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Tom welcomes retired naval officer Matt Riley to the show. Matt shares his background in economics and global affairs and expresses his interest in the developing BRICS system. They discuss the BRICS alliance's diplomacy, economic cooperation, and representation goals. Matt explains nBRIDGE, a decentralized settlement system, with gold acting as a stable store of value for settling trade imbalances.
Matt explains the use of gold in net settlement currencies and direct payment methods for energy transactions between BRICS Nations. The bilateral central bank and exchange agreements create a decentralized system, with Dubai being the second-largest gold trading hub due to its diplomatic neutrality.
Matt discusses the potential implications of the BRICS currency system on oil, gold, and silver. He suggests a more stable energy pricing structure could benefit all parties. Maintaining stability in energy prices is crucial for everyone's benefit. The current system is serving BRICS nations by isolating them from the serious debt problems associated with the US dollar-based system.
Lastly Matt encourages listeners to shift focus from financial assets to community and social capital for true wealth and happiness. He can be found on X and frequently appears on Chris's channel Arcadia Economics.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:34 - BRICS & Payment Systems4:15 - Brief History of BRICS10:22 - nBRIDGE Exchange System13:43 - Gold's Settlement Role15:08 - Basket Structure?16:41 - Volume of Use?18:32 - Exchange Dubai vs. London20:32 - BRICS Summit Russia27:43 - Playing Both Sides?31:24 - PMs & The Road Ahead35:54 - Silver Role & Industry40:07 - Oil & Dollar Hegemony46:14 - Expectations for BRICS48:40 - Bypassing Sanctions50:50 - Change Mindset & Focus53:15 - Wrap Up
Talking Points From This Episode
The BRICS alliance explores decentralized digital currency exchange systems like nBRIDGE for economic cooperation and diplomacy.
Matt discusses gold's role in net settlement currencies and stable energy pricing within the BRICS system.
Matt highlights potential benefits of the BRICS currency system, such as stability in energy pricing and reduced reliance on US dollar.
Guest Linkshttps://x.com/efbullion
Matt Riley is a follower of Jesus, Husband, Father, and retired Naval Officer. He has extensive experience in international security, as well as geopolitical and economic analysis. -
In this edited X Spaces conversation, Tom Bodrovics is joined by an experienced group of precious metals experts including Drew Rathgeber, Bob Coleman, Jim Hunter, Steve St. Angelo, David Morgan and others. Focusing on the impact of recent events on precious metals markets, particularly after the U.S. election. They shared various perspectives on sentiment changes, correlations between precious metals and Bitcoin, market manipulation, and the role of managed money and futures trading. Drew discussed potential fundamental shifts in gold investments based on the election results and the correlation with increased debt and government spending. Steve spoke about the connection between precious metals and Bitcoin, noting how Trump's support for cryptocurrency could influence investors. They also touched upon market manipulation, industry trends, and the impact of rising interest rates on dealers and investors. Overall, they acknowledged dealing with market manipulation as an unavoidable reality for investors.
They also discuss historical price movements in gold and silver and the possible influence of cryptocurrencies on metal prices. They emphasized the importance of physical precious metals as real assets against those backed by debt. They also discussed potential geopolitical implications and manipulation within commodity markets. Steve expressed concerns about escalating energy issues and their impact on financial debt. The conversation concluded with a focus on precious metals like gold, silver, and platinum as potential safe havens during economic instability.
Drew RathgeberWebsite: https://progoldtrader.comEmail: [email protected]
Bob ColemanTwitter: https://x.com/profitsplusidWebsite: https://www.goldsilvervault.com/
Jim HunterTwitter: https://x.com/JimSuncomm1Website: https://allendale-inc.com
Steve St. AngeloWebsite: https://srsroccoreport.com/Twitter: https://x.com/SRSroccoReportYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCED7G7CZfqdSV9zttlr1M_g
David MorganWebsite: https://silver-investor.com/Twitter: https://x.com/silverguru22YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/silverguru -
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Tom welcomes back, Jesse Felder, founder, editor, and publisher of The Felder Report, to discuss inflation and its impact on investments. Felder argues that American citizens consider inflation a major issue, despite the Federal Reserve's efforts to contain it. He suggested the Fed might accept higher-than-targeted inflation levels in the future.
Felder touches upon bond markets as indicators of potential inflation trends and the possibility of another "lost decade" for stock and bond portfolios due to current valuations. Felder criticizes passive investing, citing negative annual returns over a 10-year period, and emphasizes individual investors' attention to Warren Buffett's investment philosophy, focusing on valuation sensitivity.
Buffett's massive cash position in Berkshire Hathaway was discussed, with reasons for his disinterest in gold and cautious approach due to concerns over the fiscal situation. Jesse suggests individual investors pay heed to Buffett's underlying investment strategy while acknowledging opportunities unavailable to Berkshire Hathaway.
Felder also highlights the potential for a steep market reversal following the stock market's overexuberance post-Trump's election and emphasized insider activity and buy-sell ratios as indicators of earnings and economic disappointments in the equity market. He encourages investors to be cautious given current extreme valuations.
Felder expresses his interest on oil and gas stocks due to the changing inflation environment and the new floor at $70 for oil prices. He believes that energy producers would benefit from a more stable foundation for their commodity, despite concerns about the Strategic Petroleum Reserve's size and potential implications of inflation and peak oil production.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:37 - Inflation Been Fixed?3:45 - Fed & Inflation Targets8:16 - Bonds & Reality11:38 - Tariffs & Tax Cuts14:10 - A Lost Decade?18:05 - Warren Buffet Position28:14 - Risk Exposure & Gold32:08 - Market Exuberance36:50 - Avoiding Loss38:30 - Valuing Sectors40:00 - Energy & Tech43:44 - SPR & U.S. Production46:38 - Peak Energy & Inflation49:00 - Equity Mkt. Concerns50:12 - Wrap Up
Talking Points From This Episode
American citizens perceive inflation as a significant problem, despite Federal Reserve's attempts to control it.
The Fed might accept higher-than-targeted inflation levels in the future.
Buffett's cash position and disinterest in gold, potential market reversal, and focus on oil and gas stocks are notable.
Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/jessefelderWebsite: https://thefelderreport.com/Articles: https://thefelderreport.com/blog/
Jesse Felder is the Founder, Editor, and Publisher of The Felder Report. He began his professional career at Bear, Stearns & Co. and later co-founded a multi-billion-dollar hedge fund firm headquartered in Santa Monica, California. Since moving to Bend, Oregon in 2000 and founding The Felder Report shortly thereafter his writing and research have been featured in major publications and websites like The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, Yahoo!Finance, Business Insider, RealVision, Investing.com, and more. Jesse also hosts and produces the Superinvestors and the Art of Worldly Wisdom podcast. -
Tom Bodrovics interviews Doug Casey in-person at his home in Argentina assisted by Ivor Cummins. Doug emphasizes the importance of focusing on areas like economics, history, science, self-improvement, and traveling to broaden perspectives amidst political uncertainties. He suggests that Argentina, Chile, Uruguay, Paraguay, southern Brazil, and the Southern Cone of South America could be ideal for relocation due to their civility, open spaces, low population density, and capacity for food security.Doug shares his affinity for Argentina, despite its political instability and frequent revolutions, and praises its culture, ranching, and potential for food security. Doug expresses dismay over U.S. politics and the nomination of Kamala Harris, labeling her 'stupid' and 'evil,' alleging communist leanings. He believes that a potential economic downturn might be preferable for societal rebuilding but fears the Democrats' potential power consolidation.Doug discusses the upcoming economic downturn's potential severity and longevity, comparing it to the Great Depression, due to the historic size of the financial bubble and vast debt accumulated by individuals and governments. He advocates for individual preparedness and self-reliance, advising listeners to learn new skills, acquire gold and silver, and speculate in markets. Doug also expresses optimism, suggesting humanity might explore other planets to overcome challenges and discusses the recent election's impact on Gold and Silver prices, maintaining their fundamentals despite short-term fluctuations. He disdains market distractions like meme stocks and advocates for gold miners due to their low valuation relative to historical standards.Talking Points From This EpisodeDoug Casey advocates for relocation to South America due to political instability and potential food security.He criticizes U.S. politics, particularly Kamala Harris, and predicts economic downturn and societal rebuilding.Casey advises individual preparedness, learning new skills, acquiring gold and silver, and investing in markets.Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction1:01 - Politics & Perspectives3:55 - Plan B & Safe Countries10:09 - Feel of South America14:44 - Elections & Kamala?16:30 - Positivity & Trump?17:28 - Power & Deep State?20:35 - The Greater Depression24:19 - Migratory Invasion26:20 - Agendas & Migration27:30 - Financial Bubbles & Debt29:40 - Fight and/or Flight?31:20 - Election & The Dollar34:15 - Gold Bull Markets?37:03 - Debt & Depression39:30 - Gold Bull Markets41:48 - Knowledge & Trust42:33 - Government Dependence43:39 - Novels & Wrap UpDoug Casey:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCEJR3OAeHBNz7aGtFRZXArQDoug Casey's Take: https://internationalman.com/Amazon Novels: https://tinyurl.com/an3uxhcBest-selling author, world-renowned speculator, and libertarian philosopher Doug Casey has garnered a well-earned reputation for his erudite (and often controversial) insights into politics, economics, and investment markets. Doug is widely respected as one of the preeminent authorities on "rational speculation," especially in the high-potential natural resource sector. Doug's most recent book, "Assassin," can be found on Amazon.He has been a featured guest on hundreds of radio and TV shows, including David Letterman, Merv Griffin, Charlie Rose, Phil Donahue, Regis Philbin, Maury Povich, NBC News, and CNN; has been the topic of numerous features in periodicals such as Time, Forbes, People, and the Washington Post. Doug has lived in 10 countries and visited over 175. Today you're most likely to find him at La Estancia de Cafayate (Casey's Gulch), an oasis tucked away in the high red mountains outside Salta, Argentina.Ivor Cummins:X: https://x.com/FatEmperorWebsite: https://thefatemperor.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@IvorCumminsScienceIvor Cummins BE(Chem) CEng MIEI completed a Biochemical Engineering degree in 1990.
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In an in person interview at Doug Casey's home in Argentina, Tom Bodrovics hosts Michael Yon and Ivor Cummins. The discussion revolves around the profound shifts in the global order post-Trump election. Michael Yon, a combat correspondent, author, and former Green Beret, underscores this era as pivotal due to evolving geopolitical dynamics rather than the election itself. He believes globalism, an age-old concept, gains traction with modern technology.
Yon implicates certain entities, namely Zionists, seeking control over specific territories for their interests. He warns of their intent to target Iran, Hamas in Gaza, Hezbollah, and Russia. Furthermore, he highlights the struggle between oligarchs, some aiming to decrease the world population and deindustrialize Europe.
The conversation delves into U.S. intentions behind the Nord Stream pipeline conflict with Russia. Factors include maintaining geopolitical distance, economic implications, and European deindustrialization. Threats from the U.S. towards fertilizer and agriculture sectors as potential means to instigate famines are also examined.
Michael questions Trump's ability to end wars based on campaign promises and cautions about their unpredictability and longevity. He introduces concepts like staked goat tactics and green flag attacks, hinting at potential deception in conflicts.
Emphasizing the significance of clear language and context, Michael defines ongoing issues as invasions instead of crises or migrations. Weaponized migration as an ancient tactic of warfare is also discussed. Possible safe havens for personal freedom and security are debated, with reference to Doug Casey's preferred countries.
The evolving perspective on drugs as weapons is addressed, including historical examples like the opium wars. Various forms of warfare, such as drug warfare and information warfare, are explored as tools used by adversaries to disrupt societies. Personal insights from Asia regarding Chinese infiltration into American political systems and banking sectors are shared. The detrimental effects of drugs on families and society are acknowledged, with concerns about their potential to weaken resistance against adversaries' strategies.
Criticisms of political figures like Trump and Harris are voiced, as well as HIAS's role in facilitating migration through the Darien gap in Panama. Influential figures like Alejandro Mayorkas, now leading the Department of Homeland Security, are mentioned in this context.
Timestamp References:0:00 - Introduction1:08 - Changing World Order10:45 - Euro Problems & Farms15:42 - Trump & The Conflicts?23:00 - Invasion of the West32:00 - Getting Out of Dodge?34:10 - Attack Vectors & Drugs38:53 - Stress and Life Quality42:10 - Darien Gap & NGO's50:52 - Building Resilience?53:20 - Gold & Jekyll Island57:38 - Strategic Metals & Silver1:00:04 - Get On Your A-Game1:01:18 - Wrap Up
Talking Points From This Episode
Zionism desire to control regions and planned actions against Iran, Hamas, Hezbollah, and Russia.
Globalism's revival: Yon argues that it has existed since ancient times but is now more feasible with advanced technology.
The U.S.'s Nord Stream motivations: Geopolitical separation, economic implications, and deindustrialization of Europe.
Michael Yon:X: https://x.com/Michael_YonWebsite: https://michaelyon.comWebsite Mentioned: https://hias.org
Michael Yon is a former Green Beret, native of Winter Haven, Fl. who has been reporting from Iraq and Afghanistan since December 2004. No other reporter has spent as much time with combat troops in these two wars. Michael's dispatches from the frontlines have earned him the reputation as the premier independent combat journalist of his generation. His work has been featured on Good Morning America, The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, CNN, ABC, FOX, as well as hundreds of other major media outlets all around the ... -
Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Christopher Aaron, founder of iGold Advisor and senior editor for Gold Eagle, for a discussion about market sentiment towards gold post-U.S. election results and the Federal Reserve meeting. Aaron shares his perspective on market cycles and warns investors about potential resistance levels for gold while expressing caution against abandoning precious metals entirely due to unforeseen circumstances.
