Folgen
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Ryan Sakoda talks about the effects of post-release supervision.
âAbolish or Reform? An Analysis of Post-Release Supervisionâ by Ryan Sakoda.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:âIntensive Probation and Parole" by Joan Petersilia and Susan Turner.
âThe Effects of Low-Intensity Supervision for Lower-Risk Probationers: Updated Results from a Randomized Controlled Trialâ by Geoffrey C. Barnes, Jordan M. Hyatt, Lindsay Ahlman, and Daniel Kent.
âAn Experimental Evaluation of the Impact of Intensive Supervision on the Recidivism of High-Risk Probationersâ by Jordan M. Hyatt and Geoffrey C. Barnes.
âManaging Drug Involved Probationers with Swift and Certain Sanctions: Evaluating Hawaiiâs HOPEâ by Angela Hawken and Mark Kleiman.
âWashington Intensive Supervision Program: Evaluation Reportâ by Angela Hawken and Mark Kleiman.
âAlternative Models of Instant Drug Testing: Evidence from an Experimental Trialâ by Eric Grommon, Stephen M. Cox, William S. Davidson II, and Timothy S. Bynum.
âHOPE II: A Follow-up to Hawaiiâs HOPE Evaluationâ by Angela Hawken, Jonathan Kulick, Kelly Smith, Jie Mei, Yiwen Zhang, Sara Jarman, Travis Yu, Chris Carson, and Tifanie Vial.
âOutcome Findings from the HOPE Demonstration Field Experiment: Is Swift, Certain, and Fair an Effective Supervision Strategy?â by Pamela K. Lattimore, Doris Layton MacKenzie, Gary Zajac, Debbie Dawes, Elaine Arsenault, and Stephen Tueller.
âManaging Pretrial Misconduct: An Experimental Evaluation of HOPE Pretrialâ by Janet Davidson, George King, Jens Ludwig, and Steven Raphael.
âWho Gets a Second Chance? Effectiveness and Equity in Supervision of Criminal Offendersâ by Evan K. Rose.
Probable Causation Episode 98: Evan Rose
"Release from Prison, Parole, and Mortality" by Ashna Arora
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Amanda Agan talks about how sealing criminal records affects employment.
âCan you Erase the Mark of a Criminal Record? Labor Market Impacts of Criminal Record Remediationâ by Amanda Agan, Andrew Garin, Dmitri Koustas, Alex Mas, and Crystal Yang.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:Probable Causation Episode 9: Michael Mueller-Smith
âBan the Box, Criminal Records, and Racial Discrimination: A Field Experiment" by Amanda Agan and Sonja Starr.
Probable Causation Episode 8: Amanda Agan
"The mark of a criminal record" by Devah Pager.
"The edge of stigma: An experimental audit of the effects of low-level criminal records on employment" by Christopher Uggen, Mike Vuolo, Sarah Lageson, Ebony Ruhland, and Hilary K. Whitham.
"Does banning the box help ex-offenders get jobs? Evaluating the effects of a prominent example" by Evan K. Rose.
"The criminal and labor market impacts of incarceration" by Michael Mueller-Smith.
"Expungement of criminal convictions: An empirical study" by J.J. Prescott and Sonja Starr.
"Unmarked: Criminal Record Clearing and Employment Outcomes" by Jeffrey Selbin, Justin McCrary, and Joshua Epstein.
"America's paper prisons: The second chance gap" by Colleen Chien.
"Misdemeanor Prosecution" by Amanda Agan, Jennifer L. Doleac, and Anna Harvey.
Probable Causation Episode 51: Amanda Agan and Anna Harvey
"Labor Market Impacts of Reducing Felony Convictions" by Amanda Y. Agan, Andrew Garin, Dmitri K. Koustas, Alexandre Mas, and Crystal Yang.
"Is it time to let go of the past? Effect of clean slate regulation on employment and earnings" by Kabir Dasgupta, Keshar Ghimire, and Alexander Plum.
"Increasing the Demand for Workers with a Criminal Record" by Zoë Cullen, Will Dobbie, and Mitchell Hoffman.
Probable Causation Episode 71: Zoë Cullen
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Fehlende Folgen?
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Oeindrila Dube talks about a cognitive behavioral training program for police.
âA Cognitive View of Policingâ by Oeindrila Dube, Sandy Jo MacArthur, and Anuj Shah.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:"Thinking, fast and slow? Some field experiments to reduce crime and dropout in Chicago" by Sara B. Heller, Anuj K. Shah, Jonathan Guryan, Jens Ludwig, Sendhil Mullainathan, and Harold A. Pollack.
"Can You Build a Better Cop?" by Emily Owens, David Weisburd, Karen L. Amendola, and Geoffrey P. Alpert.
