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We got the press release recently from the Restaurant Association where they said there were flat sales, cost pressures and regional divergence was the theme.
I have changed my mind a bit on hospitality.
More broadly, I wonder whether there are too many vested interests in this country who get in the way of real progress.
The hospitality story has been a long, arduous and well told one.
We hear hospitality is shot, hospitality is a disaster, no one makes money and no one wants to work in hospitality.
Yet my increasing observation is that is not true.
If you take a very large industry as a whole and average everything out, you might well be able to find some dour times.
But what is increasingly obvious, not just from personal experience but a lot of anecdotal expert opinions as well, is a lot of hospitality is not only fine, it's actually going quite well.
The thing about hospitality is it is malleable. You are not a log exporter reliant on a single market to either buy, or not buy, your tree.
In hospitality you can vary what it is you are offering and what I see is a lot of people doing really good things and, as a result, they are doing very nicely thank you.
It took us over a week to get the last table for lunch the other day at a local that, in our experience, has changed hands and boosted their product and offering and as a result has gone from a quiet, regional operator to a booming tourism business rushed off its feet.
Same place, same name, new product - whole different result.
The other thing about hospitality is it doesnât require any skill to enter. Anyone can buy a cafĂ©, and a lot do, and I have seen them, often immigrants, as it's an easy entry point. They take over a going concern and wreck it, change a menu, employ the family, kill the service and they're dead in a week.
We are over supplied of course. So in your area where you have a choice of a dozen places, only two have to be good before they boom and the others wilt.
So the Restaurant Association telling us things aren't flash is not the real story.
Bits aren't flash, but then if you are not up to much in the first place - they never will be.
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The problem with committing to things that may well come back to haunt you, is down the track, at some point, the mistake starts to hit you in the face a bit and some hard decisions are required.
My sense of it is we have become too reliant on pine trees to meet the Paris climate target.
The sheep farmers have worked that out as the protests around land conversion have once again been reignited, with posters put up by the Meat and Wool folk with the line: "I am not the problem".
Since 1982 we have gone from 70 million sheep to 25 million.
In the last seven years a quarter of a million hectares has been swapped from sheep to trees.
This of course was always going to happen. What's the easiest way to meet a target on carbon? Trees.
Cutting and slashing, whether its farm production or the economy, in general was never going to be palatable. So trees were easy.
But you might have noticed a couple of major things have happened;
1) Paris looks increasingly shaky in terms of people meeting targets, or indeed people even being interested in meeting targets.
2) Stuff grown on the land with legs is fetching very good money all over the world and as far as us earning a living goes, we have never made more from farming.
Carbon offsetting, which is what planting trees is called, has restrictions in other countries. But I bet you anything you want that other countries aren't as reliant on sheep and cows as we are.
We used to have tourism back us up. But last week's numbers tell the sad story - dairy is worth $20 billion, while tourism is at $12 billion. Even offal comes in at $9 billion.
Tourism used to vie for first place, hence the Government threw another $13 million at it yesterday to try and attract another 70,000 or so new visitors.
Trees also kill communities. Farming is life. A forest isn't.
As laudable as Paris was all those years ago, if we had thought about it, if we had been less evangelical, we might have stopped to think just what it was we were asking of a small economy.
And the simple truth is we were asking so much, a quick shortcut like trees was always going to be adopted with alacrity.
Saving the planet, as people get tossed off the land, is not an equation we should be proud of. As the protest poster with the photo of the sheep says, I am not the problem. And it's right.
The zealots are.
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Fehlende Folgen?
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Warriors legend Shaun Johnson will be back on our screens â this time, without a rugby ball in hand.
Heâs supercharging his fledgling media career, fronting a new weekly TV show dedicated to the analysis of rugby league.
Johnson signed a new deal with Sky TV for âLeague Loungeâ, which launches Wednesday, and will broadcast on Sky and Sky Sport Now, with delayed release on Sky Open and YouTube.
He told Mike Hosking he wants to speak to what the audience might be feeling and seeing from the game and help educate them.
Johnson says that if he can offer a bit of perspective as to what may be going on with playersâ performances, it might buy a bit of time to start seeing better results.
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On the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast for Tuesday 10th of June, it's good news Tuesday, so we have good news on our teaching numbers, business sales, and tourism.
But thereâs bad news regarding corruption â we are way too complacent, and a new report suggests organised crime is corrupting our officials at a lot of different levels.
Warriors legend Shaun Johnson has a new midweek league show coming out, so we talk to him about League Lounge and life after professional sport.
Get the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast every weekday morning on iHeartRadio, or wherever you get your podcasts.
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Now is the time to sell your business.
According to ABC Business Sales, the number of buyers enquiring about purchases is up 30%.
Demand is currently outstripping supply, as new listings are down 10% on last year.
CEO Chris Small told Mike Hosking much of the interest is led by migrants, and hospitality, services, and construction are the three sectors people are primarily looking to buy in.
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Solar energy company Lodestone is expanding to the South Island.
