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On episode 43 of the Stansberry's Investors Marketcast, Scott Garliss, John Gillin, and Greg Diamond recap last week's market dump, and give their thoughts on the FAANG trade losing $1 trillion in value. John explains why he's expecting another volatile week.
Scott and John discuss the tension between the EU and Italy, with the EU shooting down Italian budget proposals not once but twice. Scott explains why neither side of this negotiation wants to go to the worst-case scenario, but a temporary standoff between the two sides is necessary.
Moving onto Brexit, Scott recaps the big news of the weekend – that Britain and the EU have agreed to a deal. Scott explains why the next step, approval from the UK's parliament, could be the hardest step. Scott notes that two major sticking points in negotiations, the Irish border and the state of Gibraltar, were overcome.
Greg explains why the EU isn't working, and how the EU is the reason Brexit is happening. Greg warns of an exodus of countries, potentially causing the EU to crumble.
The big market mover into the end of the year is President Trump's meeting with Chinese President Xi. Scott and John worry that, with many expecting some sort of agreement, that there could be too much riding on this meeting. President Trump has not backed down from his tariff threats, so if the meeting comes and goes without an agreement, markets could fall.
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On Episode 42 of the Stansberry's Investors Marketcast, your hosts begin by recapping last week's selloff. John talks Apple's production cuts, and why it weighed on tech. Oil continues to fall, marking its sixth straight down week.
John and Scott discuss the most recent comments from trade representatives in the U.S. and China, and how each comment seems to contradict the one before it. Scott tells listeners why the Democrats winning the house could make trade negotiations even messier.
Scott asks Greg about what levels he's seeing in the market, and Greg explains why we need a year-end rally to continue this bull market. John and Scott discuss emerging markets recent bounce back, and John expresses optimism in emerging markets if a China deal gets done.
The hosts discuss Apple's production cuts, and how its weighing on tech and growth names. Scott thinks that people are too scared, and too quick to sell on the bad news. Greg explains how he thinks Apple can overcome slowing iPhone sales.
John asks Scott why the long oil trade unwound, and Scott explains that the recent spike in natural gas is a big reason for crude's fall.
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This week's Stansberry's Investors Marketcast begins with host John Gillin recapping the market's "oversold bounce." John explains why the Dow was the real leader of the week, and how the other major indexes tagged along for the ride.
Greg and Scott debate the Fed's November decision to leave rates unchanged. Scott says that the decision should not have come as a surprise because the Fed has said a hike in December is going to happen, despite President Trump's attempts to influence the Fed's policy. Greg questions why the Fed would raise rates with technology names already struggling in a higher interest rate environment.
Scott notes how the China standoff is the biggest problem for tech and says that some companies are even considering moving suppliers out of China for good. With the midterm elections over, Scott and John ask if the gridlock in the Senate could delay further tariffs.
John asks Greg for his market outlook, and Greg says that the market's technicals are painting an ugly picture. One of the biggest problems for the market is the growth stocks that have led the bull market are now seeing the growth picture fall apart. He points out several key levels that need to hold for this bull market to continue.
Scott closes the podcast by asking listeners to chime in on whether or not the Fed has gone too far with its rate hikes.
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In this week's episode, your Stansberry's Investors Marketcast hosts recap last week's market rebound, led by easing trade tensions and good earnings reports. John briefly recaps why retail is enjoying a renaissance.
John and Scott discuss earnings season, with 80% of S&P 500 companies having reported quarterly results so far. John notes that earnings have surpassed expectations. Scott says this is a reason to continue investing in the U.S. and points out that the S&P 500 is still undervalued compared to its 5-year average.
John thinks that midterms are setting up well for a market move and gives his prediction for what markets will do if we get a red or blue wave. Greg explains why moves around Brexit and the 2016 presidential election could foreshadow higher volatility in the coming weeks.
Moving on to the China headlines from last week, Scott and John discuss why the markets breathed a sigh of relief that negotiations were ongoing. Scott explains why all eyes are on China and that negotiations are the single most important thing to the market.
