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Dan Nathan and Guy Adami discuss the market's response following Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 presidential election. They explore upward volatility in major indices like the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, the rise in 10-year U.S. Treasury yields, and record highs in Bitcoin. The discussion also covers anticipated moves by the Federal Reserve, shifts in small-cap stocks, regional banks, and potential regulatory changes under the new administration. They delve into how market dynamics might affect various sectors including tech, with a focus on Tesla, mega-cap tech, and the geopolitical implications for semiconductor companies like Taiwan Semi and NVIDIA. Both hosts consider the impact of possible policy adjustments on the stock market and foreign policy issues involving China and Taiwan. Additionally, they touch on prospective M&A activities, the IPO market, particularly in crypto, and the strategic moves by major investment banks.Further ReadingPerplexity Nears $9 Billion Valuation in Investment Led by IVP (The Information)Goldman, JPMorgan Eye Crypto Clients as IPO Prospects Brighten (The Information)President Trump, Take Two; Big Tech, Little Tech, Chips, and Hardware; Elon Musk’s Triumph (Stratechery)—View our show notes hereLearn more about Current: current.comListen to 'Strategic Alternatives': https://www.rbccm.com/en/gib/ma-inflection-pointsEmail us at [email protected] with any feedback, suggestions, or questions for us to answer on the pod and follow us @OkayComputerPod.We’re on social:Follow @dee_bosa on TwitterFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaSubscribe to our YouTube page
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Guy Adami joins for a special pod to discuss developments surrounding semiconductor companies, particularly NVIDIA and AMD, and their impact on market dynamics. They investigate AMD's recent performance and guidance within the context of the growing AI ecosystem and competition with NVIDIA. The episode also covers the volatile stock movements of Super Micro, Dell, and CDWC, examining factors such as market cap trends and competitive pressures. Shifting focus, they analyze Google and Meta's strategic integration of AI to boost ad revenues and market positioning, emphasizing Google's recent positive earnings report. The episode wraps up with insights into the fluctuating fortunes of Snap and the ascent of Reddit in the digital advertising space.
Dan Nathan is joined by CNBC’s Scott Wapner, known for hosting ‘Halftime Report’ and ‘Closing Bell.’ They reminisce about Scott's career journey, from his pre-CNBC days to hosting prominent shows, discussing the market dynamics over the years, especially in the backdrop of the financial crisis. Wapner also delves into his sports memorabilia collection, his interactions with sports figures, and evolving market commentary. Highlights include the critical role of financial crises in shaping market perspectives, responsibility in stock recommendations, and the nuances of hosting market-focused shows. The conversation shifts to sports, discussing MLB's Dodgers-Yankees rivalry and the rising valuations of sports teams, touching on the impact of private equity in the sports market.
Checkout Scott's Book 'When the Wolves Bite'
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Dan Nathan hosts Deirdre Bosa delve into earnings projections for Alphabet, AMD, PayPal, Microsoft, Meta, Apple, Amazon, and Uber. The conversation explores the broader market trends, including the resilience of the S&P and Nasdaq, and the influence of macroeconomic factors like treasury yields. They discuss the regulatory challenges facing tech giants like Google and their impact on AI innovation. The episode also touches on Meta's AI Ray-Bans, Snap's spectacles, and the strategic AI investments of Microsoft and OpenAI. The upcoming presidential election's implications for big tech, especially regarding regulatory changes under different administrations, are examined. The dialogue provides valuable insights into how market leaders are navigating the evolving tech landscape amid significant economic and political changes.
Dan Nathan and Brad Erickson, Internet Equity Analyst at RBC Capital Markets, discuss the upcoming earnings reports from major tech companies like Google, Meta, and Amazon. They delve into the challenges and opportunities these companies face, particularly in areas such as AI, search, ad revenue, and cloud computing. They also touch on the impact of DOJ cases and innovative products on investor sentiment and stock performance.
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Dan Nathan and Gene Munster dive into Tesla's robotaxi event and the impact of unmet investor expectations on stock performance, alongside concerns about delivery targets and competition from Chinese EVs. The guys also discuss Google and Meta's integration of generative AI, shaping search results and user growth. The conversation wraps with a discussion of Apple's upcoming feature updates and their potential stock market impact.
