Episodi
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In the latest SBC Podcast I am joined by Alex Piskopos (AKA 'Pisky'), a serial betting winner and entrepreneur with some amazing stories to share - including details of the very successful betting operation he was a key part of and what lessons we can take from it.
Pisky is a man with many strings to his bow, with extensive industry experience, podcasting and working with some of the sharpest betting groups all being part of his background.
First off though, he walked me through a quite remarkable story about his time at the Ontario Lottery Gaming Corporation (OLG) and how he took serious advantage of an edge he spotted whilst working there. After leaving OLG, he teamed up with his betting partner 'The Fulldog' and scaled up a very impressive betting operation that truly maximised the edge available to him. Its a story that gets to the heart of the logistics involved in running a larger betting operation with a team of runners, handling large sums of cash, arranging deals with shop owners and much more besides!
We also touch upon Pisky's more current work as he diversifies away from betting 24/7 and grinding away for profit. Part of this relates to continued work with betting groups whilst he also has more experience than most in using cryptocurrencies alongside co-hosting his own podcast - Always Betting.
Here is a man always looking for an edge and who knows how to take full advantage of them when they appear. His story is a true inspiration for those of us looking to make a profit betting.You can also support the SBC Podcast by visiting our brand-new podcast sponsor, Matchbook.
You can get 150 days commission free with them via this link.
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In the latest SBC Podcast I am joined by a guest who is perfectly placed to talk about the biggest betting market of all time: the US Election of 2024!
Zeus O'Dea is a professional bettor and trader at the crypto-book Shuffle, one of the newer entrants into the global betting markets (and a relatively big one at that!).
As a guest, Zeus brings plenty to the table as he specialises in several markets and we dig into two of them - politics and cricket.
With November 5th just weeks away, it is the former that makes up the majority of our chat as Zeus talks us through some of the stranger market moves of recent times and how things like polling and commentators like Nate Silver can impact upon odds.
This chat was like no other as alongside our betting talk, crypto deals in Montenegro and evictions from the Oval both made it into our conversation too!
For those of you who would like to follow Zeus on social media, you can do so on X/Twitter@ZeusODea.You can also support the SBC Podcast by visiting our brand-new podcast sponsor, Matchbook. You can get 150 days, commission free with them via this link.
To find out everything you need to know about the Smart Betting Club, please visit www.smartbettingclub.com. For up-to-date news, commentary and direct contact links, our Twitter/X handle is @SBCInfo - if you have any questions about what we do, please get in touch!
Timestamps:
(00:00) Intro
(01:10) Zeus's Travels
(03:20) How Zeus got into the betting world
(04:09) Moving into employment with Shuffle
(06:00) Crypto & how it is different from traditional betting
(08:03) Controversial weather betting & pricing up obscure markets
(11:13) Political betting & BIG bets
(13:08) Taking risks as a bookmaker
(16:43) 2024 - different from previous elections?
(20:43) Polling and its impact on odds
(28:53) Submarkets providing betting opportunities and edges
(30:36) Nate Silver & his opinions on betting markets
(34:03) Useful resources to inform betting choices
(40:28) Cricket betting
(44:33) Zeus being forcibly removed from a Test Match
(50:31) Predictions for the US Election 2024
(53:53) How to find Zeus -
Episodi mancanti?
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In the latest SBC Podcast I am joined by a fascinating guest who's service was the at the centre of the latest SBC Magazine.
Thomas Pearson is the owner/operator of the service that bears his name and he has built up a very impressive record since he started his horse racing tipping in this format at the start of 2023.
Big prices, big winners and 20%+ returns to BSP have made him popular with a wide ranging audience and in this chat we discuss all aspects of his service alongside his journey to get here and possible future plans (he is your man for pool betting if you are interested in that niche!).
Thomas's Fair Odds Policy was also a big part of our chat as we went through what he does, why he does it and how this compares to the rest of the tipster market (who have no qualms in taking the best prices before markets have even formed!).
This was a brilliant chat and one that I got a lot from - I'm sure that you will too.
You can support the SBC Podcast by visiting our brand-new podcast sponsor, Matchbook. You can get 150 days, commission free with them via this link.
In this chat, Thomas and I talk about:
(00:00) An introduction to Thomas Pearson
(02:15) Thomas's punting - is he a full-time punter?
(04:30) How 'TP' got here
(07:25) Switching from being 'degenerate' to betting more selectively
(11:16) Horse racing only? What else does TP bet on?
(13:12) Thomas's favourite types of races for betting & tipping
(14:55) Tissue pricing & other ways to determine price
(17:35) What makes a horse value? How does a race set up help?
