Episodi
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Rob and Jacob take a step back from a crazy week to talk about some of the other stories that have been outshone by the explodey events of the week: port strikes in the U.S., the pitfalls of protectionism, Brazilian success, insurance markets, and more. The podcast delves into the significant labor unrest currently affecting ports on the Gulf and East Coast of the United States, marking the first major strike since 1977. Jacob Shapiro and Rob Larity explore the implications of this strike, particularly its potential impact on the supply chain during the crucial holiday shipping season and the broader economic consequences, including inflationary pressures. They draw parallels to past labor movements and discuss the evolving dynamics of labor and production in the U.S., highlighting the challenges posed by automation and protectionist policies. The conversation also touches on the geopolitical context, emphasizing how current events in the Middle East and elsewhere are intertwined with domestic labor issues. Furthermore, they reflect on the inadequacies of insurance coverage in light of recent flooding in North Carolina, illustrating the hidden vulnerabilities within both personal and corporate risk management.
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Timestamps:
00:01 - Intro00:47 - Port Strikes in the US and Historical Context09:50 - Impact of Port Strikes on Supply Chains39:57 - Insurance and Risk Management Insights53:25 - Brazil's Economic Situation and Credit Ratings54:55 - Conclusion and Final Thoughts--
Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
CI Site: cognitive.investments
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
--
Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
--
Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp -
Jacob welcomes Hamidreza Azizi, Visiting Fellow at German Institute for International and Security Affairs, onto the podcast for a special episode on the escalation of fighting between Iran and Israel. This podcast episode delves into the complex and precarious situation faced by Iran amidst escalating regional tensions and internal political strife. Hamidreza shares his insights on Iran's strategic options, which he characterizes as increasingly grim and desperate. The discussion highlights Iran's recent missile strikes on Israel as a sign of desperation rather than strength, aiming to control damage and assert some level of deterrence in a rapidly deteriorating situation. They also touch on the internal political dynamics in Iran, including the impact of leadership changes and public sentiment towards foreign policy. Azizi emphasizes the challenges Iran faces, including a lack of reliable allies and the potential for further escalation in its conflict with Israel and the United States.
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Timestamps:
00:01 - Intro 00:28 - Iran's Strategic Position 07:04 - Iran's Asymmetric Deterrence Strategy38:31 - Iran's Internal Politics and External Strategy48:10 - Conclusion and Reflections on Iran's Future--
Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
CI Site: cognitive.investments
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
--
Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
--
Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp -
Episodi mancanti?
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Jacob and Marko talk for a Joe-Rogan-amount of time â in this two-hour episode, they cover the Iranian threat to bomb Israel and what it does (and doesnât) mean for the Middle East, whether Chinaâs stimulus is real, and whatâs next for the Russia-Ukraine war. They also explore Trump v Harris victory scenariosâŠand close out with the best NBA analysis money can buy.
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Timestamps:
00:01 - Introductory Remarks00:57 - Middle East Tensions: Iran and Israel01:27 - Reassessing Israel's Strategic Goals02:29 - The Impact of Iranian Retaliation03:59 - Market Implications: Oil and Equities34:04 - China's Economic Stimulus: A Policy Shift?01:13:18 - Trump vs. Harris: Election Scenarios01:17:32 - The Future of Russia-Ukraine Conflict01:35:26 - NBA Preview and Predictions01:47:45 - Closing Thoughts and Outro--
Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
CI Site: cognitive.investments
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
--
Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
--
Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp -
Elo returns to the podcast to give his thoughts about Alberto Fujimori, Peruâs former dictator President. He was Bukele before there was Bukele, Milei before there was Milei, even Chavez before there was Chavez. His rise and fall tells us so much about the history of Latin American geopolitics â and points to a melancholic not-so-shining path forward.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) - Intro
(01:14) - Who was Fujimori
(09:37) â Japan and Peru
(14:12) â The Rise of Fujimori
(28:33) â Vladimiro Montesinos
(35:45) â Post-Fujimori
(40:06)- Fujimori Legacy
(49:45) â Thank you but youâre a fâing dictator.