It's constructing a solar farm in Canterbury's Clandeboye, with first generation expected next year.
It will generate 43 gigawatt hours of renewable electricity annually, similar to the company's sites in the Upper North Island.
Managing Director Gary Holden told Mike Hosking there are six more consented sites in their portfolio.
He says they're trying to build a solar farm in every area they can, to follow the populations.
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Outgoing New Zealand Rugby boss Mark Robinson believes he's leaving the game in a better place than he found it.
He's confirmed he will leave the job at the end of the year, bringing to an end a six-year tenure that started just before the Covid-19 pandemic.
Robinson says he's proud of what's been achieved during a turbulent period.
He told Mike Hosking that the next six months are critical for their role both domestically and internationally, with both their involvement in the establishment of international calendars and competitions as well as the opportunity they have to reset the financial model for the New Zealand game.
Robinson likes to think those would both be signed off by the end of the year, and that in conjunction with his family moving over to Australia, makes him feel itâs time to move on.
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A tick of approval for the Government's new tourism funding boost, aiming to generate an extra $300 million in spending.
Minister Louise Upston's announced a $13.5 million injection into Tourism New Zealand, targeting markets in Australia, the US and China.
It's hoping to bring an extra 72 thousand visitors over coming years.
Tourism Holdings CEO Grant Webster told Mike Hosking it'll provide recovery from the post-Covid hangover.
He says this is the most ambitious Government from a tourism perspective in around eight years, and looks forward to helping the economy grow.
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New Zealand's heading down a precarious road of corruption, with organised crime networks targeting our institutions and borders.
An independent advisory panel on Transnational Crime says we need to take urgent action.
It says police officers, immigration officials, and private sector employees are facilitating corruption.
Group chair Steve Symon told Mike Hosking they talked to senior officials in enforcement agencies, former gang members, and frontline staff.
He says the problem with organised crime is it's everywhere you look, and it's seeping into all areas of business which deal with potential for drugs coming into the country.
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The Education Minister says several factors are at play in making teaching an increasingly attractive career option.
New figures released to Newstalk ZB show the teaching workforce increased 2.5% last year â the largest annual increase since records began back in 2009.
First-time enrolments in teaching courses are also up, 6.3%.
Erica Stanford told Mike Hosking the Government's doing several things to attract and retain teachers.
She says that includes good resources, world-leading professional learning and development, on-site training programmes, and paying teacher fees.
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The government will allow a 'Parent Boost' visa from September.
It will grant parents of citizens multi-entry access for five years, with the opportunity for renewal once - meaning they could hold the visa for 10 years.
Applicants will also need to meet specific health, income, and insurance requirements.
NZ Immigration Principal Consultant Katy Armstrong says New Zealand's not always just a skip across the ditch. For some people its a 24-hour journey or more, so the visa's a significant move.
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Steve Price and Mike Hosking discuss the impacts of Scott Morrisonâs COVID policies and support for Australian citizens.
Morrison provided relief money for countless Australians during COVID to keep families afloat during the pandemic. A move he now says has led Australians to lean on the government.
Price also discussed the use of Amazon to order machetes and large knives into Australia, and if the machete ban will work as the government intended.
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There are plenty of questions after an Australian naval ship accidentally blocked internet and radio services across parts of the country.
It's understood the radar of the HMAS Canberra accidentally interfered with one of the shared spectrum bands that anyone can use free of charge.
Intelligence expert Paul Buchanan saysoperational security was lacking.
He wants to know why the Canberra was on a commercial band, given it's the most important ship in the Australian navy
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On the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast for Monday the 9th of June, the Government is making changes to parent visas so will this actually change anything? Will it help bring in the people we need?
The Prime Minister is in for a chat about our ferries, our gas (or lack of it) and when some of the changes they've promised will actually come into effect.
Andrew Saville and Jason Pine cover off the Super Rugby playoffs, the Warriors' big win and the French Open final.
Get the Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show Podcast every weekday morning on iHeartRadio, or wherever you get your podcasts.
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Large-scale protests have erupted in Los Angeles in response to ICE deportations set up by President Trump to crack down on illegal immigrants.
The National Guard has now been deployed to LA by The President to assist the local police and riot squads in stopping the protests.
A third of the people living in Los Angeles were born outside of the USA, with many hailing from Central and South America.
President Trump has insisted that these deportation raids only target âhardened criminals.â
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Little guidance around how money is spent on principals' wellbeing, is being seen as a key cause for excessive state-school spending.
A report from the Office of the Auditor-General - as reported in the Post - has discovered 54 schools were questioned for âsensitiveâ spending with no apparent educational benefit.
In 2022, the Ministry of Education paid $6.3 million dollars to 524 schools, with principals able to access up to $6,000 dollars each for wellbeing.
PPTA President Chris Abercrombie told Mike Hosking that there was little guidance on the money, which he says gave principals freedom to do as they see fit.
He says there weren't many rules about how the money should be used at the start.
