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The second leg was somehow even better than the first. We talk the stats and tactics from an incredible match, what we've learned about Hansi Flick and Barcelona this season, sing the praises of Inter Milan and Inzaghi, and talk a bit about the future of Barcelona.
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Пропущенные эпизоды?
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Four big teams, two big games, Arsenal vs PSG, Barcelona vs Inter, it's a soccer analytics podcast.
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We are joined by Dan Davies, author of the fantastic new book The Unaccountability Machine, to talk about the book and the new ways of thinking about business and capitalism that he introduces, and then to discuss how this model of thinking can help explain why European football is the way it is.
The Unaccountability Machine: https://press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/U/bo252799883.html
Dan Davies' newsletter, Back of Mind: https://backofmind.substack.com/
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We are joined by the Athletic's Adam Crafton to discuss his and his colleagues' reporting on Manchester United, what's happened since Jim Ratcliffe took over, what they claim they're doing and what it means for the club. And then we also discuss the increasingly explicit American political context of the upcoming World Cup and international soccer competitions and his reporting on that topic as well.
Crafton et al on the most recent round of layoffs: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6157358/2025/02/25/manchester-united-job-cuts-details/
And on US VISA policy and the World Cup: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6163959/2025/02/28/2026-world-cup-usa-visa-wait-trump-fifa/
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We are joined by financial journalist (and soccer and cycling fan) Ben Walsh to learn about the great sport of road racing, the background of INEOS as a sports ownership group, and how fans of cycling were well ahead of the curve on what to expect from Ratcliffe at Manchester United.
Check out Ben's newsletter, The Bender: https://bendwalsh.substack.com/
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Big matches in the Serie A title race get their due and then we talk about the team with the best underlying numbers in the Premier League recently, which as you surely all know is Crystal Palace.
Palace: https://bsky.app/profile/scott.cannonstats.com/post/3ljdm73v3wn2o
Ovalle: https://bsky.app/profile/lawsonsv.bsky.social/post/3ljjheamocs26
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Huge six-pointers all around and we take stock of the teams we covered last week (City, Forest, Newcastle, Chelsea, Bournemouth) and ask how much we need to think further about Brighton and Villa after they made up ground.
Simon Tinsley's PL projections: https://analytic-fpl.streamlit.app/
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There are probably right now five teams in a race for three spots. We take a close look at Nottingham Forest, Chelsea, City, Bournemouth and Newcastle and handicap the race. It's a close one!
Simon's projection website: https://analytic-fpl.streamlit.app/
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We wrote an article on financialization and soccer for Bloomberg, and it helped us crystallize our thinking on the state of the business of football. On labor costs and competition, on regulation and financialization, on Covid-era changes in the economic environment, on oligarch and state ownership and what it means for solidarity in the capital class, it's all here.
A whole bunch of links.
Our Bloomberg article: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2025-01-29/how-football-has-become-a-hotbed-of-financial-engineering
Caley's further thoughts: https://www.expectinggoals.com/p/further-thoughts-on-the-businessInterview with Jon Sindreu on Barca's finances: https://www.buzzsprout.com/819853/episodes/14587568-barcelona-finance-with-jon-sindreu
Interview with Jonathan Clegg on the formation of the Premier League: https://www.buzzsprout.com/819853/episodes/2510416
Grace Robertson on the Premier League tv deal: https://www.graceonfootball.com/p/the-premier-league-is-selling-itsSupport the show
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After multiple contradictory developments, Tottenham landed Mathys Tel on loan from Bayern and also signed a deal with Bayern and Tel for an option that remains hard to pin down. We talk about the story here and how it probably went down (we disagree a little on this!) and what kind of player Tel is and what Tottenham can expect.
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Two big matches between teams in the chase for the Champions League places. What we learned from City's new tactical approach, how Chelsea approached this match, and how Bournemouth won big.
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Another weekend, another loss, another tumble further into the bottom half of the table for Tottenham and United. We talk about the problem of what a club should do when things are bad and yet there isn't a lot to be done immediately and they really just need a longer-term strategy or better execution of such.
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Manchester City are adding Omar Marmoush, Abdukodir Khusanov, Vitor Reis in the same window and maybe also Andrea Cambiaso. Will these signings fix the crisis at Man City?
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Usually when things look a little funky in the Premier League table, you can count on an analytics podcast to tell you it's mostly variance. But this season, the wide open race for top four or five really reflects a pile-up of pretty good teams. We walk through these contenders and how they've gotten here.
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A new financial fair play / registration crisis at Barcelona as a judge backs La Liga's determination that they cannot register Dani Olmo under La Liga FFP, setting him up for free agency. But Barcelona's financial situation has changed a lot in the last couple years, and the possible negative effects of this are not as stark as they were potentially in the past.
And we talk a little about how Barca lost their lead in the table.
El Confidential on the court ruling: https://www.elconfidencial.com/deportes/futbol/liga/2024-12-31/dani-olmo-inscripcion-juez-cautelar-laporta-laliga_4034860/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=BotoneraWebSupport the show
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It is still the most interesting statistical and tactical story in the Premier League. In world football probably. Pep Guardiola is trying some new tweaks on his system and his team keeps dropping points. We talk through what's changed since the slide began, what happened against Everton, and what to expect in the transfer window.
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