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The Next 10 Years: Climate Change, AI, and the Future of Business and Economics
In this presentation, I dive into the major changes and developments I anticipate over the next decade. Two monumental waves impacting our future are #climatechange which poses urgent challenges but also presents unprecedented business opportunities in green technology; and the rise of #artificialintelligence , transforming industries and everyday life. I present breakthrough innovations in battery technology and recycling, discuss the creation of new jobs in AI / IA, and the significant investments directed towards climate technology. The inevitable shift away from fossil fuels and the role of AI in automating routine tasks are highlighted. It's not the end of work, it's the end of routines.
The talk also touches on the importance of foresight, the challenges of global collaboration, and the potential of emerging technologies like quantum computing and genetic engineering. The convergence of the digital, sustainability, and purpose revolutions is emphasized, along with the moral and ethical considerations of these developments. Ultimately, the discussion focuses on the need for sustainable capitalism, the changing job market, and the importance of independent human knowledge in a rapidly evolving world.
You can watch my complete presentation on *The Next 10 years* at Repic's 20th anniversary and AGM in London on July 9, 2024 on YouTube here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EtK1pQU0MTk
@repicltd3678 thanks for sharing this presentation! Thanks to @ZeusFilmsUK for the support. -
In this special edit of a recent interview with Ana Rita Guerra, I discuss the potential arrival of artificial general intelligence (AGI) within five to seven years, while highlighting the benefits of intelligent assistance for practical tasks such as emissions control, protein folding, and translation, which can significantly boost efficiency and economic impact.
However, I express concern about the societal and policy challenges posed by AGI, including over-dependence, disinformation, and job displacement. Drawing comparisons to the development of nuclear technology, I advocate for an AGI non-proliferation agreement and regulation to ensure responsible use of AGI. I conclude with cautious optimism for technological solutions to global issues but express pessimism about achieving the necessary global collaboration.
You can watch it here on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FzJwtOF18xg
The Future of AI: Benefits, Risks, and the Urgent Need for Regulation
Have a look at www.haltagi.com -
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This is the full version of my special livestreamed event on Artificial General Intelligence / AGI on July 18 and 19, 2024
You can watch it on YouTube here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W3dRQ7QZ_wc
Watch the edited (Q&A) version with @LondonFuturists David Wood on YouTube here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yYyTIky2MLc&t=0s
In this special livestreamed event I outlined my arguments that while IA (Intelligent Assistance) and some forms of narrow AI may well be quite beneficial to humanity, the idea of building AGIs, i.e., 'generally intelligent digital entities' (as set forth by Sam Altman / #openai and others) represents an existential risk that IMHO should not be undertaken or self-governed by private enterprises, multinational corporations or venture-capital funded startups.
I believe we need an AGI-Non-Proliferation-Agreement. I outline what the difference between IA/AI and AGI or ASI (superintelligence) is, why it matters and how we could go about it.
IA /AI yes *but with clear rules, standards, and guardrails. AGI: NO, unless we're all on the same page.
Who will be Mission Control for humanity? -
This is an edited version of our livestream Q&A sessions with my guest David Wood on July 18 and 19, 2024.
@LondonFuturists ' David Wood joined me as special guest on this live-show. Thank you!
You can also watch it on my YouTube channel here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yYyTIky2MLc or the whole thing here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W3dRQ7QZ_wc
In this special livestream event, I outlined my arguments that while IA (Intelligent Assistance) and some forms of narrow AI may well be quite beneficial to humanity, the idea of building AGIs i.e. 'generally intelligent digital entities' (as set forth by Sam Altman / #openai and others) represents an existential risk that imho should not be undertaken or self-governed by private enterprises, multinational corporations or venture-capital funded startups.
So: IA /AI yes *but with clear rules, standards, and guardrails. AGI: NO, unless we're all on the same page.
l explain why I believe we need an AGI-Non-Proliferation-Agreement, what the difference between IA/AI and AGI or ASI (superintelligence) is, why it matters and how we could go about it. -
This is my entire keynote at MODEX 2024 in Atlanta https://www.modexshow.com/
Thanks to @poweredbymhi and MODEX for making the video available - you can watch it on YouTube here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bQXaahnX1Qc
As we step into a future powered by #artificialintelligence we find ourselves at a crossroads. In this talk, I explain that the key to harnessing the full potential of AI isn't in replicating human consciousness (aka achieving GI) but in using it as a powerful tool to enhance our capabilities, improve efficiency, and innovate. It's competence, not consciousness.