They explore the impact of the U.S. election, Fed meeting, Trump presidency, and the Dow to Gold ratio on markets, emphasizing the significance of considering both present situations and future developments. Aaron also discusses his analysis of the gold to silver ratio chart, focusing on trends and their implications for investors, and the potential implications of Elon Musk's involvement in Trump's administration on reducing the U.S. government.
Chris also discusses Ron Paul's advocacy for ending the Federal Reserve System and the possible significance of his inclusion in Trump's administration, as well as the expected timeline for tax cuts and regulatory changes under the new administration and broader themes for the next decade. Throughout the conversation, they encourage listeners to broaden their perspectives and consider various markets and investments beyond precious metals.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:50 - Sentiment & Gold8:50 - Fundamentals & Possibility12:50 - Dow To Gold Chart19:50 - Gold To Silver Chart28:52 - Dollar Index & Outlook34:00 - Energy & Mkt. Direction46:50 - End The Fed?50:08 - Tax Cuts & Timeframes52:10 - Space Exploration59:08 - Concluding Thoughts
Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/iGlobalGoldWebsite: https://igoldadvisor.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCjG_4Kg7ZWWs8o7EnfnDc9Q
Talking Points From This Episode
Aaron warns investors about potential resistance levels for gold while emphasizing the importance of not abandoning precious metals entirely.
U.S. election results, Federal Reserve meeting, Trump presidency, and Dow to Gold ratio impact markets, with both present situations and future developments significant.
Analysis of gold to silver ratio chart reveals trends and implications for investors, and Elon Musk's role in Trump's administration could potentially reduce the U.S. government debt.
Christopher Aaron is Senior Editor for the precious metals investment portal Gold Eagle.
A former counter-terrorism officer for the CIA and Department of Defense, Christopher has always had an independent analytical outlook. He volunteered to serve two tours to Iraq and Afghanistan from 2006 - 2009, conducting pattern analysis and mapping for the US Intelligence Community in Washington, DC. Drawing upon his investigative background, he turned attention to the financial markets in the early 2000s.
Mapping shares similarities with technical analysis of the financial markets because both involve the observation and interpretation of patterns found in human nature. Through his work, Christopher shares with clients how these patterns are cyclical and embedded. Recognizing these patterns can be used to profit.
Christopher Aaron holds a degree in history and business, with advanced Department of Defense training in intelligence analysis. -
Tom welcomes back Dr. Nomi Prins, financial expert and best-selling author, about the impact of the U.S. election on markets and her outlook for the economy. Dr. Prins highlights the disconnect between the thriving financial markets and the stagnant real economy, with high debt levels and inflation surpassing wage growth. The election brought attention to voters' economic concerns, although neither candidate presented substantial plans for addressing debt and deficit issues. Trump's promises on immigration and inflation reassured some, but his lack of a comprehensive economic strategy remains a concern for Dr. Prins.
Tom and Dr. Prins explore the economic implications of tariffs, focusing on Trump's plan to impose tariffs on imports. The reduction in supply from tariffs causes price increases and inflation, potentially harming the domestic economy unless the country can offset these costs by participating in multiple parts of the supply chain.
The nuclear energy industry is positioned for growth following the election results, with companies like Microsoft and Amazon considering nuclear power deals. The state of energy development in the United States is also explored in the context of Trump's plans to deregulate.
Dr. Prins discusses the movement of the US dollar after the election results and the potential for de-dollarization. The US dollar continues to be the world's top reserve currency, but longer-term trends suggest de-dollarization through trade agreements in non-dollar currencies, alternative trading currencies, and infrastructure development. Central banks' interest in gold as a hedge against risks, coupled with increasing demand from consumers in countries like China and India, positions gold to play an essential role in this framework.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:54 - Election Change Anything?4:03 - Trump Economic Policy?7:54 - Tarriffs & Consequences11:35 - Senate & House15:37 - Energy & Deregulation17:53 - Permian Shale Status20:22 - Strategic Mineral Reserve24:02 - Capital Deployment Goals26:40 - Nuclear Energy & Tech32:54 - BRICS & Dedollarization37:12 - Banking Architecture38:31 - Gold Reserves & Trust42:20 - Russia Silver Reserves46:46 - Banks Diversification49:02 - Banking System Stress52:26 - Wrap Up
Talking Points From This Episode
Financial expert Dr. Nomi Prins discusses economic disconnect between markets and real economy, focusing on US election impact.
Trump's promises on immigration and inflation influenced markets, but lack of economic strategy remains a concern.
Tariffs, nuclear energy growth, and de-dollarization are major economic shifts following the U.S. election.
Guest Links:Twitter: https://x.com/nomiprinsWebsite: https://nomiprins.com/Substack: https://prinsights.substack.com/
Dr. Nomi Prins as a Wall Street insider and outspoken advocate for economic reform, Nomi Prins is a leading authority on how the widespread impact of financial systems continues to affect our daily lives. She has spent decades analyzing and investigating economic and financial events at the ground level and meeting with those that shape the world's geopolitical-economic framework. She continues to break stories by conducting independent research, writing best-selling books, and traversing the globe to share her knowledge and demystify the world of money.
Before becoming a renowned journalist and public speaker, Nomi reached the upper echelons of the financial world where she worked as a managing director at Goldman Sachs, ran the international analytics group as a senior managing director at Bear Stearns in London, was a strategist at Lehman Brothers and an analyst at the Chase Manhattan Bank. During her time on Wall Street, she grew increasingly aware of and discouraged by the unethical practices that permeated the banking industry. Eventually, she decided enough was enough and became an investigative journalist to shed light on the ways that financial systems are ma... -
Tom welcomes back Dudley Baker, the founder of Common Stock Warrants. The discussion revolves around the current state of the resource sector, particularly precious metals, and the potential opportunities for investors in undervalued mining companies. Despite recent historic highs in gold and silver prices, many juniors and micro-caps in the mining industry have not yet seen significant gains. Dudley believes that an inflection point is near, when investors will recognize the value of these companies, possibly triggered by market crashes or impressive earnings reports.Dudley explains that warrants, often attached to private placements act as incentives for investors, offering upside leverage and can be tradable. He emphasizes the importance of liking the underlying company before investing in its warrant and shares resources to monitor Canadian private placements and their associated warrants. The mining sector has the potential for massive gains, especially with the vast amount of data available. Dudley maintains a positive outlook and encourages investors to look for opportunities while they are still cheap.Dudley shares his experience with successful warrant trades and discusses the differences between common stocks and warrants. He explains that publicly traded warrants, which can be bought and sold like any other stock, provide upside leverage without requiring the buyer to exercise them. However, for U.S. investors dealing with Canadian companies, you need access to specific platforms for exercising warrants.Throughout the conversation, Dudley stresses the importance of insider activity as a crucial indicator for potential investments and shares his extensive database of warrants in various sectors. He also discusses misconceptions about stock warrants and offers advice on making informed investment decisions based on price charts and personal risk tolerance.Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction1:14 - Macro Picture Resources5:00 - Crash & Capital Shift?7:30 - Elections & Trades10:13 - Precious Metals & Politics14:05 - Insider Activity16:42 - Warrants Vs. Stocks28:18 - Other Sectors & Opportunity32:52 - Analysing Companies39:06 - Warrant Watchlist40:33 - Accessing Warrants?46:00 - Picking Exit Points52:12 - Costs & Benefits58:05 - Wrap UpTalking Points From This EpisodeResource sector on the brink of major investment opportunity due to macro background improving.Warrants offer upside leverage and can provide significant gains; follow insider activity for potential investments.Mining sector has vast data opportunities with potential for massive gains, especially in precious metals.Guest Links:Website: https://commonstockwarrants.com
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Tom Bodrovics your host welcomes back Dave Kranzler from Investment Research Dynamics. Kranzler discusses the impact of the upcoming election on national debt and market conditions, expressing concern over the mounting deficit and lack of government spending reductions. He highlights the importance of military spending, handouts, and domestic spending in keeping the economy afloat, but warns of potential economic collapse without significant spending cuts.
