse and drug abuse and are attempting to influence their worldview through the rewriting of legal systems. A worldview that reflects the most conservative and man made fundamentalist interpretations of the bible.
This book by Gareth Gore is an immense achievement that proves an otherwise held conspiracy, of financial fraud at the scale of hundreds of millions of dollars, political corruption and a secret society exerting their influence on the halls of power that you and I are subject to.Youtube - https://youtu.be/C5DBS-vr3OU
Subscribe To The Curious Worldview NewsletterGareth Gore - OPUS (Amazon)
----00:00 - What Is Opus Dei?
02:30 - How Did This Story Get On Gareth's Radar?
09:30 - What Is Opus Dei In Gareth's Words
24:47 - Josemaria Escriva... The Founder Of Opus Dei
33:40 - 1000's Of Victims Of Human Trafficking, Sexual Abuse & Drug Abuse.
46:15 - The Structure Of Opus
59:05 - Banco Popular
1:16:10 - Secret Societies
1:18:10 - Peter Thiel & Michael Sugrue
1:22:35 - Counter Messaging Campaign From Opus Dei
1:27:00 - How Co-Operative Were Opus Dei?
1:31:10 - Physical Threats?
1:32:30 - Have We Seen The Height Of Opus?
1:37:25 - Changing Media Landscape Over Next 25 Years?
1:42:12 - Serendipity In Gareth's Life🍻☕: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ryanhogg
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Youtube - https://youtu.be/iCNiZfMASNs
Subscribe To The Curious Worldview Newsletter----
Johan Norberg is a prolific author and academic, he’s one of the most notable members of the Cato Institute and as well someone who has recently bronzed in the blinding spotlight of both Javier Milei and Elon Musk.Johan is a staunch defender of globalisation and author of‘ The Capitalist Manifesto’ which was boosted into the stratosphere earlier this year with an overwhelming endorsement by Elon Musk when he wrote that the book is an excellent explanation of why capitalism is not just successful, but morally right.
00:00 - Johan Norberg
01:35 - Johan's Worldview Influences
09:07 - Johan's Rand-ian Fictional Tale
10:35 - Johan Know Being A Role Model To Others
14:35 - The Elon Musk Effect
19:05 - Serendipity
24:05 - Will AI Destroy The Labour Market?
41:50 - Capitalism Failure To Price In Negative Externality
1:02:45 - Globalisation Homogenising Culture
1:15:40 - Anxious Generation
1:23:55 - Nassim Taleb Influence🍻☕: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ryanhogg
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Curious Things Mentioned During The Episode
Offshore Finance Starter Pack 'Curious Worldview Podcast' EpisodesFollow me on Instagram – @ryanfhogg
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Just how cancerous and pernicious to culture, politics and a globalised world is offshore finance and financial opacity?Few if any people in the world are better suited to answer this question than John Christensen, who co-founded the Tax Justice Network and is a prolific author, journalist and documentary producer, probably best known for producing ‘the spiders web’ which millions and millions of views later looks into the weird and devastating influence of the City Of London (of which we expand deeply in the podcast)
I recorded this in person with John earlier this year and props to Jim Henry, who was an early guest on this pod who introduced us. This is by far the most in depth podcast interview John Christensen has ever participated in.
This is an extensive interview which flows up the sides, but never spills out of the river which is the downstream and disastrous effects of offshore finance. There is lots of attention paid to the UK, the lawyers, tax havens, culture, real estate, kleptocrats, foreign aid and a hell of a lot more as well.
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Curious Things Mentioned During The Episode
Matthew Freidman -Human TraffickingLisa Kristine - Photographing Modern SlaveryLisa Kristine Ted TalkFollow me on Instagram – @ryanfhogg
00:00 – The Problem Of Modern Slavery04:09 - How Bruce Got Into This Line Of Work06:12 - 40,000,000 Slaves12:40 - Slavery Growing As An Industry23:43 - How Someone Ends Up A Slave30:55 - Bruce's Team & Children's Rescue Initiative34:22 - The Extraction Process38:50 - Bruce's Trauma From Exposure To This42:35 - De-Escelate Communication With Slave Owners46:21 - Poisoned 48:25 - Camera More Powerful Than The Gun50:30 - Work At The Institutional Level53:47 - Amsterdam55:20 - How Trauma Effects Different Children1:02:15 - Slavery In The Everyday Things We Consume1:06:07 - How Well Known Is Modern Slavery?1:18:15 - The Sound Of Freedom1:10:21 - Country Bruce Wants To Add To His Operations1:11:05 - Final Words From Bruce (Affecting Starfish Metaphor)
Out Of The Slave Fields - Bruce Ladebu (Book)
The Children's Rescue Initiative (Donate)
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At this very moment there are over 40,000,000 people around the world trapped in slavery. This is a number larger than at any point before in history… and perniciously, a figure that grows everyday.