(21:30) Thomas's favourite code & race types
(25:25) TP Racing Tips & what came before
(30:42) Data, drawdowns & tempering expectations
(33:05) Fair odds, attainable prices & bad tipster practices discussed
(40:10) An edge at BSP
(46:48) How Thomas bets his tips
(48:28) A very affordable price point
(52:20) Betting on pool - a possible future service? -
In the latest SBC Podcast I am joined by one of the most well-known and respected experts in the gambling world.
Matthew Trenhaile (or 'Trench') has worked in various roles within the industry for operators such as Mustard Bet and most recently, Pinnacle. Alongside this, he has compiled odds for several sports, worked at spread firms (in both betting and finance) and developed an insight into the betting ecosystem that few possess.
Trench's newest venture is a consultancy, Anubis Trading, and with the launch of his own business, he has been on somewhat of a 'whistlestop tour' of leading podcasts in Europe, North America and South America. With that in mind, we did something a bit different for his appearance on the SBC Podcast, with an 'Ask Me Anything' special where you, the audience, posed questions.
Those questions and Trench's answers can be found below with everything from sharp bookmaking, tipsters, morale questions and ice cream covered. Enjoy!
Sponsor: The SBC Podcast is sponsored by Matchbook. Upon signup with Matchbook if you enter the code “SBC150”, you can get commission free for your first 150 days - which can give you even more value. https://www.matchbook.com/promo/sbc-150?&bonus-code=SBC150https://www.matchbook.com/promo/sbc-150Useful Links:
Matthew's Twitter/X handle: https://x.com/Matthew_TrenchMatthew's Linked In Page: https://www.linkedin.com/in/matthew-trenhaile/Anubis Trading Linked In Page: https://uk.linkedin.com/company/anubis-trading-limitedTimestamps:
(00:00) Intro - a different type of interview
(01:43) 97% lose - why do sportsbooks limit winners?
(05:20) Why has Pinnacle not been imitated?
(09:18) Pinnacle never restrict - or do they?
(14:35) What does the future look like for crypto books?
(19:20) Polymarket - what does Trench think?
(25:26) Who is shaping the UK & Irish horse racing markets?
(32:20) Steam Chasing
(36:48) BSP betting - skill or variance? How do we assess this?
(47:20) What are the best edges Trench has ever seen?
(51:20) The best ever bettor in Trench's opinion?
(53:05) Why isn't Matthew a pro gambler?
(55:25) Racing punting and sharing picks publicly!
(59:35) Using tipsters
(01:04:05) The morality of the betting industry
(01:06:35) Tips for a 20-year-old starting out
(01:08:35) 5/2 on a coin toss - how much is Trench having on?
(01:10:52) Ice cream discussion
(01:15:35) Anubis Trading and where to find Matthew -
In the latest SBC Podcast I am joined by Mads from the in-play football tipping serviceMonetos.
Mads' Twitter/X account: @MadsKNielsenMonetos' Twitter/X account: @BettingMonetosMonetos' Website
In-play betting has exploded in popularity along with the 'smart phone era' and for the most part, it is seen as a very difficult nut to crack, with high overrounds, issues around data feeds and a more complex modelling task all providing challenges for serious bettors.
This does have advantages and Mads and his fellow bettors have found a way to use their expertise to profit in this market for themselves and others.
Alongside his betting, Mads is a former poker player and journalist so in our chat we talk about how this has shaped where he is today. Betting psychology and mentality are also topics that Mads has written extensively about.
This was a brilliant chat which I got so much from - I hope you do too!
Sponsor: The SBC Podcast is sponsored by Matchbook. Upon signup with Matchbook if you enter the code “SBC150”, you can get commission free for your first 150 days - which can give you even more value. https://www.matchbook.com/promo/sbc-150
Useful Links:
Mads' article about betting psychology (in Danish - Google translate and others can quickly translate this into any language you would like to read it in): https://monetosbetting.dk/kindbergs-corner-hold-styr-paa-hovedet/
Timestamps
(00:00) Intro
(01:12) Mads' varied professional life
(02:20) Poker and getting a 'proper job' in journalism
(08:00) Monetos and Mads and his partners' vision for the business
(10:15) Balancing a business and betting (& how the relate to each other)
(12:05) Working in a team and finding value together
(13:55) Betting In-Play, why Mads like it and why it offers some hidden benefits
(17:15) Timing and the practical issues that come with having 3 'betting games' at a time!
(23:00) Pricing, bookmakers' efficiency in getting things right (and where they don't!)
(23:39) Challenges with data, feeds and latency in information arriving
(28:34) Stoppage time and how extended extra minutes have changed the dynamic of games
(30:51) Pre-match vs. In-play and which markets Mads prefers
(33:00) Monetos, its performance and getting on with exchanges
(33:55) Betting psychology - what is the difference between winners and losers?