John and Greg discuss Apple's quarterly earnings, and Greg explains why the results weren't as big of a disappointment as everyone thinks. Greg notes that Apple is barely holding on as the FAANG trade breaks down.
John and Greg wrap up by discussing the current market technical. Greg tells listeners what levels need to hold in order for this bull market to continue higher, and explains why higher volatility this week could create a great buying opportunity. He says that after midterms, all eyes will be on the G-20 summit at the end of the month.
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On this week's Stansberry Investors Marketcast, John Gillin and Greg Diamond discuss last week's "brutal" markets. All the major indices suffered big losses, and bear markets are popping up everywhere. As John explains, 40% of S&P 500 companies are now in bear market territory, falling 20% from their highs.
John and Greg go over last week's economic data, and John explains why earnings and U.S. GDP are still painting a pretty good picture of the U.S. economy. Greg explains why a second round of tax cuts could become a short-term catalyst and could help relieve some of the trade hurt.
John lists some problem areas around the markets, and he and Greg explain why semiconductors look so weak. Greg calls semis a "dumpster fire," and says that the sector's price action is mirroring that of the 2000 bubble. However, he says that President Trump's November meeting with Chinese President-for-life Xi could become a catalyst for the sector to turn around.
Going forward, Greg is focused in on the market's reaction to the midterm elections. Greg sees volatility easing after the elections settle, possibly forming a market bottom into a year-end rally. John and Greg list a few catalysts that could really get markets going over the next two months
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Your Marketcast hosts begin this week by discussing last week's "mixed" markets, and John notes how the markets are still incredibly volatile.
Scott and John discuss China's recent bounce back, and Scott tells listeners how China is trying to support its markets and boost its economy.
Greg says that these measures are China's way of appearing to be an increasingly capitalist country, while remaining Communist. John points to the dollar/yuan relationship as a red flag and notes what levels would bring on a crash.
John and Greg discuss what to expect from midterms and how the markets would react if the Democrats take the House or Senate. Greg explains why the release of "Tax Cut 2.0" before midterms could be a brilliant move for Republicans, and gives his prediction for how markets could soar higher if it's passed.
John and Scott discuss the situation in the Middle East, and Scott explains why we haven't seen oil prices jump as tensions escalate between the U.S. and Saudi Arabia. Scott brings up that these tensions could affect some tech names, as the Saudis are large investors in one of the biggest tech funds out there.
John and Greg discuss the weakening homebuilder sector, and John explains why rising rates and home prices are scaring some investors off.
Greg says that we are not in a "bubble," but why this slowdown could bring on a sideways trend for these companies.
John closes by reminding listeners to tune in for the Melt Up webinar on October 24, calling the event a "must watch."
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On this week's Stansberry Investors Marketcast, Scott, John, and Greg recap last week's market turmoil. John begins by saying that spiking Treasury rates were the main culprit, while China tensions did not help.
Scott and Greg discuss how the selloff was driven by the quants, and how they had to sell at each level.
The Fed continuing to raise rates heightened fears of borrow costs, much to the dismay of President Trump. Scott, John, and Greg discuss how this may lead to "misallocation" of resources.
John talks about the dangers of a "herd mentality" and Scott explains how tech's big year has investors ignoring bear markets in many other parts of the economy.
Scott talks about how the escalating U.S. – Saudi Arabia sanctions could push oil higher, and that Saudi Arabia may pull investments made through its tech Vision Fund.
Scott and Greg discuss the recent IMF meeting, and Scott explains why the IMF is cautious on global growth (hint: think trade wars). Scott also says that a possible IMF intervention into the matter would not affect the way President Trump approaches the negotiations.
Moving on to earnings, John discusses why emerging market worries overshadowed the start of banking earnings last week. Scott explains why he thinks the economy is still picking up, but that the stock market move higher is going to be "dicey."
John and Scott discuss the value vs growth argument, and John advocates for staying in growth name, especially fintech and cybersecurity names.
The Marketcast hosts close the podcast by covering next week's "Meltinar," which has an incredible speaker list.
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This week, Scott, John and Greg discuss last week's market movers, with the Dow remaining flat while the S&P 500 ticked downward. Small caps, the FAANG trade, and global markets were hit hard, and money found its way into financial names.