"The Impacts of Implicit Bias Awareness Training in the NYPD" by Robert E. Worden, Sarah J. McLean, Robin S. Engel, Hannah Cochran, Nicholas Corsaro, Danielle Reynolds, Cynthia J. Najdowski, and Gabrielle T. Isaza.
"The impact of implicit bias-oriented diversity training on police officersâ beliefs, motivations, and actions" by Calvin K. Lai and Jaclyn A. Lisnek.
"Does De-escalation Training Work?" by Robin S. Engel, Hannah D. McManus, and Tamara D. Herold.
"Assessing the Impact of De-escalation Training on Police Behavior: Reducing Police Use of Force in the Louisville, KY Metro Police Department" by Robin S. Engel, Nicholas Corsaro, Gabrielle T. Isaza, and Hannah D. McManus.
âReducing crime and violence: Experimental evidence from cognitive behavioral therapy in Liberiaâ by Christopher Blattman, Julian C. Jamison, and Margaret Sheridan.
"Can Recidivism Be Prevented From Behind Bars? Evidence From a Behavioral Program" by William Arbour.
Probable Causation Episode 102: William Arbour
"Peer Effects in Police Use of Force" by Justin E. Holz, Roman G. Rivera, and Bocar A. Ba.
"The Effect of Field Training Officers on Police Use of Force" by Chandon Adger, Matthew Ross, and CarlyWill Sloan.
Probable Causation Episode 90: Matthew Ross
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Erich Muehlegger talks about the effect of air pollution on crime. This episode was first posted in September 2020.
"Air Pollution and Criminal Activity: Microgeographic Evidence from Chicago" by Evan Herrnstadt, Anthony Heyes, Erich Muehlegger, and Soodeh Saberian.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:âCrime Is in the Air: The Contemporaneous Relationship between Air Pollution and Crimeâ by Malvina Bondy, Sefi Roth, and Lutz Sager.
âThe effect of pollution on crime: Evidence from data on particulate matter and ozoneâ by Jesse Burkhardt, Jude Bayham, Ander Wilson, Ellison Carter, Jesse D. Berman, Katelyn OâDell, Bonne Ford, Emily V. Fischer, and Jeffrey R. Pierce.
âThe Mortality and Medical Costs of Air Pollution: Evidence from Changes in Wind Directionâ by Tatyana Deryugina, Garth Heutel, Nolan H. Miller, David Molitor, and Julian Reif.
âAirports, Air Pollution, and Contemporaneous Healthâ by Wolfram Schlenker and W. Reed Walker.
âTraffic Congestion and Infant Health: Evidence from E-ZPassâ by Janet Currie and Reed Walker.
âAs the Wind Blows: The Effects of Long-Term Exposure to Air Pollution on Mortalityâ by Michael L. Anderson.
âAir pollution and children's respiratory health: A cohort analysisâ by Timothy K.M. Beatty and Jay P. Shimshack.
âAir Quality and Error Quantity: Pollution and Performance in a High-Skilled, Quality-Focused Occupationâ by James Archsmith, Anthony Heyes, and Soodeh Saberian.
âThe Long-Run Economic Consequences of High-Stakes Examinations: Evidence from Transitory Variation in Pollutionâ by Avraham Ebenstein, Victor Lavy, and Sefi Roth.
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Aurelie Ouss talks about using insights from behavioral economics to reduce failures-to-appear in court. This episode was first posted in January 2020.
"Nudging Crime Policy: Reducing Failures to Appear for Court" by Alissa Fishbane, Aurelie Ouss, and Anuj K. Shah. (Available from the authors upon request.)Related policy paper: "Using Behavioral Science to Improve Criminal Justice Outcomes: Preventing Failures to Appear in Court" by Brice Cook, Binta Zahra Diop, Alissa Fishbane, Jonathan Hayes, Aurelie Ouss, and Anuj Shah.OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:"Bail, Jail, and Pretrial Misconduct: The Influence of Prosecutors" by Aurelie Ouss and Megan T. Stevenson.
âDistortion of Justice: How the Inability to Pay Bail Affects Case Outcomesâ by Megan T. Stevenson.
âThe Effects of Pretrial Detention on Conviction, Future Crime, and Employment: Evidence from Randomly Assigned Judgesâ by Will Dobbie, Jacob Goldin, and Crystal S. Yang.
âThe Unintended Impact of Pretrial Detention on Case Outcomes: Evidence from New York City Arraignmentsâ by Emily Leslie and Nolan G. Pope.
âThe Downstream Consequences of Misdemeanor Pretrial Detentionâ by Paul Heaton, Sandra Mayson, and Megan Stevenson.