(40:35) Mentality in life
(41:25) Mads' future plans
(42:55) Where to find Mads -
In the latest Smart Betting Club podcast I am joined by Josh for our latest 'Betting Clever' episode.
Smart-Bash and our time in London was first up on the agenda as we talked about the day, the panels, who was there and what we got from it. We also talked about those who were absent (and who maybe should have been there!).
Next up on the docket was the Gambling Commission's latest faux par as they have introduced a new survey methodology with more holes than Swiss cheese. The 'usual suspects' have used the new figures to push their narratives, despite the GC's insistence that they shouldn't be used in this way. This was all very predictable so we conclude this section by asking 'Are the Gambling Commission a) biased b) incompetent or c) both?'
Golf betting is definitely a rollercoaster and the variance can be hard to take, with barren spells lasting months (or even years!). We talk about how this has been a common occurrence for tipsters and other services in the first half (and a bit) of 2024 and how long losing runs are often broken by the opposite - purple patches.
'The Racing Blogger' and Twitter/X are up next as Josh and I talk about our bewilderment at this generations' loud, brash and self-promoting culture alongside the inability to filter out conspiracy theories and mad-hat posts from what we want to read about online - betting.
We close up with a round-up of the services that are interesting our members most at SBC at the moment, with an in-play football service, a profitable BSP racing tipster and an 'anti-goals' angle all covered.
Learn more on the Smart Betting Club and how we help winning bettors at https://smartbettingclub.comPodcast feedback - contact SBC on Twitter/X @sbcinfoRead more about each SBC Podcast episode: https://smartbettingclub.com/the-smart-betting-club-podcastView the Monetos video referenced in the podcast here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=slV-zuW2P-s&t=602s -
In the latest SBC Podcast I am joined by Dylan, the co-founder and co-owner of Pinnacle Odds Dropper (or POD for short!).
POD is the feature review and focus of SBC's latest magazine (Issue 143) and with a detailed analysis (and SBC member discount) now available, this podcast explores everything about Dylan's operation and expertise.
'Chasing steam', 'top down betting', 'market movers' and 'warm money' - all of these terms broadly mean the same thing - following in smart money to make a profit.
With sharp bookmakers (like Pinnacle) focusing their resources on keeping their prices up to date and 'soft bookmakers' often lagging behind, services like POD help followers to make profit when the former cut prices and the latter are slow to follow them.
Automation drives this kind of service and provides 'every day bettors' with the opportunity to beat soft bookmakers with a steady stream of sharp information.
In this podcast, Dylan and I discuss the concept, the software he and his team have built to help execute it and much more besides. The tipping landscape is constantly changing and this type of service is relatively new - I learnt a lot listening to Dylan and I'm sure you will too!
Discover More:
We recently reviewed Pinnacle Odds Dropper in Issue 143 of the SBC Magazine, with detailed proofing and analysis of large data sets that come from real life users.
Learn more on the Smart Betting Club and how we help winning bettors at https://smartbettingclub.com/ Explore Issue 143 https://smartbettingclub.com/blog/pinnacle_odds_dropper_review/Pinnacle Odds Dropper: https://www.pinnacleoddsdropper.com/Podcast feedback - contact SBC on twitter @sbcinfoRead more about each SBC Podcast episode: https://smartbettingclub.com/the-smart-betting-club-podcast/ -
In this episode, I was joined by a trio of betting experts to discuss the reaction to my exclusive interview podcast with Andrew Rhodes as released a few days ago.
Dan Waugh, Harry Stewart-Moore and Chris Fawcett joined me to unpack all of the key points and to share thoughts on both what Andrew did and didn't say and the ongoing work of the Gambling Commission.
Affordability Checks and where they stand currently, their impact on sports like horse racing, bookmaker behaviour and Andrew's take on whether they can be trusted and their woeful reputation amongst those who bet. We also debated the growth of the black market and what it's growth suggests about the regulation of the licensed market were all up for debate.
All these topics and more were evaluated with my panel of betting experts - each of whom know these subjects inside out and have considerable experience working within the betting industry.
For those of you wanting to know more about the current status of betting in the UK, whether it be a frustration about getting bets and being paid out if winning or even the proposed white paper's impact on bookmakers, this is a podcast for you.
Discover More:
Learn more on the Smart Betting Club and how we help winning bettors at https://smartbettingclub.com/ Podcast feedback and media enquiries - contact SBC on twitter @sbcinfo or [email protected] more about each SBC Podcast episode: https://smartbettingclub.com/the-smart-betting-club-podcast/ -
In this episode, SBC Editor, Peter Ling is joined by the CEO of the Gambling Commission, Andrew Rhodes for an exclusive interview on some of the crucial issues facing the UK betting market.
