Episodi
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A punishing result looks likely for Rishi Sunak's Tory party with all signs pointing to Labour having the UK election in the bag.
Labour leader Keir Starmer is expected to take a sweeping victory with a campaign for change propelling his popularity.
The Conservative Party has held power for 14 years, but it's steadily losing its grip on the back of numerous broken promises.
UK Correspondent Rod Liddle told Mike Hosking that there’s no enthusiasm out there.
He said the general consensus from voters is that Labour can't do any worse than the Tories.
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Future generations are sure to understand the quality of one of the country’s most important export sectors.
The Wool in Schools programme is expanding across primary schools this month, highlighting the insulating, thermo-regulating, and moisture wicking properties of natural, locally gown wool.
Plus, a tertiary pilot programme called Wool Dynamics is encouraging students to bring their own innovative ideas for the industry to the table.
GM for Campaign for Wool NZ Kara Biggs told Mike Hosking that while wool is in a bit of a tough position at the moment, there is a whole lot of optimism and positivity as well.
She said that they’re pretty excited about their new education programme, but they’re really putting pressure on themselves to increase the size of it, bringing wool to more schools.
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The countdown to the UK election is being dominated by predictions of a historic Labour victory.
Parties have been making their last pitches to voters, with reports Keir Starmer is projected to head the largest majority since 1832.
But University of Exeter Modern History Professor Richard Toye told Mike Hosking that Starmer isn't being complacent when it comes to pushing people to the polls.
He said there’s a slightly odd situation in which other parties have been saying that Labour is bound to get an enormous majority, so people should vote Conservative in order to keep that majority down, while Labour is sort of saying it’s not in the bag yet.
Voting opens at 6pm today our time.
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The uplifting story of the week for me is the 30% drop in parents taking kids out of school for holidays.
It's a single metric and it's one travel agency, albeit a big one, so it's hardly scientific and about to be published in the Lancet. But it's an insight into what might be happening and, even if it is remotely accurate, it’s a sign of several things.
Firstly, the power and necessity of Government.
Think about it - all David Seymour said was get your kids to school, harden up, we will start keeping data and we will hold schools and you to account.
Like magic, a problem, if not solved, was starting to get addressed.
A Government is leadership and leadership in many, many areas is clearly needed.
Which is a depressing thought for a person like me. I like to believe in self-determination and self-starting. More 'you' and less Government.
But in a collective sense, we are only as strong as the weakest link and in social experiment terms what we have seen in recent years in all sorts of areas is if you let the discipline and the leadership slip, all social hell breaks loose.
The presence of police works, as we heard the cop say this week. It's based on the British system, which is over 100 years old. Presence and visibility works and that's not hard to figure out.
The testing in schools they announced yesterday will have the same effect.
If you offer excuses, if you can't be bothered, if you let the guidelines slip there are those who revel in being ordinary, if not hopeless.
You could, and I do, argue that schools should have driven the absenteeism solution themselves. But they didn’t.
But when they were told to, it works. What a surprise.
What about cellphones in schools. Was it the calamitous mess they predicted? No. Why haven't you heard even a peep? Because it works and all it needed was a bit of discipline and a bit of leadership.
These are the small battles where the tangible outworkings provide hope.
A lot of people wondered, and wondered very loudly, whether the state of the country was so bad it might take years to fix, if it was even possible to fix it at all.
Well these examples this week I think are a good guide that we might actually be seeing some fruits of some labour.
Keep it simple, work hard and expect more. You'll be amazed.
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On the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast for Thursday 4th of July, Chris Bishop digs into the new moves for the apartment and housing market and Richard Toye gives an insight into just how historic this UK election will turn out to be.
Mike has had enough of KiwiRail and their claim they will get to be financially sustainable without Government help.
Kiwi rally star Hayden Paddon joins from Estonia as he prepares for the next leg of the European Rally Championship while sitting atop the leaderboard.
Get the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast every weekday morning on iHeartRadio, or wherever you get your podcasts.
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With a 16 point lead, Kiwi rally driver Hayden Paddon is entering the Estonia leg of the FIA European Rally Championship tied for first.
He took the crown in the Southland rally in the NZ Rally Championship a couple of weeks back, as well as finding the time to sign up as the new TrailLite Ambassador.