Kranzler expresses concerns about the U.S. Treasury and the Federal Reserve's gold holdings. He questions their true possession of reported reserves and lack of audits.
Kranzler believes that liquidity, not monetary policy, is the crucial factor keeping markets and banks functioning in today's hyper-financialized economy. Despite the Fed's reduction in its balance sheet and hawkish monetary policy, M2 has continued to grow, and over $2 trillion has been drained from the reverse repo facility to finance the treasury deficit and prop up sagging markets.
Kranzler expresses his belief that gold's price in dollars is setting up a favorable position and silver's cup-and-handle formation and industrial usage make it an attractive investment opportunity. He also shares his concerns about banks' actual silver positions, the opacity surrounding these positions, and potential consequences if hedge funds request delivery of actual bars from the COMEX market.
Kranzler discusses the importance of understanding the production deficit in the silver market and investing in pure silver plays. He emphasizes that all stock purchases involve risk but is currently watching closely mid-tier producers.
Kranzler also discusses the role of confidentiality agreements and feasibility studies in attracting larger companies to junior mining projects. He encourages investors to focus on a few stocks they believe in and learn how to analyze these stocks for potential returns.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:42 - Election & Market Effects3:24 - Implosion Inevitable4:20 - U.S. Gold Audits & Fed11:57 - Liquidity & Banks16:09 - Fed's Next Move?20:36 - Precious Metals Outlook28:38 - Silver Production Deficit33:26 - Mexico & Mining?36:34 - Silver Miners?43:05 - Silver Speculation?44:44 - Eric Sprott47:07 - M&A Targets?50:23 - Feasibility Studies?55:10 - Streaming Agreements56:34 - Finding Value in Miners1:01:02 - Risks & Considerations1:05:39 - Wrap Up
Talking Points From This Episode
David's insights on the current state and future trends of the precious metals market.
Kranzler expresses concern over mounting national debt and potential economic collapse without spending cuts.
The role of royalties and streams in funding mining projects, and the pros and cons.
Kranzler's advice to investors regarding focusing on a few stocks and analyzing them thoroughly.
Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/InvResDynamicsWebsite: https://investmentresearchdynamics.comNewsletter: https://investmentresearchdynamics.com/mining-stock-journal
David Kranzler spent many years working in various analytic jobs and trading on Wall Street. For nine of those years, he traded junk bonds for Bankers Trust. Dave earned a master's degree in business administration from the University of Chicago, concentrating on accounting and finance. He writes a blog to help people understand and analyze what is going on in our financial system and economy. -
As the sun sets, the video quality improves, and Tom Bodrovics once again engages in a thoughtful conversation with the legendary Rick Rule. The discussion revolves around Rick's busy post-retirement life, the current gold and silver investment environment, and investing strategies in the metals industry.
Rick admits his retirement was unsuccessful as he continues to be engrossed in work, but he appreciates the reduced regulatory engagement since leaving Sprott. He enjoys sharing knowledge of past mentors through interviews and events like the Rule Investment Symposium, which offers a money-back guarantee for attendees. Rick believes that attending conferences for informal conversations and connections is essential.
They discuss the macroeconomic factors influencing gold and silver investments, such as increasing costs affecting mining companies' profitability and the potential $135 trillion debt in the US economy leading to inflation and boosting metal prices. The conversation delves into investing strategies for retail investors, from owning physical gold first to building a portfolio based on beta.
Rick shares his experiences with political risk and success stories in countries like Chile, Congo, and South Sudan, emphasizing the importance of understanding political and jurisdictional risks. He discusses investment opportunities in natural resource sectors like gold and silver, as well as contrarian picks such as North American natural gas and the lithium market. Rick also expresses interest in investing in private placements that can significantly enhance a company's value.
Throughout the conversation, they touch upon topics such as patience, long-term vision, competency, and corporate strategy. They also discuss the importance of having an opinion on value and being able to endure market volatility. Rick shares key lessons from his career as an investor, stressing the significance of contrarianism, understanding market dynamics, and patience.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:48 - Failing at Retirement3:00 - Conference & Guarantee5:36 - State of Resource Sector8:54 - Fed Cuts & Politics17:07 - A Triumph of Politics18:35 - Shelton & Gold Treasuries?20:18 - First Gold Bull Moves25:30 - Investor Risk Appetites27:02 - Global Demand & Bullion?30:36 - Investor Types & Gold35:32 - Studying Miners & Risks39:30 - New Investor Advice42:25 - Common Sense Rules45:33 - A Contrarian Approach?49:26 - Timeframe & Questions54:04 - M&A Deals & Newmont57:26 - Management & Mine Cycles59:57 - Exploration Cap-Ex1:04:10 - Other Mkt. Sectors1:10:29 - Private Placements1:12:44 - Lessons Learned1:17:33 - Offers & Wrap Up
12:20 - Highlight Clip
Talking Points From This Episode
Rick Rule emphasizes the importance of attending conferences for knowledge and connections.
Now failing at retirement, Mr. Rule continues to engage in work due to his passion for the industry.
Macroeconomic factors, such as inflation and debt, could positively impact gold and silver prices.
Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/realrickruleTwitter: https://twitter.com/realinvestmentmediaWebsite: https://ruleinvestmentmedia.comYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@RuleInvestmentMediaClassroom: https://ruleclassroom.comBank Site: https://battlebank.com
Rick Rule has dedicated his entire adult life to many aspects of natural resources securities investing. Besides the knowledge and experience gained in a long and focused career, he has a global network of contacts in the natural resources and finance sectors.
Mr. Rule is a frequent speaker at industry conferences and is regularly interviewed for radio, television, print, and online media outlets concerning natural resources investment and industry topics. Prominent natural resources-oriented newsletters and advisories frequently quote him. Mr. Rule and his team have expertise in many resource sectors, including agriculture, alternative energy, forestry, oil and gas, mining, -
Tom Bodrovics and Keith Weiner delve into the intricacies of fundamental price and basis rates in the gold and silver markets during their conversation on Palisades. The Gold Standard Institute president and Monetary Metals CEO, elucidates how their model offers insights into market tensions and potential price movements by determining where the market would settle if all futures speculation were to unwind. Keith also discusses lease rates, which reflect metal abundance or scarcity, in relation to market evaluations for gold and silver investments.