AI is already transforming most industries via predictive analytics, automation and over #cognification. Yet, with this great power comes great responsibility. We must safeguard our data, address AI biases, and ensure its ethical use to protect what makes us human.
Contrary to the widespread fears of job displacement, history shows that new technology usually creates new opportunities and enriches human work. Moreover, tackling challenges like climate change requires both technological solutions and human empathy. AI offers innovative ways to manage resources and foster sustainable practices, paving the way for a greener future.
In the realm of supply chain management, AI's capabilities are game-changers, offering efficiency and insight that drive smarter, data-driven decisions. This collaboration between humans and AI isn't about competition but about partnership and progress, guided by ethical principles and by wise policies.
The future we're moving towards is one where AI supports our endeavors, enhancing our lives and work without replacing the unique qualities that define us. By embracing AI thoughtfully, we can build a future that's not just technologically advanced but also humane and inclusive. -
In this hard-hitting presentation at IBM's Tech Recognition event in Dubai, March 5 & 6, 2024, I discuss the critical importance of optimism about the future, not because we have fewer problems, but because our enhanced capabilities to solve them through technology AND the right policies and ethical frameworks.
I delve into the potential and perils of technological advancements like artificial intelligence, and biotechnology, underscoring the necessity of contemplating their ethical implications and societal impacts.
Thanks to IBM for making this video available!
You can watch the whole thing on YouTube here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=apiZm7NLSJM -
Last week, I was interviewed for the PITCH: Brand&Content show that aired on @CNNPortugal on January 6, 2024, produced by @Pitch-brand-and-content (great job, btw). Thanks to Creart.pt for inviting me to be a part of this show.
You can watch it on YouTube here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oBKKjUu-dsM
00:22 The Three Revolutions: Digital, Green, and Human (Pink/Purple)
01:04 The Role of Europe in Leading into The Good Future
01:11 The Dangers of #artificialintelligence and the Need for Containment
02:19 The Power of Trust and Collaboration in Shaping the Future
04:17 The Emergence of a Better Future: Technology, Regulation, and Happiness
This year marks a pivotal moment for humanity as we face the convergence of three monumental revolutions: The digital revolution (big blue) has become almost synonymous with artificial intelligence, driving profound transformations across all aspects of our lives. It could be heaven or it could be hell.
Simultaneously, the green, #sustainability revolution will gain dramatic momentum in 2024 as societies move decisively towards sustainability, deeply circular practices, and a much more profound commitment to the environment. No company can afford to ignore this global shift towards greener thinking.
Lastly, the third revolution, “Big Pink” (better ...Big Purple) underscores the importance of human agency and purpose. IMHO, #europe stands poised to lead the charge in embracing sustainability and prioritizing the existential importance of human intelligence and agency.
In #2024, the central question before us is whether we really should sacrifice our humanity, skills, #freewill and human agency for the elusive allure of efficiency and rapid technological progress... I'll have a few things to say about that:)) -
I think this is one of my best talks, yet - on artificial intelligence and the future of business, commerce and society, also touching on my key the good future people planet purpose prosperity memes.
A powerful talk on the impact and future of artificial intelligence, discussing the evolution and the potential of AI, the risk of #artificialgeneralintelligence - surpassing human intelligence, and the need for regulatory bodies overseeing the development and application of AGI.
He emphasizes the necessity to keep humanity at the forefront of all AI-related decisions and warns about the implications of becoming too reliant on technology. Gerd also shares his thoughts about a prosperous future, which can be achieved if technology serves to complement, not replace, human capabilities.
You can watch the whole speech on YouTube here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zYCjoYz7OrA
We used 7 different LED screens on this amazing stage, at @fortinet 2023 Convergence in Monte Carlo - https://events.fortinet.com/convergence2023monaco -
This is the first in a new series of interviews we shot in November 2023 in Lanzarote, Canary Islands on The Good Future.
I cover the geopolitical shifts, technological advancements, and an evolving mindset towards sustainability that we can expect by 2030.
You can watch is on YouTube https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fR0JlP3vm_A. Thanks to @Rask_ai, It's also dubbed in German, Indonesian, Portuguese and Spanish. Subtitles coming soon.
1) A Shifting Geopolitical Landscape
2) The Rise of the Sustainable Economy
3) The Different Mindset of Millennials
4) The Exponential Power of Technology
I am aware of the practical challenges we face today, such as water scarcity, food security, and energy production. Solving these issues is crucial for sustainable growth. Fortunately, technological advancements offer solutions that can help tackle these challenges. It will be essential to find a balance between economic progress and environmental preservation.