With so many important topics on the agenda from affordability checks to open banking through to bookmaker behaviour and the black market, there was lots to discuss.
Andrew sought to set out the Gambling Commission's stance on each of these topics - many of which have been the focus of extensive criticism across the betting sector, including from us here at SBC.
All told it's a fascinating chat and provides insight into his organisations approach to regulating the very challenging UK betting market in 2024.
(00:00) Introduction
(01:34) What does the Gambling Commission do?
(04:15) Andrew's personal betting
(06:17) Affordability Checks and the current state of play
(08:59) Checks - are they frictionless or not? Who will be affected?
(12:55) Public criticism of the Affordability Checks and Andrew's reaction to it
(16:42) Horse racing and the impact that checks could have on it
(18:50) Why is clarity on Affordability Checks taking so long?
(22:10) Can bookmakers be trusted? Didn't they get us here?
(25:35) Open Banking and more obtrusive checks
(29:34) Why Andrew thinks Affordability Checks are a viable solution
(34:37) ADVERT Event announcement - SmartBash!
(37:12) Open banking and its place in the industry
(39:00) The black market, its scale and the Gambling Commission's plan to tackle it
(47:35) China and international lessons that we can learn about the unregulated market
(50:44) Bookmaker behaviour in the regulated market
(54:54) Licence conditions and operators' transparency
(59:11) Social media criticism of The Gambling Commission
(01:02:28) Restrictions and why it's not in the Gambling Commission's remit
(01:03:16) The 2020 survey results
(01:03:55) A shift in dialogue from the Gambling Commission moving forward?Discover More:
Learn more on the Smart Betting Club and how we help winning bettors at https://smartbettingclub.com/ Gambling Commission: https://www.gamblingcommission.gov.uk/Podcast feedback and media enquiries - contact SBC on twitter @sbcinfo or [email protected] more about each SBC Podcast episode: https://smartbettingclub.com/the-smart-betting-club-podcast/ -
A short announcement about Smart Bash 2024 — an exclusive one-day gathering crafted by and for betting enthusiasts, set to take place at Chelsea Football Club on Friday, July 19th.
Learn more about this special event and how you can secure your tickets now in this short announcement podcast.
Get your tickets now at www.smart-bash.com
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With Cheltenham being centre stage at the time of recording, we discuss horse racing as a betting medium, with our personal experiences and recent ‘Black Market hullabaloo’ around the sport being touched upon. This feeds nicely into our latest Horse Racing Tipster Profit report, with Andy Holding, Sys Analyst and many more providing different angles into the market.
Next, we look at Oddschecker’s new ‘unlimited’ service and try to work out what’s going on at the UK’s leading odds comparison site. The introduction of a charge may also alter expectations on the detail expected when it comes to tipster records – we explain why.
Geoff Banks and a mysterious email take up the next portion of the show before we discuss Chasing Steamers and some very worrying reports around exchange balances disappearing from customers’ accounts.
To finish up, exchanges are on the agenda as we talk about BETDAQ, their offering and why it is worth shopping around, with some concerns about other operators’ practices raised on the back of a previous podcast.
We also managed to squeeze in a listener question as we thought that our response would be beneficial for everyone!
Learn more on the Smart Betting Club and how we help winning bettors at https://smartbettingclub.com/ Podcast feedback - contact SBC on twitter @sbcinfoRead more about each SBC Podcast episode: https://smartbettingclub.com/the-smart-betting-club-podcast/
(00:00) Intro
(00:50) Horse Racing – still viable as a betting medium?
(02:50) Bungling Black Market Bookies
(08:42) Horse Racing Tipster Profit Report: The very best evolving with the times
(14:30) Recent Podcasts – Pete ‘Michael Parkinson’ Ling
(15:45) Andy Holding Speed Figures – clocking the winners?
(18:08) Oddschecker Unlimited – what’s going on?
(21:30) What about Oddschecker’s tipster records?
(26:55) Geoff Banks
(32:58) Chasing Steamers
(34:55) Missing: what is going on with exchange balances?
(38:45) BETDAQ, introductory offers and tips on unique markets
(42:56) Exchanges and sustainable ecosystems
(46:20) Answering a listener question
Discover More -
Andy Holding is a genuine racing expert having operated at the sharp end of the racing world for over 2 decades. Starting out working in a bookmakers, he made the leap to being a professional punter at the age of 30 and in more recent years has become best known through his work tipping on the Oddschecker website and on William Hill Radio.