Bond yields spiked last week on the back of strong economic data and positive commentary about the economy's strength. Almost all Fed speakers talked up growth last week, but Scott says that the comments that stood out came from Chairman Jerome Powell.
Powell said that the Fed has a long way to go to achieve its goal of neutral interest rates. Markets didn't like this, as it caused uncertainty as to how the Fed views "neutral."
Greg talks about the problems he has with the Fed, and explains how they might not get the best read on the economy.
Moving on to Italy and the EU, Scott and John discuss how the two are battling it out over Italy's proposed budget. Scott talks about how Italy could leave the EU, and how that would be very problematic for the EU.
John talks about how bad European markets have been recently, especially Germany. John asks Greg if the euro is going to be around in 10 years, and Greg explains why he thinks the euro isn't working and won't last.
Greg talks about how China's spying chips in Apple and Amazon products is "an act of war," and says that he doesn't know how Trump can negotiate with the Chinese, knowing they can't be trusted.
Scott and John discuss a new clause in the revamped NAFTA deal, and how it could mean that China is left on its own. John also says that he doesn't believe that the latest rounds of tariffs is priced into the markets yet, and that could spell trouble when they go into effect in January 2019.
The hosts talk about what it would take to turn around GE, and whether or not GE's dividend will last.
Scott closes the show by talking about earnings, as earnings season gets underway with the big banks on Friday. Scott goes through what to expect, and how analyst expectations could affect the markets.
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John and Scott open this week's Stansberry's Investor's Marketcast by talking about this week's Stansberry Vegas conference. John runs through an awesome lineup of speakers and Scott offers free hugs for anyone that stops by.
Scott breaks down the two big moves the Fed made last week, from raising rates 25 basis points (expected) to removing accommodative language from their outlook going forward (still no huge
surprise). “The bigger thing was what Howell had to say about the economy… he’s saying that the economy really is in a sweet spot right now.”
John and Scott discuss the trade fight continuing…. Between the U.S. and Canada. John talks about how the U.S. is putting the pressure on Canada, and why Canada should NOT be turning down any meetings with the U.S.
Scott talks about why the market isn't sensing anything dire out of these trade talks, yet. From trade wars to Paul Manafort, “It’s amazing how fast these things fall off the front page.”
John predicts (ahead of Tuesday’s breaking trade deal news) that Canada and Mexico will “of course do a deal with us – they’re our biggest trading partners.” Scott dissects the strange alleged canceled meeting between Trump and Trudeau.
With earnings season around the corner, Scott reveals the average lowball estimate analysts have made for earnings growth, and why this quarter could be even bigger than the 19% growth they’re forecasting. and John talk about changing expectations for growth on Wall Street, and discuss how investors are rotating back into riskier plays to chase big gains.
“What we could be looking at, by the time this quarter finishes, we could be looking at 23.3% earnings growth.” This would be the third best quarter since 2010 – but the two quarters better than this would be the two earlier this year.
Scott points to Steve Sjuggerud's "Melt Up" thesis, and he and John pinpoint the sectors positioned to rip higher with the market.
John closes by asking Scott about pot stocks, and compares them to the crypto craze of late 2017-early 2018. He also asks when will we see companies add "marijuana" to their names to ride the wave.
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After a week where the Dow and S&P 500 hit new records, John gives Scott kudos for calling it as he breaks down the rally by sector. Financials, energy, and industrials led the way while tech was off slightly.
Scott takes the kudos – and argues that the rally isn’t over yet. “We’re going even higher.”
The 10-year ticked up slightly past 3%, which is fuel for any rally since in John’s words “financials love that – that’s net interest income, net interest margin, that falls right to the bottom line.”
Scott explains why recent dollar weakness could propel U.S. multinational companies, and the S&P 500, higher. “If the dollar is gonna sell off, it’s gonna enable emerging market currencies to rally.” That’s tonic for inflation in emerging economies.
And don’t forget – 47% of the revenues for the S&P 500 come from U.S. multinational companies. So as the dollar gets weaker, those companies are in for a boost. “You need to be paying a lot of attention to what the dollar’s doing, because it’s gonna be a really important indicator for the markets.”