Episode 4 of Probable Causation: Megan Stevenson
"Thinking, Fast and Slow? Some Field Experiments to Reduce Crime and Dropout in Chicago" by Sara B. Heller, Anuj K. Shah, Jonathan Guryan, Jens Ludwig, Sendhil Mullainathan, and Harold A. Pollack.
âBehavioral Biases and Legal Compliance: A Field Experimentâ by Natalia Emanuel and Helen Ho.
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Marguerite Burns and Laura Dague talk about the effects of Medicaid enrollment on recidivism.
"In-Kind Welfare Benefits and Reincarceration Risk: Evidence from Medicaid" by Marguerite Burns and Laura Dague.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:"Mental Health and Criminal Involvement: Evidence from Losing Medicaid Eligibility" by Elisa Jacome.
Probable Causation Episode 60: Elisa Jacome
âThe consequences of Medicaid expansion under the Affordable Care Act for police arrestsâ by Jessica T. Simes and Jaquelyn L. Jahn.
âPublic health insurance and impacts on crime incidences and mental health" by Kathryn L. Wagner.
"Access to health Care and Criminal Behavior: Evidence form the ACA Medicaid Expansions" by Jacob Vogler.
"The Effect of Health Insurance on Crime: Evidence from the Affordable Care Act Medicaid Expansion" by Qiwei He and Scott Bardowski.
"The Effect of Medicaid Expansion on Crime Reduction: Evidence from HIFA-Waiver Expansions" by Hefei Wen, Jason M. Hockenberry, and Janet R. Cummings.
"Does Public Assistance Reduce Recidivism?" by Crystal S. Yang.
âSNAP benefits and crime: Evidence from changing disbursement schedulesâ by Jillian B. Carr and Analisa Packham.
"Does emergency financial assistance reduce crime?" by Caroline Palmer, David C. Phillips, and James X. Sullivan.
âDoes welfare prevent crime? The criminal justice outcomes of youth removed from SSI" by Manasi Deshpande and Michael Mueller-Smith.
Probable Causation Episode 72: Manasi Desphande
"Snapping Back: Food Stamp Bans and Criminal Recidivism" by Cody Tuttle.
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William Arbour talks about how prison-based behavioral programs in Canada affect recidivism.
"Can Recidivism Be Prevented From Behind Bars? Evidence From a Behavioral Program" by William Arbour.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:âThinking, fast and slow? Some field experiments to reduce crime and dropout in Chicagoâ by Sara B. Heller, Anuj K. Shah, Jonathan Guryan, Jens Ludwig, Sendhil Mullainathan, and Harold A. Pollack.
âReducing crime and violence: Experimental evidence from cognitive behavioral therapy in Liberiaâ by Christopher Blattman, Julian C. Jamison, and Margaret Sheridan.
Probable Causation Episode 23: Lelys Dinarte.
"One Size Doesnât Fit All â The Heterogeneous Effects of Prison Programs" by Michael LaForest-Tucker. [Working paper available from the author.]
"Can Restorative Justice Conferencing Reduce Recidivism? Evidence From the Make-it-Right Program" by Yotam Shem-Tov, Steven Raphael, and Alissa Skog.
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Randi Hjalmarsson talks about how punishment severity affects juries' decisions to convict. This episode was first posted in June 2020.
"How Punishment Severity Affects Jury Verdicts: Evidence from Two Natural Experiments" by Anna Bindler and Randi Hjalmarsson.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:âMaking the Crime Fit the Penalty: The Role of Prosecutorial Discretion under Mandatory Minimum Sentencingâ by David Bjerk.
âThe Impact of Jury Race in Criminal Trialsâ by Shamena Anwar, Patrick Bayer, and Randi Hjalmarsson.
âThe Role of Age in Jury Selection and Trial Outcomesâ by Shamena Anwar, Patrick Bayer, and Randi Hjalmarsson.
âA Jury of Her Peers: The Impact of the First Female Jurors on Criminal Verdictsâ by Shamena Anwar, Patrick Bayer, and Randi Hjalmarsson.
âPolitics in the Courtroom: Political Ideology and Jury Decision Makingâ by Shamena Anwar, Patrick Bayer, and Randi Hjalmarsson.
âNo Hatred or Malice, Fear or Affection: Media and Sentencingâ by Aurelie Ouss and Arnaud Philippe.
âPath Dependency in Jury Decision Makingâ by Anna Bindler and Randi Hjalmarsson.
âThe Persistence of the Criminal Justice Gender Gap: Evidence from 200 Years of Judicial Decisionsâ by Anna Bindler and Randi Hjalmarsson.
âThe Impact of the First Professional Police Forces on Crimeâ by Anna Bindler and Randi Hjalmarsson.