He also oversees his own Andy Holding Speed Figures website with colleagues Sam Turner and Andy Bate, which was the focal point of a recent in-depth SBC tipster review in February 2024 as we explored the service and tips on offer.
Using the data from his speed figures to highlight value bets for members of his service and via his Oddschecker column, Andy outlines how speed figures work, how he uses them and just why they are so useful to accurately pinpoint the relative strengths and weaknesses of a horse and when you should back it.
Alongside that, Andy also openly discusses his own betting, the issues facing the racing industry and most revealing of all - names the 4 major bookmakers that still use him as a 'mark' and allow him to get bets down with them. There are some names that might surprise you here!
We also get into his Oddschecker column, how he picks these bets and their performance, plus how he copes with the pressures of being a prominent tipster, especially during a bad run.
And for those of you listening to this ahead of the 2024 Cheltenham Festival, he picks out a trio of big value bets to follow and back.
Andy was a fascinating guest, full of insight on his specialist subject and with a long track record of beating the bookmaker.
(00:00) Intro
(02:12) Andy's grounding in racing (and betting)
(03:50) A mentor who changed everything
(04:28) Time!
(06:00) Going professional and how Andy 'got in' at the right time
(07:10) Opportunities that have arrived along the way
(10:35) Speed Figures and how they can provide an objective view
(14:30) Market reactions to speed figures and sectionals and how they are still underestimated
(17:00) The work that goes behind the scenes at Andy Holding Speed Figures
(20:10) Irish Racing and Andy's daily podcast
(22:10) Tipping for Andy Holding Speed Figures and Oddschecker (and the differences between the selections)
(26:25) Price contractions
(28:30) Dealing with losing runs as a tipster
(31:00) Andy's betting activity and how he gets on!
(33:00) The firms that Andy has a relationship with and restrictions that turn punters away
(37:40) Affordability Checks and Andy's thoughts on the future of horse racing
(40:55) Some tips from Andy for betting at Cheltenham (with some early selections!)
(44:40) General advice for betting on horse racing
(47:35) Andy's football allegiances!
(49:40) How to find Andy and a special SBC discountDiscover More:
Learn more on the Smart Betting Club and how we help winning bettors at https://smartbettingclub.com/ Andy Holding Speed Figures: https://andyholdingspeedfigures.co.uk/Andy Holding Speed Figures Twitter: https://twitter.com/figuresAndyAndy Holding Twitter: https://twitter.com/Holding_AndyAndy's Oddschecker page: https://www.oddschecker.com/tips/andy-holdingPodcast feedback - contact SBC on twitter @sbcinfo
Read more about each SBC Podcast episode: https://smartbettingclub.com/the-smart-betting-club-podcast/
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I have a very special guest for Episode 70 in the form of lawyer, Harry Stewart-Moore, who is a partner at the law firm Gardner Leader, with a speciality in cases in the betting industry. Harry regularly acts for some of the leading names in the gambling world in both High Court proceedings and before various sports regulatory panels.
With a preference to represent those on the punting side of things including many professional bettors in the past, Harry explained the type of cases he takes on and some of the issues and grievances brought before him.
Many of them do focus on bookmaker behaviour alongside issues created by the industry and its regulator, the Gambling Commission, about whom he has very many concerns as to the way they operate.
We also expand on the black market, its growth and the legal challenges that creates as well as why frictionless affordability checks just wont work and the problems with many bookmakers terms and conditions.
Nothing was off the agenda in this wide-reaching chat and Harry was a fascinating guest, happy to share his thoughts and experiences on all things betting from a legal perspective.
(00:00) Introducing Harry
(01:20) Harry's father's impact on his career choice (& love of gambling!)
(02:44) Gambling and what Harry has learnt working with successful gamblers
(03:45) Cases, clients and the life of a gambling lawyer
(06:30) The increase in punter vs. bookmaker cases and the possible reasons for this
(07:32) The most common disputes that Harry deals with
(09:40) The lengths that bookmakers will go to to avoid paying liabilities
(12:55) The anatomy of a gambling dispute case
(13:47) AML and other regulatory checks and how bookmakers weaponise them
(19:15) The Gambling Commission
(22:50) The National Lottery & the Gambling Commission's attitude towards it
(25:50)The regulatory future in the UK & the growth of the black market
(30:50) Criminal elements' hold on certain gambling jurisdictions
(32:15) The law and how it relates to black market betting
(34:50) The White Paper and Harry's take on 'frictionless' affordability checks
(40:45) How issues with law and regulation keep reappearing
(41:12) The competitive advantage that major firms have when dealing with onerous checks and regulation
(44:00) IBAS, eCogra and how dispute resolution services just aren't working
(46:30) Bookmaker Terms and Conditions and how some are drafted to shaft punters
(48:30) How treating 'skilled' and casino/fixed odds betting differently could well help with regulation and dealing with problem gambling
(55:50) How to access Harry's legal expertise!