Checkout Gene's podcast 'DeepTech315' here.
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Dan Nathan is joined by Trevor Marshall, CTO and co-founder of Current, to explore the landscape of tech giants like Microsoft, Apple, Google, and Meta in the realm of AI development and market strategies. The discussion touches on Apple's upcoming iOS 18, Microsoft's AI complexities and its productivity suite, and Google's competitive dynamics in smart glasses. Meta's advancements in wearables and AI integration across platforms are also highlighted. Trevor shares insights into the impact of AI on productivity, the evolving competition between tech giants, and personal experiences with generative AI tools.
Articles On Our Radar
Microsoft’s AI Story Is Getting Complicated (WSJ)
Microsoft Pitches AI for Consumers Against Crowded Field of Rivals (Bloomberg Technology)
Google Searches for Its Footing in Smart Glasses as Meta Gains Ground (The Information)
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Dan Nathan and Guy Adami discuss the tech market's recent decline, focusing on Apple and semiconductor stocks. They explore the influence of geopolitical tensions, particularly between Israel and Lebanon, and their impact on tech stocks. The conversation also delves into Apple's future, including its AI capabilities and market performance. The hosts analyze the performance of semiconductor companies like NVIDIA, Dell, and Micron amid the generative AI trend.
After the break, Dan interviews Scott Lynn, CEO and founder of Masterworks, discussing the opportunity for average investors to invest in high-value art through a fractionalized basis, the performance of contemporary art compared to other asset classes, and the role of low correlation in portfolio diversification. Lynn also reflects on his entrepreneurial journey, the art market's dynamics, and the recent boom and bust in the NFT market.
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Dan Nathan is joined by Deirdre Bosa, host of CNBC's TechCheck, to discuss the latest in AI investments, including Google and Amazon's funding in Anthropic, and how these valuations are evolving. They also banter about a New York Times article scrutinizing the future impact of generative AI. The episode highlights the rapid revenue growth in companies like OpenAI and Anthropic, growing interest and skepticism towards AI from big players like Goldman Sachs, with insights from Jim Covello. The conversation touches on consumer applications of AI, such as the use of models from companies like OpenAI and Anthropic by platforms like Perplexity. Bosa explores the strategic moves by Microsoft to train its own AI models and the broader implications for the AI market.
After the break, Dan Nathan is joined by Michael Dempsey, managing partner at Compound VC, and Jonathan Godwin of Orbital Materials, discussing their innovative approach using AI for advanced materials and climate tech. The episode wraps with a look at potential overcapacity in AI infrastructure and shifting strategies in major tech firms.
Further Reading
Will A.I. Be a Bust? A Wall Street Skeptic Rings the Alarm. (NYT)
AI’s $600B Question (Sequoia Capital)
Gen AI: too much spend, too little benefit? (Goldman Sachs)
WhatsApp Dominates Meta AI Use (The Information)
Microsoft AI Chief Suleyman Shuffles Unit Leadership, Pointing to Shift in Strategy (The Information)
Why I Started Orbital Materials (Substack)
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Dan Nathan and Guy Adami discuss the recent interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve and its implications for tech stocks and market performance. The conversation delves into the current price action, tech valuations, and the contrasting performances of various sectors, including hyperscalers and enterprise software. They analyze the S&P 500 and Nasdaq's historical performances, the potential impacts of interest rates on technology stocks, and valuations in a broad market context. The discussion also covers individual stocks like Apple, Tesla, Adobe, Microsoft, and the significance of recent trends in network security stocks such as Zscaler.
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Dan Nathan welcomes Jeff Richards, Managing Partner at Notable Capital, to discuss the current state and trends in both private and public markets, especially regarding generative AI. They explore the evolving valuations of private AI companies, how big names like NVIDIA and Google are influencing market trends, and the dominance of the 'Mag 7' tech stocks. The conversation covers the recent Apple event and its potential integration of AI, why software stocks have been soft, and the ongoing challenges in the IPO market. Jeff also shares insights on shifting capital allocations, regulatory dynamics, and the future of AI-driven transformations across various sectors. The discussion ends with a deep dive into the role of private equity firms and the significant influence of private credit in today's higher interest rate environment.
