Folgen
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Do you need to buy risky stocks to double your money (in dollars) over five years, or can you get the job done with US-based blue chips?
In this episode of Magic Markets, we used Goldman Sachs and United Health as examples of stalwarts in their respective industries that have delivered excellent returns to shareholders. As good examples of buy-and-forget stocks, learning about these companies helps with offshore portfolio construction.
Episode 172 of Magic Markets is brought to you by Future Forex. Listen to Episode 170 for a detailed discussion with co-founder and CEO Harry Scherzer on why South Africans shouldn’t allow their annual offshore investment allowances to go to waste, with crypto arbitrage offering an interesting boost to returns.
Future Forex SA (Pty) Ltd is a registered financial services provider, FSP number 51884.
Magic Markets is your ticket to understanding the global stock opportunities available to you. If our free shows pique your interest, the deep dives and a vast library of research into international companies in Magic Markets Premium will do wonders for your knowledge of the markets. Subscribe for just R99/month at this link with no minimum monthly commitment.
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Foot Locker and Nike: friends, but also enemies. Foot Locker is Nike’s customer, yet Foot Locker’s customers are also Nike’s customers. Nike’s customers are Foot Locker’s customers.
As you can see, there’s only one way to describe the relationship status here: complicated.
Foot Locker has been the love-to-hate stock that value investors sometimes dip into. Nike has been a growth investor favourite, yet the stock really hasn’t done well either.
Is the balance of power in this industry shifting back in favour of wholesalers? If so, what could it mean for these companies?
Episode 171 of Magic Markets is brought to you by Future Forex. Listen to Episode 170 for a detailed discussion with co-founder and CEO Harry Scherzer on why South Africans shouldn’t allow their annual offshore investment allowances to go to waste, with crypto arbitrage offering an interesting boost to returns.
Future Forex SA (Pty) Ltd is a registered financial services provider, FSP number 51884.
Magic Markets is your ticket to understanding the global stock opportunities available to you. If our free shows pique your interest, the deep dives and a vast library of research into international companies in Magic Markets Premium will do wonders for your knowledge of the markets. Subscribe for just R99/month at this link with no minimum monthly commitment.
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Fehlende Folgen?
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Harry Scherzer (co-founder and CEO of Future Forex) is back on Magic Markets to update us on the crypto arbitrage opportunity that Future Forex offers to clients.
Having processed more than R22 billion on behalf of clients since inception, Future Forex has recently been approved as one of South Africa’s first CASPs (crypto asset service providers), giving further legitimacy to their crypto arbitrage investment’s exceptional track record.
The allowance to invest capital offshore is available to all South Africans every year, yet very few take advantage of the full R11 million available. Crypto arbitrage is an incredibly helpful way to boost your portfolio returns each year, which is why Harry believes that every South African individual should strongly consider this low-risk, high-return opportunity.
Future Forex SA (Pty) Ltd is a registered financial services provider, FSP number 51884.
Magic Markets is your ticket to understanding the global stock opportunities available to you. If our free shows pique your interest, the deep dives and a vast library of research into international companies in Magic Markets Premium will do wonders for your knowledge of the markets. Subscribe for just R99/month at this link with no minimum monthly commitment.
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Accenture and FactSet are great examples of US-listed companies that service a global client base. In the case of Accenture in particular, that client base is immense. FactSet is far more focused, with a product that will be familiar to those working in financial markets.
Both companies have had a disappointing start to the year, falling victim to a market slowdown. Having covered these groups before in Magic Markets Premium, we felt that a relook based on latest numbers was appropriate.
The Finance Ghost dealt with Accenture, a core long in his portfolio. With a strategy built around both organic and inorganic growth, the company is using a dip in client demand as a good time to ramp up bolt-on acquisitions in the market. This is building a stronger group for the next upswing.
Mohammed Nalla covered FactSet, where the group has been transitioning towards annual subscriptions. There’s some concerning growth guidance there, although margins have at least been sustained for now. And of course, there are AI-related initiatives underway as well!
Magic Markets is your ticket to understanding the global stock opportunities available to you. If our free shows pique your interest, the deep dives and a vast library of research into international companies in Magic Markets Premium will do wonders for your knowledge of the markets. Subscribe for just R99/month at this link with no minimum monthly commitment.