John turns to the Fed policy decision to be announced later this week, and why the Fed is hoping for a “soft landing” of 3% growth that will enable a 25-basis point hike.
Scott games out a scenario where interest rates could be a whopping 75 basis points higher in March than they are today – a massive departure from the near-zero rate regime the Fed put in place for almost all of the last decade. Scott and John discuss quantitative tightening in the U.S. and around the world, and how this will affect the U.S. dollar and emerging markets.
Reading between the lines of the latest European Central bank maneuverings, Scott makes sense of the ECB’s decision to end 30 billion euros per month of bond purchases starting January, and what Mario Draghi’s likely successor will be inheriting.
John asks Scott about the new Apple Watch and the new features that could affect more than just the tech industry. “By having this electrocardiogram in there… I think that is going to be a huge driver for insurance companies.”
But it doesn’t stop there.
As Scott, notes, 62% Apple revenue comes from iPods, 13% from services, 11% from Macintosh, and 8.5% from iPad, and 5.5% from “other.” Why this could be a game-changer: “If you have a device that could spare doctors from unnecessary tests… isn’t there potential for insurance companies to say, ‘Why don’t we start writing prescriptions for this?’”
John breaks down the latest volley in the trade war with China, and why the markets shrugged at the news of more tariffs last week.
There's another mania in the stock market – this time with pot stocks. What are investors to do when pot stocks like Tilray, with next to no revenues, have market capitalizations bigger than American Airlines? John calls the valuation in Tilray "baffling" and tells listeners how this is just another example of the flock mentality.
Scott and John close out this week's episode by talking about the upcoming Stansberry Vegas Conference and how it's lineup of great speakers makes it one of the best conferences on or off Wall Street.
Scott tells listeners how they can follow the conference, and how they can sign up to stream it at Stansberryvegas.com.
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After another positive week for equities, John recaps the winners and losers, from telecom, energy, tech, and industrials’ strength to the surprising weakness of big banks, thanks to a spike in the 10-year Treasury yield, and a last week that sent some of their investors running for the hills.
Of course, what really drove markets this week were tariffs – specifically, the 10% tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods. Scott and John discuss the newest headlines from the U.S. – China trade spat, and they explain why the most recent round of tariffs is still far from the worst case scenario.
Scott points to a surprising fig leaf is the multi-billion tariff broadside that leaves “this window open for the potential to negotiate. People are looking at this as a conciliatory gesture – we’ll see.”
Meanwhile, John notes how Apple seems to be getting a break – “nothing like dinner with the President at his golf club to make things a little easier on your company” – as Scott breaks down their latest promise to do their part in Trump’s trade war.
Fresh from watching the Chinese stock market overnight, Greg tells listeners why he sees a possible bottom in Chinese stocks, and why Chinese stocks are a reverse kind of "buy the rumor, sell the news" group.
The hosts shift over to emerging markets, and Scott and John discuss how strong economic data in the U.S. could affect upcoming emerging market policy decisions. After breaking down the dollar’s near-1% dip last week before its Friday rally, he turns to looming numbers coming out of South Africa and Brazil.
Scott brings up the Fed's role in the emerging market chaos and explains how the Fed's goal for "neutral rates" will affect emerging markets going forward.
Greg says that every quantitative tightening cycle (raising rates) has ended in a recession and says that the emerging market selloff could be the first crack in the next recession.
Greg then discusses market technical, and he explains that "we are not out of the woods yet," and markets could head lower. He also notes how the markets have a similar setup to the 2000 tech bubble.
There’s “one thing that keeps me up at night,” however, and it’s not valuations or a lurking corporate bond crisis. If this sector that’s fueling America’s tech boom slows down, it’s highly unlikely the broader market, and the rest of the world, can shrug it off.
He names three stocks he's watching at the moment in the industry. One of them, you’ll recognize immediately as a non-FAANG media darling – the other two, not so much.
The talk then turns to Jamie Dimon’s inexplicable comments on his own viability as a 2020 presidential candidate, and the biggest reason he had to walk his remarks back right away.