He told Mike Hosking that rally is to Estonia as rugby is to New Zealand, and everywhere they’ve been this week everyone knows who they are.
While Paddon has had a bit of a busy month, he’s been doing this for so long that the gap in driving is no issue, telling Hosking that you just trust your instincts.
“Once you get in that zone and get back into your, your happy place so to speak, you just, you know, you do what comes naturally.”
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Housing Minister Chris Bishop will today unveil the Government’s plan to “flood the market’ with land for development in a bid to end New Zealand’s housing crisis.
Bishop will use a speech to the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand today to announce a slew of changes to New Zealand’s planning laws recently agreed by Cabinet. He will argue the changes will flood the market with affordable land to develop and make it easier and cheaper to develop that land into housing.
Some of the changes are bound to be controversial; the Government will abolish councils’ ability to set fixed urban-rural boundaries and will abolish powers that let councils mandate balconies or minimum floor area sizes for developments.
This means the market, and not councils, will set the minimum size of new apartments. This could be controversial, but Bishop will defend his changes in his speech, noting the rules “can significantly increase the cost of new apartments, and limit the supply of lower cost apartments”.
Bishop told Mike Hosking most councils will go along, but he expects a few to disagree.
Councils will be required to plan for 30 years of housing growth.
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Vehicle sales are continuing to plummet.
Data from the Motor Industry Association shows June sales are the lowest they've been in more than a decade.
New registrations have dropped for the fourth consecutive month.
Association Chief Executive Aimee Wiley told Mike Hosking there's a bit of a promising uplift in June for EV sales.
She says with the clean car discount EVs were making around 15% of the share, dropping to two percent in January but growing back to 5%.
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A school principal says schools need more resources to support students, not mandatory tests.
The Government's introducing phonics checks for primary pupils after 20 weeks of schooling and repeated at 40 weeks.
Twice yearly progression monitoring on reading, writing, and maths will also be introduced for children in Years 3 through 8.
Auckland's May Road School principal Lynda Stuart told Mike Hosking there are some children that those tests don't work for.
She says some have English as a second language and need more support in that area, and some have high anxiety with assessments.
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New MBIE data reveals New Zealanders will be using 80% more power than we do now by 2050.
It shows demand is expected to grow as fossil fuel use switches to electricity, electric vehicles increase, and new demand, such as data centres, come online.
MBIE market manager Mike Hayward told Mike Hosking he's confident we can rely more on electricity from renewable sources.
He says the last quarter showed a 51% increase in generation from solar.
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The fact the Government is going ahead with Labour's Fair Digital News Bargaining Bill, albeit with amendments, is not the story.
The fact ACT has played the “Agree to Disagree" card is not really the story.
The real story is the question of, does it solve the problem?
What exactly is the problem?
The problem is the media, or at least parts of it, are in a financial hole and have decided that if only we get Facebook and Instagram to the table and get them to give us some money, we can bring back Fair Go or hire back a journalist or two.
If only it were that easy.
There is universal agreement in media that the social media giants are taking money out of the market and there is general agreement that that is pretty much unfair, given they monetise someone else's work.
The fact the media outlets use Facebook etc to pump their service and outlets and digital views doesn’t get quite as widely covered.
But let's not interrupt the David and Goliath narrative flow and kill the buzz.
Should Facebook cut a deal? Probably.
Have they elsewhere? Sort of, but not really.
In Canada it hasn’t worked well. The Government has ended up handing out money to news organisations after services got turned off.
Australia is in the middle of striking another deal which may or may not work. The Government are under pressure from places like Channel 9 and 7, who are laying off people by the hundred.
It all boils down to the idea of whether a social media giant needs New Zealand. Do they care enough to pay?
This Government can pass a law and introduce arbitration until they are blue in the face.
We are trying to make them pay the same way social media giants aren't supposed to allow extremists and dangerous material online, or lure impressionable teenagers to spend their life scrolling. Have those laws worked?
How many American and European investigations and committee question and answer sessions do you want to see where politicians act tough for the camera? Mark Zuckerberg might stand up and apologise to grieving families, but has it worked?
Yes, we have a problem. But do we have a solution?
It's probably worth the exercise, but don’t be remotely surprised if in the real world it achieves next to nothing.
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Hurricane Beryl is making its presence known in the Caribbean.
CNN reports at least three people were killed when it tipped through the Windward Islands earlier this week, and it’s currently hurtling across open waters nearing Jamaica and the Cayman Islands.