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Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
CI Site: cognitive.investments
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
--
Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
--
Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp -
Jacob and Rob dive into the microgeopolitics of Los Angeles before focusing on the big macro news of the week: Chinese economic stimulus. They give the bull and bear case for Chinaâs moves to stimulate the economy. Also, the geopolitics of noodles.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) - Intro
(01:00) - Microgeopolitics of LA
28:00 â Ports, France, and Brazil
30:00 â China
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Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
CI Site: cognitive.investments
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
--
Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
--
Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp -
Jacob welcomes PauloMacro onto the podcast to discuss his macro view, oil, grains, emerging markets⊠and why the time might have finally come for Brazil.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) - Intro
(01:22) - Pauloâs view
(13:05) â US elections
(19:32) â Oil
(33:08)â China
(41:20) â Grains
(51:10) â Brazil
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Referenced in the Show:
Link to Pauloâs Substack: https://substack.com/@paulomacro
--
Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
CI Site: cognitive.investments
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
--
Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
--
Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp -
Jacob and Rob discuss the Fedâs decision to cut interest rates, the BIOSECURE Act, Israelâs new front against Hezbollah, and Mexicoâs judicial reforms. The overall theme of the podcast, despite a general overtone of paranoid dystopianism from the weekâs events, is the slow and steady breaking of rules and norms in so many aspects of global politics and trade.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) - Intro
(02:05-10:00) â Fed
(09:10) â BIOSECURE Act
(22:23) â Hezbollah and Israel
(42:51) â Mexicoâs judicial reforms
--
Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
CI Site: cognitive.investments
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
--
Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
--
Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp -
Jacob and Rob are back from vacation! They share some microgeopolitical takes from their respective journeys and talk about the faceoff between Elon Musk and Brazil.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) - Intro
(00:40) â Fargo
(19:50) â Briancon
(30:00) â Brazil vs X
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Referenced in the Show:
--
Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
CI Site: cognitive.investments
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
--
Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
--
Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp -
Jacob welcomes Alexandra Finch on the podcast to talk about the mpox outbreak in the context of the international legal frameworks that apply including WHOâs emergency declaration, how they are being applied, and how they are/should be reformed.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) - Intro
(01:30) - Mpox emergency declaration
(06:30) - Needs v. realities
(12:56) - How does the WHO actually work? Who pays for the vaccines?
(22:30) â International Health Regulations and Global Pandemic Treaty
(33:55) â Pitfalls of international law
(41:30) â How to build trust in institutions
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Referenced in the Show:
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-world-desperately-needs-a-new-pandemic-treaty/
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMp2410395.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/21/opinion/mpox-vaccines-africa-pandemic.html
--
Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
CI Site: cognitive.investments
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
--
Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
--
Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp -
John Fowler and Jacob Shapiro dive into the current geopolitical landscape, beginning with a lively discussion about the Democratic National Convention and Kamala Harris's rising poll numbers. They touch on the ongoing conflict in the Arabian Gulf, examining the Red Sea Tanker attack and its implications for global shipping. They also speculate on the growing tensions between Israel and Hamas amidst rumors of a call between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu. Narendra Modi's significant visit to Ukraine highlights changing geopolitical dynamics, while Elon Musk's controversy with Brazil over censorship broadens the conversation to global tech regulation. The episode concludes with an over/under segment, providing predictions on pressing issues like the Gaza ceasefire and Canada's railroad strike.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) - Intro
(01:34) - Kamala Harris' Poll Numbers and Media Coverage
(04:05) - On-the-Ground Insights from Chicago
(08:56) - Red Sea Tanker Attack and Global Shipping Disruptions
(14:37) - Gaza Ceasefire Negotiations and Trump-Netanyahu Call
(20:00) - India's Diplomatic Moves and Arms Import Strategy
(25:18) - Elon Musk's Twitter Tantrum in Brazil
(30:22) - Over/Under Predictions and Wrap-Up
--
Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
CI Site: cognitive.investments
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
--
Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
--
Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp -
Rob is on vacation, so Jacob welcomes Sim Tack to join him in his weekly Friday slot to discuss Ukraineâs invasion of Russia. The two address the logistical challenges facing Ukraine, such as air support and ammunition shortages, and analyzes the strategic and tactical objectives of the Ukrainian offensive. They explore various potential motivations behind the invasion, including creating negotiation leverage and affecting Russian forces' deployment. The conversation also delves into broader geopolitical implications, including Ukraine's coordination of Western-supplied weaponry and the potential long-term impacts on Russia and Ukraine's capabilities.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) - Intro
(01:14) Welcoming SimTac and Initial Thoughts on Ukraine
(02:06) - Ukraine's Recent Military Actions
(07:15) - Russian Air Power and Tactical Challenges
(14:54) - Ukraine's Strategic Objectives
(25:02) - Future of the Conflict and Military Leadership
(32:58) - European Sentiment and Infrastructure Threats
43:49) - Conclusion and Contact Information
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Referenced in the Show:
--
Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
CI Site: cognitive.investments
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
--
Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
--
Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp -
Jacob and Rob talk about the expanding monkeypox global health emergency. From there they turn to artificial intelligence to talk about whether comparisons to previous bubbles in rail and telecoms are good models for thinking about it going forward.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) - Intro
(01:39) â Nordstream sabotage
(04:16) â Monkeypox
(11:00) â Government responses
(20:20) â Investment implications
(26:43) â Artificial Intelligence
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Referenced in the Show:
--
Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
CI Site: cognitive.investments
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
--
Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
--
Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp -
Matthew Pines rejoins the podcast to talk about the virtue of Bitcoin as a part of U.S. national security policy. Come for the philosophical discussion on Bitcoin and the role of the U.S. dollar â stay for Mattâs updates on aliens at the end.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) - Intro
(03:00) - Bitcoin
(12:55) â Philosophical considerations
(27:05) â Rails / assets
(40:37) â Chinaâs ability to exploit vulnerabilities
(50:30) â Aliens
--
Referenced in the Show:
--
Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
CI Site: cognitive.investments
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
--
Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
--
Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp -
Rob dissects the market volatility of the week with characteristic apolmb. From there, Rob and Jacob tackle the overthrow of Bangladeshâs government and a discovery in Japan that may change the way the semiconductor industry works. Also, Robâs take on the Olympics.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) - Intro
(00:41) - Market Madness: A Week of Financial Turbulence
(02:46) - Understanding Market Volatility
(08:37) - Investment Strategies in Volatile Markets
(19:18) - Bangladesh Political Crisis
(28:26) - Bangladesh's Garment Industry Resilience
(29:15) - Global Apparel Export Dynamics
(30:48) - Challenges in Textile-Dependent Economies
(33:52) - Bangladesh's Economic and Political Landscape
(36:05) - Innovations in Semiconductor Manufacturing
(37:53) - Investment Implications in Technology
(42:21) - The Future of Semiconductor Giants
(47:37) - Intel's Struggles and Market Sentiment
(50:16) - Paris Olympics Highlights
(54:22) - Conclusion and Disclaimers
--
Referenced in the Show:
--
Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
CI Site: cognitive.investments
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
--
Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
--
Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp -
Jacob and Rob talk briefly about emerging markets and a return to orthodox economic policies in places like Ethiopia, Nigeria, and Egypt. After a brief digression into the Bank of Japanâs decision to raise interest rates, they spend the rest of the podcast discussing a study that looked at the impact of direct cash transfers on labor supply and quality â and what it means that the key takeaway was that people want to have fun.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) - Intro
(01:47) - CI Club Concept
(05:45) - Global Geopolitical Updates
(07:38) - Focus on Nigeria and Ethiopia
(13:51) - Economic Strategies and Challenges
(17:49) - Japan's Economic Policies
(20:50) - Unconditional Cash Transfers Study
(29:05) - Challenges in U.S. Immigration and Workforce
(29:34) - Anecdotes on Job Market Shifts
(31:23) - Decline in Male Labor Force Participation
(34:57) - Universal Basic Income Study Findings
(40:34) - Philosophical Implications of Leisure
(44:29) - Automation and Future of Work
(46:47) - Starbucks Earnings and Service Quality
(48:06) - Historical Context and Policy Reflections
(55:59) - Concluding Thoughts and Reflections
--
Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
CI Site: cognitive.investments
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
--
Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
--
Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp -
Jacob welcomes Elohim Monard back to the podcast for an emergency conversation about the deteriorating situation in Venezuela. While they both bring idealism to the conversation, it is hard to conclude that the current situation will lead to change â and that instead it will empower rogue elements, criminal enterprises, and authoritarian regimes around the world.