Discover More:
Learn more on the Smart Betting Club and how we help winning bettors at https://smartbettingclub.com/ Harry at Gardner Leader: https://www.gardner-leader.co.uk/team_members/harry-stewart-moore-2/Harry on Twitter @HarryStewartMo1Podcast feedback - contact SBC on twitter @sbcinfoRead more about each SBC Podcast episode: https://smartbettingclub.com/the-smart-betting-club-podcast/ -
(00:00) Introduction
(01:30) Pete and Josh's plans for 2024: slight alterations or major changes?
(03:40) Social Media Affiliates: a murky world with questionable vested interests
(13:10) Social Media Tipsters: BOOM! A bit of fun or predatory?
(17:20) Account Agent: SBC's new free service that helps maintain bookmaker accounts
(23:10) Golf Betting: our second place curse in 2024!
(25:20) Golf Betting Club: SBC's new Premium Service with an excellent in-play edge
(27:10) New Magazine Format: Monthly updates with everything all in one place
(29:25) BetInAsia & Broker Options: Pete's experiences getting the best prices from across the major exchanges
Part 2: An Interview with the Head of Exchange at Matchbook
(31:35) Introducing Ronan McDonagh from Matchbook
(31:50) Recent developments at the Matchbook Exchange: Building products bit-by-bit
(34:40) Matchbook's focus on the 'personal touch' and how they have looked to grow market share
(36:50) Horse Racing: Liquidity, pricing & what the data tells us (& scandalous Industry SPs!)
(41:25) Established players trading on Matchbook: Why big fish are swimming in the Matchbook pond
(45:25) Football (we refuse to call it soccer!); liquidity, secondary markets, growth areas and multiples
(48:27) American Sports: Matchbook's 'bread and butter' and how they compete in the market
(49:28) Golf Betting: Liquidity differentials across tours, popular products and massive bets (on Denny McCarthy!)
(52:45) The Regulatory Environment: AML, SOW & affordability checks and how Matchbook want to balance customer service with their licensing requirements
(57:24) Winners: How Matchbook negotiate with customers individually rather than apply arbitrary commission rates on winning punters' action
(59:50) 150-days on Matchbook commission free for SBC Podcast listeners! -
In Episode 68, I welcomed back to the podcast, brothers Duncan and Neil Campbell to talk about their continued ability to make a profit from betting on golf.
Operating together as 'Golf Betting Club', they talk me through how they use their extensive experience, nous and ability to find profitable edges not just from pre-tournament bets but also crucially - in play betting.
It is this unique and often overlooked in play angle - betting during the 4 days of a tournament (or 3 for Liv Golf) that sets them apart from many other golf punters and tipsters and they share plenty of insight into how exactly they use it to turn a profit.
We also get into the operation of their successful service, from tipping late into strong markets on a Wednesday, betting with exchanges and using and settling to fair odds and terms that everyone can obtain at scalable stakes.
Neil and Duncan also outline their take on the changes in the golf world at the moment following Jon Rahm's move to Liv golf and why all this uncertainty can ultimately be a long-term positive from a betting perspective.
(00:00) Introducing the Golf Betting Club
(01:55) About Duncan & Neil - their dynamic, how they balance betting & tipping with other work and balancing work and life with a time consuming business
(04:48) Watching tournaments to find value and keep abreast of player performance
(07:54) Getting on, exchanges and the challenges of backing value once you have found it
(08:40) Place terms, the timing of bets and balancing value with attainability for members
(11:10) Tipsters betting on Mondays and how GBC's approach is different with 'Best', 'Tracked' and 'Minimum' prices all provided for their subscribers
(13:30) Betting in-play and why the Campbells often prefer it over pre-tournament action
(14:39) Exotic markets, 3-balls and the edges available outside of the core markets
(15:53) How player profiling can help with in-play betting, especially for those players consistently disrespected by the markets
(22:47) Reflecting on performance, planned improvements and changes in the golf betting markets
(24:35) LIV, The PGA Tour, The DPWT and how the politics of golf may well offer up betting opportunities
(28:51) Statistics, popular metrics and how the Campbells have their own approaches to assessing players, especially when they play on different tours
(31:08) Pre-event vs. in play & using the first round to gauge whether a player makes the shortlist
(33:39) Variance, losing runs and dealing with this (as both tipsters and punters)
(35:48) Where to find GBC and how to access their content (much of which is free!)