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FedEx and Lululemon have both been covered and recapped on Magic Markets Premium before. We love circling back and revisiting companies that we’ve researched before, as the feedback loop is so important when testing how an investment thesis played out.
The Finance Ghost tackled Lululemon, one of the very best apparel stories on the market. Even the market darlings can take a knock though, with a slowdown in US sales driving a nasty drop in the share price. Is the business broken, or is this just a short-term wobbly?
Mohammed Nalla covered FedEx, starting with how the technical indicators played out vs. what we indicated in our research. He then worked through the segmental performance to bring us up to date on company performance.
Magic Markets is your ticket to understanding the global stock opportunities available to you. If our free shows pique your interest, the deep dives and a vast library of research into international companies in Magic Markets Premium will do wonders for your knowledge of the markets. Subscribe for just R99/month at this link with no minimum monthly commitment.
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For those who have been with us since the very beginning of Magic Markets, Moe’s blue hoodie is back! Well, a blue hoodie is back, even if it’s not the same one as before.
Justine Brophy is also back, bringing us the latest thinking from AnBro Capital Investments. As is usually the case, these are growth stocks that almost certainly aren’t on your radar. Investing in these stocks requires deep research, sensible position sizing and an appreciation of the valuation metrics used in this space.
In this show, he took us through Madrigal (the company that has won the “MASH dash”) and Myomo, a neurological mobility company. If you enjoy learning about new companies and sectors of the market that you haven’t looked at before, then you’ll absolutely love listening to Brophy talking about these stocks with us.
Episode 167 of Magic Markets is brought to you by AnBro Capital Investments, an authorised Financial Services Provider FSP number 48371.
As always, you must do your own research. This podcast is for informational purposes only.
Magic Markets is your ticket to understanding the global stock opportunities available to you. If our free shows pique your interest, the deep dives and a vast library of research into international companies in Magic Markets Premium will do wonders for your knowledge of the markets. Subscribe for just R99/month at this link with no minimum monthly commitment.
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Are chips the new oil? And no, we aren’t talking about oily chips, so take your junk food cravings elsewhere, like to last week’s show on Domino’s Pizza!
In this show, Saudi Aramco and Broadcom were the focus areas. It would’ve been too obvious to choose Nvidia.
The Finance Ghost dealt with Saudi Aramco, which has the uninspiring stock ticker 2222. That’s where the boring stuff ends, as the company boasts a highly impressive array of vertically integrated operations that go beyond just oil. There’s no denying the fact that oil is the cash cow though, and there’s a lot of cash coming out of the desert.
Mohammed Nalla brought Broadcom to the show, starting with what the company actually does and the core strength in the data centre industry. Broadcom is more than just a semiconductor (or chips) business. It may not pump oil out of the ground, but the business does operate at strong margins. With a diversified model though, the company has only partially benefitted from the huge growth in semiconductors. The dividend yield remains very low, so the market is pricing in a lot of growth.
Join us in this show for an excellent overview of the recent performance and trends at these companies.
Magic Markets is your ticket to understanding the global stock opportunities available to you. If our free shows pique your interest, the deep dives and a vast library of research into international companies in Magic Markets Premium will do wonders for your knowledge of the markets. Subscribe for just R99/month at this link with no minimum monthly commitment.
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With pizza and energy drinks on the menu, this isn’t the healthiest episode of Magic Markets – at least not for your body. As for your portfolio, there’s a lot to sink your teeth into here.
The Finance Ghost covered Domino’s Pizza, starting with a strategic analysis on why these types of businesses are doing so well in the modern world of ultra busy, dual-income households. A comparison of Domino’s and other global quick-service restaurants to JSE-listed peers over the past 10 years tells a shocking story of SA vs. global growth.
Mohammed Nalla took on Monster Beverage Corporation, which is one of those companies that regularly hurts those who are brave enough to go short – like Moe. With ongoing product innovation, the company has managed to unlock further growth. But just how much energy can it possibly have left in the tank?
Magic Markets is your ticket to understanding the global stock opportunities available to you. If our free shows pique your interest, the deep dives and a vast library of research into international companies in Magic Markets Premium will do wonders for your knowledge of the markets. Subscribe for just R99/month at this link with no minimum monthly commitment.
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This episode of Magic Markets is brought to you by data and process automation specialists B2IT. The company makes robots so that people don’t have to be robots. If you hate it, automate it by visiting the B2IT website.