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Sara Heller talks about summer youth employment programs.
"Summer Jobs Reduce Violence Among Disadvantaged Youth" by Sara B. Heller.
"Rethinking the Benefits of Youth Employment Programs: The Heterogeneous Effects of Summer Jobs" by Jonathan M.V. Davis and Sara B. Heller
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:"What Works? A Meta Analysis of Recent Active Labor Market Program Evaluations" by David Card, Jochen Kluve, and Andrea Weber.
"Active Labor Market Policies" by Bruno Crépon and Gerard J. van den Berg.
"Employment and Training Programs" by Robert J. LaLonde.
"The Promise of Public Sector-Sponsored Training Programs" by Robert J. LaLonde.
"The Youth Entitlement Demonstration: Subsidized Employment with a Schooling Requirement" by George Farkas, D. Alton Smith, and Ernst W. Stromsdorfer.
"A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of In-School and Summer Neighborhood Youth Corps: A Nationwide Evaluation" by Gerald G. Somers and Ernst W. Stromsdorfer.
"Summer Training and Education Program (STEP): Report on Long-Term Impacts" by Cynthia L. Sipe and Jean Baldwin Grossman.
"An Anatomy of a Demonstration: STEP from Pilot through Replication and Postprogram Impacts" by Frances Vilella-Velez and Gary Walker.
"The Summer Employment Experiences and the Personal/Social Behaviors of Youth Violence Prevention Employment Program Participants and Those of a Comparison Group" by Andrew Sum, Mykhaylo Trubskyy, and Walter McHugh.
"Enriching Summer Work: An Evaluation of the Summer Career Exploration Program" by Wendy S. McClanahan, Cynthia L. Sipe, and Thomas J. Smith.
"What Is a Summer Job Worth? The Impact of Summer Youth Employment on Academic Outcomes" by Jacob Leos-Urbel.
"Making Summer Matter: The Impact of Youth Employment on Academic Performance" by Amy Ellen Schwartz, Jacob Leos-Urbel, and Matt Wiswall.
"The Effects of Youth Employment: Evidence from New York City Lotteries" by Alexander Gelber, Adam Isen, and Judd B. Kessler.
"An Introduction to the World of Work: A Study of the Implementation and Impacts of New York Cityâs Summer Youth Employment Program" by Erin Jacobs Valentine, Chloe Anderson Golub, Farhana Hossain, and Rebecca Unterman.
"How Do Summer Youth Employment Programs Improve Criminal Justice Outcomes, and for Whom?" by Alicia Sasser Modestino.
"Reducing inequality summer by summer: Lessons from an evaluation of the Boston Summer Youth Employment Program" by Alicia Sasser Modestino and Richard J. Paulsen.
"Schoolâs Out: How Summer Youth Employment Programs Impact Academic Outcomes" by Alicia Sasser Modestino and Richard Paulsen.
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Xinming Du talks about how aggressive posts on social media affect offline violence.
âSymptom or Culprit? Social Media, Air Pollution, and Violenceâ by Xinming Du.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:âExperimental Evidence of Massive-Scale Emotional Contagion Through Social Networksâ by Adam Kramer, Jamie Guillory, and Jeffrey Hancock.
âSocial Media and Protest Participation: Evidence from Russiaâ by Ruben Enikolopov, Alexey Makarin, and Maria Petrova.
âFanning the Flames of Hate: Social Media and Hate Crimeâ by Karsten Muller and Carlo Schwarz.
Episode 35 of Probable Causation: Erich Muehlegger
âToxic Content and User Engagement on Social Media: Evidence from a Field Experimentâ by George Beknazar-Yuzbashev, Rafael JimĂ©nez DurĂĄn, Jesse McCrosky, and Mateusz Stalinski.
âSocial Media and Mental Healthâ by Luca Braghieri, Roâee Levy, and Alexey Makarin.
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Marina Gorzig and Deborah Rho talk about the effects of renter protection policies (including limits on landlords' use of criminal records) in Minneapolis.
âThe Impact of Renter Protection Policies on Housing Discrimination in Minneapolisâ by Marina Gorzig and Deborah Rho.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:âThe Unintended Consequences of âBan the Boxâ: Statistical Discrimination and Employment Outcomes when Criminal Histories are Hiddenâ by Jennifer Doleac and Benjamin Hansen.
âBan the Box, Criminal Records, and Racial Discrimination: A Field Experimentâ by Amanda Agan and Sonja Starr.
Episode 8 of Probable Causation: Amanda Agan.
âDiscrimination and the Effects of Drug Testing on Black Employmentâ by Abigail Wozniak.