Millions among them are children. And then millions of those are living in the most devastating conditions imaginable.
Bruce Ladebu runs an initiative called Children's Rescue where he and his team identify and then extract those very children living in the most destitute environments.
To date, the Children's Rescue initiative have rescued over 2,400 children.
Share this podcast with someone. The better informed we are about this reality, at the very least, the more discerning we can be in our consumption that feeds this industry.🍻☕: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ryanhogg
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Never Split The Difference Book Review (Things To Know If You Do Sales)Curious Things Mentioned During The Episode
Christopher Turner – 25 Year CIA Veteran, Lessons In EspionageSam Leith – It’s Rhetoric All The Way DownNever Split The Difference Book Review (Things To Know If You Do Sales)Follow me on Instagram – @ryanfhogg
* Chris Voss 'The Edge' Newsletter *
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Never Split The Difference deserves its place as one of the best selling negotiation books of all time.It’s co-authored by the brilliant writer Tahl Raz, who turned Chris Voss’s life and lessons into the most readable and actionable prescription for good communication.
I’m stoked today to get to feature Chris Voss on this podcast, the force behind ‘Never Split The Difference’ which is a series of highest stakes negotiations broken down into their parts for examination. Chris was the FBI’s lead negotiator.
Hostage negotiation in Haiti? Terrorism in the Philippines? Egos, money and conflicting interests in a boardroom? Even walking a bank robber from the ledge. What are the phrases and psychology Chris uses in his communication to get the outcome he wants? And where could it be relevant to you?
The podcast here touches on Nassim Taleb and Khaneman’s influence on Chris’s worldview. The line between manipulation and persuasion, serendipity, traits of good communicators and a hell of a lot more.
00:00 – Who Is Chris Voss03:05 - When Chris First Paid Attention To How People Communicate12:05 - Nassim Taleb & Communication Over Time22:20 - Serendipity In Chris's Life29:39 - Never Split The Difference & How Chris Unlocked A New Style Of Negotiation36:05 - Khaneman & Tvesky's Influence On Chris43:20 - Gut Instinct48:20 - Line Between Manipulation & Persuasion 50:05 - Consistent Traits In Good Communicators56:05 - Oprah Is The GOAT58:21 - Traits Of The Best Interviewers🍻☕: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ryanhogg
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I am stoked to welcome back one of the most out there and interesting writers, thinkers and speakers, Rory Sutherland.He founded the behavioural science team at the Ogilvy group, he is one of Europe’s most powerful advertising executives and author many many books and articles, his most recent book, Alchemy, coming highly recommended and is a treatise on how great marketing ideas are built around the profoundly irrational… Rory appeared once before on this podcast in episode 115.
And today, for his second appearance I was lucky enough to do this with Rory in person, I got the train out of London to Rory’s hometown and we settled up in the courtyard of a beautiful little cafe in the sun. And so, you get the ambience of birds and wind to frame the conversation.
There are no timestamps on this podcast today, because with Rory’s erudition there is unseen flow from one thought to another that makes a narrow subject timestamp non suitable, rather, consume this one in full, we open with Salman Rushdie and his days as a copywriter to Rory reflecting on his recent notoriety, a powerful insight that the best marketing is in fact fat tailed, behind the scenes of his Rick Rubin interview all the way to me asking Rory whether he’s ever done a floaty.
Other episode of the podcast that suit this episode...
Rory Sutherland – First Appearance #115Scott Patterson – Chaos KingsNassim Taleb & Incerto PodcastFollow me on Instagram – @ryanfhogg
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Brian Klaas – Fluke & RandomnessRuss Roberts – EconTalkLuca Dellanna – Ergodicity All The Way DownScott Patterson – Chaos KingsNassim Taleb & Incerto Podcast
Other episode of the podcast that suit this episode...Follow me on Instagram – @ryanfhogg
Everything Is Predictable – Tom ChiversTom Chivers is a prolific science writer whose written for Buzzfeed, The Telegraph, Unherd, published books, written for loads of other publications as well and now writes for Semafor’s daily flagship email (something I read everyday)… but here Tom is today to discuss his book about Bayes called… EVERYTHING IS PREDICTABLE: How Bayes’ Remarkable Theorem Explains the World and, the lead is not buried in this case, it is a book about Bayes Throerom which to put it simply… is an equation to calculate probability.
Now, my Talebian listeners will recognise a contradiction to our worldview in the title here… everything is predictable? how often has Taleb’s quotes, how can we predict a future of infinite possibilities based off a finite experience of the past appeared on this podcast? We get into Chivers differences with that Talebian worldview, but as well, there is top to bottom what is Bayes theorem, why does it matter, the role of this theorem at the foundation of all of these LLM’s and therefore much of AI. a neat little anecdote of Chivers family member, Sir John Maynard Keynes and plenty more as well!