In Episode 164 of Magic Markets, the focus is on home building and DIY stocks. On the global stage, that means Home Depot as one of the best blue chips around. In South Africa, this means Cashbuild and Italtile and all the struggles they are facing in this economy.
To set the scene for those struggles and to remind you why being alert to global opportunities is so important, The Finance Ghost kicked off with a hard-hitting look at South African retail statistics for 2023 across various categories. This makes it clear why Cashbuild and Italtile are taking such strain. He then moved on to recent numbers from these retailers (and retailers in other sectors for context), before finishing off with the outlook for the sector.
Dealing with Home Depot, Mohammed Nalla started with the recent share price performance and how things played out vs. the technical levels we had identified in Magic Markets Premium. He also took a closer look at the trend in margins and the deterioration in metrics that doesn’t seem to be reflected in the share price. Has the valuation run away from the reality here?
If you enjoy learning about the strategies used by global companies, then you’ll love Magic Markets Premium with a library of around 120 reports and podcasts with even more detail and depth. You can get access to all our work for just R99/month at this link.
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This episode of Magic Markets is brought to you by data and process automation specialists B2IT. The company makes robots so that people don’t have to be robots. If you hate it, automate it by visiting the B2IT website.
Platform businesses are fascinating things that can make a great deal of money at scale. This week in Magic Markets Premium, we covered Uber and its emergence as a financial butterfly in literally the last year. To keep the platform theme going, we decided to cover Airbnb and Shopify in this week’s free Magic Markets show, made possible by B2IT.
The Finance Ghost tackled Airbnb, with the company making a lot of noise about expanding beyond the core business this year. As yet, they haven’t released any details of what this actually means. If Airbnb just focuses on what it does best, the growth runway remains very long and interesting. It seems as though the platform is close to running at scale-level margins, so any efforts to add more products to the platform could be the growth burst that the story needs – especially at the current valuation.
Mohammed Nalla delved into Shopify, a company we’ve also covered on Magic Markets before. The company is growing, but goodness knows they have to grow to get anywhere close to justifying the current revenue multiple – one which makes the rest of the tech sector look positively cheap. There are question marks around the sustainability of the recent positive free cash flow trend as well, so the valuation of Shopify seems to still be running ahead of the story.
If you enjoy learning about the strategies used by global companies, then you’ll love Magic Markets Premium with a library of around 120 reports and podcasts with even more detail and depth. You can get access to all our work for just R99/month at this link.
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In a world where investors are seeking alpha in their portfolios, alternative assets are resonating with clients looking for private market investment opportunities. Westbrooke Alternative Asset Management is focused on what they call “South African connected capital” - and they now manage more than R12bn of this capital!
In this podcast with Dino Zuccollo, Head of Investor Solutions at Westbrooke, the Magic Markets hosts delved into topics including:
The extensive activity in the portfolios and the different types of mandates run by Westbrooke, ranging from the flagship Yield Plus fund through to private equity, solar and other opportunities.In an environment of shrinking opportunities in public markets, the growing trend of institutional support for alternative assets and the due diligence that was required for this to become a reality.The importance of alternative assets in facilitating flows through the financial system from investors to those seeking capital for opportunities.Why the provision of a secondary market is difficult for alternative assets and how liquidity risks are handled by the investment manager.The increasing popularity of tax-enhanced investing in response to fiscal incentives for the installation of rooftop solar in South Africa.An overview of the type of real estate transactions in which Westbrooke looks to participate.How the credit loss ratio in the private debt portfolios compares to the ratios reported by large corporate banks.Why investing alongside other professional investment houses in private equity deals is a popular approach.For more information on Westbrooke’s alternative asset strategies, be sure to visit www.westbrooke.com to find out more. You can also find Westbrooke on X (@WAAM_SA) or on LinkedIn. Westbrooke Alternative Asset Management is an authorised Financial Services Provider, FSP number 46750.
Note: you must do your own research and consult with a financial advisor to determine if an investment in alternative assets is suitable for you. Nothing you hear in this podcast should be construed as advice.
About Westbrooke:
Established in 2004, Westbrooke is a multi-asset, multi-strategy manager and advisor of alternative investment funds and co-investment platforms. We have a heritage as a shareholder and operator of assets and invest our own capital alongside our investors in Private Debt, Hybrid Capital, Real Estate and Private Equity in South Africa, the UK and the USA.