âDeleting a Signal: Evidence from Pre-Employment Credit Checksâ by Alexander W. Bartik and Scott T. Nelson.
âCriminal Records and Housing: An Experimental Studyâ by Peter Leasure and Tara Martin.
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Ben Feigenberg talks about socioeconomic disparities in who police stop for traffic offenses.
âClass Disparities and Discrimination in Traffic Stops and Searchesâ by Ben Feigenberg and Conrad Miller.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:âWould Eliminating Racial Disparities in Motor Vehicle Searches Have Efficiency Costs?â by Ben Feigenberg and Conrad Miller.
âSmartphone Data Reveal Neighborhood-Level Racial Disparities in Police Presenceâ by M. Keith Chen, Katherine L. Christensen, Elicia John, Emily Owens, and Yilin Zhou.
âMultitasking, Expectations, and Police Officer Behaviorâ by James Reeves. [Draft available from author upon request].
âMy Taxes are Too Darn High: Why Do Households Protest Their Taxes?â by Brad C. Nathan, Ricardo Perez-Truglia, and Alejandro Zentner.
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Evan Rose talks about community supervision, and the costs and benefits of incarceration as a consequence for breaking probation rules
âWho Gets a Second Chance? Effectiveness and Equity in Supervision of Criminal Offendersâ by Evan K. Rose
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:âFive Year Outcomes in a Randomized Trial of a Community-Based Multi-Agency Intensive Supervision Juvenile Probation Programâ by Karen Hennigan, Kathy Kolnick, Tian Sivan Tian, Cheryl Maxson, and John Poplawski.
âThe Effects of Low-Intensity Supervision for Lower-Risk Probationers: Updated Results from a Randomized Controlled Trialâ by Geoffrey C. Barnes, Jordan M. Hyatt, Lindsay Ahlman, and Daniel Kent.
âAn Evaluation of Day Reporting Centers of Parolees: Outcomes of a Randomized Trialâ by Douglas J. Boyle, Laura M Ragusa-Salerno, Jennifer L. Lanterman, and Andrea Fleisch Marcus.
âAn Experimental Evaluation of the Impact of Intensive Supervision on the Recidivism of High-Risk Probationersâ by Jordan M. Hyatt and Geoffrey C. Barnes.
âManaging Drug Involved Probationers with Swift and Certain Sanctions: Evaluating Hawaiiâs HOPEâ by Angela Hawken and Mark Kleiman.
âWashington Intensive Supervision Program: Evaluation Reportâ by Angela Hawken and Mark Kleiman.
âAlternative Models of Instant Drug Testing: Evidence from an Experimental Trialâ by Eric Grommon, Stephen M. Cox, William S. Davidson II, and Timothy S. Bynum.
âHOPE II: A Follow-up to Hawaiiâs HOPE Evaluationâ by Angela Hawken, Jonathan Kulick, Kelly Smith, Jie Mei, Yiwen Zhang, Sara Jarman, Travis Yu, Chris Carson, and Tifanie Vial.
âOutcome Findings from the HOPE Demonstration Field Experiment: Is Swift, Certain, and Fair an Effective Supervision Strategy?â by Pamela K. Lattimore, Doris Layton MacKenzie, Gary Zajac, Debbie Dawes, Elaine Arsenault, and Stephen Tueller.
âManaging Pretrial Misconduct: An Experimental Evaluation of HOPE Pretrialâ by Janet Davidson, George King, Jens Ludwig, and Steven Raphael.
âEfficient Sentencing? The Effect of Post-Release Supervision on Low-Level Offendersâ by Ryan Sakoda. [Unpublished manuscript]
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David Phillips talks about connecting people released from jail with mental health care. This episode was first posted in February 2022.
âReducing Re-arrests through Light Touch Mental Health Outreachâ by Mary Kate Batistich, William N. Evans and David C. Phillips
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:âLocal Access to Mental Healthcare and Crimeâ by Monica Deza, Johanna Catherine Maclean, and Keisha Solomon.
âMental Health and Criminal Involvement: Evidence from Losing Medicaid Eligibilityâ by Elisa JĂĄcome.
Episode 60 of Probable Causation: Elisa JĂĄcome.
âSubstance Abuse Treatment Centers and Local Crimeâ by Samuel R. Bondurant, Jason M. Lindo, and Isaac D. Swensen.
âBehavioral Nudges Reduce Failure to Appear for Courtâ by Alissa Fishbane, Aurelie Ouss, and Anuj K. Shah.
Episode 21 of Probable Causation: Aurelie Ouss.
âThe Impact of Youth Medicaid Eligibility on Adult Incarcerationâ by Samuel Arenberg, Seth Neller, and Sam Stripling.