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The picnic continues for U.S. equities this week – even as global markets, in John’s words, “continue to be awful” with the London Exchange down 2% for the week with Germany giving back 3%. Both those markets are down for the year – but they’re getting off relatively easy compared to Shanghai, down more than 16% for 2018.
Yes, the S&P 500 gave back 1% while the Dow was off a fraction – and the Nasdaq 100 even lost 3% – but all those indexes are still up for the year, including the Nasdaq 100, whose 16% gain makes it a mirror image of the carnage in Chinese equities.
On this week's episode of the Stansberry's Investors Marketcast, the hosts discuss how recent weeks have been a "picnic" for U.S. equities.
So a solid performance, all things considered – but are cracks forming in the tech veneer? Scott breaks down Friday’s economic numbers, from Finisar to Palo Alto. Facebook has a problem that’s very Facebook-specific for now – but its big weighting in the tech indices will drag them down, even as a handful of stellar individual companies continue to charge ahead.
John covers the beating that some tech giants continue to take in Washington – “As far as Facebook and Twitter were concerned, in front of the House Intel Committee, they looked like they were told to go stand in the corner.” Google’s also down $120 from its peak – and even Amazon’s 3% dip amounts to $30 billion lost on paper last week.
The talk turns to trade battles, and Scott’s assessment is that the next $200 billion tariff broadside is coming. The only question: whether or it it’s leveed at 10% or 25%.
Meanwhile, look out for the scenario Scott floats where these proposed tariffs finally hit the tech sector, with consumer brands like Apple caught in the line of fire.
Greg points out that the U.S. trade deficit with China has just hit an all-time high, and how this strengthens Trump’s hand. But when does this divergence catch up to the U.S. markets? Students of history will conclude that, because of globalism and heavy correlations between economies, a major warning sign is brewing.
Just look at 2017. “Every single market around the world rallied in tandem with each other. They all did.” But go up as one… go down as one.
Scott concurs. “I think we’re a trade headline away from the markets selling off. It’s really tenuous.”
John says that investors need to be watching the dollar for signs of a deal, and Scott breaks down the motives on each side for the next trade meeting – as well as his biggest fear based off of the events of the last two weeks. “My concern is – is he pressing for too much. Are we going to go too far – and do heels get dug in?”
John games out how the politics of midterms can affect our standing in the trade war – and makes his own prediction on the “Blue Wave” pundits are forecasting.
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In a week where the Nasdaq, Russell, and S&P 500 all made all-time highs – and Amazon roared past the $2,000/share mark to become history’s second trillion-dollar company – John, Scott, and Greg break down the events that made last month the best August for markets since 2014.
Scott pegs trade negotiations as having been the single biggest event last week, with a deal with Mexico fueling a round of Wall Street optimism for a subsequent breakthrough with Canada – that is before the second-biggest event of the week, President Trump’s comments to Bloomberg, put further hopes on hold, at least for now.
John predicts that midterm political realties will be a driving force behind a deal with Canada, since they constitute 36% of our trade. “So that’s gonna get fixed… there are enough people whose jobs are involved with Canadian trade.”
China, on the other hand, doesn’t carry as much midterm clout. “I don’t think anything’s going to happen with regards to fixing that problem… you’re probably looking at $200 billion in tariffs on Thursday.”
Greg shares what he wrote about Amazon stock in his weekly market outlook – “It’s a trend that’s hard to fight – you can’t fight it – and it’s in overbought territory, but you can’t fight that price momentum. Every day it’s becoming a more intricate part of people’s life. Health care, entertainment… what else is he going to take over?”
Scott parses a call with Morgan Stanley talking up Amazon’s high-margin streams that raised targets for Amazon stock to $2,500. and how a higher weighting in the index could drive the stock higher still.
Greg talks about what he's seeing in the markets going into the end of the year, and gives a great case for a market rally: "The next four months favor the bulls."
Greg then discusses benchmark indexes, and why he thinks people focus to much on benchmark comparisons. He’s waiting for semiconductors to break out – they’ve been the foremost leaders of this bull market, and senses that will continue.