We provide investors with a unique gateway to private market alternative investment opportunities which are traditionally difficult to access.
Investors benefit from the depth of experience and quality of our investment teams, who apply the Westbrooke Investment & Risk Philosophy and Approach to everything they do. This, together with our highly aligned financial interests, our heritage as an owner and operator of assets, our multi-decade track record of performance and our focus on capital preservation provides our investors with a unique advantage. Invest with the Westbrooke Advantage.
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This episode of Magic Markets is brought to you by data and process automation specialists B2IT. The company makes robots so that people don’t have to be robots. If you hate it, automate it by visiting the B2IT website.
Zuck you money. In Satya Nadella we trust. You’ll hear these things on this show, with the hosts focusing on two of the most exciting technology companies in the world.
Moe took on Meta, a love/hate stock for so many in the market. It’s been all about the love recently though, with an exceptional share price run. Zuckerberg’s initial Metaverse ambitions terrified investors and with good reason. A lot has changed since then, not least of all the market’s focus on Artificial Intelligence. With a clever pivot into focusing on the AI elements of the technology rather than the concept of a Metaverse itself, Meta is back in vogue. But will it last?
The Finance Ghost covered Microsoft, his favourite stock of them all. The strength of Microsoft lies in the recurring revenue profile with an enterprise client base. This gives great revenue visibility and continuity, along with the ability to keep increasing prices. The cloud cash cow gives Microsoft the ultimate war chest for further acquisitions, which is why Microsoft touches practically every part of the market.
If you enjoy learning about the strategies used by global companies, then you’ll love Magic Markets Premium with a library of over 115 reports and podcasts with even more detail and depth. You can get access to all our work for just R99/month at this link.
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This episode of Magic Markets is brought to you by data and process automation specialists B2IT. The company makes robots so that people don’t have to be robots. If you hate it, automate it by visiting the B2IT website.
From shoes to cars – this week, we tackle Tesla and Volkswagen. After some important debate on whether Tesla makes ugly cars or not, we got serious about the financial performance.
In the interests of a more balanced view, Tesla-permabear The Finance Ghost stayed away from that company and let Mohammed Nalla cover the Cult of Musk. After running through the technicals on the share price and particularly the recent pressure, Moe worked through the revenue and production stats, as well as a summary of the best performers in this sector.
In Volkswagen, our resident ghost explained that the EV theme is still coming through strongly in this company, which is a good and a bad thing. One of the most interesting elements of the Volkswagen story is the different operating margins across the various brands. Perhaps unsurprisingly, they make far more margin at Porsche than in Volkswagen. That hasn’t helped the post-IPO performance of Porsche, which has suffered badly from high expectations in the market.
Start your engines (or batteries) and join us in this episode of Magic Markets, brought to you by B2IT.
If you enjoy learning about the strategies used by global companies, then you’ll love Magic Markets Premium with a library of over 115 reports and podcasts with even more detail and depth. You can get access to all our work for just R99/month at this link.
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This episode of Magic Markets is brought to you by data and process automation specialists B2IT. The company makes robots so that people don’t have to be robots. If you hate it, automate it by visiting the B2IT website.
In this episode of Magic Markets, we dug in the back of our cupboards for the shoes we are too embarrassed to wear. Perhaps we just aren’t fashionable enough, as there are many celebrities wearing Birkenstocks. As for Crocs, there are few who would put those on a pedestal for beautiful design.
Moe covered Crocs in this show, starting with a recap of some of the points we covered when issuing our Magic Markets Premium report on Crocs some time ago. As much as we can joke about the shoes, they do a solid job of selling them – along with accessories as well. Revenue guidance for 2024 is muted though, particularly in the Hey Dudes brand.
Ghost took on the responsibility of Birkenstock, which executed its IPO just a few months ago. It was a disaster initially but has subsequently recovered. When you dig into the numbers, you find quite an astonishing story and many strategic similarities to some of Nike’s best recent decisions. The valuation is huge and the share price has been volatile, but the underlying business has an exceptional track record.
Of the two ugly shoe contenders, which one is a buy? And does Birkenstock make a decent case for itself to be covered in Magic Markets Premium at some stage? Listen to this podcast to find out.