Newstalk ZB US Correspondent Richard Arnold told Mike Hosking that it's the earliest category five hurricane to rise up in the Caribbean.
He says it has top wind speeds of 265 kilometres an hour and could threaten Texas in the coming days.
A hurricane warning is in effect for Jamaica and a hurricane watch for the Cayman Islands.
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The Government crackdown on truancy could be causing a drop in families taking holidays during term time.
Flight Centre data shows a 30% reduction in bookings during the school term compared to last year.
At the same time, bookings during July's school holidays are up 10%.
General Manager Heidi Walker told Mike Hosking that the old excuse of it being more expensive to travel in the holidays is unfortunately true.
She said that prices rise due to supply and demand, as more people are wanting to travel to those family destinations during the school holidays.
However, Walker said, booking as far in advance as you can is your best bet to get a good deal.
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International student numbers are rising but are still lower than before borders were closed due to the Covid outbreak.
More than 69 thousand students enrolled with education providers in 2023.
That's a 67% increase compared to 2022, but only 60% of 2019 enrolments.
International enrolments grew in all subsectors except wānanga.
Education NZ's Geoff Bilbrough told Mike Hosking that he doubts New Zealand's reputation for international students has been damaged.
He says our borders were closed for a while and competitors were open earlier, but we're bouncing back and he's optimistic about the future.
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The Department of Conservation has confirmed tourism numbers are returning to pre-covid levels.
New data shows visitors are back at 80% of what was seen before the pandemic, with arrivals increasing from 1.52 million in 2022 to 2.29 million in 2023.
Totally Tourism CEO Mark Quickfall told Mike Hosking that despite places like Europe seeing much higher figures, it has to be looked at in perspective.
He says for companies like his —which lost 90% of businesses overnight due to Covid— it's a positive.
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On the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast for Wednesday 3rd of July, ACT Party leader David Seymour explains why he is agreeing to disagree on the Government's media bill.
Two unbelievable and hilarious bits of research that Mike loses it over: what we are searching for when on holiday, and Auckland being named the 9th most liveable city in the world.
Mark Mitchell and Carmel Sepuloni cover all the hard-hitting political topics on Politics Wednesday.
Get the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast every weekday morning on iHeartRadio, or wherever you get your podcasts.
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Politicians on both sides of the divide agree that the Fair Digital News Bargaining Bill is worth a crack.
The Government's progressing an amended version of the Bill, which will make digital platforms like Facebook pay for news content.
It is set to progress through Parliament with the support of National, NZ First, and most likely Labour, but ACT's invoked its right to 'agree to disagree' and will oppose the Bill.
National Minister Mark Mitchell told Mike Hosking he thinks everyone agrees that they have to be doing something.
He said that bringing companies like Google and Facebook to the table is a big mountain to climb, but they should still continue to look for options and ways of trying to create a level playing field.
Labour’s Carmel Sepuloni agreed, saying it's probably the one thing the two will agree on in this interview.
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David Seymour doesn't think the Fair Digital News Bargaining Bill will solve underlying issues with media.
The Government's progressing an amended version of the Bill which will make digital platforms like Facebook pay for news content.
ACT's invoked its right to 'agree to disagree' and will oppose the Bill.
Party leader David Seymour told Mike Hosking that it will probably make issues with media worse.
He says that's because the one attractive thing about the original Labour policy was that it deals with private companies with no politicians involved, but now they're proposing a politician be involved.
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There's a view police need back-up, following the revelations more prevention work is needed for the Government to deliver its youth crime crackdown.
It aims to reduce the number of serious youth offenders by 15% by 2030.
Official briefings show the Police Minister was told this was ambitious and would require cross-agency work.
Blue Light Chief Executive Brendon Crompton told Mike Hosking that Police are there to enforce the law.
He says provider agencies then give services and support to those who've offended.
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A New Zealand home renovations company is aiming to challenge issues in the renovation market.
It's worth around $9 a year in New Zealand but the American market's more than half a trillion, which is seen as an opportunity for Kiwi exporters.
Refresh Renovations founder Jon Bridge told Mike Hosking that no one was doing renovations at scale, and there's been a major problem with budget blowouts.
He says research indicates nearly a third of money spent on reno's is wasted and around 20% end in disputes.
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