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Mike Hoskings and Prime Minister Chris Luxon sat down in the studio this morning for a discussion on electricity and gas in New Zealand.
âThe oil and gas ban was one of the dumbest, most insanest moves Iâve seen happen.â said the PM this morning.
According to Luxon, New Zealand must steer back away from coal in favour of gas as a source of energy. âWeâre the only country Iâm aware of in the world thatâs actually transitioning from gas to coal.â Which Luxon said is âtwice as bad as gas.â
The PM says his plan for future-proofing New Zealandâs energy grid is essential for supporting planned datacenters and other high-energy usage projects.
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The polling industry, whose only answer to fairly obvious questions seems to be âthis is just a snapshot in timeâ, may have trouble explaining the past week of polling in this country.
There was one on Tuesday night and one on Wednesday morning. They have completely different results.
One has Luxon as the most popular leader.
One has Hipkins as the most popular leader.
One has National leading Labour.
One has Labour leading National.
One has the current Government as the current Government.
One has a new Government, with the current Government out.
It doesnât get a lot more contrasting than that.
Even if you accept a lot of the numbers are tightish, some of the numbers aren't even within the margin of error.
It's almost as though the polls aren't accurate.
It's almost as though you could ring up 1000 people and get one answer, then ring up another set of 1000 people and get a completely different answer.
If you can do that, why would you pay money to people who will tell you these things mean anything?
At least TVNZ use commercial money to pay for this stuff.
Radio New Zealand, who seem to have taken over from TV3, use our money. And given they have just had a budget cut and given they are losing their audience at a rate of knots, I'm not sure this can be classed as quality expenditure.
I went to their website yesterday. The headline was "What the polls are telling us in 7 charts".
And there they were. There was lots of colour, lots of lines up and down, and squiggles.
But I already knew, given I had seen the charts from the night before, that either their charts meant nothing, or if they did mean something, then the other guy's charts weren't up to much.
Or quite possibly if we did this charade for a third time, they would both be exposed as having shonky numbers.
But remember: "they are only a snapshot in time". Except given they were done at the same time, they aren't, are they?
So what are they, other than a very large waste of time and money?
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At the end of each week, Mike Hosking takes you through the big-ticket items and lets you know what he makes of it all.
David Seymour: 7/10
In Britain, debating as we speak. But last weekend he ascended to Deputy Prime Minister and gave an excellent speech about what our country can be. It was uplifting, and uplifting is good.
Chris Bishop: 7/10
Was at the music awards and expressed an opinion. People of the left didnât appear to like opinions. That's not as uplifting.
Mitch Barnett: 3/10
Professionals get injured, but a season ender is a cruel blow, especially given this is our year.
The Waiuku raised crossing: 2/10
Because it's bollocks, but at least it's on hold.
Polls: 1/10
Joke of the week. Buy a dartboard and pretend it means something.
Six million: 7/10
Our population prediction by 2040. I like more people because more people brings growth. I've always thought we are way too small.
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I've struggled with a couple of authors this week â Jacinda Ardern and Jake Tapper.
What I struggle with is one of them is making money out of the fact they made an astonishing hash of their job, quit, bailed out of the country and is now collecting money for retelling what happened in a way that would suggest no carnage was left behind.
The other is making money by exposing what he watched unfold in front of his eyes for four years and really did nothing about.
I'm not sure who the bigger fraud is.
The Ardern book is widely traversed and has been marketed very well internationally. My wife showed me a snippet from Oprah.
Let's be frank: post WeightWatchers and Ozempic Oprah is not exactly reputationally untouched herself. She's fascinated with Ardern, and it appears to be around kindness. I bet you anything you want Oprah doesnât have the slightest idea about how the country was wrecked under Ardern.
She sees what Ardern wants you to see: fragile, huggy people who run things with good vibes.
In the meantime, at CNN, I have no idea what Jake Tapper was watching between 2020-24 because we all watched the same thing. Except CNN wasnât spending a lot of time saying "hey, have you noticed the old guy is getting worse by the day?".
Given that was CNN's job is it any wonder they rate the way they do? But for Tapper to then go out and monetise what he was already, allegedly, being paid to do, seems a new low of sorts to me.
But back with Ardern. In one review former Labour Party leader David Cunliffe runs the classic line of "I have a different recollectionâ. That's in response to Ardern's attack on him whereby she essentially calls him a fraud and how she couldnât understand how he got the top job and not her mate Grant.
You had to, she said (probably in tears), question his authenticity.
Are you serious? Authenticity? From Jacinda Markle? The only bit of marketing that seems to have been missed along with the hand-wringing interviews on Radio New Zealand and TVNZ is some Ardern jam or cake recipes.
If she had just been useless, it might have been alright. Hopeless, but didnât break the china.
But she wasnât. She was dangerous, she was the pulpit of truth, she was a control freak, and she was a narcissist dressed up in Kate Sylvester pretending she wrote back to all the kids.
She wrecked the joint then collected the dough in Boston.
Tapper and Ardern made money for failing to do their job.
There should be a law against it.
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