âStress on the Sidewalk: The Mental Health Costs of Close Proximity Crimeâ by Panka Bencsik.
âPolicing Substance Use: Chicago's Treatment Program for Narcotics Arrestsâ by Ashna Arora and Panka Bencsik.
âCrisis Averted? The Effects of Crisis Intervention Units on Arrests and Use of Forceâ by Maya Mikdash and Chelsea Temple. (Draft available from the authors).
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J.J. Prescott talks about sex offender registries. This episode was first posted in January 2020.
"Do Sex Offender Registration and Notification Laws Affect Criminal Behavior?" by J.J. Prescott and Jonah E. Rockoff.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:Legislation Targeting Sex Offenders: Are Recent Policies Effective in Reducing Rape? by Alissa R. Ackerman, Meghan Sacks and David F. Greenberg.
The Iowa Sex Offender Registry and Recidivism by Geneva Adkins, David Huff, and Paul Stageberg.
Sex Offender Registries: Fear without Function? by Amanda Y. Agan.
Sex Offender Law and the Geography of Victimization by J. J. Prescott and Amanda Y. Agan.
Time-Series Analyses of the Impact of Sex Offender Registration and Notification Law Implementation and Subsequent Modifications on Rates of Sexual Offenses by Jeff A. Bouffard and LaQuana N. Askew.
The Effect of Sex Offender Registries on Recidivism: Evidence from a Natural Experiment by Jillian B. Carr.
The Impact of Meganâs Law on Sex Offender Recidivism: The Minnesota Experience by
Grant Duwe and William Donnay.
The Public Safety Impact of Community Notification Laws: Rearrest of Convicted Sex Offenders by Naomi J. Freeman.
Juvenile Registration and Notification Policy Effects: A Multistate Evaluation Project by Elizabeth J. Letourneau, Jeffery Sandler, Donna Vandiver, Ryan Shields, and Reshmi Nair.
Failure to Register as a Sex Offender: Is it Associated with Recidivism? Jill Levenson, Elizabeth Letourneau, Kevin Armstrong, and Kristen Marie Zgoba.
Failure-to-Register Laws and Public Safety: An Examination of Risk Factors and Sex Offense Recidivism by Jill Levenson, Jeffrey Sandler, and Naomi Freeman.
Community Protection Policies and Repeat Sexual Offenses in Florida by Jill S. Levenson and Kristen M. Zgoba.
Utilizing Criminal History Information to Explore the Effect of Community Notification on Sex Offender Recidivism by Sean Maddan, J. Mitchell Miller, Jeffery T. Walker, and Ineke Haen Marshall.
A Time-Series Analysis of the Effectiveness of Sex Offender Notification Laws in the USA by Kimberly Maurelli and George Ronan.
Does a Watched Pot Boil? A Time-Series Analysis of New York State's Sex Offender Registration and Notification Law by Jeffrey C. Sandler, Naomi J. Freeman, and Kelly M. Socia.
Juvenile Sexual Crime Reporting Rates are not Influenced by Juvenile Sex Offender Registration Policies by Jeffrey C. Sandler, Elizabeth J. Letourneau, Donna Vandiver, Ryan T. Shields, and Mark Chaffin.
Community Notification: A Study of Offender Characteristics and Recidivism by Donna D. Schram and Cheryl Darling Milloy.
âBrothers Under the Bridgeâ: Factors Influencing the Transience of Registered Sex Offenders in Florida by Kelly M. Socia, Jill S. Levenson, Alissa R. Ackerman, and Andrew J. Harris.
Assessing the Impact of Sex Offender Registration and Community Notification on Sex-Offending Trajectories by Richard Tewksbury and Wesley G. Jennings.
A Longitudinal Examination of Sex Offender Recidivism Prior to and Following the Implementation of SORN by Richard Tewksbury, Wesley G. Jennings, and Kristen M. Zgoba.
The Influence of Sex Offender Registration and Notification Laws in the United States: A Time-Series Analysis by Bob E. Vasquez, Sean Maddan, and Jeffery T. Walker.
Sex Offender Community Notification: Its Role in Recidivism and Offender Reintegration by Richard G. Zevitz.
Failure to Register as a Predictor of Sex Offense Recidivism: The Big Bad Wolf or a Red Herring? by Jill S. Levenson and Kristen M. Zgoba
An Analysis of the Effectiveness of Community Notification and Registration: Do the Best Intentions Predict the Best Practices? by Kristen Zgoba , Bonita M. Veysey & Melissa Dalessandro.
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Ellora Derenoncourt talks about how the Great Migration affected economic mobility. This episode was first posted in September 2020.