00:00 – Who Is Tom Chivers01:34 – Great Great Uncle John Maynard Keynes08:44 – What’s The Point Of Bayes?19:14 – What Is Bayes Theorem?39:34 – Disagreeing With Nassim Taleb 52:24 – Counterintuitive Aspects Of Bayes56:28 – Bayes & LLM’s & AI1:15:12 – Serendipity In Tom’s Life🍻☕: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ryanhogg
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Jon Lee AndersonCharlie WalkerFollow me on Instagram - @ryanfhogg
Why We Travel - Ash BhardwajAsh Bhardwaj is an author, journalist, film-maker and former british army who amongst his many expeditions has ventured the likes of journeying 8500km along the Russian European border. Retraced secret missions of WW2 through Albania. Walked 800km through India and The Himalayas, meeting the Dalai Lama on the way. Walked 1100km through Uganda and Sudan with Levison Wood which included the first summer crossing of the Bayuda Desert. Trekked the Mt Everest Base Camp with wounded soldiers. Worked on earthquake recovery in the Philippines. Trekked through the Jebel of Dhofar in the footsteps of the SAS, and really he’s done a hell of a lot more as well.
He recently published his first book titled Why We Travel, and in discussion of his life and worldview I was privileged to have gotten to sit down with him in his home in London to record this very episode - there is a video available on youtube if you are keen.
Ash really is my dream style of guest. He is a wonderful speaker, incredibly open and curious and has achieved many of the types of things, I wish to one day emulate. I am very grateful to have gotten to spend this time with him.
00:00 - Who Is Ash Bhardwaj
03:55 - Great Explorers From History
15:13 - Differences Between Australian & New Zealand Culture
35:57 - Adventure & Travel
43:44 - Ash's Most Consequential Journalism & Ukraine
54:08 - Why We Travel
59:53 - What Makes Great Travel Writing?
1:13:43 - Publishing Market For Travel Books & Why We Travel
1:29:36 - What Eat Pray Love & Cultural Phenomenon Did For Travel + (New Unexplored Paradise?)
1:39:43 - Is The World Becoming More Dangerous?
1:42:43 - Changing Demographics Of Travel & Getting Deep Into Why We Travel
1:59:50 - Country Ash Is Bullish On🍻☕: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ryanhogg
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✍︎: The Curious Worldview Newsletter - the ultimate compliment to the podcast...
Bill BrowderNassim TalebFollow me on Instagram - @ryanfhogg
This is an interview with Victor Haghani who is among many other things… the Co-Founder of LTCM (long term capital management), the Founder of Elm Wealth and the author of Missing Billionaires.
00:00 – Who Is Victor Haghani01:40 - 1997 Nobel Prize & Stockholm07:47 - Solomon Brothers & Bill Browder Anecdote16:15 - 10 Year Sabbatical24:42 - Jim Simons30:49 - Missing Billionaires & Ergodicity52:40 - Baggage We Are Carrying Around From Our Evolutionary Past1:00:40 - Nassim Taleb1:04:40 - Potentially A Confrontational Question1:11:40 - Michael Burry Index Bubble Theory1:18:26 - An Incredible Moment Of Serendipity & Why Victor's Bullish On UK
In this interview we focused on Victor himself... his experiences at Solomon in the 80s and a brush with Bill Browder (who by the way was recently knighted), comments on Jim Simons and Nassim Taleb, an incredible moment of serendipity that would have changed his life forever and ultimately an exploration of Victor's worldview...🍻☕: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ryanhogg
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✍︎: The Curious Worldview Newsletter - the ultimate compliment to the podcast...
Russ Roberts – Taleb & HitchensScott Patterson – Taleb & Chaos KingsMagnus Ranstorp – Terrorism & Political ViolenceJames Robinson – Why Nations FailFollow me on Instagram - @ryanfhogg
Samo Burja founded Bismarck Analysis, of which Bismarck Brief has spun off, which is a consulting and research firm that investigates the political and institutional landscape of society.
I’ve listened to and read hundreds of hours of Samo Burja. He’s prolific both in writing and talking, and applies an academic analysis to express his interests. His interests are those which overlap with mine, and as such, should as well overlap with yours since you have selected this podcast.
He’s been on my list of dream guests ever since this podcast began, and so it was a huge thrill to get a chance to finally record something with him.
00:00 – Who Is Samo Burja01:47 – Central Thread Of Samo’s Work – Why Groups Thrive & Fail16:57 – 80/20 Principle In Organisations & New York Times Family Ownership22:17 – Solving For Nepotism25:53 – The Wallenberg Family of Sweden47:13 – Nassim Taleb Informed Your Worldview & Others51:17 – The Role Of Serendipity & Country You’re Bullish On🍻☕: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ryanhogg
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