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Dan Nathan and Deirdre Bosa explore Amazon's strategic investment in Anthropic, the potential of Apple's upcoming AI features, and the importance of cloud service credits in AI investments. The regulatory challenges and future of TikTok in the US market are also scrutinized.
After the break, Sam Lessin from Slow Ventures shares his insights on the impact of generative AI on venture capital investments, emphasizing the shift towards building sustainable businesses through organic growth and strategic mergers. The episode concludes by reflecting on the broader impact of AI and social media, highlighting the importance of authenticity in the tech space and the long-term opportunities for American entrepreneurs.
Further Reading
Barron's Give Facebook the thumbs down (Barron's)
More or Less Podcast (Apple)
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Dan Nathan and Gene Munster, founder and partner of Deepwater Asset Management delve into the latest developments in the tech market, focusing on NVIDIA's impending earnings report and the competitive landscape of AI. They discuss expectations for NVIDIA's revenue growth, the implications of supply-demand dynamics, and the ongoing arms race among tech giants like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft in the AI sector. The conversation also covers Apple's upcoming September 9th event, where new product announcements could significantly impact consumer interest, and examines Tesla's current challenges amid a shifting electric vehicle market.
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Dan Nathan and Dan Niles, the founder of Niles Investment Management, dive into a comprehensive discussion on the current macroeconomic landscape, highlighting the implications of Federal Reserve policies and market expectations. They explore the potential for a soft landing in the U.S. economy, emphasizing the critical role of unemployment and inflation metrics. The conversation extends to the tech sector's 'Magnificent Seven,' focusing on recent earnings trends, AI capital expenditures, and the varying performances of tech giants such as NVIDIA, Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon. They also examine the cyclical nature of tech upgrades, particularly in relation to Apple's latest innovations, and the long-term impact of AI advancements on market dynamics.
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Dan Nathan is joined by Joe Marchese, General & Build Partner at Human Ventures, for an in-depth discussion on the intersection of human attention and generative AI. They explore Joe's recent article, 'Human Attention is All You Need,' which critiques the reliance on algorithms over trust in building brands. They also discuss the role of AI in the stock market, focusing on companies like NVIDIA, Meta, and Amazon. The conversation delves into the implications of AI on advertising, commerce, and brand building, and reflects on the broader economic impacts. Additionally, they talk about the challenges and opportunities for startups in the AI space, the future of media and advertising platforms, and the potential for brand erosion due to over-reliance on performance marketing. The episode concludes with insights on the future of generative AI, market valuation, and the importance of building consumer trust.
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Dan Nathan is joined by Trevor Marshall, CTO at Current to discuss recent trends in technology and finance. The episode covers the intricacies of generative AI, including market dynamics, Nvidia's large customer concentration, and the impact of rising rates in Japan on tech stocks and crypto. Trevor also shares insights on using machine learning in FinTech, particularly for customer service and fraud prevention, and the evolution of AI applications in consumer technology with references to Apple and Google’s advancements. Additionally, the discussion touches on the challenges faced by SaaS companies and potential shifts towards enterprise applications of AI. The episode also explores the current state and future of FinTech, emphasizing innovations like earned wage access and the effects of high rate environments on consumer credit.
Articles On Our Radar
As Regulators Close In, Nvidia Scrambles for a Response (NYT)
A Reality Check on AI With Chevron’s CIO (The Information)
Klarna Weighs Secondary Share Sale Ahead of IPO (The Information)
The AI summer (Ben Evans)
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Dan Nathan and Guy Adami explore the recent broad-based selloff in mega cap tech stocks, particularly focusing on Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, and Apple. They analyze the reactions to Microsoft's earnings report and its implications for the semiconductor sector, they discuss the overall health and future prospects of these tech giants, and delve into the performance of key companies like NVIDIA and AMD. The duo also looks ahead to upcoming earnings reports from other major tech players. Throughout, they highlight the importance of understanding market expectations, the economic environment, and the role of artificial intelligence in shaping tech trends.