"Can you move to opportunity? Evidence from the Great Migration" by Ellora Derenoncourt.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:"Race and Economic Opportunity in the United States: An Intergenerational Perspective" by Raj Chetty, Nathaniel Hendren, Maggie R. Jones, and Sonya R. Porter.
"The Impacts of Neighborhoods on Intergenerational Mobility I: Childhood Exposure Effects" by Raj Chetty and Nathaniel Hendren.
"The Impacts of Neighborhoods on Intergenerational Mobility II: County-Level Estimates" by Raj Chetty and Nathaniel Hendren.
"Competition in the Promised Land: Black Migration and Racial Wage Convergence in the North, 1940â1970" by Leah Platt Boustan.
"Was Postwar Suburbanization 'White Flight'? Evidence from the Black Migration" by Leah Platt Boustan.
"Competition in the Promised Land: Black Migrants in Northern Cities and Labor Markets" by Leah Platt Boustan.
"Migration Networks and Location Decisions: Evidence from US Mass Migration" by Bryan A. Stuart and Evan J. Taylor.
"The Warmth of Other Suns: The Epic Story of Americaâs Great Migration" by Isabel Wilkerson.
"Creating Moves to Opportunity: Experimental Evidence on Barriers to Neighborhood Choice" by Peter Bergman, Raj Chetty, Stefanie DeLuca, Nathaniel Hendren, Lawrence F. Katz, and Christopher Palmer.
"Children of the Dream: Why School Integration Works" by Rucker C. Johnson.
"The Long-run Economic Effects of School Desegregation" by Cody Tuttle.
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Elisa JĂĄcome talks about how access to mental health care affects criminal behavior. This episode was first posted in November 2021.
âMental Health and Criminal Involvement: Evidence from Losing Medicaid Eligibilityâ by Elisa JĂĄcome.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:âHomeward: Life in the Year After Prisonâ by Bruce Western.
âThinking, Fast and Slow? Some Field Experiments to Reduce Crime and Dropout in Chicagoâ by Sara B. Heller, Anuj K. Shah, Jonathan Guryan, Jens Ludwig, Sendhil Mullainathan, and Harold A. Pollack.
âYouth depression and future criminal behaviorâ by D. Mark Anderson, Resul Cesur, and Erdal Tekin.
âSubstance Abuse Treatment Centers and Local Crimeâ by Samuel R. Bondurant, Jason M. Lindo, and Isaac D. Swensen.
âThe FDA and ABCs Unintended Consequences of Antidepressant Warnings on Human Capitalâ by Susan Busch, Ezra Golberstein, and Ellen Meara.
âConsequences of Eliminating Federal Disability Benefits for Substance Abusersâ by Pinka Chatterji and EllenMeara.
âLong-Term Consequences of Childhood ADHD on Criminal Activitiesâ by Jason Fletcher and Barbara Wolfe.
âA Cure for Crime? Psycho-Pharmaceuticals and Crime Trendsâ by Dave E. Marcotte,Sara Markowitz.
âPsychiatric Disorders in Youth in Juvenile Detentionâ by Linda A. Teplin, Karen M. Abram, Gary M. McClelland, Mina K. Dulcan, and Amy A. Mericle.
âAccess to Health Care and Criminal Behavior: Short-Run Evidence from the ACA Medicaid Expansionsâ by Jacob Vogler.
âThe effect of medicaid expansion on crime reduction: Evidence from hifa-waiver expansionsâ by Hefei Wen, Jason M. Hockenberry, Janet R. Cummings.
âThe Effect of Public Health Insurance on Criminal Recidivismâ by Erkmen Giray Aslim, Murat C. Mungan, Carlos Navarro, and Han Yu.
âThe effect of health insurance on crime: Evidence from the affordable care act medicaid expansionâ by Qiwei He and Scott Barkowski.
âLocal access to mental healthcare and crimeâ by Monica Deza, Johanna Catherine Maclean, and Keisha T. Solomon.
âThe Impact of Youth Medicaid Eligibility on Adult Incarcerationâ by Samuel Arenberg, Seth Neller, and Sam Stripling.
âThe Health Effects of Prisonâ by Randi Hjalmarsson and Matthew Lindquist.
Probable Causation Episode 41: Matthew Lindquist.
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Greg Midgette talks about the effects of 24/7 Sobriety â a program for defendants with alcohol-related offenses, based on swift-certain-fair principles. This episode was first posted in March 2021.
âCriminal Deterrence: Evidence from an IndividualâLevel Analysis of 24/7 Sobrietyâ by Beau Kilmer and Greg Midgette.
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OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:âWhen Brute Force Fails: How to Have Less Crime and Less Punishmentâ by Mark A.R. Kleiman.