(37:25) Predictions for 2024 and beyond
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Join Golf Betting Club via SBC and save up to £50 on membership https://smartbettingclub.com/golf-betting-club/Learn more on the Smart Betting Club and how we help winning bettors at https://smartbettingclub.com/ Podcast feedback - contact SBC on twitter @sbcinfoRead more about each SBC Podcast episode: https://smartbettingclub.com/the-smart-betting-club-podcast/Watch a video of this interview on the SBC YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/SmartBettingClub -
Episode 67 is a Golf Betting Special, where SBC Editor Pete, was joined by 3 guests in the form of Rowan and Josh from SBC alongside Tom Brownlee from Bookie Bashing to explore his service's exceptional Golf Tracker Tool.
With a track record of success dating back several years - the Golf Tracker provides edges for those of you able to bet with bookmakers each way and as we explore for the first time in this podcast - also betting win only via the exchanges.
The logic being that it will appeal to all of you - whether able to bet unrestricted via soft bookmakers, where it has a ROI in excess of 30% OR if limited and closed down, you can try it out betting win only with the exchanges. The record to date for that is quite ridiculous at over 50% ROI since 2019.
As all 4 of us on this podcast bet extensively on golf, we also outline our own strategies, what we do, how we do it, when and where we bet and tips to maximise your edge.
Even if you don't like the sport of golf, the reality is golf betting is where many top punters invest their time and this special hour long pod will help to explain how you can too.
EPISODE BREAKDOWN
'Cliff golfers' - those who have cost us the most but who we dare not leave off our shortlists!How we bet on golf, including shops, online soft bookmakers, exchanges and even Fantasy GolfHow the Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker worksOdds ranges, 'sweet spots' and which bands of odds can deliver massive profits from placesTiming, bookmaker profiling and when we bet to balance every considerationLesser known bookmakers and exploring firms not on the Oddschecker gridWin only betting - why the tracker finds value (if it does!)Quirks in the data between different toursDrawdowns, tempering expectations and finding strategies that match individual risk appetitesDiscover More:
Learn more on the Smart Betting Club and how we help winning bettors at https://smartbettingclub.com/ Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker: https://www.bookiebashing.net/how-it-works/golf-tracker/Weekly Golf Value: https://smartbettingclub.com/weekly-golf-value/Podcast feedback - contact SBC on twitter @sbcinfoRead more about each SBC Podcast episode: https://smartbettingclub.com/the-smart-betting-club-podcast/ -
In episode 66 I was joined by Chris Poole, currently the Director of Trading for Bet Victor and someone with a vast amount of experience working in the betting industry.
Rising up the ranks from betting shop cashier to his current role, he spoke candidly about the reality of trading in the modern betting world and dealing with issues like affordability checks and his dislike of concessions like Best Odds Guaranteed.
He also expanded on what happened with the Guaranteed Bet market that Bet Victor tried out a few years back, why it was introduced and the issues it attracted for Bet Victor, specifically with large scale betting syndicates who took advantage of it and ruined it for others. For those of you frustrated by account restrictions and closures, it provides rare insight from a bookmaking perspective on why such ventures can be a real struggle and why as yet, a Minimum Bet Guarantee has not been a workable concept.
As an experienced trader on horse racing, Chris discussed the role of inside information, including the very big coup 2 years ago, which nearly claimed a huge win at Bet Victor's expense and saw him front and centre discussing it with the national media.
Chris is perhaps best known by many of you for his amusing Tweets, including his Trumpet Emoji calling out those who 'Aftertime' and put up winners after the event. He also was happy to talk about one quite famous 'Aftertiming' Twitter account he was involved in and which caused quite a stir a few years back.
Chris was a fantastic, talkative and insightful guest - happy to discuss frankly the reality of bookmaking in 2023 and its ups and downs. My thanks go to him for speaking so openly and frankly! Make sure you follow him on Twitter: https://twitter.com/ChrisPoole___
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Learn more on the Smart Betting Club and how we help winning bettors at https://smartbettingclub.com/ Chris Poole on Twitter: @ChrisPoole__Podcast feedback - contact SBC on twitter @sbcinfoRead more about each SBC Podcast episode: https://smartbettingclub.com/the-smart-betting-club-podcast/ -
In this new Betting Clever episode, Pete and Josh from the Smart Betting Club unpack a whole host of topics of note for those of us who enjoy betting, kicking off with the latest on the affordability nonsense that is dominating matters currently. The knock on effect of that has been growth in the black market, which we explore and just how betting is going further underground at the moment.
They also unpack the motivations and flaws from many popular free tipsters and betting experts such as Tony Calvin from Betfair, who has come in for criticism recently about his form, yet for them the issues with him and others of his ilk lie elsewhere.