If you enjoy learning about the strategies used by global companies, then you’ll love Magic Markets Premium with a library of over 110 reports and podcasts with even more detail and depth. You can get access to all our work for just R99/month at this link.
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This episode of Magic Markets is brought to you by data and process automation specialists B2IT. The company makes robots so that people don’t have to be robots. If you hate it, automate it by visiting the B2IT website.
With US earnings season underway and the most famous Wall Street banks having released results, we couldn’t resist digging into two such banks and the recent earnings. Instead of picking the obvious ongoing winner JPMorgan, we decided to delve into Bank of America and Citigroup instead.
At Bank of America, earnings are down sharply year-on-year. If you dig more deeply, you find that once-off charges plagued the numbers. We’ve seen this across several of the banks in this reporting cycle. There’s also been a negative impact from Bank of America having piled into long-dated securities during the pandemic. Time has proven this to be the wrong strategy. As part of his review of the results, Moe also dealt with credit loss provisioning and various other important metrics at the bank.
The Finance Ghost tackled Citigroup, where they can only dream of having positive earnings. It’s all about the restructuring process and a significant decrease in headcount. This makes for ugly headlines and pretty share price charts, at least over the past few months as the market started to get excited about the turnaround. Citigroup has been restructured into five business units and some of them are real laggards in the market. They have some excellent businesses as well, like the Treasury and Trade Solutions (TTS) operation that Citi is best known for. Thanks to the restructure, there’s now visibility on all of this.
And for a very unexpected conclusion, Ghost reckons that perhaps the best exposure you can take to financial services is by buying a technology company instead!
If you enjoy learning about the strategies used by global companies, then you’ll love Magic Markets Premium with a library of over 100 reports and podcasts with even more detail and depth. You can get access to all our work for just R99/month at this link.
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This episode of Magic Markets is brought to you by data and process automation specialists B2IT. The company makes robots so that people don’t have to be robots. If you hate it, automate it by visiting the B2IT website.
To kick off 2024, we take a look at two businesses that sit adjacent to each other in the speciality retail space. Pandora sells jewellery and Swatch sells watches at various price points.
That brings us neatly to Moe’s first point, which is that Swatch is more than just the colourful and playful watches that you know and possibly love. The group is a hybrid of affluent and luxury brands, like Omega. Of course, this creates a real risk of brand dilution in the luxury space as Swatch attempts to improve the competitiveness of its core affluent offering.
At Pandora, there is no such confusion. The strategy is tight and the core product range of bracelets and accessories is still growing. So are the other lines like necklaces and earrings, contributing to a fantastic share price performance this year that looks completely different to what Swatch went through.
The biggest risk to Swatch is arguably smart watches, with a recent legal dispute with Samsung showing just how “interchangeable” they really are for the average consumer. At Pandora, the risk sits more in the valuation than anything else at the moment, although the share price has had a highly volatile history over the past decade.
If you enjoy learning about the strategies used by global companies, then you’ll love Magic Markets Premium with a library of over 100 reports and podcasts with even more detail and depth. You can get access to all our work for just R99/month at this link.
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In the final Magic Markets episode for 2023, hosts Mohammed Nalla and The Finance Ghost covered two global technology companies that sit adjacent to some of the more talked about names.
Moe covered Oracle, giving an overview of the business (as many are familiar with the name but not the products) and details on their acquisition of Cerner during the pandemic to push into the healthcare market. He also looked at Oracle’s latest financial performance and the disappointing guidance given to the market. This leads into a discussion on why the share price has underperformed tech peers.
Ghost covered Adobe, starting with the exceptional share price volatility over the pandemic. The pressure to grow is driving a desire for acquisitions, but regulators are making that difficult and the major deal to acquire Figma has collapsed. Thankfully, the core business is doing exceptionally well and they’ve just capped off a record period for revenue – a big deal when you remember that their revenue is mainly recurring in nature. And although Adobe’s share price has done well, there are some areas where analysts picked on concerns in the growth story.
This festive season, why not give the gift of knowledge? The Magic Markets Premium library is a treasure trove of company research, with well over 100 reports and podcasts that dig deeply into the world’s most famous companies (and a few you haven’t heard of as well). For just R99/month or R990/year, you can take your investment knowledge to the next level by subscribing here.