As we approach 2030, a mixture of chaos, confusion, and powerful new opportunities await us. By acknowledging and addressing the practical challenges ahead while striving for sustainable growth, we can navigate this complex future and create a better world for generations to come -
- Here is a really special keynote from this year's Capgemini Spark 2023 event hosted by CapgeminiGlobal.
- a huge thanks to Cap Gemini for inviting me, and for making this video available.
In this super-wide screen presentation (I now call them superkeynote) I make my argument on:
- why the future is better than we think
- how we can get there.
- I cover my key topics such as The Good Future, Technology vs Humanity, and of course, Artificial Intelligence.
You can also watch my speech on YouTube here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z90NSSXUfgs&t=99s, which is not only in English, but also dubbed in:
- German: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ln-CX7fy2go&t=0s
- Spanish: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SB2DpcEv4_s&t=0s
- Portuguese: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_KufSMaQLLs&t=0s -
On October 12, 2023, I gave this fast-moving and immersive keynote at the Innovation Day of the International Training Center of the ILO (International Labor Organisation, a UN organisation) in Turin, Italy.
The event explored AI’s impact on human resources and learning development.
- In my talk I spoke about the 3 revolutions (digital, sustainable, purpose)
- The difference between HI (Human Intelligence) and AI, ChatGPT and generative ai
- The impact of exponential technologies on work, education and labor policies
- Why the future is better than we think
- How to develop a future mindset, and much more.
You can watch it on YouTube here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PzfGNf5OLM4. It's dubbed in Italian, and has EN and DE subtitles. -
Listen to my complete keynote at the VI Nobel Fest 2023 in Astana, Kazakhstan on the future of humanity, artificial intelligence and of The Good Future.
You can watch it on YouTube here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RNclSCfqd9s
Some of my key messages in this speech are:
- The next 10 years will bring more change than the previous 100 years. We'll see 6 King-Makers: AI, quantum computing, nuclear fusion, synthetic biology, genome editing and geo-engineering.
- Technology can be heaven or hell - it's our job to make sure it's mostly heaven #digitalethics - and this is crucial when we talk about AI!
- Imagine if the social media disaster is further amplified by perfect disinformation and fake news that generative AI excels?
- We will have all the tools (science and technology) - but will we have the Telos?
- If we roll out AI and AGI just to fuel more profit and growth, things will not end well for us-
- Embrace the 3 revolutions: The Digital (info tech, biotech, energy / climate tech, and AI tech), the Sustainability, and the Purpose Revolution.
More information on the VI Nobel Fest, go to https://nobel-fest.org/6en
- Photo credit: VI Nobel Fest 2023 -
This is season 2, episode #5 of The World by 2030 presented by me and fellow futurist Anton Musgrave (futureworld.org), on the future of work, jobs, training, education and the impact of artificial intelligence.
I've said in the past, “If you work like a robot, a robot will take your job” and “If your job is 80% routine, then you're in trouble"... But imagine if the whole world is “smart”?
In episode 5 of season 2, Anton and I explore what the future of work, jobs, training, education and the impact of artificial intelligence might look like by 2030. Anton asks: how do we play with these (AI) things and understand their potential and capabilities and then, then add another layer of deep human insight and value to the equation?
You can also watch our discussion on YouTube here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1pfQStGdDmw
Be sure to have a look at my AI-related talks and videos at https://www.futuristgerd.com/aiplaylist for more. -
This is an edited and overall improved version of my keynote at Gencat / ACCIO's Cluster Day 2023 in Barcelona.
You can watch the original version on YouTube here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yAiGZrhQcwQ&t=0s
Beyond an era full of changes, we are living through a change of era. Faced with a context that advances very quickly and that forces us to create agile teams to be more competitive, in the framework of Cluster Day 2023, I explained the characteristics which leaders must have today.
The key to a good future? Invest in People, Planet, Purpose, and Prosperity. I reflect on the 3 revolutions of our era: digital, sustainability and purpose.
Download this video at https://vimeo.com/storiesfromthefuture/clusterday?share=copy
NEW: Spanish Overdub Version! https://youtu.be/4aIiMEHnO1k?si=nUytxjyK7n54dW8n
Més enllà d’una època plena de canvis, vivim un canvi d’època. Davant un context que avança molt ràpid i que ens obliga a crear equips àgils per poder ser més competitius, en el marc del Cluster Day 2023, Gerd Leonhard va exposar les característiques que ha de tenir un líder a dia d'avui.