John warns how markets are highly concentrated in a few stocks and the resulting shift to passive investing and "chasing the herd."
Looking ahead, the big event of the week is the next round of China tariffs. Greg gives a scenario that could have global stocks, especially Chinese ones, turning higher.
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Scott Garliss and Greg Diamond launch right into a recap of last week's winners amid new all-time highs for the S&P 500, the Russell, and the Nasdaq – and why the defensive names sold off amid the rally.
Scott lists the best-performing sectors of the week, including two that surprisingly bested tech, and why gold and oil saw even stronger rallies.
Going over the big news and events from last week, Scott and Greg discuss the Mueller investigation, and the market’s reaction to Paul Manafort being found guilty on eight counts of fraud and tax evasion, while Trump’s longtime lawyer pled guilty to campaign finance violations.
Greg’s response: “It’s all a big nothingburger to me.” He recounts the supposed bombshells of 2017, that led to one-day market dips that never threatened to derail the broader rally.
Greg breaks down the latest trade domino to fall – and the next development that could light a fire under markets.
Scott gives an update on NAFTA negotiations, with news coming in just as recording begins. With China negotiations, Scott and Greg discuss the latest news out of D.C. and Beijing, including a potential timeline for a deal, and tell listeners why any good news would surprise the markets into moving higher.
Scott moves on to one of the most sensational stories of the past few weeks – Tesla. Scott recaps the timeline of Elon Musk's "plan" to take Tesla private but explains why there could be huge consequences looming – and why Musk's actions could bring even more heat from the SEC and a potential lawsuit from shorts.
“You have a good case for a lawsuit,” Scott says of Musk’s twitter broadsides fired with the purpose of ripping short sellers. Greg says it’s a perfect example of what he tells readers in Ten Stock Trader all the time: Manage risk.
Scott discusses the recent statements from the Federal Reserve and the members of the FOMC, and why their comments implicate the Fed is easing its expectation of rate hikes.
Scott and Greg discuss how this bodes well for the S&P500 and emerging markets, as a lower dollar should boost global markets.
With dollar-denominated assets becoming a haven recently, Scott gives two trade ideas for an upside rally in emerging markets.
Finally, Scott and Greg reach into the mailbag to answer a question from Eddie D. about possible insider trading in the White House, and read a compliment from listener Lydia B.
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On a week where the Dow tacked on another 1.4%, Scott Garliss, John Gillin and Greg Diamond make sense of the “Walmart Week” amid securities’ relative strength vs. oil and gold’s woes, while other commodities like copper slip into an undeniable bear market.
The hosts jump into the new developments in the China trade war. Emerging markets continue to suffer, with Shanghai down 4.5% for the week. Scott talks about how the trade war is affecting institutional investors, and how that could move the markets if/when things get worked out. He also gives listeners a timetable of the next step in these negotiations.
Greg explains that the trade war has been going on for a lot longer than many think, and how China can continue to offset tariffs from the U.S. Greg tells listeners the one thing that could force China to the table for serious negotiations.
John goes into what sectors are being rotated into, and where investors are putting their money at the moment.
John and Scott discuss the importance of transparency from companies, and why investors should stay away from companies reaching for growth in bad areas.
John runs through some of the struggling emerging markets, from Qatar's $15 billion investment in Turkey to Venezuela's hyperinflation. Greg explains what's going wrong in Venezuela, despite having the world's largest oil reserves. Greg explains the problems with the long period of low interest rates, and how it led to inflated debt in emerging markets.
John runs through Constellation Brand's massive investment in a marijuana growing company, and Greg asks if the large tobacco companies could be next to invest.
With earnings season all but wrapped up, Scott lists two key developments he’ll be watching this week. A couple of big events: the U.S. trade representatives’ hearing that runs through Monday, where up to 370 people will be testifying on the next round of potential trade tariffs – There's $200 billion in potential penalties which have been dangled in negotiations. Secondly, Chinese trade representatives are coming to the U.S. Wednesday and Thursday to test the waters.
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John dubs this episode “Hot Spots” because of the deep dive they take into geopolitical flare-ups, starting with Turkey.