The conversation revolves around the disparity between the costs of producing and refining gold and silver, with significant spreads for refiners. Although mining costs are essential considerations, Keith argues that all potential gold supply remains in circulation due to its value and desirability. Keith challenges the Quantity Theory of Money and Milton Friedman's treatment of gold and printed dollars as equivalent, emphasizing their differences in origin and effects on the economy.
Weiner also discusses the implications of an ever-growing US national debt and interest payments. He argues that the world operates on a dollar basis, creating a relentless bid on the dollar despite its growing debt. Keith discusses commercial real estate bubble and the impact on banks and zombie companies, raising concerns about potential insolvency due to rising interest rates and loan asset markdowns.
The conversation concludes with discussions about upcoming financial crises, including the 'everything bubble,' and the potential dilemmas facing the Federal Reserve in addressing it, given the larger debt levels and more significant interest rate hikes than during previous periods. Keith highlights the importance of creating an honest monetary system based on gold, emphasizing market-based alternatives to Keynesian philosophy and personal opt-out options to avoid capital debasement.
Talking Points From This Episode0:00 - Introduction0:40 - Measuring Price of PMs8:32 - Current Market Temps10:40 - Analysis & Lease Rates14:14 - All-In Production Costs19:22 - Do Fundamentals Matter?22:57 - Qty. Theory of Money35:27 - Debt & Interest Payments41:37 - Commercial Debt & Banks55:26 - Bank Bailouts & Fed59:40 - Central Planning Problems1:06:30 - Kicking Cans & Politics1:11:32 - Any Possible Solutions?1:23:18 - Net Worth & Risk/Return1:31:10 - Wrap Up
Talking Points From This Episode
Gold and silver market insights using fundamental price analysis.
Challenging Quantity Theory of Money and gold vs. printed dollars equivalence.
Implications of US debt, commercial real estate bubbles, Fed bank bailouts, and zombie companies.
Guest Links:Twitter: https://twitter.com/kweiner01Website: https://monetary-metals.comWebsite: https://goldstandardinstitute.netFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/keith.weiner.5
Keith Weiner is the founder and CEO of Monetary Metals, an investment firm that is unlocking the productivity of gold. Most people regard gold as a dry asset, to lock away in a vault, incurring storage fees. Many are waiting for it to rise in price.
Keith and Monetary Metals are on a mission to change this.
Gold should once again serve to finance productive enterprises and extinguish debts. The dollar performs one of these functions, but not the other. Bitcoin cannot finance anything, as no business can borrow a currency that’s expected to go up a hundred times. Gold is the one thing that fills both roles, par excellence.
Keith writes and speaks extensively, based on his unique views of gold, the dollar, credit, the bond market, and interest rates. When he is not working on the business, he is developing his theory of monetary science, and an arbitrage theory of economics.
Keith also serves as founder and President of the Gold Standard Institute USA. His work was instrumental in the passing of gold legal tender laws in the state of Arizona in 2017. -
Tom welcomes a well known and interesting guest for the first time to the show, Dr. Judy Shelton. Judy is Senior Fellow at the Independent Institute and author of Good as Gold, passionately advocates for sound money as a moral obligation of governments to their citizens. Sound money, according to Shelton, should maintain its value over time, acting as an unchanging standard for economic planning and transactions. She criticizes the Federal Reserve's policy of debasing the U.S. dollar through inflation targeting, which undermines its purchasing power and creates inequality in society.
The Federal Reserve was initially established to provide an elastic currency that addressed seasonal economic fluctuations. However, the role of the Fed has shifted significantly over time, leading to concerns about its growing dependence on the government for budgeting needs and potential consequences for the economy and small businesses.
Shelton argues for market-determined interest rates, pointing to historical examples like the gold standard. She also highlights the importance of accurate data in monetary policy decision-making and critiques central banks' conflicting policies on a global scale that can lead to currency wars and instability in international trade.
Shelton advocates for a new international monetary system anchored by a gold convertible long-term US Treasury bond, which would promote stability and accountability in international transactions. She recalls her unsuccessful nomination to the Federal Reserve and expresses her belief that economic growth under President Trump's agenda and Elon Musk's involvement could lead to controlling the budget and promoting sound money. Shelton urges for less central planning by governments, believing there is a collective yearning for trustworthy, stable money in society.
The interview concludes with Dr. Judy Shelton expressing her gratitude for the opportunity to discuss her ideas and the success of her book "Good as Gold" on Amazon's charts. She encourages listeners to get radical and demand sound money from their governments for a more prosperous economy based on individual liberty.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:45 - Sound Money & Morality2:27 - Money Vs. Currency4:32 - Price Stability?11:52 - Fed Control & Hubris18:30 - Central Planning & Mkts24:03 - Fed 'Independence'27:20 - Pricing Money Free Mkt.36:10 - C.B. Global Effects39:34 - BRICS & Gold?44:34 - U.S. Gold Bonds?55:30 - Golds History of Restraint59:15 - Politics & Financial Plans1:01:59 - Nominee & 'Extreme Views'1:10:22 - Book 'Good as Gold'1:11:50 - Get Radical & Wrap Up
Talking Points From This Episode
Dr. Judy Shelton advocates for sound money as a moral obligation of governments to ensure economic stability and planning through unchanging currency value.
The Federal Reserve's inflation targeting policy weakens U.S. dollar purchasing power, leading to inequality and potential consequences for the economy.
Shelton proposes a new international monetary system anchored by a gold convertible long-term US Treasury bond for stability in global transactions.
Guest Links:X: https://x.com/judyshel
Book: Good as Gold: How to Unleash the Power of Sound Moneyhttps://www.amazon.com/Good-Gold-Unleash-Power-Sound/dp/1598133896
Dr. Judy Shelton is a senior fellow at Independent Institute, former chairman of the National Endowment for Democracy, and former US director of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development. She has provided testimony before the Senate and has been consulted on international monetary issues by the White House and the Pentagon. She is the author of multiple books and has written for the Wall Street Journal and Financial Times. -
In case you missed part one, the full version is available on X, Rumble and various Podcast apps.
In part two, the discussion continues around Dave's skepticism towards various economic topics, including the Federal Reserve's rate cuts and market valuations. He argues for a return to realistic expectations and understanding debt and returns.
The Professor expresses concerns about current leaders, financialization, and growing geopolitical realignments.
Dave envisions gold becoming the world's reserve currency within the next decade and expresses his high conviction in gold investments, advocating for cash during market downturns and sharing past experiences. He criticizes the Bank of England's selling tactics and platinum investment opportunities despite instability in South Africa.