With the launch of a new bookmaker in BetMGM recently, they also discuss just why they have opened in the UK, who's behind it all and how to take advantage of some of the profit boosts they are offering to customers. They are ideal for bankroll growth for those of you looking to generate some easy wins.
They also tackle the crazy profit figures they have seen first-hand from a tipster purporting to have inside information. An ROI of 88% from 700 bets backs that up and despite both Pete and Josh being entirely cynical on this concept of such insider bets, they have had to put their hands up and say - there could be something here. Alongside that they also outline the more straightforward profits being made by service such as Chasing Steamers, Winner Odds and the free expert, HeadStart Racing.
The goal of this podcast is to help you with your betting and provide opinions, insight and expertise you might not get elsewhere.
(00:00) Intro - the return of the Betting Clever podcast
(01:40) Josh goes too far after golf wins & we discuss our betting routines?
(04:05) Politics & Betting - Affordability & The Gambling Commission
(11:56) Pete's experience of the Black Market
(16:05) Industry Big Wigs, Naive Regulations & Useless Beaureaucrats
(19:80) Bet MGM
(23:42) Tony Calvin, tipping early & free tipsters
(29:00) Making money on European Basketball on Pinnacle
(33:20) Inside Information- Pete & Josh's cynicism & being pleasantly surprised
(39:47) Chasing Steamers - the perfect bank builder
(48:45) Getting ahead of the bookies with a new Free TipsterDiscover More:
Gamblers Consumer Forum: https://gamblersconsumerforum.com/BetMGM Profit Boosts: https://www.betmgm.co.uk/promotionsChasing Steamers: https://smartbettingclub.com/blog/chasing-steamers-review/Winner Odds: https://smartbettingclub.com/blog/winner-odds-sbc-betting-record-and-guide/Headstart Racing: https://smartbettingclub.com/headstart-racing/To sign up for a SBC Membership click here: https://smartbettingclub.com/subscribe/Podcast feedback - contact SBC on twitter @sbcinfoRead more about each SBC Podcast episode: https://smartbettingclub.com/the-smart-betting-club-podcast/ -
I have a fascinating guest in Episode 64 in the form of Nick Goff who has been a professional football bettor for the past 7 years. Nick works as part of a football betting syndicate and is one of a group of experts who bet and win extensively on the beautiful game.
Now it's really rare to get the kind of insight that Nick reveals in today's pod as big football bettors and groups tend to be quite secretive in their nature - Think Tony Bloom's Starlizard syndicate as just one example of this.
So what Nick shares is really insightful and a rare peek behind the curtain of what it's like to be in the top echelon of football punting including the leagues and markets they target, when they bet, how often and just how they get on.
Nick also explains his own angle as regards Antepost betting and just how he maximises value and manages his bankroll throughout a football season to find very big edges to exploit.
As someone with a extensive history in the industry - Nick previously was the head of Football Trading at Coral, he also shares plenty on other topics of note from the current state of betting such as affordability checks, the Black market & the Minimum Bet Law concept.
I really enjoyed chatting with Nick and learning about his work at the sharp end of the betting world and I think you will too. My thanks to Nick for being so candid and for sharing his time with me.
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Learn more on the Smart Betting Club and how we help winning bettors at https://smartbettingclub.com/ Nick Goff on Twitter: @nickgoff79Podcast feedback - contact SBC on twitter @sbcinfoRead more about each SBC Podcast episode: https://smartbettingclub.com/the-smart-betting-club-podcast/ -
In this episode, I had the pleasure of talking to Stephen Harris, a vastly experienced bettor and bookmaker with a speciality on both greyhounds and jumps racing.
Learn more on the Smart Betting Club and how we help winning bettors at https://smartbettingclub.com/ Betting Expert Horse Racing: https://www.bettingexpert.com/news/horse-racingStephen Harris on Twitter: https://twitter.com/Stephenh61Podcast feedback - contact SBC on twitter @sbcinfoRead more about each SBC Podcast episode: https://smartbettingclub.com/the-smart-betting-club-podcast/
Starting out life as a bookmaker at the age of 20 taking bets on dogs, Stephen walks me through his early years on track, through to his time working at Sporting Index with some of the sharpest minds going, before his current role providing content and tips for Betting Expert.
Along the way Stephen has learnt plenty on how the betting world works including who makes it pay and how, whether it be punting on course or online with both bookies and exchanges. Its through the latter where Stephen bets exclusively these days and he has plenty to share on how the betting markets now operate and the importance of adapting and evolving as a punter to survive.
He also has some strong thoughts on the current mess surrounding affordability, the motivations of those at the Gambling Commission, through to how easy it is these days to bet into the black market.
We also touch on his work at Betting Expert and his superb Free Value Angle column and its edge and educational approach.
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