"The Efficacy of the Rio Hondo DUI Court: A 2-Year Field Experiment" by John M. MacDonald, Andrew R. Morral, Barbara Raymond, and Christine Eibner.
âPunishment and deterrence: Evidence from Drunk Drivingâ by Benjamin Hansen.
âEfficacy of Frequent Monitoring with Swift, Certain, and Modest Sanctions for Violations: Insights from South Dakotaâs 24/7 Sobriety Projectâ by Beau Kilmer, Nancy Nicosia, Paul Heaton, and Greg Midgette.
"Can a criminal justice alcohol abstention programme with swift, certain, and modest sanctions (24/7 Sobriety) reduce population mortality? A retrospective observational study" by Nancy Nicosia, Beau Kilmer, and Paul Heaton.
âPaying the Tab: The Costs and Benefits of Alcohol Controlâ by Philip J. Cook.
"Managing Drug Involved Probationers with Swift and Certain Sanctions: Evaluating Hawaii's HOPE." by Angela Hawken and Mark A. R. Kleiman.
"Washington Intensive Supervision Program: Evaluation Report" by Angela Hawken and Mark A. R. Kleiman.
"HOPE II: A Follow-up to Hawaii`s HOPE Evaluation" by Angela Hawken, Jonathan Kulick, Kelly Smith, Jie Mei, Yiwen Zhang, Sara Jarman, Travis Yu, Chris Carson, and Tifanie Vial.
"Outcome Findings from the HOPE Demonstration Field Experiment: Is Swift, Certain, and Fair an Effective Supervision Strategy?" by Pamela K. Lattimore, Doris Layton MacKenzie, Gary Zajac, Debbie Dawes, Elaine Arsenault, and Stephen Tueller.
âManaging Pretrial Misconduct: An Experimental Evaluation of HOPE Pretrial" by Janet Davidson, George King, Jens Ludwig, and Steven Raphael.
âA Natural Experiment to Test the Effect of Sanction Certainty and Celerity on Substance-Impaired Driving: North Dakota's 24/7 Sobriety Programâ by Greg Midgette, Beau Kilmer, Nancy Nicosia, and Paul Heaton.
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Elizabeth Linos talks about how to recruit more and different people to become police officers. This episode was first posted in January 2021.
"More Than Public Service: A Field Experiment on Job Advertisements and Diversity in the Police" by Elizabeth Linos.
OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:"Behavioral Insights for Building the Police Force of Tomorrow" by Joanna Weill, Elizabeth Linos, Siddharth Mandava, Cecily Wallman-Stokes, and Jacob Appel.
"Thick Red Tape and the Thin Blue Line: A Field Study on Reducing Administrative Burden in Police Recruitment" by Elizabeth Linos and Nefara Riesch.
"A head for hiring: The behavioural science of recruitment and selection" by Elizabeth Linos and Joanne Reinhard.
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Amanda Agan talks about the effects of Ban the Box policies. This episode was first posted in July 2019.
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RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE:"Discrimination and the Effects of Drug Testing on Black Employment" by Abigail Wozniak.
"Deleting a Signal: Evidence from Pre-Employment Credit Checks" by Alexander W. Bartik and Scott T. Nelson
"Ban the Box, Criminal Records, and Racial Discrimination: A Field Experiment" by Amanda Agan and Sonja Starr.
"The Unintended Consequences of Ban the Box: Statistical Discrimination and Employment Outcomes When Criminal Histories are Hidden" by Jennifer L. Doleac and Benjamin Hansen.
"The Effect of Changing Employers' Access to Criminal Histories on Ex-Offenders' Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from the 2010â2012 Massachusetts CORI Reform" by Osborne Jackson and Bo Zhao
"Does Banning the Box Help Ex-Offenders Get Jobs? Evaluating the Effects of a Prominent Example" by Evan K. Rose
"Ban the Box, Convictions, and Public Sector Employment" by Terry-Ann Craigie
"'Ban the Box' Measures Help High-Crime Neighborhoods" by Daniel Shoag and Stan Veuger
"Do Ban the Box Laws Increase Crime?" by Joseph J. Sabia, Taylor Mackay, Thanh Tam Nguyen, and Dhaval M. Dave
"Job Market Signaling through Occupational Licensing" by Peter Q. Blair and Bobby W. Chung
"Statistical Discrimination and the Choice of Licensing: Evidence from Ban-the-Box Laws" by Riccardo Marchingiglio
"The Effectiveness of Certificates of Relief as Collateral Consequence Relief Mechanisms: An Experimental Study" by Peter Leasure and Tia Stevens Andersen
"Criminal Records and Housing: An Experimental Study" by Peter Leasure and Tara Martin.
"Encouraging Desistance from Crime" by Jennifer L. Doleac
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