Lastly Collum discussed his recent podcast comment experiences, the declining value of college degrees, and proposed a funding plan for student loans.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Lack of Introduction0:19 - Staying Objective & Fed Cut s10:38 - Hedonic Adjustments13:54 - Easy Money & Bad Signals22:32 - General Vs. Specialization26:13 - BRICS Realignment30:42 - 40-Year Bear Market36:16 - Commercial Real Estate40:10 - Gold & Brown's Bottom43:39 - Platinum & Miners45:23 - Travel & Impressions50:04 - Opportunity & Miners52:29 - Podcast Comments & Tops54:40 - 1925 S&P To Now & M257:00 - Ponzi Demographics1:02:09 - Constructive Comments?1:05:24 - Education is Rotting1:10:00 - Wrap Up
Guest LinksTwitter: https://x.com/davidbcollumWebsite: https://collum.chem.cornell.edu/
David B. Collum is an American Chemist and professor at Cornell University. He currently teaches a graduate Chemistry and Chemical biology course.
He also runs the Collum group, which focuses on how aggregation and solvation dictate the reactivity and selectivity of organolithium compounds commonly used by synthetic chemists in academia and the pharmaceutical industry.
Ph.D., Columbia University, MA Columbia University, BS Cornell University. -
https://rumble.com/v5jh4sk-david-collum-part-one-bannable-banter-the-topics-that-tiptoe-on-trouble.html
Tom Bodrovics welcomes back the always entertaining Professor Dave Collum for a pre-election discussion. David is Professor of Chemistry at Cornell University and a forthright Market Commentator.
Collum expresses his concerns about the election's candidates and their historical roles. He suggests that Trump, despite having moral weaknesses, may have matured with a stronger conviction than Harris, who he believes lacks intellect and understanding of her role in history.
Collum touches on morally unguided leaders, stating people are tired of such individuals, which could influence the election's outcome. He also discusses potential violence surrounding the election and the impact of mail-in ballots on fairness perception. Furthermore, he shares thoughts on societal moral decay and the impacts on markets and relationships.
Dave critiques FDR's actions during WWII, referencing books like American Betrayal, The Red Thread, and New Deal or Raw Deal.
The conversation delves back into politics and ethics. One person regretted dismissing JD Vance and saw Kamala Harris' "unburdened by what has been" as a potentially effective message. They discussed free speech, accountability, and concerns about weaponizing of the justice system.
The discussion also questions the phenomenon of gender reassignment among young people, suggesting it might be rooted in a lack of meaning or purpose. They criticized questionable practices and silenced voices regarding the medical community and government's role.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:54 - Elections & Expectations9:20 - Internet Friends12:09 - Censorship & Control16:30 - FDR & New Deal19:52 - USSR Made In USA29:12 - Underestimating Dems.32:26 - Judicial Weaponization36:18 - Age of Unaccountability43:25 - Kids, & Finding Meaning48:45 - Covid & Experiments58:44 - Influencing the Outcome1:01:06 - Students & Tribalism
Guest LinksTwitter: https://x.com/davidbcollumWebsite: https://collum.chem.cornell.edu/
David B. Collum is an American Chemist and professor at Cornell University. He currently teaches a graduate Chemistry and Chemical biology course.
He also runs the Collum group, which focuses on how aggregation and solvation dictate the reactivity and selectivity of organolithium compounds commonly used by synthetic chemists in academia and the pharmaceutical industry.
Ph.D., Columbia University, MA Columbia University, BS Cornell University. -
Tom welcomes back John Rubino, former Wall Street analyst, author and Substacker https://rubino.substack.com for a discussion on the gold mining industry's recent trends during the third quarter earnings reports. Despite the increase in gold prices, mining stocks have underperformed due to factors like rising costs and geopolitical risks. However, strong earning reports from top companies are attracting momentum investors, potentially triggering a bull market for precious metals. John emphasizes the importance of investing psychology and buying undervalued assets during bear markets. He also discusses the cyclicality of mining sector, potential acquisitions following strong earnings, and the significance of both fundamental setups and technical indicators when considering gold and silver investments. Additionally, Russia's decision to buy silver for its strategic reserve fund is affecting the silver market by tightening supply and increasing upward pressure on prices. Despite economic uncertainties, investors are encouraged to seek opportunities in this environment.Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:43 - Miners & Earnings4:56 - Underperformance?7:09 - Numerous Good Sectors11:03 - Peaky Bubbles15:28 - Miners, Cycles, & M&A21:14 - Miner Behaviors & Results27:56 - Buyouts & Shareholders30:12 - Technicals/Fundamentals36:42 - Wage Price Spiral41:58 - Russia Buying Silver43:51 - Wrap UpTalking Points From This EpisodeMining stocks underperformed despite gold price increase due to rising costs and geopolitical risks.Strong earnings reports from top companies attract momentum investors, potentially sparking precious metals bull market.Invest in undervalued assets during bear markets for long-term gains; consider both fundamentals and technicals.Guest LinksSubstack: https://rubino.substack.comBooks: https://tinyurl.com/5buyvy6vJohn Rubino is a former Wall Street financial analyst and author or co-author of five books, including The Money Bubble: What To Do Before It Pops. He founded the popular financial website DollarCollapse.com in 2004 and sold it in 2022, and now publishes on Substack.
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In this episode of Palisades Gold Radio, your host Tom Bodrovics invites back Michael Oliver from Momentum Structural Analysis to discuss the stock market's present condition in relation to the upcoming US election. Michael expresses his view that the markets have not fully accounted for the uncertainty and potential instability arising from the election. He references historical precedents of market reactions following unpredictable election results, specifically the bull market peaks in 2000 and 2007, where interest rate cuts after periods of hikes led to significant downturns.
Michael shares his perspective on the economy, emphasizing that the Fed has shifted its focus from inflation control to defending the economy due to Powell's concerns over an inadequate job market, particularly in manufacturing and essential industries, and a looming debt crisis. He discusses the potential consequences for the bond market and gold prices, suggesting that when the stock market corrects, data points will shift, prompting Fed concern about solvency and the need to roll over substantial amounts of debt with increasing interest costs.
Michael discusses the potential for a government debt crisis and its impact on gold, predicting a short-term rally in T-bonds as assets flow out of stocks into perceived safety but an ultimately downward trend in terms of price and upward yield. He also highlights the significance of commodities related to agriculture, energy, and base metals following gold's lead during market upswings.
Michael explains the correlation between stock markets and the US dollar index, emphasizing that increased losses may create demand for the dollar but warning that historically, major swings in the dollar index have followed the stock market trends rather than assisting it in times of potential breakdowns.
Michael uses an analogy to describe gold's relationship with silver, viewing it as a 'mama market' with silver acting as an unpredictable 'wild dog on a leash.' He explains that while gold sets trends, silver exhibits seemingly irrational swings but ultimately follows the same direction. The underperforming gold miners GDX are expected to outperform gold in the future, and silver's industrial significance could lead to increased attention once prices take off.
Predicting significant price increases for gold, Michael suggests that conditions such as stock market instability, central bank issues, and government debt markets could drive a surge reminiscent of the late 1970s and early 1980s, where gold experienced eightfold growth.