La clau per a un bon futur? Invertir en Persones, Planeta, Propòsit i Prosperitat. L'autoanomenat optimista futurista i humanista, va dedicar una hora a reflexionar sobre les 3 revolucions de la nostra era: digital, sostenibilitat i la revolució del propòsit. -
This is an edited version of my June 10, 2023, TEDx talk in Cluj, Romania, with improved sound and various oohs and ahs removed using the amazing @Descript app. The original TEDx version is here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B1Fx8LKgQ70&t=0s.
I presented a riveting talk on the future of technology, artificial intelligence, jobs, work, and education. In this talk, I outlines why too much of a good thing (such as exponential technologies) can be a very bad thing, and ask the key question: Who will be Mission Control for humanity? How do we make sure that all technology results in collective human flourishing?
You can watch the edited version on YouTube here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OhHsaz8hxmA&t=15s -
LookUpNow (LuN) premiered on August 21, 2023 and is a riveting 24-minute film featuring #Futurist Gerd Leonhard as host, guide and narrator.
Directed and co-written by Emmy-award winning producer Christopher Sean Nolan. It is the first episode in a series of films on AI and the future of humanity currently being developed by Gerd and Chris.
For ENG, ES and PT captions, click on the CAPTIONS button:)
In the film, Gerd sets forth that we should embrace Artificial Intelligence and harness its positive potentials while at the same time we must urgently consider and address its negative side-effects and unintended externalities. We must use AI as a powerful tool but not let it become a purpose on its own. AI should be used to help us to bring about what Gerd calls #thegoodfuture, not to replace humans, or to whittle away what makes us human, or to enable a synthetic, machine-led society.
LuN explains why we should welcome smart machines but not seek to build generally intelligent artificial entities (AGIs) – because with digital intelligences, it’s competence that matters, not consciousness (quoting Professor Stuart Russell).
Watch it on YouTube here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mEr9MDyMfKc and for more details at www.lookupnow.tv
More AI talks by Gerd: https://www.futuristgerd.com/AIYT
#lookupnowthefilm
#techvshuman
Thank you to:
Executive producer, host and narrator: Gerd Leonhard
Directed by Chris Sean Nolan
Written by Gerd Leonhard and Chris Sean Nolan
Edited by Chris Sean Nolan and Sylvain Collet
Cinematography: Jeremy Holi (Studio Chamberlain)
Assistant Camera: Julien Zanin
Music licensed via Musicbed:
PENDULUM THEORY - Fixation
TONY ANDERSON - Freefall
HAMMOCK - Tether of Yearning
TONY ANDERSON - Retour
JUDAH EARL - Before the Dawn
WHY WE WANDER - Train Departure
TONY ANDERSON - All is Not Lost
DAVID A. MOLINA - Open Scroll
RYAN TAUBERT - Marvel
TONY ANDERSON - After the Storm
ELY EIRA - Out Of The Shadows
RYAN TAUBERT - Frenzy -
This is an excerpt from a my recent Interview with @singularityu.
Go to https://youtu.be/kP0OR6lE9sU for the entire show
- Technology is not what we seek but how we seek.
- Embrace technology but don't become it.
- The more we connect with technology the more we must protect what makes us human.
- Logic alone is not enough. -
This is my entire keynote at EIT Manufacturing Days 2023 in Vienna, on May 31, 2023.
See https://www.eitmanufacturing.eu/news-events/events/manufacturing-day/. I cover topics such as the 3 Revolutions (digital, sustainable, purpose), the 4 exponential tech booms (info tech, biotech, climate tech, AI tech), and the future of #artificialintelligence.
You can also watch is on YouTube here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4mjshMVkypc -
As part of my ongoing #gerdtalks series, I had a great chat with fellow keynote speaker and business philosopher @AndersIndset about his book “Quantum Economy”, and our views of what's ahead. There are some great morsels in this talk so... dive in!
You can watch the whole thing on YouTube here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DKqfWnqedL8
More about Anders and the Quantum Economy https://thequantumeconomy.com/ and https://andersindset.com/
More about this series: www.gerdtalks.com -
This is the recording of my entire keynote at GTDC's EMEA summit in Noordwijk, Netherlands, on June 14, 2023 - see https://gtdc.org/events/2023-gtdc-sum
In this wide-ranging talk, I discuss the future of IT, including #artificialintelligence, and how organizations can leverage the power of technology for the greater good.
Download via https://vimeo.com/845213479 or you can watch it on YouTube here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0RUntC_fi-A - Mehr anzeigen