John notes the good thing about currency devaluations – that they’re nothing we haven’t seen before. “We’ve had currency problems before… the Russian ruble’s always been a problem, and even three years ago the Chinese yuan when they devalued.”
So with each of these currency bombs, there’s a script to follow – “Who is holding the old maid?”
Scott points out a silver lining: There’s good reason to think this problem is more Turkey-centric, and could be good for money flows into the U.S. economy. But markets are expecting the situation in Turkey to deteriorate. “We’ll see how that plays out.”
Greg makes the connection to yet another unintended consequence of the Fed's monetary policy, and its spillover consequences to emerging markets. Scott makes a prediction for where interest rates are headed in the U.S. this year.
Scott and John discuss S&P earnings, and Scott gives a market outlook based off the current earnings multiple. John wonders if this quarter's earnings growth could possibly be a peak.
Moving on to the big headline of the week, John, Scott, and Greg discuss Elon Musk's proposal for a leveraged buyout. Scott and John talk about how Saudi Arabia, which has long been opposed to electric vehicles, is the most talked about party for this to become a reality.
Greg lists the problems he sees with Tesla as a company, and wonders how a company with these financials could be worth $350 a share.
However, Greg notes that despite its poor financial situation, investors are still crazy about the stock, and its unpredictability has it placed on his "no trade" list.
The Marketcast hosts welcome on Mike Lang, creator of the Stansberry Terminal. Mike explains the Terminal's features, from real-time stock prices to a dynamic view of all Stansberry content. Mike leaves listeners with a brief overview of the Terminal's future, and what it hopes to achieve.
After the interview, John and Greg discuss last week's moves in oil and gold, and talk about why both are struggling with the dollar rising. And to wrap up, Scott tells listeners what to be on the lookout for in the week ahead.
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On this week's Investor's Marketcast, John Gillin and Greg Diamond get right to Apple’s $1 trillion accomplishment last week as the first company to reach a trillion-dollar valuation.
John puts $1 trillion in perspective. “If you were to stack one-dollar bills on top of one another, $1 trillion would stretch 67,866 miles.”
John asks Greg what this could mean in the markets, and expresses his own concerns about the markets becoming overcrowded in a few names.
Then it’s time to make sense of China’s slowdown – Chinese shares fell another 3% last week, contributing to Shanghai’s overall 18% slump for 2018. Even so, John’s predicting something very different for the long term. “They’re gonna wait this tariff battle out.”
Greg expands on China’s $400 billion moment of truth that’s looming August 30. “Whether President Xi can keep doing this… at some point people become a little restless.”
John gives the update on how trade talks with China remain at a stalemate, even though EU and NAFTA talks are moving along.
The team then welcomes on Ben Morris and Drew McConnell of DailyWealth Trader to talk about their favorite investing strategy at the moment – pairs trading.
Ben discusses how to use the strategy to profit from long-term trends in the market while limiting downside potential.
John asks if the DailyWealth Trader team has any open pairs trades in the DailyWealth Trader portfolio, and Ben and Drew discuss one of their big winners that still has room to run.
John asks Ben about the overall strategy of DailyWealth Trader, and Ben explains that he sees DailyWealth Trader as an idea generator that can help investors follow movements in the broader market. For their investing strategy, Ben and Drew say they like to look for two things to match up before placing a trade.
John and Greg then discuss JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon's prediction for 5% interest rates, and Greg gives his prediction for what this could mean for equities markets.
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On this week's Investor's Marketcast, the hosts welcome Meb Faber, co-founder and CIO of Cambria Investment Management. Meb has been featured in the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and was a speaker at last year's Stansberry Research Conference in Las Vegas.
Meb shares his origin story – a long, winding road full of tiny decisions that seemed miniscule at the time but momentous in retrospect. An engineer by training, he went to work at a biotech mutual fund through a quirk of fate before becoming co-founder of Cambria Investments.
Scott asks Meb if his deep background in biology gives him an edge in biotech investing, and Meb explains why doctors and engineers are actually, by far, the worst investors he’s come across.