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Dan Nathan is joined by Gene Munster, Managing Partner at Deepwater Asset Management, to discuss key tech stocks ahead of their earnings reports. Key focus areas include the AI hype cycle and recent NASDAQ sell-off dynamics. They analyze market sentiments, expected pullbacks, and specific stock movements, particularly in the semiconductor space. Google and its AI advances, Tesla and its expected vehicle launches, Microsoft's alignment with OpenAI, Meta's AI integrations, and Apple's upcoming AI features in iPhones. They also touch upon the private sector as it relates to the batch of AI-first companies due to come online in the next couple of years.
Further Reading
A Reality Check on AI With Chevron’s CIO (The Information)
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Dan Nathan and Deirdre Bosa, host of CNBC's Tech Check, delve into the AI craze in both public and private markets, analyzing Google's potential $23 billion acquisition of Israeli AI firm Wiz. They discuss the AI industry's rapid growth, the cautious market outlook from influential players like Goldman Sachs and Sequoia Capital, and expectations for Q2 tech earnings. The conversation also touches on the regulatory landscape and its impact on significant deals and the new race for tech companies to develop small language models.
Chef and restaurateur Ryan Hardy of Delicious Hospitality Group joins after the break. Ryan delves into his culinary origin story, starting from his Kentucky roots and his professional growth in San Francisco during the 90s, to his eventual success in New York City with notable establishments like Charlie Bird and Pasquale Jones. Hardy shares his experience in curating airline menus for JetBlue, his business philosophy, and the challenges and opportunities of managing hospitality in an evolving technological landscape. The conversation also touches on Hardy's venture into hotel management, the impact of inflation, and the importance of mentorship in the hospitality industry.
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Dan Nathan and Guy Adami discuss recent market trends, focusing on the NASDAQ's highs and the outperformance of semiconductor stocks, particularly NVIDIA. They also delve into enterprise software performance, with companies like Salesforce and Adobe dipping in the market. The conversation shifts to AI developments, highlighting Elon Musk’s moves with xAI and the competitive landscape involving OpenAI, Alphabet, and Anthropic. The guys touch on Apple's market cap surge post-WWDC and debates surrounding its valuation. Furthermore, they examine Tesla's stock performance and its AI-driven initiatives, despite recent struggles in the auto sector. Lastly, the duo analyze Meta and Alphabet's promising valuations and revenue growth potentials amidst the broader tech landscape.
Further Reading
Musk’s xAI and Oracle End Talks on a Server Deal (The Information)
Elon’s Reply on X
Roger McNamee on the AI bubble
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Dan Nathan is joined by Paul Rabil to discuss his new book The Way Of The Champion and his journey as co-founder of the PLL. Dan and Paul reflect on their past interactions, including Rabil's early appearances on CNBC, and delve into how he and his brother have revolutionized the sport through innovative business models, media strategies, and commitment to inclusivity. The conversation touches on Rabil's athletic success, the challenges he faced, and his new book, 'The Way of the Champion.' They also highlight the significance of lacrosse's return to the Olympics in 2028 and its impact on the sport's future.
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CNBC TechCheck’s Deirdre Bosa joins Dan Nathan on Okay, Computer. European regulators are cracking down on American Big Tech companies with the Digital Markets Act. What's the impact on these firms and will it actually hurt the stock price (2:00)? Is the iPhone the AI device of the future (9:00)? Databricks has the edge on Snowflake, is there any rush to go public (18:00)?
Articles Mentioned
Apple’s AI killer is... the iPhone (TechCheck)
Businesses Want Slower AI Models—And That Might Hurt Nvidia (The Information)
Databricks Has an Edge on Snowflake—but It May Not Be as Big as Investors Think (The Information)
Apple, Meta Have Discussed an AI Partnership (WSJ)
Databricks Has an Edge on Snowflake—but It May Not Be as Big as Investors Think (The Information)
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