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Timestamps:
Coming Soon (Jacob the Producer is sick rn)
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Referenced in the Show:
--
Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
CI Site: cognitive.investments
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
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Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
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Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp -
Rob and Jacob spend a few minutes discussing Kamala Harris before moving on to all the things happening in the world youâre missing because Trump and Harris are sucking up the headlines. They discuss Mexico trade relations, signals of change in Cuba and Venezuela, and major developments in Egypt and Vietnam, before closing with some bullishness on Japan.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) - Intro
(01:50) - Kamala
(05:55) â Mexico/Brazil/China
(17:15) â Cuba and Venezuela
(33:00) â Egypt
(43:51) â Vietnam
(47:50) â Japan
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Referenced in the Show:
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Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
CI Site: cognitive.investments
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
--
Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
--
Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp -
Jacob and Rob discuss the attempted assassination on former U.S. President Donald Trump. They explore scenarios related to tariffs and currency devaluation if Trump wins, as appears increasingly likely. They close with thoughts about CHina and why they are optimistic about the future.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) - Intro
(00:50) â Assassination in U.S. history
(19:00) â Tariffs
(34:00) â Devaluing the dollar
(50:50) â China
(59:05) â Optimism, scenarios, and why the Fourth Turning is bullshit
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Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
CI Site: cognitive.investments
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
--
Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
--
Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp -
Matt rejoins the podcast to talk about a first step toward estate planning: trusts. That may sound wonky or boring, but stay with us â not only do we make it geopolitical, we make it philosophical, interesting, and relevant. Come for the intersection of politics and planning, but stay for the important points about privacy at the end as well.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) - Intro
(00:28) - Overview of Trusts and Geopolitical Context
(02:59) - Historical Origins of Trusts
(10:09) - Modern Trust Structures and Legal Nuances
(15:33) - Revocable vs. Irrevocable Trusts
(19:08) - Categories and Types of Trusts
(29:12) - Understanding Revocable Trusts
(29:34) - The Role of Trustees and Asset Protection
(29:53) - Privatizing Decision Making with Trusts
(30:41) - Irrevocable Trusts and Third-Party Trustees
(32:31) - Who Needs a Revocable Living Trust?
(33:38) - The Probate Process and Intestate Succession
(35:32) - The Importance of Structured Estate Planning
(38:16) - Advanced Estate Planning Strategies
(41:13) - Demographics and Estate Planning
(52:00) - The Impact of the Corporate Transparency Act
(54:38) - The Importance of Privacy in Estate Planning
(59:10) - Concluding Thoughts and Final Advice
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Referenced in the Show:
--
Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
CI Site: cognitive.investments
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
--
Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
--
Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp -
Jacob and Rob reconvene to talk about the latest CPI print, inflation expectations, and the U.S. elections. They also get philosophical about populism and apply their insights to different countries: the U.S., France, the UK, Argentina, and Germany.
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Timestamps:
(00:00) -Intro
(00:39) - Weekly Chat with Rob: Catching Up
(01:17) - Inflation Discussion: Latest CPI Print
(03:36) - US Economic Slowdown: Service Sector and Manufacturing
(06:22) - Anecdotal Evidence: Tree Trimming and Airline Demand
(14:02) - Misallocation of Resources and Policy Volatility
(16:27) - US Election Impact on Economic Policies
(23:12) - Trade Tensions Under Biden vs. Trump
(24:08) - Populism and Global Political Trends
(25:44) - The Revolt of the Masses: Historical Context
(26:48) - Authority Structures and Information Democratization
(27:51) - French Elections: A Case Study
(29:58) - The Importance of Reading Books
(31:49) - Populism and Its Manifestations
(33:59) - Country-Specific Political Dynamics
(39:32) - Investment Strategies in Uncertain Times
(42:47) - Final Thoughts and Recommendations
(47:06) - Disclaimer and Legal Information
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CI Site: cognitive.investments
Jacob Site: jacobshapiro.com
Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap
Subscribe to the Newsletter: bit.ly/weekly-sitrep
--
Cognitive Investments is an investment advisory firm, founded in 2019 that provides clients with a nuanced array of financial planning, investment advisory and wealth management services. We aim to grow both our clientsâ material wealth (i.e. their existing financial assets) and their human wealth (i.e. their ability to make good strategic decisions for their business, family, and career).
--
Disclaimer: Cognitive Investments LLC (âCognitive Investmentsâ) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Cognitive Investments and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.
The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice and it should not be relied on as such. It should not be considered a solicitation to buy or an offer to sell a security. It does not take into account any investorâs particular investment objectives, strategies, tax status or investment horizon. You should consult your attorney or tax advisor
This podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis:
Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy
Podtrac - https://analytics.podtrac.com/privacy-policy-gdrp - Mostra di più