Scott, Greg and Meb talk about how to control emotions when investing, and Meb explains why chasing performance can be the biggest mistake you can make as an investor. “I became aware very early of how your emotions can lead you astray.”
John asks Meb about emerging markets and where, if anywhere, value can be found in them. John and Meb then discuss how home-country bias (and in cases regional bias within countries) have shaped the global markets.
Scott brings up a recent legal change that could give exchange traded funds (ETFs) a leg up on mutual funds.
Recapping the last week in the markets, John and Scott discuss the impressive GDP data from the U.S.
Scott makes a prediction about this November’s elections, and how that will affect Chinese calculations of America’s next trade war gambit.
The Marketcast hosts break down what's going on in the "Tech Trade" – and what implications the overcrowded FAANG'M trade (Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, Google, and Microsoft) could have on the rest of the market.
Scott tells listeners where growth is coming from in these tech names, but John says rising rates could slow this growth, and Greg tells why today could be the beginning of "Tech Bubble 2.0."
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On this week's Investor's Marketcast, John Gillin and Scott Garliss welcome on Dan Ives, Chief Strategy Officer and Head of Technology Research at GBH Insights. Dan is a highly regarded tech analyst, and may be best known for his Wall Street-high price target on Netflix, predicting its stock will hit $500 as a “virtuous cycle” picks up.
Scott and John ask Dan about the current growth picture in the U.S., and in the technology sector specifically. Dan explains why current growth stories are being underappreciated, despite high earnings expectations, and which names have great growth pictures.
Scott and Dan discuss the current mergers and acquisitions (M&A) landscape, and whether any notable M&A could be on the horizon in the tech space.
John asks Dan about beaten-up IBM, and if there's any organic growth left in the stock. Dan explains why he's long-term positive on IBM, even as he’s watching the company closely during what he expects to be a pivotal 6-9 months.
Shifting to China, Scott asks Dan about the possible effects of the trade war. Dan tells Scott that he thinks the biggest impact is going to be on the supply chain for companies like Apple, and semiconductors.
After the interview, Scott and John discuss the Chinese Yuan's recent fall, and what this could mean for U.S. markets.
John asks Scott about President Trump's comments on the Federal Reserve, and Scott explains why raising interest rates is a good sign for the U.S. economy.
Scott tells listeners what to look for during the European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker's visit to the U.S., and why talks of a compromise could move the market higher.
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Your Marketcast hosts recap last week's market movements. Scott notes that the gains are concentrated around a small group of stocks – AMZN up 55% for the year, and NFLX almost 100%, as the tech-laden Nasdaq outpaces the S&P 500 this year by almost 3-to1. Scott and John discuss what that could mean for the S&P 500. “You could see it go as high as 2850.”
John brings up BlackRock CEO Larry Fink’s warning that tariff turmoil could lead to a 10%-15% market rout. Scott breaks down some numbers in BlackRock’s own performance, and why the nervousness of giant institutional players has a big silver lining for traders.
Once again, headlines from the week included trade wars with China, a standoff with the European Union and NATO, and President Trump's meetings with UK Prime Minister Theresa May and Russian President Vladimir Putin. John and Scott discuss why the markets are beginning to shrug off these headlines, and where the focus is shifting to.
John asks Scott about the market's expectations for earnings season, and Scott points to current sentiment as a reason that this earnings period could produce some impressive numbers.
John and Scott discuss this week's upcoming speeches from Fed chair Jerome Powell – and why Powell's hawkish tone could mean good things for growth, and how the economic indicators are backing this stance.
John talks about the beginning of earnings season with the big banks, and wonders what there is to love about large cap U.S. banks.
John describes how the "Trump Dump Trade" can create great buying opportunities.
John asks Scott about this week's meeting between Putin and Trump, and Scott explains that this could have an effect on oil that no one seems to be taking about.
John and Scott discuss bond yields, and John asks why long-term yields (which are usually focused on growth potential) aren't moving despite the "positive" growth outlook. Scott and John discuss what factors are pushing the yield curve flatter.
Coming up this week: John and Scott discuss the big names that report earnings this week, and how you can expect the market to react.
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