This episode of Magic Markets is brought to you by B2IT data and process automation specialists. The company makes robots so that people don’t have to be robots.
If you hate it, automate it with B2IT by visiting the website at this link.
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Welcome to another insightful episode of Magic Markets. This week, we’re talking about fashion retail. Moe is representing the global north with his choice of athleisure brand Lululemon, while Ghost is keeping things more general with a selection of South African fashion retail brands.
We’ve covered Lululemon a few times in our Premium shows, and initially we were quite excited by some of the innovative strategic moves that this brand was making. What was once a niche player had ascended to global prominence, particularly during the height of the pandemic. Having established dominance over its home market, Lululemon got a taste for acquisitions – and that, unfortunately, was one step too far. We’ll get into the details in the podcast, but let’s just say that the purchase of Mirror came with a much heftier price tag than this company expected.
Back on South African shores, Ghost is getting into the strategies behind local retailers. In a market where "pure play" is a rarity, we find retailers like Mr. Price and The Foschini Group acquiring businesses outside of their core businesses, creating a mosaic of offerings ranging from affordable fashion to upmarket homeware. The resulting diversity poses challenges for investors attempting to discern the core identity of each retail giant. Are there structural reasons in the South African market why this is happening?
If you enjoy learning about the strategies used by global companies, then you’ll love Magic Markets Premium with a library of over 100 reports and podcasts with even more detail and depth. You can get access to all our work for just R99/month at this link.
This episode of Magic Markets is brought to you by B2IT data and process automation specialists. The company makes robots so that people don’t have to be robots.
If you hate it, automate it with B2IT by visiting the website at this link.
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Welcome to episode 154 of Magic Markets. We're diving deep into the beauty sector this week, exploring stocks that bring a touch of glam to the market scene.
Moe has his sights set on Ulta Beauty, the US-based beauty specialist retailer. After trading at around $546 a share back in April 2023, Ulta Beauty has seen some sharp moves, corrections, and a bounce. Moe takes us through the technical details, emphasising the importance of key support levels and the dynamics between fundamental results and market sentiment.
Ghost chose to delve into the South African beauty scene, focusing on Dis-Chem, the pharmacy group that is more than just a pharmacy: it's a beauty and healthcare haven. Unlike arch-rival Clicks, Dis-Chem has included dispensaries in the strategy since day one. This might explain why the market share over-indexes on front shop categories like medical suppliers, whereas Clicks is strong in small appliances. By also covering several other elements of the Dis-Chem business model (including the acquisition of Baby City), Ghost delivers insights that can be applied when assessing any retailer.
If you enjoy learning about the strategies used by global companies, then you’ll love Magic Markets Premium with a library of over 100 reports and podcasts with even more detail and depth. You can get access to all our work for just R99/month at this link.
This episode of Magic Markets is brought to you by B2IT data and process automation specialists. The company makes robots so that people don’t have to be robots.
If you hate it, automate it with B2IT by visiting the website at this link.
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Welcome to Magic Markets Episode 153, brought to you by B2IT. In this episode, we're dipping our toes into the dynamic world of media and streaming as we discuss Comcast and MultiChoice.
Dive in with us as we answer questions like:
Is there more than one way to invest in MultiChoice?There’s an innovative approach behind Comcast's Peacock streaming service, and it’s paying off with 60% year-on-year revenue growth. How does their experimentation with ad-supported tiers set them apart in the evolving world of streaming?What's driving MultiChoice's subscriber growth in the face of challenges like load shedding, and how does their emphasis on local content play a pivotal role in retaining viewers?There’s a strategic partnership unfolding between Comcast and MultiChoice – one that could potentially bring English Premier League football to Africa. What implications does this have for the different potential entry points into MultiChoice?How does MultiChoice navigate the competitive streaming landscape, and what strategies are they employing to adapt to changing viewer habits, especially with the surge in popularity of platforms like Netflix and Disney+?How does Comcast compare to some of its listed peers, and is Disney still the eternal disappointment?If you enjoy learning about the strategies used by global companies, then you’ll love Magic Markets Premium with a library of over 100 reports and podcasts with even more detail and depth. You can get access to all our work for just R99/month at this link.
This episode of Magic Markets is brought to you by B2IT data and process automation specialists. The company makes robots so that people don’t have to be robots.
If you hate it, automate it with B2IT by visiting the website at this link.
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