Michael concludes with a discussion of the potential for market instability due to unpredictable outcomes from the US election, with both parties experiencing desperation and panic contributing to an unstable stock market. He also references Javier Milei's presidency in Argentina as a reminder of the need for painful changes in response to decades of mismanagement and anticipates an intriguing and consequential period ahead.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:31 - Markets & The Elections8:04 - Yen & the Nikk ei11:46 - Fed & Liquidity14:15 - Bond Markets & Service20:45 - Gold & Commodities24:33 - Dollar Crisis & Demand27:16 - Complexities & Timeframes32:50 - Sell Offs & Metals35:52 - Silver Vs. Gold Spreads41:32 - Metals & Fundamentals46:19 - Gold Miners & Signals49:43 - Earnings & Margins51:38 - Miners & Mining Tiers55:16 - Debt Crisis & The Metals1:02:42 - Political Upsets1:06:51 - Wrap Up
Talking Points From This Episode
Michael Oliver warns of potential market instability due to US election uncertainty, referencing historical precedents.
Fed's focus shifts from inflation control to economy defense amid job market concerns and debt crisis.
Gold predicted to surge with conditions like stock instability, central bank issues, and government debt markets.
Guest Links:Alasdair MacLeod Video: https://vimeo.com/1017577311/aaaf32f856Website: http://www. -
https://rumble.com/v5insh9-feargus-oconner-greenwood-beyond-the-illusion-exposing-the-lies-created-by-.htmlTom Bodrovics welcomes Feargus O'Connor Greenwood, author of "180 Degrees: Unlearn the Lies That You've Been Taught to Believe." This conversation centers around understanding the financial system and changing perspectives. Feargus wrote his book due to widespread deception and manipulation in society, aiming to expose deceit, break the hold of authority, and equip readers with effective communication tools. He believes that the financial system exists not for individual prosperity but as a tool to create money from nothing and exert control. Money has functions and attributes, and Feargus stresses the importance of understanding its origins and creation.Feargus discusses the historical manipulation of currencies by entities like the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve, arguing these institutions have caused economic depressions and perpetuated corruption. He believes fixing the monetary system is essential for solving global issues and restoring free market incentives. He sees gold, silver, and crypto as safe havens against potential hyperinflation and anticipates a significant price move in silver due to increasing demand.Feargus discusses the potential for physical demand of metals to potentially break markets. Technological advancements are also discussed as having potential impacts on the markets. Feargus believes Bitcoin will have a role as both a decentralized currency bringing freedom and like any tool has potential for tyrannical applications.The importance of truth, and understanding situations through a lens of proving what didn't happen rather than what did is explored. Feargus also discusses the concept of empire collapse and symptoms of decay. False flags are defined as covert operations designed to deceive and identified by broken emergency protocols, hidden evidence, and perpetrators linked with intelligence services.Feargus discusses effective communication strategies to deploy when explaining non-mainstream topics. These include starting small, avoiding arguments, using analogies, and practicing active listening. Feargus' book provides further insights into these strategies. The conversation concludes by discussing the importance of morality and ethics as essential elements for the survival of any society.Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:56 - Systemic Lies & His Book4:03 - Financial System Purpose8:20 - Money From Nothing10:20 - Infinite Money = Corruption12:16 - First Order Problems15:22 - Money Supply Booms/Busts19:04 - Central Bank Origins22:30 - Savings Vs. Inflation25:15 - Silver & Manipulation29:29 - Purpose of the B.I.S.32:25 - Possible Solutions38:24 - Origin of Bitcoin?40:48 - Describing Reality45:47 - Empire Collapse Cycles48:37 - Broken Protocols54:17 - Facing Truth & Reality57:43 - Elections & Fraud1:01:08 - Ten Solutions1:20:00 - Wrap UpGuest Links:Book: https://www.amazon.com/180-Degrees-Unlearn-Taught-Believe/dp/1915236002/EMail: [email protected] Points From This EpisodeFeargus Greenwood exposes financial system manipulation by entities like the Bank of England and Federal Reserve, advocating for understanding money's functions and considering gold, silver, or crypto as safe havens against potential inflation.Historical currency manipulations by institutions have led to economic instability; fixing the monetary system is crucial for global issues with Feargus predicting a significant price move in silver.Discussing false flags, covert operations deceptively identified by broken protocols, hidden evidence, and intelligence service links; effective communication strategies including proving non-occurrence, starting small, avoiding arguments, using analogies, and active listening.Feargus is the author of 180 Degrees: Unlearn the Lies You’ve Been Taught to Believe. Over 10,
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Tom welcomes back Tavi Costa, Portfolio Manager at Crescat Capital, for an enlightening conversation about the gold industry and commodity space. Costa expresses his views on the current market landscape, suggesting that the Federal Reserve's rate cuts could signal a structural bear market for the US dollar, with significant consequences for inflation, gold, and emerging market stocks. He also explores the potential labor market weakness and its possible link to an impending recession, emphasizing the significance of investing in industries with compelling growth prospects.
Costa delves into the subject of gold and silver markets, debating the importance of focusing on percentage gains versus supply and demand factors. He points out the long-term underperformance of the mining industry relative to gold due to a dearth of new discoveries, delayed capital flows from larger miners to smaller ones, and the general reluctance to invest in this sector.
Despite these hurdles, Tavi remains hopeful about the future of the mining industry, viewing it as a promising venture rather than a mere gamble. He stress the value of acquiring expertise, focusing on scalability, and keeping abreast of market developments. When it comes to assessing miners, explorers, and developers, Tavi advocates for zeroing in on successful ventures and overlooked assets for potential value creation.
Costa voices his concerns about analysts' inconsistent forecasts, particularly with respect to gold prices and future earnings, regarding this disparity as a lucrative opportunity for savvy investors. He also delves into the role of royalty companies in the mining industry and their influence on various sectors. Tavi stress the significance of recognizing incentives and their impact on industry dynamics.
Lastly, they explores the substantial decline in mining investment and the repercussions of government funding and Chinese competition in securing mining assets. Tavi expresses enthusiasm for the prospective rewards in the mining sector.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introductions0:55 - Market Turning Point4:23 - Weak Dollar Outlook11:04 - Labor & Job Numbers15:34 - Inflation & Commodities22:00 - 2024 P.M. Performance29:33 - Gold Vs. Miners35:03 - Investment or Speculation39:33 - Analyzing Mine Sector48:36 - Royalty Plays?51:53 - Shift to Resources59:06 - Strategic Metals1:07:28 - Capital Necessities1:10:16 - Chinese Investment1:12:36 - Vision & Success1:14:12 - Wrap Up
Guest Links:X: https://x.com/tavicostaX: https://x.com/crescat_capitalWebsite: https://crescat.net
Talking Points From This Episode
Tavi Costa predicts a US dollar bear market due to Fed rate cuts, impacting gold, inflation, and emerging markets.
Tavi emphasizes expertise, scalability, and market knowledge for success in mining industry.
Tavi Costa sees potential in overlooked mining assets, despite challenges like analyst uncertainty and declining capital investment.
Otavio ("Tavi") Costa is a Member and Portfolio Manager at Crescat Capital and has been with the firm since 2013. He built Crescat's macro model that identifies the current stage of the U.S. economic cycle through a combination of 16 factors.
His research is regularly featured in financial publications such as Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, CCN, Financial Post, The Globe and Mail, Real Vision, and Reuters. Tavi is a native of São Paulo, Brazil, and fluent in Portuguese, Spanish, and English. Before joining Crescat, he worked with the underwriting of financial products and international business at Braservice, a large logistics company in Brazil.
Tavi graduated cum laude from Lindenwood University in St. Louis with a B.A. degree in Business Administration with an emphasis in Finance and a minor in Spanish. Tavi played NCAA Division 1 tennis for Liberty University. -
Tom Bodrovics welcoms back global forecaster and author David Murrin to discuss the significance of historical understanding for predicting complex geopolitical events and avoiding future conflicts. Murrin shares his belief in the repetition of historical patterns due to human unconsciousness, emphasizing the importance of studying history from multiple perspectives. He believes that the current geopolitical situation between the West and China/Russia could lead to World War Three, highlighting historical cycles as potential catalysts for conflict.
Murrin also shares his theory on five stages of empires, which he's applies to Britain, Germany, and America's power dynamics. He warns about the challenges facing China due to economic instability and military expansion, urging strategic thinking to counteract this challenge. Murrin discusses China's economic shift towards industry growth, and the potential implications of the U.S.'s rate-cutting cycle.
David emphasizes the importance of understanding war blindness, a dangerous tendency for denial and appeasement in Western society, and the potential consequences of inflation due to economic power shifts between democratic and autocratic systems. He encourages individual action and the embrace of lateral thinking as crucial steps for personal growth and societal progress. Murrin also discusses the potential for wars to promote accelerated societal evolution and encourages understanding historical cycles to prevent future conflicts.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction2:15 - Perspectives & Predictions7:04 - Humanities Blind Alley15:08 - History & Narrative Bias18:32 - China & Economic Issues28:29 - China's Strength?30:40 - U.S. Monetary Policy34:44 - China & Commodities38:24 - War Monger?42:44 - Stimulus & Recession?46:00 - End of Globalization?47:34 - Economic Warfare & China50:55 - Warning & Avoidance53:18 - Strategic Thrivers59:24 - Wrap Up/Conclusion
Talking Points From This Episode
David Murrin stresses historical patterns' repetition and their role in predicting geopolitical conflicts.
He identifies five stages of empires and warns about China's economic instability and military expansion.
Murrin advocates understanding war blindness, lateral thinking, and historical cycles to prevent future conflicts.
Guest LinksTwitter: https://twitter.com/GlobalForecastrWebsite: https://www.davidmurrin.co.uk/Lateral Vs Linear Thought: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F_v5720RPmw&t=636s
David Murrin began his unique career in the oil exploration business amongst the jungles of Papua New Guinea and the southwestern Pacific islands. There, he engaged with the numerous tribes of the Sepik River, exploring the mineral composition of the region. Before the age of adventure tourism, this region was highly dangerous, very uncertain and local indigenous groups were often hostile and cannibalistic. David's work with the PNG tribespeople catalyzed his theories on collective human behavior.
In the early 1980s, David embarked on a new career, joining JP Morgan in London. Watching his colleges on the trading floors, he quickly identified modern society also behaved collectively. He was sent to New York on JPMs highly rated internal MBA equivalent finance program. Once back in London, he traded FX, bonds, equities, and commodities on JPMs first European Prop desk. In 1991, he founded and managed JPMs highly successful European Market Analysis Group, developing new behavioral investment techniques which were utilized to deploy and manage risk at the highest level of the bank.
In 1993, David founded his first hedge fund, Apollo Asset Management, and, in 1997, co-founded Emergent Asset Management as CIO. His primary role was overseeing trading across all fund products as well as being particularly active in the firm's private equity business. He co-founded Emvest, Emergents African land fund, in 2008 and acted as its Chairman until its sale from the group in 2011. -
Tom welcomes back Matthew Pipenburg from Von Greyerz Gold Switzerland to discusses the seemingly inevitable economic decline. Matthew discusses the relevance of Ernest Hemingway's perspectives on inflation and war to today's economic landscape. Pipenburg emphasized the potential for political opportunists to manipulate conflicts and economic instability for their advantage, leading to long-term ruin. He also touches upon Hemingway's background and how his experiences shaped his views on these issues.
The conversation shifts towards the importance of addressing misaligned incentives within systems and the potential dangers of fascist-like tendencies in modern politics. He discusses the implications of wealth inequality, consolidated power, and corporate influence on politics and decision-making bodies. He advocates for a reevaluation of anti-trust laws to combat monopolies in various sectors, including media, banking, agriculture, and tech.
Tom then asks about the significance of political intelligence and leadership. They discussed the historical context leading to economic crises and the implications of record-breaking public debt on society and the economy.
Pipenburg compares the economic situation Nixon faced in the 1970s with the present day, arguing that we have entered a permanent ruin stage from a period of temporary prosperity due to unprecedented issuance of debt. Matthew also explores the impact of monetary dilution on various asset classes, including Bitcoin, gold, and the S&P 500, in relation to the diminishing purchasing power of the U.S. dollar.
The conversation focuses on the cyclicality of the gold and silver markets and their long-term trends due to the loss of trust in fiat money and central banks seeking alternatives. He also discusses the potential implications of countries like China and Russia returning to a gold-backed currency as part of their economic strategies. Lastly, he encourages patience, objectivity, and critical thinking to protect against potential chaos.
Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction1:03 - A Timely Quote10:00 - Systems & Incentives21:47 - Harris & Political Games24:13 - Gold, Nixon, & Politics36:10 - 70s Inflation & Now41:40 - Debt & Consequences46:13 - Expectations This Cycle52:24 - Monetary Dilution 'Solution'1:01:02 - P.M. Price Cyclicality1:09:50 - Gold Backing Currency?1:16:18 - Objectivity & Road Ahead1:21:06 - Wrap Up
Talking Points From This Episode
Why Hemingway's insights on inflation, war, and political manipulation are still relevant today.
Addressing misaligned incentives within systems to prevent long-term ruin.
Exploring the economic implications of record-breaking public debt and importance of real leadership and democracy.
Guest LinksTwitter: https://twitter.com/GoldSwitzerlandWebsite: https://goldswitzerland.com/Articles: https://signalsmatter.com/Book (Amazon): https://tinyurl.com/pvpfmy8c
Matthew Piepenburg is a Partner of Von Greyerz and the author of the popular book, "Rigged to Fail". Matt is fluent in French, German, and English. He is a graduate of Brown (BA), Harvard (MA), and the University of Michigan (JD). His widely-respected reports on macro conditions and the changing behavior of risk assets are published regularly at SignalsMatter.com. - Mehr anzeigen
